Japan and the World Economy最新文献

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Overnight earnings announcements and preopening price discovery 隔夜收益公告和开盘前价格发现
IF 1.3 4区 经济学
Japan and the World Economy Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101249
Xijuan Xiao , Ryuichi Yamamoto
{"title":"Overnight earnings announcements and preopening price discovery","authors":"Xijuan Xiao ,&nbsp;Ryuichi Yamamoto","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101249","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101249","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines the market responses to announcements of stocks with different trading activities that disclose earnings during and outside normal trading hours. For less actively traded stocks, when bad news is reported after the market closes, potential informed trading exists, along with heightened return reversals and market inefficiency before the release. These informed trading activities are partially responsible for the post-announcement preopening price adjustments. Although the after-release preopening period for inactive stocks does not significantly facilitate price discovery as much as for active stocks, it provides an environment to resolve order imbalances after overnight information.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"70 ","pages":"Article 101249"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140191790","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A computable general equilibrium analysis of the EU CBAM for the Japanese economy 欧盟 CBAM 对日本经济的可计算一般均衡分析
IF 1.3 4区 经济学
Japan and the World Economy Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101242
Shiro Takeda , Toshi H. Arimura
{"title":"A computable general equilibrium analysis of the EU CBAM for the Japanese economy","authors":"Shiro Takeda ,&nbsp;Toshi H. Arimura","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101242","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101242","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The EU plans to introduce a carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM) to curb carbon leakage and to protect energy-intensive and trade-exposed (EITE) industries. This move by the EU to introduce CBAMs has raised concerns in Japan that it will harm Japanese industry and the Japanese economy. To address these concerns, this study tries to provide an ex ante and quantitative analysis of the economic and environmental effects of the introduction of the EU CBAM. To capture the effects of the EU CBAM, this study employs a global multiregional, multisector computable general equilibrium model with 18 sectors and 17 regions. The main insights obtained from the analysis are as follows. First, we find that the introduction of the EU CBAM significantly reduces carbon leakage from the EU. Second, the effects of the introduction of CBAMs on the GDP and welfare of each country vary from country to country, but the effects are generally very small. While there is a positive impact on GDP and welfare in Japan, the magnitude of the impact is very small. There will also be a negative impact on Japan’s EITE industries, but the magnitude of this impact is very small and not of great concern.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"70 ","pages":"Article 101242"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140195522","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of the feed-in-tariff exemption on energy consumption in Japanese industrial plants 上网电价豁免对日本工业厂房能源消耗的影响
IF 1.3 4区 经济学
Japan and the World Economy Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101241
Aline Mortha , Naonari Yajima , Toshi H. Arimura
{"title":"Impact of the feed-in-tariff exemption on energy consumption in Japanese industrial plants","authors":"Aline Mortha ,&nbsp;Naonari Yajima ,&nbsp;Toshi H. Arimura","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101241","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101241","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To promote renewable energy deployment, Japan introduced a feed-in tariff policy in 2012, financed through a surcharge on electricity prices for consumers. The Japanese government also offered a discount system for electricity-intensive industrial plants, exempting them from paying full surcharges. Using monthly plant-level data from 2005 to 2018, this study evaluated the exemption system’s impact on electricity and fossil fuel consumption for plants in the iron and steel, chemical products, and pulp and paper sectors. Our results show that the exempted iron and steel plants decreased electricity purchase and consumption 18.62% and 17.88% after 2017, respectively. This decrease is attributed to the introduction of an electricity efficiency after 2017. It is worth noting, however, that the revision of the scheme did not affect the chemical, pulp and paper sectors. In this sense, a stronger efficiency requirement might be warranted to ensure the decrease in electricity consumption for all sectors. Nevertheless, we estimate that roughly 7 million tCO<sub>2</sub> have been avoided thanks to the decrease in electricity consumption in the iron and steel sector.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101241"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140047121","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of the Kuroda Bazooka on Japanese households’ borrowing intentions 黑田火箭炮对日本家庭借贷意向的影响
IF 1.3 4区 经济学
Japan and the World Economy Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101240
Hiroshi Gunji
{"title":"Impact of the Kuroda Bazooka on Japanese households’ borrowing intentions","authors":"Hiroshi Gunji","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101240","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101240","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines the impact of a monetary policy by the Bank of Japan on households’ willingness to borrow, that was announced on October 31, 2014. This policy, known as Kuroda Bazooka, was not anticipated by the private sector; therefore, it could be regarded as an exogenous shock. To estimate the effects of the Kuroda Bazooka, this study used interrupted time series analysis, a technique often used in medicine, but not yet widely used in economics. The analysis of the data before and after the shock shows that the Kuroda Bazooka increased household borrowing intentions by approximately 10 %. This result suggests that although there was not much change in households’ aggregate borrowing, there was a change in their intention to borrow. Therefore, a monetary policy that merely changes expectations may not be effective.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101240"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0922142524000033/pdfft?md5=3071f1a6d3f68cbb92b3dd03532177af&pid=1-s2.0-S0922142524000033-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139749727","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
International business cycle synchronization: A synthetic assessment 国际商业周期同步:综合评估
IF 1.3 4区 经济学
Japan and the World Economy Pub Date : 2024-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101239
Hyun-Hoon Lee , Cyn-Young Park , Ju Hyun Pyun
{"title":"International business cycle synchronization: A synthetic assessment","authors":"Hyun-Hoon Lee ,&nbsp;Cyn-Young Park ,&nbsp;Ju Hyun Pyun","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101239","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101239","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We synthetically assess the three major transmission channels of international business cycles: bilateral trade, foreign direct investment (FDI), and portfolio investment flows between countries, while considering country-time heterogeneity with multiple fixed effects. Using the data of 65 countries during 2004–2019, we find that real and financial integration generates heterogeneous impacts on business cycle comovement. Trade integration, particularly through intermediate input trade, drives business cycle synchronization, and its impact has been more pronounced after the global financial crisis. This may be due to deepening intra-industry trade and dense global value chains. We also find greenfield FDI leads to business cycle synchronization when considering its time-lags. Higher short-term debt market integration is also associated with more synchronized business cycle comovement, implying that balance sheet effects and the related credit cycle can exert influence on business cycle comovement.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101239"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139749650","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Performance feedback on sales growth and M&A: Evidence from China 销售增长和并购的绩效反馈:来自中国的证据
IF 1.3 4区 经济学
Japan and the World Economy Pub Date : 2024-01-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101236
Jianquan Guo , He Cheng
{"title":"Performance feedback on sales growth and M&A: Evidence from China","authors":"Jianquan Guo ,&nbsp;He Cheng","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101236","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101236","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>This study examines the effects of performance feedback on sales growth relative to social and historical aspirations on corporate merger and acquisition (M&amp;A) decisions and M&amp;A performance. A sample of 924 M&amp;A deals announced by Chinese manufacturing firms between January 2006 and June 2022 is analyzed using logistic regression and multiple linear regression. Robustness tests are also conducted to show that the main results are consistent. We find that (1) negative performance feedback relative to social aspiration motivates acquirers to undertake more risk in M&amp;A-related decisions such as choosing overseas targets and using non-deferred payments in deal structure; while negative historical performance feedback significantly encourages acquirers to choose deferred deal structure. Positive performance feedback does not have a significant impact on acquirers’ choices; (2) In terms of M&amp;A performance, both negative and positive performance feedback relative to social aspiration can have a positive effect on M&amp;A performance; while historical performance feedback cannot affect M&amp;A performance. This paper addresses the heterogeneity of the effects of performance feedback (which is divided into historical and social performance feedback) on firm behavior and contributes to the Behavioral Theory of Firms and </span>Stewardship theory.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101236"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139392048","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Are sustainable firms more innovative? The case of China 可持续发展的企业更具创新性吗?中国案例
IF 1.3 4区 经济学
Japan and the World Economy Pub Date : 2024-01-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101238
Kohei Mitsunami , Miwa Nakai
{"title":"Are sustainable firms more innovative? The case of China","authors":"Kohei Mitsunami ,&nbsp;Miwa Nakai","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101238","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2024.101238","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Although the impact of corporate social responsibility (CSR) on business and market performance has been getting attention in China, its influence on innovation outcomes has not been fully investigated. This study utilises patent information and CSR measurements from Orbis and Refinitiv, respectively, and empirically investigates the determinants of corporate innovation, focusing specifically on the influence of CSR. We find a positive relationship between CSR and innovation outcomes, namely patent applications and patents granted, which are also found in developed countries. Furthermore, our findings provide new insights into inconclusive factors such as the impact of Chinese economic policies or government ties on innovation performance. In particular, we find that government-owned firms no longer have a relative advantage in innovation.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101238"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-01-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139111745","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of demographic change on the natural rate of interest in Japan 人口变化对日本自然利率的影响*
IF 1.3 4区 经济学
Japan and the World Economy Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101237
Fei Han
{"title":"The impact of demographic change on the natural rate of interest in Japan","authors":"Fei Han","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101237","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101237","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper develops a semi-structural model to estimate the impact of demographic changes on the natural rate of interest in Japan. We find that demographic changes have a significantly negative impact on the natural rate by lowering the trend potential growth. We also find that the negative impact has increased over time amid stronger demographic headwinds. A lower natural rate of interest could challenge the Bank of Japan’s efforts to reflate the economy. These findings call for measures to boost Japan’s potential growth to offset the negative demographic impact and lift the natural rate of interest.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101237"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-01-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139373746","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How competitiveness evolved in the Japanese bank loan market between 1977 and 2020 1977 年至 2020 年间日本银行贷款市场的竞争力如何演变
IF 1.3 4区 经济学
Japan and the World Economy Pub Date : 2023-12-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101232
Tomoya Maruyama
{"title":"How competitiveness evolved in the Japanese bank loan market between 1977 and 2020","authors":"Tomoya Maruyama","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101232","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101232","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In this study, I estimate the degree of competition in the Japanese loan market using a new empirical industrial organization method. With it, I conduct a long-term analysis of more than 40 years that includes the effect of financial deregulation prior to 2000. The model adopts an appropriate identification strategy in the estimation by introducing a rotation term to the demand function. This study also has an examination of the mechanism behind the long-term development of competition to test the validity of two hypotheses: the efficient structure hypothesis and the market power hypothesis. The findings are as follows: (1) The Japanese loan market was the least competitive around 1980, and competition has intensified since then. (2) After 2000, competition has generally increased, especially among large city banks with a nationwide presence. (3) The correlation analyses between market concentration, degree of competition, and cost efficiency indicate that the results are consistent with the efficient structure hypothesis except for the period around 2000. In contrast, the results are consistent with the market power hypothesis in the 1990s, but become inconsistent thereafter.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"69 ","pages":"Article 101232"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2023-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138680391","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Effects of alternative pricing structures on electricity consumption and payments in the commercial and industrial sector 不同定价结构对商业和工业部门电力消费和支付的影响
IF 1.3 4区 经济学
Japan and the World Economy Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101223
Asahi Oshiro , Nori Tarui
{"title":"Effects of alternative pricing structures on electricity consumption and payments in the commercial and industrial sector","authors":"Asahi Oshiro ,&nbsp;Nori Tarui","doi":"10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101223","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2023.101223","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We investigate the distributional and welfare impacts when commercial and industrial (C&amp;I) electricity end users face a dynamic pricing structure as opposed to a constant volumetric price with demand charge on individual users’ peak usage. While demand charge does not necessarily reduce the system-wide peak, it often constitutes a large share of C&amp;I users’ payments. Hourly electricity consumption data for C&amp;I users on O‘ahu, Hawai‘i, reveal that the fixed cost recovery associated with removing demand charge has both significant distributional impacts and considerable efficiency gains. Moreover, the rate reform can be regressive or progressive depending on how the fixed charge is allocated across users.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46744,"journal":{"name":"Japan and the World Economy","volume":"68 ","pages":"Article 101223"},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2023-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138412460","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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