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International Finance 国际金融
IF 1.2 4区 经济学
International Finance Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-69232-2
Felix I. Lessambo
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引用次数: 2
International Bond Markets 国际债券市场
IF 1.2 4区 经济学
International Finance Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-69232-2_7
Felix I. Lessambo
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引用次数: 0
Welfare costs of bilateral currency crises: The role of international trade 双边货币危机的福利成本:国际贸易的作用
IF 1.2 4区 经济学
International Finance Pub Date : 2020-12-28 DOI: 10.1111/infi.12385
Hakan Yilmazkuday
{"title":"Welfare costs of bilateral currency crises: The role of international trade","authors":"Hakan Yilmazkuday","doi":"10.1111/infi.12385","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/infi.12385","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper shows that bilateral currency crises reduce bilateral trade up to 50% after controlling for the depreciation rate. Using a trade model, these reductions are connected to the welfare costs of currency crises. The results show that a single currency crisis can result in welfare reductions through changes in international trade corresponding to more than 10% (and up to 41%) of the costs of autarky for 23 different currency crisis episodes between 1960 and 2014. These welfare costs are also shown to be greater than the welfare gains from having free trade agreements and using common currencies for 25 different currency crisis episodes.</p>","PeriodicalId":46336,"journal":{"name":"International Finance","volume":"24 1","pages":"119-131"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2020-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/infi.12385","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"92311890","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Steady-state growth 稳态增长
IF 1.2 4区 经济学
International Finance Pub Date : 2020-12-27 DOI: 10.1111/infi.12386
Emanuel Kohlscheen, Jouchi Nakajima
{"title":"Steady-state growth","authors":"Emanuel Kohlscheen,&nbsp;Jouchi Nakajima","doi":"10.1111/infi.12386","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/infi.12386","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We compute steady-state economic growth—defined as the rate of growth that the economy would converge to in the absence of new shocks. As we show, this rate can be computed in real-time by means of a parsimonious time-varying parameter (TVP) vector autoregression model. Our procedure offers a relatively agnostic estimation of benchmark equilibrium growth rates. Estimates show that the steady-state gross domestic product growth rate in the case of the United States has declined from just above 3% per year in the 1990s to 2.4% at present. Results for other six advanced economies and the euro area indicate that the steady-state growth rate, which is consistent with stable inflation and financial conditions, has been relatively stable since 2010 in most cases in spite of a recent slowdown in actual GDP growth rates. In contrast, per capita steady-state growth rates during the last decade were typically lower than in the 1990s.</p>","PeriodicalId":46336,"journal":{"name":"International Finance","volume":"24 1","pages":"40-52"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2020-12-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/infi.12386","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"92331753","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Content: International Finance 23/3 内容:国际金融23/3
IF 1.2 4区 经济学
International Finance Pub Date : 2020-12-14 DOI: 10.1111/infi.12353
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引用次数: 0
Pandemics and firms: Drawing lessons from history 流行病和公司:从历史中吸取教训
IF 1.2 4区 经济学
International Finance Pub Date : 2020-12-01 DOI: 10.1111/infi.12392
Serhan Cevik, Fedor Miryugin
{"title":"Pandemics and firms: Drawing lessons from history","authors":"Serhan Cevik, Fedor Miryugin","doi":"10.1111/infi.12392","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/infi.12392","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The COVID‐19 pandemic caused an unprecedented and synchronized contraction in the global economy. To assess the likely evolution of firm performance going forward, this paper investigates empirically the impact of past pandemics using firm‐level data on more than 537,000 nonfinancial companies from 14 developing countries during the period 1998–2018. The analysis indicates that the prevalence of infectious diseases has an economically and statistically significant negative effect on nonfinancial corporate performance. This adverse impact is particularly pronounced on smaller and younger firms, compared to larger and more established corporations. We also find that a higher number of infectious‐disease cases in the population increases the probability of failure among nonfinancial firms, particularly for small and young firms. In the case of COVID‐19, the magnitude of these effects will be much greater, given the unprecedented scale of the outbreak and strict policy responses to contain its spread.","PeriodicalId":46336,"journal":{"name":"International Finance","volume":"24 1","pages":"276 - 297"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2020-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/infi.12392","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46573506","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Identifying oil price shocks and their consequences: The role of expectations in the crude oil market 识别石油价格冲击及其后果:原油市场预期的作用
IF 1.2 4区 经济学
International Finance Pub Date : 2020-11-17 DOI: 10.1111/infi.12384
Takuji Fueki, Jouchi Nakajima, Shinsuke Ohyama, Yoichiro Tamanyu
{"title":"Identifying oil price shocks and their consequences: The role of expectations in the crude oil market","authors":"Takuji Fueki,&nbsp;Jouchi Nakajima,&nbsp;Shinsuke Ohyama,&nbsp;Yoichiro Tamanyu","doi":"10.1111/infi.12384","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/infi.12384","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper proposes a simple but comprehensive structural vector autoregressive model to examine the underlying factors of oil price dynamics. The distinguishing feature is to explicitly assess the role of expectations about future aggregate demand and oil supply in addition to the traditional realized aggregate demand and supply factors. Our empirical analysis shows that identified future demand and supply shocks are as important as the traditional realized demand and supply shocks in explaining historical oil price fluctuations. The empirical result indicates that the influence of oil price changes on global output varies according to the nature of each shock.</p>","PeriodicalId":46336,"journal":{"name":"International Finance","volume":"24 1","pages":"53-76"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2020-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/infi.12384","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"92187275","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 27
Dirty money: Does the risk of infectious disease lower demand for cash? 脏钱:传染病的风险降低了对现金的需求吗?
IF 1.2 4区 经济学
International Finance Pub Date : 2020-11-06 DOI: 10.1111/infi.12383
Serhan Cevik
{"title":"Dirty money: Does the risk of infectious disease lower demand for cash?","authors":"Serhan Cevik","doi":"10.1111/infi.12383","DOIUrl":"10.1111/infi.12383","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The COVID-19 pandemic is a global crisis like no other in modern times, and there is a growing apprehension about handling potentially contaminated cash. This paper is the first empirical attempt in the literature to investigate whether the risk of infectious diseases affects demand for physical cash. Since the intensity of cash use may influence the spread of infectious diseases, this paper utilizes two-stage least squares methodology with instrumental variable to address omitted variable bias and account for potential endogeneity. The empirical analysis indicates that the spread of infectious diseases lowers demand for physical cash, after controlling for macroeconomic, financial, and technological factors. This effect, withstanding several robustness checks, is economically and statistically significant. While the transactional constraints imposed by the coronavirus pandemic could become a catalyst for the use of digital technologies around the world, electronic payment methods may not be universally available in every country owing to financial and technological bottlenecks.</p>","PeriodicalId":46336,"journal":{"name":"International Finance","volume":"23 3","pages":"460-471"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2020-11-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/infi.12383","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133831129","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 20
Corporate debt overhang and investment in emerging economies: Firm-level evidence 企业债务积压和新兴经济体的投资:公司层面的证据
IF 1.2 4区 经济学
International Finance Pub Date : 2020-10-28 DOI: 10.1111/infi.12382
Eduardo Borensztein, Lei Sandy Ye
{"title":"Corporate debt overhang and investment in emerging economies: Firm-level evidence","authors":"Eduardo Borensztein,&nbsp;Lei Sandy Ye","doi":"10.1111/infi.12382","DOIUrl":"10.1111/infi.12382","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper investigates empirically the linkages between corporate debt overhang and investment activity at the firm level for a cross section of large-sized emerging market and developing economies. It analyzes the extent to which investment may be discouraged by high levels of debt that put at risk future profits, as well as firm dimensions that may sharpen the debt-investment link. Using balance sheet data from a broad set of emerging market and developing economy firms, the analysis suggests that corporate debt overhang imposes a sizable effect on investment at the firm level. This linkage is more pronounced for large firms and highly leveraged firms. The analysis also finds evidence of a nonlinear effect, in which debt overhang discourages investment more severely under high levels of indebtedness.</p>","PeriodicalId":46336,"journal":{"name":"International Finance","volume":"24 1","pages":"18-39"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2020-10-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/infi.12382","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47758596","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Covered bonds, loan growth and bank funding: The Swiss experience since 1932 担保债券、贷款增长和银行融资:瑞士自1932年以来的经验
IF 1.2 4区 经济学
International Finance Pub Date : 2020-10-13 DOI: 10.1111/infi.12380
Jonas Meuli, Thomas Nellen, Thomas Nitschka
{"title":"Covered bonds, loan growth and bank funding: The Swiss experience since 1932","authors":"Jonas Meuli,&nbsp;Thomas Nellen,&nbsp;Thomas Nitschka","doi":"10.1111/infi.12380","DOIUrl":"10.1111/infi.12380","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The global financial crisis triggered discussions about what factors constitute a stable mortgage finance system. This paper contributes to these discussions by empirically analysing the Swiss mortgage finance system from a macroeconomic and banking sector balance sheet perspective. Our analysis is based on a novel and near-comprehensive data set of mortgage bond (Swiss Pfandbrief) issuances over the sample period from 1932 to 2014. The empirical results suggest that growth in the volume of the Swiss Pfandbrief does not induce more loan growth than expected given the state of the economy and that compared with other bank refinancing activities, the Swiss Pfandbrief provides a stabilising source of funding.</p>","PeriodicalId":46336,"journal":{"name":"International Finance","volume":"24 1","pages":"77-94"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2,"publicationDate":"2020-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/infi.12380","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49226802","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
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