Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie最新文献_第5页

The Biodemography of Fertility: A Review and Future Research Frontiers. 生育的生物人口学:回顾与未来研究前沿。

IF 1.5 3区社会学

Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11577-015-0319-4

Melinda C Mills, Felix C Tropf

{"title":"The Biodemography of Fertility: A Review and Future Research Frontiers.","authors":"Melinda C Mills, Felix C Tropf","doi":"10.1007/s11577-015-0319-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11577-015-0319-4","url":null,"abstract":"The social sciences have been reticent to integrate a biodemographic approach to the study of fertility choice and behaviour, resulting in theories and findings that are largely socially-deterministic. The aim of this paper is to first reflect on reasons for this lack of integration, provide a review of previous examinations, take stock of what we have learned until now and propose future research frontiers. We review the early foundations of proximate determinants followed by behavioural genetic (family and twin) studies that isolated the extent of genetic influence on fertility traits. We then discuss research that considers gene and environment interaction and the importance of cohort and country-specific estimates, followed by multivariate models that explore motivational precursors to fertility and education. The next section on molecular genetics reviews fertility-related candidate gene studies and their shortcomings and on-going work on genome wide association studies. Work in evolutionary anthropology and biology is then briefly examined, focusing on evidence for natural selection. Biological and genetic factors are relevant in explaining and predicting fertility traits, with socio-environmental factors and their interaction still key in understanding outcomes. Studying the interplay between genes and the environment, new data sources and integration of new methods will be central to understanding and predicting future fertility trends.","PeriodicalId":46893,"journal":{"name":"Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2015-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s11577-015-0319-4","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"34108752","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 48

Impact of Economic Conditions and Crises on Mortality and its Predictability. 经济状况和危机对死亡率的影响及其可预测性。

IF 1.5 3区社会学

Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11577-015-0323-8

Christina Bohk, Roland Rau

{"title":"Impact of Economic Conditions and Crises on Mortality and its Predictability.","authors":"Christina Bohk, Roland Rau","doi":"10.1007/s11577-015-0323-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s11577-015-0323-8","url":null,"abstract":"To investigate how economic conditions and crises affect mortality and its predictability in industrialized countries, we review the related literature, and we forecast mortality developments in Spain, Hungary, and Russia-three countries which have recently undergone major transformation processes following the introduction of radical economic and political reforms. The results of our retrospective mortality forecasts from 1991 to 2009 suggest that our model can capture major changes in long-term mortality trends, and that the forecast errors it generates are usually smaller than those of other well-accepted models, like the Lee-Carter model and its coherent variant. This is because our approach is capable of modeling (1) dynamic shifts in survival improvements from younger to older ages over time, as well as (2) substantial changes in long-term trends by optionally complementing the extrapolated mortality trends in a country of interest with those of selected reference countries. However, the forecasting performance of our model is limited (like that of every model): e.g., if mortality becomes extremely volatile-as was the case in Russia after the dissolution of the Soviet Union-generating a precise forecast will depend more on luck than on methodology and expert judgment. In general, we conclude that, on their own, recent economic changes appear to have minor effects on life expectancy in industrialized countries, but that the effects of these changes are greater if they occur in conjunction with other major social and political changes.","PeriodicalId":46893,"journal":{"name":"Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2015-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s11577-015-0323-8","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"34042231","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 15

Persisting Differences or Adaptation to German Fertility Patterns? First and Second Birth Behavior of the 1.5 and Second Generation Turkish Migrants in Germany. 持续的差异还是对德国生育模式的适应?1.5代和2代土耳其移民在德国的第一次和第二次生育行为

IF 1.5 3区社会学

Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/s11577-015-0331-8

Sandra Krapf, Katharina Wolf

{"title":"Persisting Differences or Adaptation to German Fertility Patterns? First and Second Birth Behavior of the 1.5 and Second Generation Turkish Migrants in Germany.","authors":"Sandra Krapf, Katharina Wolf","doi":"10.1007/s11577-015-0331-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11577-015-0331-8","url":null,"abstract":"In this study, we use data of the German Mikrozensus to explore first and second birth behavior of migrants' descendants. Whereas prior waves of the Mikrozensus only included respondents' citizenship, in the survey years 2005 and 2009 also parental citizenship has been surveyed. This allows us to identify respondents' migrant backgrounds, even if they have German citizenship. We distinguish those who migrated as children (1.5 generation) from those who were born to Turkish parents in Germany (second generation migrants). We compare both migrant generations to German non-migrants. Using discrete-time hazard models, our results show that 1.5 generation migrants have the highest probability of having a first and second birth, while German non-migrants have the lowest birth probabilities. The second generation lies in-between. This pattern also persists after taking the educational attainment of respondents into consideration. However, there seems to be an adaptation of highly educated second generation Turkish migrants to non-migrant Germans: we find no significant differences in the probability of having a first birth in the two groups. For second births, we do not find this pattern which might be related to the young age structure in the sample of second generation migrants.","PeriodicalId":46893,"journal":{"name":"Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.5,"publicationDate":"2015-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s11577-015-0331-8","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"34042229","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Rezension : Walther Müller-Jentsch, 2012: Die Kunst in der Gesellschaft 评论：Walther Müller Jentsch，2012：德国歌剧院

IF 1.5 3区社会学

Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie Pub Date : 2013-06-01 DOI: 10.5167/UZH-78350

J. Rössel

引用次数: 0

Sind leistungsschwache Jugendliche tatsächlich nicht ausbildungsfähig? 为什么我一直在找工作

IF 1.5 3区社会学

Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie Pub Date : 2012-12-01 DOI: 10.1007/S11577-012-0186-1

S. Buchholz, C. Imdorf, Sandra Hupka-Brunner, H.-P. Blossfeld

引用次数: 5

Praxis – Zuschreibung – Objektivität. Argumente gegen einen reduktionistischen Individualismus und ihre Kritik 他的辩护律师反对还清个人主义的论据和批评

IF 1.5 3区社会学

Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-658-06557-7_8

J. Greve

引用次数: 5

Bildungsungleichheiten und Privatschulen in Deutschland 教育不平等以及德国的私立学校

IF 1.5 3区社会学

Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-658-00120-9_3

Monika Jungbauer-Gans, H. Lohmann, C. K. Spiess

引用次数: 21

Biografische Drift und zweite Chance. Bildungs- und Berufsverläufe von Migrantennachkommen 生化连结，第二次机会教育和职业改革

IF 1.5 3区社会学

Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-658-00120-9_8

Olaf Groh-Samberg, Ariane Jossin, C. Keller, Ingrid Tucci

引用次数: 8

Geschlechtstypische Berufswahl: Begabungszuschreibungen, Aspirationen und Institutionen 职业选择:面试技巧、升职、目标和机构

IF 1.5 3区社会学

Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-658-00120-9_11

M. Buchmann, Irene Kriesi

引用次数: 38

Liberalisierungspolitik: Eine Bestandsaufnahme des Rückbaus wirtschafts- und sozialpolitischer Interventionen in entwickelten Industrieländern 自由贸易政策:发达发达国家经济和社会政策干预的反思

IF 1.5 3区社会学

Kolner Zeitschrift Fur Soziologie Und Sozialpsychologie Pub Date : 2011-03-01 DOI: 10.1007/S11577-010-0125-Y

Martin Höpner, Alexander Petring, Daniel Seikel, B. Werner

引用次数: 42