European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research最新文献

{"title":"A Cluster Analysis of Temporal Patterns of Travel Production in the Netherlands: Dominant within-day and day-to-day patterns and their association with Urbanization Levels","authors":"Zahra Eftekhar, Adam Pel, Hans Van Lint","doi":"10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.3.6499","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.3.6499","url":null,"abstract":"This paper explores temporal patterns in travel production using a full month of production data from traffic analysis zones (TAZ) in the (entire) Netherlands. The mentioned data is a processed aggregated derivative (due to privacy concerns) from GSM traces of a Dutch telecommunication company. This research thus also sheds light on whether such a processed data source is representative of both regular and non-regular patterns in travel production and how such data can be used for planning purposes. To this end, we construct normalized matrix (heatmap) representations of weekly hour-by-hour travel production patterns of over 1200 TAZs, which we cluster using K-means combined with deep convolutional neural networks (inception V3) to extract relevant features. A silhouette score shows that three dominant clusters of temporal patterns can be discerned (K=3). These three clusters have distinctly different within-day and day-to-day production patterns in terms of peak period intensity over different days of the week. Subsequently, a spatial analysis of these clusters reveals that the differences can be related to (easily observable) land-use features such as urbanization levels (i.e., Urban, Rural, and mixed-level). To substantiate this hypothesis and the usefulness of this clustering result, we apply an OVR-SMOTE-XGBoost ensemble classification model on the land-use features of the TAZs (i.e., to identify their cluster). The results of our clustering analysis show that given the land-use features, the overall production patterns are identifiable. Further analysis of the mixed-level areas shows a more complex relationship between temporal heterogeneity and spatial characteristics. Population density seems to impose additional uncertainty on the temporal patterns. All in all, feature selection and spatial and temporal discretization play essential roles in identifying the dominant trip production patterns. These findings are directly useful for data-driven estimation and prediction of demand time series. Furthermore, this study provides further insights into people's mobility, relevant for transportation analysis and policies.","PeriodicalId":46721,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research","volume":"63 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139320822","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Planning for the sustainability of freight and logistics","authors":"Sam McLeod, Michael Browne","doi":"10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.3.6145","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.3.6145","url":null,"abstract":"Policy-makers face challenges managing the movement of goods while responding to increasingly urgent sustainability problems. Freight policy is fragmented over many regulatory fields, often with ambiguous or contested objectives. Empirical freight transport research can be difficult to translate directly into policy settings, and policy measures often have substantial unintended consequences, especially over long time periods. These foundational challenges can make effective policy implementation difficult. Through a review of the literature, and drawing on diverse applied research and practice experiences, we categorise intertemporal problems in designing regional freight policy, and identify principles for informing practical policy synthesis. These principles provide a framework for decision-makers who formulate policy, and for researchers who critically evaluate it. Adoption and refinement of these principles will improve the translation of research into policy through time, recognising the inherently complex and uncertain nature of planning for the movement of goods.","PeriodicalId":46721,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2023-10-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139321180","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Estimating post-pandemic effects of working from home and teleconferencing on travel behaviour","authors":"Roel Faber, Marije Hamersma, Mathijs De Haas, Lizet Krabbenborg, Arjen 't Hoen","doi":"10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.1.6733","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.1.6733","url":null,"abstract":"Like in many other countries, the Dutch government instructed people to work from home where possible during the COVID-19 pandemic to halt the transmission of the virus. This policy seems to have resulted in a structural increase in working from home and teleconferencing that will outlast the pandemic. However, the longer-term effects on travel behaviour are still unclear. Making use of panel data collected using the Netherlands Mobility Panel, this paper has two main aims. First, it analyses developments in working from home and teleconferencing since COVID-19. Second, it estimates the expected post-pandemic effects on travel behaviour. The results show that compared to before the pandemic, the average number of hours that people work from home has doubled and roughly two-thirds of respondents indicate that they teleconference more often. We estimate that structural, post-pandemic increases in working from home and teleconferencing will result in a negative effect on distances travelled by train (-3% to -9%), by bus, tram, and metro (-1% to -5%) and car (-1 to -5%). The estimated effect on the distance travelled by bicycle (-2% to 0%), and walking (0% to +1%) is smaller or even positive, due to people making more complementary trips for other purposes when working from home. When interpreting these results, we should keep in mind that due to various other factors, such as population growth, total travel demand will still grow in the near future.","PeriodicalId":46721,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136259477","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Dynamic analysis of the investment decision of electric vehicle charging facilities and the promotion effect measurement for electric vehicles","authors":"Lefeng Shi, Guanhong Chen, Song Wang","doi":"10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.2.6666","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.2.6666","url":null,"abstract":"This paper aims to analyze the deep reason why there exists hesitation when investors decide whether invest in EV charging facilities (ECFs). To this end, a series of theoretic models are built and derived, and some enlightening results are got. The main results confirm that charging facility investors are insufficiently motivated to follow a moderately aggressive investment strategy in the early stages of EV development. For stimulating ECFs’ investment, the marginal conditions in which the investors choose active or conservative investment strategies to lay out charging facilities are analyzed, and the effects under different ECFs investment strategies are quantized in terms of driving the market development of EVs. Based on the findings, relevant policy suggestions are proposed. Finally, to verify the gained results, a case study in the context of China is given.","PeriodicalId":46721,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136259623","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Travel time, delay and CO2 impacts of SAE L3 driving automation of passenger cars on the European motorway network","authors":"Elina Aittoniemi, Teemu Itkonen, Satu Innamaa","doi":"10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.1.6553","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2023.23.1.6553","url":null,"abstract":"Impacts of driving automation on traffic flow and emissions are usually studied with traffic simulations using only few speed limits and traffic volumes. Without considering the real-world prevalence of simulated scenarios, it is unknown how the results translate to real-world conditions, such as a regional motorway network. The present study assessed the potential impacts of conditionally automated driving, described by stable vehicle motion control and longer time gaps, on the European motorway network assuming no changes in other influential factors, such as travel demand or vehicle fleet. Traffic simulations provided estimates of the effect magnitude per vehicle kilometre travelled (VKT) in representative conditions, and results were scaled up using map-, traffic- and weather-related data, accounting for the VKT per condition. Overall, the impacts of automated vehicles (AVs) on the European motorway network are likely small. Travel times and delay are estimated to increase by 0.8% and 1.3% respectively at a 100% AV penetration rate among passenger cars, and CO2 emissions to drop by 0.5%. While large reductions of average travel time (up to 8.0–10.4%), delay (up to 17.5–34.8%) and emissions (up to 13.5–15.0%) were found at high traffic volumes, most (86%) of the VKT accumulate at low traffic volumes, with small estimated effects. Thus, although beneficial in some conditions, the AVs considered in this study are not likely to support Europe’s sustainability goals. Findings advocate a comprehensive approach: Whereas impacts are likely greatest in heavy traffic, the prevalence of conditions must be considered in network level assessment.","PeriodicalId":46721,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136259482","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Multi-objective railway timetabling including energy-efficient train trajectory optimization","authors":"Gerben M. Scheepmaker, R. Goverde","doi":"10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.4.5453","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.4.5453","url":null,"abstract":"Energy-efficient train driving is an important topic to railway undertakings (RUs) for sustainability and cost reduction. The timetable affects the possibilities for energy-efficient train driving by the amount of running time supplements, which is the topic of energy-efficient train timetabling (EETT). The scientific literature on EETT focuses mainly on the balance between total running time and energy consumption. However, in practice RUs consider a trade-off between the total running time, the infrastructure occupation and the timetable robustness, while energy efficiency is not considered. In this paper we consider a multiple-objective timetabling problem at a microscopic infrastructure level that adds energy consumption to the other three objectives. We approach the multiple-objective problem by a brute force search algorithm, where we use two different methods to compute the optimal solution: a weighted sum method and a distance metric method. We apply the method to a Dutch case study on the corridor between the stations Arnhem Central and Nijmegen with alternating Intercity and Sprinter trains, without intermediate overtaking possibilities. The results indicate that there is a balancing relationship between the total running time and energy consumption, without influencing the infrastructure occupation and robustness. The results of the 10 Pareto-optimal solutions show a variation of 5% for the total running time, 18% for the energy consumption, 0.3% for the extended cycle time, and 0.8% for the buffer time. The shortest running time leads to 18% more energy consumption than the longest running time with 5% more running time supplement. In both cases the extended cycle time and buffer time are almost constant. On the other hand, reducing the infrastructure occupation leads to homogenization of the timetable. Therefore, including energy consumption in the multiple-objective can be used to balance the trade-off between total running time and capacity consumption. ","PeriodicalId":46721,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2021-10-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48797298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Tracing the Effects of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Car Usage in Germany - an Analysis of the German Mobility Panel","authors":"Lisa Ecke, Miriam Magdolen, Bastian Chlond, P. Vortisch","doi":"10.18757/ejtir.2021.21.3.5467","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18757/ejtir.2021.21.3.5467","url":null,"abstract":"Being a vast external influence, the COVID-19 pandemic causes major changes in travel behavior on the individual level. This exceptional situation and the political measures such as the lockdown lead to decreased overall travel demand and shifts in mode choice. To understand these effects, the analysis of car usage in private households offers explanatory insights. To this aim, this study provides a differentiation of car usage before and during the COVID -19 pandemic in spring 2020. Furthermore, insights into structural changes of car usage in private households based on German Mobility Panel data are presented. The results show that during the COVID -19 pandemic car usage was affected, and overall mileage decreased. Especially newer cars with large cubic capacity show a large decrease in mileage by 39 % between 2019 and 2020. In addition, we see that the type of car usage (business/private) and the household characteristics are related to different magnitudes of change in car usage. Overall, it becomes evident that examining identical households and cars before and during the pandemic allows for a deeper understanding of the impacts of the COVID -19 pandemic.","PeriodicalId":46721,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2021-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41772875","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The safety of physically separated cycle tracks compared to marked cycle lanes and mixed traffic conditions in Amsterdam","authors":"Jan Hendrik Van Petegem, P. Schepers, G. Wijlhuizen","doi":"10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.3.5283","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.3.5283","url":null,"abstract":"Bicycle infrastructure is utilised to improve cycling safety and encourage bicycle use as a sustainable and healthy transport mode. This study sets out to assess whether providing physically separated cycle tracks along distributor roads, as prescribed in Dutch design guidelines and the Sustainable Safety vision, yields the expected safety benefits for cyclists. Therefore the safety of physically separated cycle tracks is compared to marked or painted cycle lanes and to mixed traffic conditions at distributor roads with a speed limit of 50 km/h in Amsterdam in the Netherlands. The study also includes the presence of the risk factors curbside parking and trams. Since police records are known to underreport single bicycle crashes and other crashes without a motor vehicle involved, ambulance records are used in this study instead. Also, both motor vehicle volumes as well as cyclists counts are taken into account in the crash analysis. By doing so, this study aims to address two weaknesses of previous research, i.e. the lack of control for exposure of cyclists and the use of police recorded crashes which miss the majority of bicycle crashes without motor vehicles.  Results show that, controlled for kilometres travelled by bicycle and by motor vehicle, 50-60% less bicycle crashes occur on distributor roads with cycle tracks compared to those with cycle lanes. Curbside parking and trams are related to an increased likelihood of bicycle crashes, a difference of a factor 2 and 1.7-2 respectively. The authors therefore recommend to favour physically separated cycle tracks over cycle lanes and to take out curbside parking from the cross section as this presents the possibility to introduce cycle tracks in existing cross sections and mitigate an important risk factor concurrently.","PeriodicalId":46721,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2021-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49427944","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"On the cost elasticity of inter-regional distribution structures: a case study for the Netherlands","authors":"Igor Y. Davydenko, L. Tavasszy, H. J. (Hans) Quak","doi":"10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.3.4165","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.3.4165","url":null,"abstract":"Several studies show that logistics facilities have spread spatially from relatively concentrated clusters in the 1970s to geographically more decentralized patterns away from urban areas. The literature indicates that logistics costs are one of the major influences on changes in distribution structures, or locations and usage of logistics facilities. Quantitative modelling studies that aim to describe or predict these phenomena in relation to logistics costs are lacking, however. This is relevant to design more effective policies concerning spatial development, transport and infrastructure investments as well as for understanding environmental consequences of freight transport. The objective of this paper is to gain an understanding of the responsiveness of spatial logistics patterns to changes in these costs, using a quantitative model that links production and consumption points via distribution centers. The model is estimated to reproduce observed use of logistics facilities as well as related transport flows, for the case of the Netherlands. We apply the model to estimate the impacts of a number of scenarios on the spatial spreading of regional distribution activity, interregional vehicle movements and commodity flows. We estimate new cost elasticities, of the demand for trade and transport together, as well as specifically for the demand for the distribution facility services. The relatively low cost elasticity of transport services and high cost elasticity for the distribution services provide new insights for policy makers, relevant to understand the possible impacts of their policies on land use and freight flows.","PeriodicalId":46721,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2021-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47657676","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Analysis of convergence in transport infrastructure: a global evidence","authors":"C. Saba, N. Ngepah, N. Odhiambo","doi":"10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.2.5368","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18757/EJTIR.2021.21.2.5368","url":null,"abstract":"This study investigates the convergence in transport infrastructure for 102 countries spanning 1990-2018 using Phillips and Sul econometric methodology. We constructed a transportation infrastructure by a composite index of transportation computed via principal component analysis (PCA). Our findings suggest the presence of panel convergence at the global level, while the income groups exhibited panel divergence. The results obtained from the iterative testing procedure suggest that the sub-groups exhibited convergence and divergence features. Overall, this study finds that the process of convergence in transportation reflects the desirable emanations of transportation policies sharing possible similar characteristics, at least to some extent, across the globe.","PeriodicalId":46721,"journal":{"name":"European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.7,"publicationDate":"2021-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48684811","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}