Earth Systems and Environment最新文献

{"title":"Statistical Models for Storm Genesis Simulations Considering Intensity Variations in the Eastern North Pacific","authors":"Dang Thi Bich Hong, Tran Quang Vinh","doi":"10.1007/s41748-023-00356-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-023-00356-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45867,"journal":{"name":"Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"17 5","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136346388","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Examining the Accuracy of Using a Single Short-Term Historical Flow Period to Assess the Nile’s Downstream Water Deficit from GERD Filling: A Technical Note","authors":"Essam Heggy, Mohamed Ramah, Abotalib Z. Abotalib","doi":"10.1007/s41748-023-00355-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-023-00355-z","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Increasing water and energy demands, hydroclimatic fluctuations, damming, and usage rights disputes present major challenges in managing transboundary rivers worldwide. Of particular interest is the Eastern Nile River Basin (ENRB), which is subject to broad debate over which modeling approach should be applied to resolve the disparities in transboundary water management among the river’s riparian nations, under increased upstream damming. Several studies have simulated the downstream High Aswan Dam (HAD) storage change during the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) filling under different hydrological conditions. However, their findings diverge regarding the impacts of GERD filling on HAD storage, especially when considering a specific, naturalized, historical 10-year period to represent the average flow condition used, as a benchmark for assessing potential downstream impacts. Our extended analysis of the Nile flow historical records demonstrates that considering a single historical 10-year period to simulate the downstream water budget, as performed in Wheeler et al. (Nat Commun 11:5222, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19089-x), widely communicated to policymakers as a robust proof that GERD filling will not generate a deficit at HAD under average flow conditions, is inconclusive as it strongly depend on the selection of the historical inflow period, due to the river high interannual flow variability. Our simulation results of 20 average/near average historical flow periods in Wheeler et al. (Nat Commun 11:5222, 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19089-x)’s datasheet indicates that 60% of them generates a downstream water deficit ranging from 0.5 to 14.5 BCM under the same modeling conditions and filling policy. Therefore, considering the simulation results of multiple flow sequences is crucial for accurately reflecting the impact of the Nile’s high interannual flow variability on downstream water deficit assessments, thereby settling the disparities in transboundary water management forecasts for the impacts of GERD filling and operation.","PeriodicalId":45867,"journal":{"name":"Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"17 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136316661","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A Multi-Tool 3D Conceptual Model to Elucidate Groundwater Processes, Vulnerability, and Recharge Patterns in a Semi-Arid Region: A Case Study from Morocco","authors":"Abdellatif Rafik, Yassine Ait Brahim, Salah Ouhamdouch, Lhoussaine Bouchaou, Nadia Rhoujjati, Abdelghani Chehbouni","doi":"10.1007/s41748-023-00353-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-023-00353-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45867,"journal":{"name":"Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"87 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135570619","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Use of Spatial Variability of Soil Quality Index Models and Soil Properties for Soil Quality Evaluation in the Irrigated Perimeter, Semi-Arid Region of Morocco","authors":"Khalid Ibno Namr, Sanae Bel-Lahbib","doi":"10.1007/s41748-023-00352-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-023-00352-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45867,"journal":{"name":"Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"47 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134959996","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Biostimulants in the Soil–Plant Interface: Agro-environmental Implications—A Review","authors":"Aspasia Grammenou, S. Petropoulos, G. Thalassinos, J. Rinklebe, S. Shaheen, V. Antoniadis","doi":"10.1007/s41748-023-00349-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-023-00349-x","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45867,"journal":{"name":"Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"93 1","pages":"583 - 600"},"PeriodicalIF":7.2,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79583374","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Climate of Syria Based on Cordex Simulations: Present and Future","authors":"Nour Naaouf, Csaba Zsolt Torma","doi":"10.1007/s41748-023-00351-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-023-00351-3","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Regional climate models are widely used to assess current and future impacts of climate change. In this study, we evaluate the performance of regional climate models from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment programme integrated over the following three CORDEX domains: AFR, MNA and WAS. Four meteorological variables (temperature, precipitation, solar radiation and cloud cover) were evaluated over Syria at a grid spacing of 0.44 ° . The performance of five models in simulating the present climate characteristics (1989–2008) is evaluated with respect to the observations: CRU, ERA5 reanalysis and SARA and CLARA satellite data. We find that the mini-ensemble captures well the general spatial patterns and annual cycles of the selected variables. Anotheraim of this study was to assess the expected change of the mentioned four climate variables over Syria under the moderate emission scenario (RCP4.5) and the high emission scenario (RCP8.5) in the near future (2031–2050) and in the far future (2080–2099) with respect to the present climate (1989–2008). The simulations show a decreasing trend in cloud cover (between 6% and 10%) and precipitation (up to 9%) by mid and late century, regardless of the forcing scenarios. The simulations show a pronounced warming over Syria, which is expected to reach 6 °C by the end of the twenty-first century following the high greenhouse gas concentration scenario (RCP8.5). Furthermore, such an increase, combined with a decrease in precipitation, will shift Syria’s climate towards a more arid one.","PeriodicalId":45867,"journal":{"name":"Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135253544","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Impact of different land use and land cover in simulation of tropical cyclones over Bay of Bengal","authors":"Pushpendra Johari, Sushil Kumar, S. Pattanayak, A. Routray, P. Raju","doi":"10.1007/s41748-023-00350-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-023-00350-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45867,"journal":{"name":"Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"25 1","pages":"661 - 678"},"PeriodicalIF":7.2,"publicationDate":"2023-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86186496","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Urbanisation and Geographical Signatures in Observed Air Temperature Station Trends Over the Mediterranean and the Middle East–North Africa","authors":"P. Hadjinicolaou, Anna Tzyrkalli, G. Zittis, J. Lelieveld","doi":"10.1007/s41748-023-00348-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-023-00348-y","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45867,"journal":{"name":"Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"649 - 659"},"PeriodicalIF":7.2,"publicationDate":"2023-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72717015","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Statistical Trend Analysis of Major Climatic Factors over Chhattisgarh State, India","authors":"Varun Dubey, Siddhant Panigrahi, Vikas Kumar Vidyarthi","doi":"10.1007/s41748-023-00345-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-023-00345-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45867,"journal":{"name":"Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"85 1","pages":"629 - 648"},"PeriodicalIF":7.2,"publicationDate":"2023-06-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"78148636","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The ENSO Fingerprint on Bangladesh Summer Monsoon Rainfall","authors":"M. Ehsan, M. Tippett, A. Robertson, Bohar Singh, Muhammad Ashfaqur Rahman","doi":"10.1007/s41748-023-00347-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-023-00347-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":45867,"journal":{"name":"Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"37 1","pages":"617 - 627"},"PeriodicalIF":7.2,"publicationDate":"2023-06-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85459539","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}