{"title":"Electoral Incentives and Negotiated Settlements: Legislative Deliberation on the Mindanao Conflict in the Philippines","authors":"Aya Watanabe","doi":"10.1111/deve.12427","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/deve.12427","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Some conflict-experiencing countries undergo both violent and electoral competitions. In other words, electoral competition evolves while nonstate actors struggle to realize their political and cultural demands by arms. Although increasing attention has been paid to the interplay between domestic political dynamics and violent conflict, we still know little about how the electoral calculations of legislators shape their response to negotiated settlement, possibly influencing conflict processes. By examining the congressional records of the House of Representatives in the Philippines, this study conducts quantitative text analyses to assess the impacts of electoral incentives—shaped by executive popularity, district ethnic composition, and the occurrence of conflict-related violence—on legislators' response to negotiated settlement. The results demonstrate that legislators are sensitive to constituents' views on conflict settlement by showing support or opposition to negotiated settlement, anticipating their electoral fortunes in the next election.</p>","PeriodicalId":46525,"journal":{"name":"Developing Economies","volume":"63 1","pages":"47-69"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-11-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/deve.12427","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143248433","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Relationship between Air Quality and Financial Risk Aversion: A View of Hetero-Geneous Response to Air Pollution","authors":"Xunzhou Ma, Liurong Liang, Zhen-Xing Wu, Zhicheng Cao, Yibo You, Cheng Xue","doi":"10.1111/deve.12426","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/deve.12426","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper conducts experiments on a sample of subjects from Chengdu and Wuhan, China, who are mostly unconcerned about air pollution. We provide evidence on the relationship between air quality and financial risk aversion by assessing the plausibility of two channels: affects and cognitive ability. We find that air pollution increases the financial risk aversion of subjects who are concerned about it by altering their emotional responses. However, the cognitive abilities of our subjects are not affected by air pollution, regardless of whether they are concerned about the pollution or not. Meanwhile, we show that reference dependence effect can explain why most subjects in our sample are not highly concerned about air quality. The results of our study stress the importance of beliefs about the impact of air pollution in determining the relationship between air pollution and human behavior.</p>","PeriodicalId":46525,"journal":{"name":"Developing Economies","volume":"63 2","pages":"183-206"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143896860","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Erdem Yörük, Şükrü Atsızelti, M. Fuat Kına, Fırat Duruşan, Oğuz Gürerk, Melih Can Yardı, Ali Hürriyetoğlu, Osman Mutlu, Tolga Etgü, Murat Koyuncu, Işık Topçu
{"title":"A Computational Analysis of Ideological Positions, Emotional Stance, and Support for Presidential Candidates in Turkey","authors":"Erdem Yörük, Şükrü Atsızelti, M. Fuat Kına, Fırat Duruşan, Oğuz Gürerk, Melih Can Yardı, Ali Hürriyetoğlu, Osman Mutlu, Tolga Etgü, Murat Koyuncu, Işık Topçu","doi":"10.1111/deve.12424","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/deve.12424","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Using artificial intelligence, this article explores the intricate dynamics between ideologies, emotions, and political preferences of the electorate in Turkey. Utilizing a dataset of one billion posts from X (formerly Twitter), the study maps out political opinions, focusing on support for presidential candidates, ideological stances, and collective emotions around the pivotal 2023 Turkish presidential elections. We discuss the limitations of conventional survey techniques and introduce an ERC-funded Politus project that processes digital trace data to offer timely insights into social and political trends. The study's findings, particularly around the “prayer rug (<i>seccade</i>) crisis,” underscore the complexity of electoral politics and the potential of digital trace data in capturing the evolving sentiments and ideological orientations of voters. Through this computational approach, the research provides a granular depiction of Turkey's ideological map and electoral behavior, contributing significantly to the discourse on political analysis in the digital era.</p>","PeriodicalId":46525,"journal":{"name":"Developing Economies","volume":"63 1","pages":"97-125"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/deve.12424","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143252744","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Factional-Ideological Conflicts in Chinese Politics: To the Left or the Right? by Olivia Cheung, Amsterdam, Amsterdam University Press, 2023, 190 pp.","authors":"John K. Yasuda","doi":"10.1111/deve.12423","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/deve.12423","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46525,"journal":{"name":"Developing Economies","volume":"62 4","pages":"418-420"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142596237","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do Elections Promote Conflict? A Quantitative Text Analysis of Postwar Iraqi News Coverage","authors":"Dai Yamao","doi":"10.1111/deve.12422","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/deve.12422","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This article seeks to investigate whether conflict-motivating coverage in newspapers increases during the election period, employing a quantitative text analysis of several major newspapers in postwar Iraq. In the aftermath of the war in Iraq, the exclusion or inclusion of the former Baathist regime emerged as one of the most contentious issues in elections. Consequently, this study analyzes how the exclusion or inclusion of the former regime was asserted during election periods and the degree of emphasis in reporting, aiming to identify conflict-inspiring coverage during elections. The analysis encompasses over 500,000 articles from various prominent newspapers. In summary, while election cycles typically feature coverage that denies inclusiveness and exacerbates fragmentation, official government-affiliated newspapers tend to consistently underscore inclusiveness, even during election periods.</p>","PeriodicalId":46525,"journal":{"name":"Developing Economies","volume":"63 1","pages":"70-96"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143253219","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Uncovering Xi Jinping's Policy Agenda: Text As Data Approach","authors":"Jaehwan Lim, Asei Ito, Hongyong Zhang","doi":"10.1111/deve.12418","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/deve.12418","url":null,"abstract":"<p>How many agendas has Xi Jinping put forth and promoted since taking office in 2012, and what are the types of agendas? How much of political attention has each agenda received, and how has the allocation of attention changed over time? We utilize a dataset of presidential statements, speeches, and reports from 2012 to 2022 and employed automated text analysis to identify major topics and terms associated with each topic. Our analysis reveals the identification of about 25 distinct policy agendas across diverse policy domains, with remarkable temporal variations between agendas in terms of the amount of leadership attention. Particularly, we find a significant shift in both the substance and relative weight of policy agendas between the first and second terms of Xi's tenure, indicating his adaptation and responses to changing domestic and foreign policy environments.</p>","PeriodicalId":46525,"journal":{"name":"Developing Economies","volume":"63 1","pages":"9-46"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/deve.12418","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143248749","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Impact of Minimum Wages on Employment: Evidence From a Lower Middle-Income Country","authors":"Cuong Viet Nguyen","doi":"10.1111/deve.12419","DOIUrl":"10.1111/deve.12419","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this study, we examine the impact of minimum wages in Vietnam using individual-level data from the annual Labor Force Surveys (2012–20). During this period, the average real minimum wage increased by around 4% per year. Overall, we do not find significant effects from minimum wages on employment and monthly wage earnings. However, we find a considerable negative effect on workers' total working hours. Working hours per week are reduced by 0.38% for a 1% increase in the minimum wage. Since total wages remain unchanged, a reduction in working hours results in an increase in hourly earnings. A 1% increase in the minimum wage leads to a 0.32% increase in hourly earnings.</p>","PeriodicalId":46525,"journal":{"name":"Developing Economies","volume":"63 2","pages":"137-182"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142183640","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"China's Chance to Lead: Acquiring Global Influence via Infrastructure Development and Digitalization by Richard W. Carney, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press, 2024, xix + 363 pp.","authors":"Alvin Camba","doi":"10.1111/deve.12421","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/deve.12421","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46525,"journal":{"name":"Developing Economies","volume":"62 4","pages":"414-417"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142596239","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Breaking the Mold: India's Untraveled Path to Prosperity by Raghuram G. Rajan and Rohit Lamba, Princeton, NJ, Princeton University Press, 2024, xxxii + 298 pp.","authors":"Tirthankar Roy","doi":"10.1111/deve.12417","DOIUrl":"10.1111/deve.12417","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":46525,"journal":{"name":"Developing Economies","volume":"62 4","pages":"412-414"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2024-07-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141770416","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}