{"title":"Integrating Japan’s Intelligence Community: analyzing the effectiveness of the Director of Cabinet Intelligence as a coordinating body","authors":"Yoshiki Kobayashi","doi":"10.1080/02684527.2023.2228044","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2023.2228044","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This study aims to determine the level of integration of Japan’s Intelligence Community (IC), particularly the effectiveness of the Director of Cabinet Intelligence (DCI) as a coordinating body, since the Japanese government started its IC reform in 2008. A quantitative analysis of the relationship between the Prime Minister, the DCI, and other actors reveals that the DCI has progressed in IC integration since 2008. The findings have significant implications for the future development of Japan’s IC, particularly in terms of the evolving role of the DCI as a community facilitator rather than a personal briefer to the Prime Minister.","PeriodicalId":47048,"journal":{"name":"Intelligence and National Security","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-07-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42879539","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"‘An anarchy of treason’: public history, insider knowledge and the early spy novels of John le Carré","authors":"Huw Dylan, A. Burton","doi":"10.1080/02684527.2023.2225934","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2023.2225934","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT John le Carré is credited with re-defining spy fiction into something widely considered as more ‘authentic’. His work emerged during a period replete with spy scandals and public investigations. This article considers the intersection of the public history of intelligence with le Carré’s early novels, particularly The Spy Who Came in from the Cold. It reveals how the author drew creatively on that public history to shape his narratives and underpin the mood of his stories. Finally, it probes the ‘insider knowledge’ in the stories, illustrating that, contrary to le Carré’s protestations, there exists a demonstrable correspondence between fact and fiction.","PeriodicalId":47048,"journal":{"name":"Intelligence and National Security","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49277770","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Intelligence power and practice","authors":"D. Molinaro","doi":"10.1080/02684527.2023.2229157","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2023.2229157","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":47048,"journal":{"name":"Intelligence and National Security","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46949747","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Towards a better framework for estimative intelligence – addressing quality through a systematic approach to uncertainty handling","authors":"B. G. M. Isaksen, K. McNaught","doi":"10.1080/02684527.2023.2216963","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2023.2216963","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The analytic standards governing the production of intelligence are outlined in a number of Intelligence Community Directives (ICDs). In this paper, we are concerned with ICDs 203, 206 and 208 and, in particular, how these relate to the handling of uncertainty in estimative intelligence. An inductive thematic analysis is employed which identifies several recurring themes. In addition, a conceptual map is developed which highlights relationships and the level of inter-connectedness between the standards. Requirements for improved operationalization of uncertainty handling are also discussed. The question of analytic feasibility is then examined in relation to the five themes extracted from the earlier analysis. The paper concludes that a new framework for uncertainty handling is required and suggests that such a framework should contain a process to assess analytic feasibility from the outset of a study.","PeriodicalId":47048,"journal":{"name":"Intelligence and National Security","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-06-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43966139","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The perils of presidential openness: strikes, secrecy and performative opacity","authors":"Ruxandra Oana Vlad","doi":"10.1080/02684527.2023.2225933","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2023.2225933","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT In a world of increasing openness, secrecy retains its value. Covert operations, including strikes against individuals, can provide intelligence agencies with the ability to operate strategically, while limiting domestic entanglements and international provocation. But presidents increasingly push the boundaries, retrospectively using their decisions performatively for political advantage. This can confront agencies with a dilemma wherein they are pressed to demonstrate the rationale for a covert mission in ways that undermine future operational security. Evidence from the strikes on Osama bin Laden and Iran’s General Soleimani will be used to argue that retrospective briefs designed to enhance legitimacy or prestige are problematic. Instead, these active disclosures, sometimes by senior figures, can lead to a general unravelling of secrecy which has the potential to threaten future operational credibility and effectiveness.","PeriodicalId":47048,"journal":{"name":"Intelligence and National Security","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-06-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43541870","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Industrial intelligence, reparations, and German expertise: the Australian Scientific and Technical Mission to Germany, 1945-1950","authors":"James Mills","doi":"10.1080/02684527.2023.2222535","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2023.2222535","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Among the multiplicity of missions that the Allied governments and armed forces sent to Europe towards the end and after World War II to document and exploit Nazi Germany’s wartime scientific and industrial progress was the Australian Scientific and Technical Mission to Germany. Composed of less than a dozen personnel, the Mission was a modest but important component in the Australian Commonwealth Government’s post-war foreign policy towards Germany and expansion of scientific and industrial development. Based at Australia House in London, the Mission worked in close cooperation with British Government departments, and was instrumental in the transnational transfer of German science and technology to Australia between 1946 and 1950 – initially under the auspices of the British Intelligence Objectives Sub-committee, and later through the Inter-Allied Reparation Agency and the Employment of Scientific and Technical Enemy Aliens scheme.","PeriodicalId":47048,"journal":{"name":"Intelligence and National Security","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45477228","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Assessing intelligence oversight: the case of Sweden","authors":"D. Hansén","doi":"10.1080/02684527.2023.2222534","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2023.2222534","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The study of intelligence oversight captures the inherently political nature of secret intelligence. However, many studies of intelligence oversight adopt rather instrumentalist views that omit important political aspects of the policy process. Typically, these studies focus on obstacles to effective oversight. This article discusses how the effectiveness of oversight can be assessed by applying broad evaluative categories that contain programmatic, process-related, political, and durability dimensions. Empirically, the study probes the case of Sweden as an illustration. Swedish oversight arrangements have on balance been successful in some dimensions, particularly the programmatic dimension, which arguably also contributed to its relative longevity.","PeriodicalId":47048,"journal":{"name":"Intelligence and National Security","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-06-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46596603","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Secret partners: the national reconnaissance office and the intelligence-industrial-academic complex","authors":"A. Bateman","doi":"10.1080/02684527.2023.2219013","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2023.2219013","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Satellite reconnaissance emerged as an irreplaceable source of U.S. intelligence during the Cold War. The vast resources required to build intelligence satellites quickly transformed space reconnaissance into an industrial-scale activity. Though satellite reconnaissance primarily served policymakers in Washington, two of its critical nodes for research, development, and operations were in Sunnyvale, California and Rochester, New York. In both places, a coalition of scientists and engineers in corporations, universities, and intelligence agencies collaborated to create satellites designed to penetrate the Iron Curtain. These technical experts were critical not only for the development of satellite reconnaissance systems, but also for their operation.","PeriodicalId":47048,"journal":{"name":"Intelligence and National Security","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42053377","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How intelligence tales are made real: Le Bureau des légendes as a cover story for the French DGSE","authors":"Joakim Brattvoll, Vic Castro","doi":"10.1080/02684527.2023.2216964","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2023.2216964","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The French spy series Le Bureau des légendes (2015–2020) has been acclaimed for its allegedly realistic depiction of French foreign intelligence. Drawing on the concept of ‘legend’, this article adapts actor-network theory to understand how Le Bureau was able to make a significant impact on public discussions of secret intelligence in France. The article shows how the series was constituted as a ‘virtually true’ cover story for the Direction générale de la sécurité extérieure (DGSE), which supported the series’ production, and how this story impacted the DGSE itself.","PeriodicalId":47048,"journal":{"name":"Intelligence and National Security","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46215578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Growth, diversification, and disconnection: an analysis of 70 years of intelligence scholarship (1950-2020)","authors":"Stephen Coulthart, Abebe Rorissa","doi":"10.1080/02684527.2023.2219534","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/02684527.2023.2219534","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Intelligence studies scholarship is growing exponentially but is siloed in disciplinary clusters. After reviewing a citation dataset of nearly 6,000 articles on intelligence, we found that article-based scholarship on intelligence is growing at an exponential rate – the last ten years (2010–2020) saw more knowledge production in scholarship than the previous sixty years combined (1950–2010). The topics under investigation have diversified into three major areas: the study of intelligence services, the ‘how to’ of intelligence practice, and the impact of intelligence on society. Our analyses of topics and core co-authorship networks show productive but disconnected islands between disciplines. We argue a shift towards more interdisciplinary research could narrow these gaps and make intelligence scholarship more impactful.","PeriodicalId":47048,"journal":{"name":"Intelligence and National Security","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2023-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48848455","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}