{"title":"Job polarisation in Italy: routinisation and structural change?","authors":"Valerio Intraligi, Claudia Vittori, Andrea Ricci","doi":"10.1080/17421772.2023.2298965","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2023.2298965","url":null,"abstract":"Notwithstanding evidence on job polarisation in Italy, to date, studies have not investigated the role of structural change in explaining shrinking routine employment. Over the period 2004–2019, de...","PeriodicalId":47008,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Economic Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2024-01-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139470642","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Eduardo Amaral Haddad, Natalia Q. Cotarelli, Vinicius A. Vale
{"title":"On the numerical structure of local and nationwide government spending multipliers: what can we learn from the Greek crisis?","authors":"Eduardo Amaral Haddad, Natalia Q. Cotarelli, Vinicius A. Vale","doi":"10.1080/17421772.2023.2288602","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2023.2288602","url":null,"abstract":"It has been recognised that the fiscal multiplier is a function of structural features of the economy and policy reaction parameters. Moreover, the debate on the magnitude of the multiplier along t...","PeriodicalId":47008,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Economic Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139035000","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The persistent urbanising effect of refugee camps: evidence from Tanzania, 1985–2015","authors":"Olive Nsababera, Richard Dickens, Richard Disney","doi":"10.1080/17421772.2023.2274859","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2023.2274859","url":null,"abstract":"With the rise of forced displacement, attention has turned to the economic impact of refugees. However, few studies investigate long-term impacts. We use data for Tanzania for the period 1985–2015 ...","PeriodicalId":47008,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Economic Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138826484","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"New developments in spatial econometric modelling","authors":"Katarzyna Kopczewska, Paul Elhorst","doi":"10.1080/17421772.2023.2281173","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2023.2281173","url":null,"abstract":"This special issue brings together five methodological contributions and responses to the 16th World Conference of the Spatial Econometric Association held in Warsaw, Poland, in June 2022. Each pap...","PeriodicalId":47008,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Economic Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138686742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The social footprint of globalisation: towards the introduction of strategic industries in quantitative trade models","authors":"Italo Colantone, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Piero Stanig","doi":"10.1080/17421772.2023.2267613","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2023.2267613","url":null,"abstract":"We argue that our understanding of industrial policy in the presence of ‘strategic’ industries that exert positive externalities on the national economy may benefit from an extension of quantitativ...","PeriodicalId":47008,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Economic Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138686421","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Interregional inequality in budget revenues per capita and its decomposition by source: the case of pre-pandemic Russia","authors":"Marina Malkina","doi":"10.1080/17421772.2023.2285961","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2023.2285961","url":null,"abstract":"The study identifies the sources of convergence/divergence of Russian regions in per capita budget revenues in the period 2010–19. Budget inequality is assessed using the Theil–Bernoulli index and ...","PeriodicalId":47008,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Economic Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138686294","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Roberta Capello, Andrea Caragliu, Roberto Dellisanti
{"title":"Integrating digital and global transformations in forecasting regional growth: the MASST5 model","authors":"Roberta Capello, Andrea Caragliu, Roberto Dellisanti","doi":"10.1080/17421772.2023.2278514","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2023.2278514","url":null,"abstract":"During the past decade, world economic development was coupled with disruptive challenges. Among them, digitalisation and new forms of globalisation represent a potential threat for economic growth...","PeriodicalId":47008,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Economic Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138519212","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"On the geography of inequality: labour sorting in general equilibrium","authors":"Santiago Truffa, Alexis Montecinos","doi":"10.1080/17421772.2023.2271519","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2023.2271519","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTWe study how cities’ amenities and limited housing supply contribute to aggregate wage inequality and affect housing prices through the sorting of heterogeneous skilled workers. We develop a general equilibrium model where workers differ along a continuum of skills and compete for limited housing. Our analysis suggests that spatial sorting accounts for 7.5% of the aggregate wage dispersion, increases average housing prices by 20–40% in constrained cities, and makes the economy 1.9% more productive. In addition, we evaluate a place-based policy that aims to expand the supply of houses in 1% of constrained cities and find that it improves aggregate productivity between 0.2% and 0.4%. However, the place-based policy has the unintended consequence of aggravating aggregate wage inequality by the same magnitude.KEYWORDS: labour sortinginequalityhousingplace-based policiesJEL: D44D58F16J24R13 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTSWe are extremely grateful to Ernesto Dal Bó, William Fuchs and John Morgan for their support. We also thank Scott Baker, Victor Couture, Cecile Gaubert, Rui de Figueiredo, William Grieser, William Hardin, Enrico Moretti, Gonzalo Maturana, Steve Tadelis, Joachim Voth, Reed Walker, Zhonghua Wu and Noam Yuchtman, as well as numerous seminar and conference participants, for their helpful discussions and comments. We would also like to thank Diogo Duarte who contributed to this project on an earlier version. This paper was originally part of Santiago Truffa’s PhD dissertation titled ‘Essays in urban economics’.DISCLOSURE STATEMENTNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.Notes1 In this study we will focus on wage and housing price inequality. In particular, since we are able to compute wages at the individual level, we can analyse both between- and within-city inequality. When we refer to aggregate inequality, we mean the total variance of all individual wages.2 Shapiro (Citation200Citation6), Glaeser and Gottlieb (Citation2008), Couture (Citation2015), Albouy et al. (Citation2016) and Albouy (Citation2016) have empirically shown the importance of amenities in accounting for sorting patterns. We build on this literature, and we quantify the trade-off between amenities versus restrictions on the housing supply. Related literature has explored the sorting of heterogeneous firms (Behrens et al., Citation2014; Gaubert, Citation2018; Serrato & Zidar, Citation2016) to study the welfare implications of taxes and firm incentives. We complement this literature by focusing on the worker side. Further work is required to join these two threads in the literature.3 Frameworks that divide the workforce into discrete categories are empirically sensitive since the results depend on dichotomous definitions of what type of worker qualifies for each type of category. Indeed, Baum-Snow et al. (Citation2018) show that if we change the definition of high-skilled worker to a worker with some college education, some of the results shown by Diamond (C","PeriodicalId":47008,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Economic Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135138018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"To use, or not to use the spatial Durbin model? – that is the question","authors":"Malabika Koley, Anil K. Bera","doi":"10.1080/17421772.2023.2256810","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2023.2256810","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The spatial Durbin model (SDM) is one of the most widely used models in spatial econometrics. It originated as a generalisation of the spatial error model (SEM) under a non-linear parametric restriction (see Anselin (1988, pp. 110–111)). This restriction should be tested to select an appropriate model between SDM and SEM. Perhaps, due to the complexity of executing a test for a non-linear hypothesis, this restriction is rarely tested in practice, though see Burridge (1981), Mur and Angulo (2006) and LeSage and Pace (2009, p. 164). This paper considers an alternative linear hypothesis to test the suitability of the SDM. To achieve this, we first use Rao’s score (RS) testing principle and then Bera and Yoon (1993)’s methodology to robustify the original RS tests. The robust tests that require only ordinary least squares (OLS) estimation are able to identify the specific source(s) of departure(s) from the baseline linear regression model. An extensive Monte Carlo study provides evidence that our suggested tests possess excellent finite sample properties, both in terms of size and power. Our empirical illustrations, with two real data sets, attest that the tests developed in this paper could be very useful in judging the suitability of the SDM for the spatial data in hand.","PeriodicalId":47008,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Economic Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135241073","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jeffrey Clemens, John Kearns, Beatrice Lee, Stan Veuger
{"title":"Spatial spillovers and the effects of fiscal stimulus: evidence from pandemic-era federal aid for state and local governments","authors":"Jeffrey Clemens, John Kearns, Beatrice Lee, Stan Veuger","doi":"10.1080/17421772.2023.2264344","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2023.2264344","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACTWe analyse whether US federal aid to state and local governments impacted economic activity through either direct or cross-state spillover effects during the COVID-19 pandemic. Deploying an instrumental-variables framework rooted in the funding advantage of states that are over-represented in Congress, we find that federal assistance had significantly less impact on state and local government employment, as well as broader measures of economic activity, than estimates from prior crisis responses would imply. The modest employment impacts we find stem largely from the direct effect of states’ own aid allocation, as opposed to spillovers across state lines. These findings point to an important role for variations in fiscal policy transmission mechanisms, namely that cross-state spillovers are less likely to be important when some of the key mechanisms for such spillovers, like robust interjurisdictional supply chains and patterns of consumption, are muted or shut down.KEYWORDS: COVID-19employmentfiscal federalismfiscal policyspatial macroeconomicsspilloversJEL: E6H5H7 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTThis article is based on the following working paper:Clemens, Jeffrey, John Kearns, Beatrice Lee, and Stan Veuger. ‘Spatial Spillovers and the Effects of Fiscal Stimulus: Evidence from Pandemic-Era Federal Aid for State and Local Governments.’ AEI Economics Working Paper 2022-14.DISCLOSURE STATEMENTNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1 These four pieces of legislation are the March 2020 Families First Coronavirus Response Act (FFCRA) and Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, the December 2020 Response and Relief Act (RRA) of 2021 and the March 2021 American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) of 2021.2 Nakamura and Steinsson (Citation2014), as well as Ramey (Citation2016, Citation2019) and Chodorow-Reich (Citation2020), provide frameworks for interpretation of the different estimates in these literatures.3 We use data from the CRFB’s COVID-19 Money Tracker as of August 19th, 2021.4 As in Clemens and Veuger (Citation2021), ‘[w]e obtain information on the distribution of transit funds for the RRA and ARPA from the US Federal Transit Administration (Citation2021a, Citation2021b). Data on the allocation of ARPA assistance to non-public schools come from the US Office of Elementary and Secondary Education (Citation2021). We obtain estimates of ARPA section 9817 matching increases from Chidambaram and Musumeci (Citation2021). We approximate the allocation of ARPA section 9819 federal matching funds for uncompensated care using FY2021 estimates of federal disproportionate share hospital allotments by state from the Medicaid and Chip Payment Access Commission (Citation2021).’ The Coronavirus Capital Projects Fund outlined in ARPA is distributed according to guidance from the United States Department of the Treasury (Citation2021a).5 Congressional representation per million residents is calculated as #ofRepresentativess+#ofSenato","PeriodicalId":47008,"journal":{"name":"Spatial Economic Analysis","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135368192","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}