Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties最新文献_第5页

Spreading the blame: personal experience and attribution for health care expenses 推卸责任:医疗费用的个人经历和归因

IF 1.8 3区社会学

Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2113089

K. McCabe

引用次数: 0

An institutional safety net? How electoral institutions mediate the fortunes of parties under threat 制度安全网?选举机构如何调解受到威胁的政党的命运

IF 1.8 3区社会学

Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties Pub Date : 2022-08-09 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2110885

Jeffrey Nonnemacher, Jae-Jae Spoon, N. Ringe

{"title":"An institutional safety net? How electoral institutions mediate the fortunes of parties under threat","authors":"Jeffrey Nonnemacher, Jae-Jae Spoon, N. Ringe","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2022.2110885","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2022.2110885","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT How do electoral institutions condition the electoral fortunes of parties under threat? In this article, we examine how Germany’s mixed-member proportional (MMP) system has influenced the vote share of the Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (SPD), a party under threat which has consistently lost votes over the past two decades. Using the 2013 and 2017 waves of the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES), we find that voters are likely to engage in “sincere” vote switching on both the district and party ballots and that they are less likely to engage in “strategic” vote switching when they cast their district votes than when they cast their party votes, which protects SPD district candidates. Moreover, voters who stay with the SPD when casting their district vote are also less likely to switch their party votes, which protects the SPD’s overall vote share. We thus conclude that Germany’s MMP electoral system serves as an institutional safety net for the SPD as a party under threat. Our findings have important implications for understanding the ways in which electoral rules shape voting behavior and how different rules can mediate the decline of parties under threat.","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"49 1","pages":"322 - 341"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2022-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79411006","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

The past, Brexit, and the future in Northern Ireland: a quasi-experiment 北爱尔兰的过去、英国脱欧和未来:一场准实验

IF 1.8 3区社会学

Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties Pub Date : 2022-07-07 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2090951

Amélie Godefroidt, Karin Dyrstad, Kristin M. Bakke

{"title":"The past, Brexit, and the future in Northern Ireland: a quasi-experiment","authors":"Amélie Godefroidt, Karin Dyrstad, Kristin M. Bakke","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2022.2090951","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2022.2090951","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The UK’s decision to leave the European Union has raised questions about whether Brexit might bring “the Troubles” back to Northern Ireland. We exploit the timing of a unique survey to examine how the EU referendum campaign and its outcome shaped perceptions about the past conflict and preferences for the future in Northern Ireland. The survey reveals that, after the Leave vote, people were more likely to perceive the partitioning of the Island of Ireland and illegitimate rule of Westminster as important conflict causes. Respondents surveyed after the referendum were also more likely to see reunification with Ireland as desirable, and changes in conflict perceptions contributed to this change in preferences for the future. At the same time, public responses seem to be the result of a gradual change during the campaign rather than a shock effect to the outcome, and effects decay quickly. These findings contribute to a better understanding of the micro-foundations driving post-Brexit public opinion in Northern Ireland and the potential consequences of holding contentious referendums more generally.","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"25 1","pages":"149 - 161"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2022-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"74625384","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

IF 1.8 3区社会学

Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties Pub Date : 2022-06-23 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2090950

K. Eichhorn, Eric Linhart

引用次数: 1

Millstone or means to succeed: party-brand value, intra-party competition and personal vote-seeking 成功的关键或手段:政党品牌价值、党内竞争和个人拉票

IF 1.8 3区社会学

Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2080685

T. Däubler, Séin Ó Muineacháin

引用次数: 3

Shaping support for public policies: legitimacy cues and question wording effects in the case of gender quotas 塑造对公共政策的支持:性别配额情况下的合法性线索和问题措辞效果

IF 1.8 3区社会学

Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2078336

Tània Verge, R. Tormos

引用次数: 0

When the partisan becomes personal: Mayoral Incumbency Effects in Buenos Aires, 1983–2019 当党派变成个人:1983-2019年布宜诺斯艾利斯市长任期的影响

IF 1.8 3区社会学

Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties Pub Date : 2022-05-30 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2081696

Germán Feierherd, Adrián Lucardi

引用次数: 1

Are former rebel parties more likely to engage in electoral violence in Africa? 在非洲，前反叛政党更有可能参与选举暴力吗?

IF 1.8 3区社会学

Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties Pub Date : 2022-05-13 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2051146

J. Ishiyama, M. Marshall, Brandon D. Stewart

引用次数: 0

Elections with candidate filtering and two mechanisms of demobilization effect: the prologue to Hong Kong’s authoritarian turn 候选人筛选和两种机制的复员效应:香港威权转向的序幕

IF 1.8 3区社会学

Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties Pub Date : 2022-03-27 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2051150

Chan Ka Ming, Ng Ka Lun

{"title":"Elections with candidate filtering and two mechanisms of demobilization effect: the prologue to Hong Kong’s authoritarian turn","authors":"Chan Ka Ming, Ng Ka Lun","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2022.2051150","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2022.2051150","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Previous studies of electoral authoritarianism identified that manipulations demobilize opposition supporters. Yet, less is known about whether radicals are more prone to abstention than moderates in manipulated elections. To answer this question, we disentangle two mechanisms of demobilization effect—the efficacy mechanism and the electoral supply mechanism—that have different expectations on the turnout rate of radicals and moderates. Our research leverages the disqualification controversy in Hong Kong in 2016, after which radical candidates who advocate self-determination or independence were filtered out from the electoral market. Using both aggregate-level and individual-level data, our analysis shows that a substantive demobilization effect exists. Crucially, we find that radicals and moderates are demobilized to a similar extent, and the decreases in perceived electoral fairness and importance of voting are similar between the two factions. These findings suggest that the efficacy mechanism is a more plausible explanation of the demobilization effect. Overall, this study extends our understanding of voting behavior and political attitude of opposition supporters in face of autocratization.","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"380 1","pages":"664 - 683"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2022-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91283830","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

The effect of campaign spending, district magnitude and incumbency when electoral rules create districts with old and new voters: the case of Chile in 2017 当选举规则划分新老选民选区时，竞选支出、选区规模和任期的影响:以2017年的智利为例

IF 1.8 3区社会学

Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2022.2051147

J. M. Cabezas, Hugo Jofré, Patricio D. Navia

{"title":"The effect of campaign spending, district magnitude and incumbency when electoral rules create districts with old and new voters: the case of Chile in 2017","authors":"J. M. Cabezas, Hugo Jofré, Patricio D. Navia","doi":"10.1080/17457289.2022.2051147","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2022.2051147","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The impact of campaign spending, generally greater for challengers than for incumbents, is conditioned by electoral rules and incumbency—normally seen as a dichotomous condition. But when an electoral reform changes the composition of districts, a legislator is an incumbent only in the section of the new district. In Chile, the 60 open-list proportional representation 2-member districts used until 2013 were combined to create 28 open-list PR districts for the 2017 election, thus making some legislators enjoy a higher degree of incumbency. With data from 1430 candidates in the 2013 and 2017 legislative elections, we report a nonlinear positive effect of campaign spending on electoral success in all district magnitudes. Campaign spending has a higher impact as the number of open seats increases and a stronger effect for incumbents whose old districts comprise a larger share of the new districts. Campaign spending matters differently for challengers and incumbents given the moderating effect of district magnitude, the number of open seats and the percentage of incumbency.","PeriodicalId":46791,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties","volume":"9 9 1","pages":"258 - 277"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2022-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91314679","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1