Journal of the Economics of Ageing最新文献

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Retirement consumption puzzle in Japan: Insights from pension and senior worker employment policy changes 日本的退休消费之谜:养老金和老年工人就业政策变化的启示
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100536
Tomoki Kitamura , Yoshimi Adachi
{"title":"Retirement consumption puzzle in Japan: Insights from pension and senior worker employment policy changes","authors":"Tomoki Kitamura ,&nbsp;Yoshimi Adachi","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100536","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100536","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Previous studies in Japan have examined the retirement consumption puzzle (RCP) when mandatory retirement was prevalent. However, the retirement landscape has significantly evolved due to rising public pension ages and enhanced policies promoting employment among senior workers. This study explores household consumption behavior as a result of these recent shifts, particularly focusing on the increasingly common practice of partial retirement. We investigate household consumption during retirement, considering partial retirement enabled by policies allowing continued part-time work or self-employment beyond the mandatory retirement age, and address endogeneity issues between retirement and consumption. Our findings reveal that non-durable and food expenditures increase during partial retirement, driven by liquidity effects from substantial retirement lump-sum payments. These results challenge the traditional understanding of consumption patterns in an aging society, highlighting the impact of changes in work environments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100536"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142552170","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An empirical investigation of health dynamics of elders in China 中国老年人健康动态实证调查
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100533
Jinning Wang , Kenneth A. Couch
{"title":"An empirical investigation of health dynamics of elders in China","authors":"Jinning Wang ,&nbsp;Kenneth A. Couch","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100533","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100533","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using data from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS), an index of health frailty is developed for individuals ages fifty-five and older. The evolution of the Frailty Index with age is first contrasted with self-reports of health. Then the temporal moments of the data are examined by considering the covariance structure of shocks that arrive at different ages with frailty in subsequent years. Then a formal model is estimated that incorporates both age-dependent auto-regressive and transitory components. The covariance structure of frailty is found to be convex in age. Larger shocks arrive as the sample ages but they decline rapidly. The evolutions of shocks beyond a specific age are modestly persistent (auto-regressive). The initial age-dependent transitory shocks become a larger portion of the total health risk as age increases.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100533"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142318708","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Regressivity in public pension systems: The case of Peru 公共养老金制度的倒退:秘鲁案例
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100532
José A. Valderrama
{"title":"Regressivity in public pension systems: The case of Peru","authors":"José A. Valderrama","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100532","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100532","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study the role of income-mortality differentials and pension eligibility conditions on the level of regressivity and progressivity of Peru’s public pension system, using administrative records from 1999 to 2018 to do so. We consider the joint effect of insufficient contributions, by which the poorest contribute to the pension system but ultimately do not qualify for pensions because of insufficient contributions, and differing mortality by socioeconomic status in contributing to regressivity of the system. We find that the impact of insufficient contributions is more important than the impact of higher mortality in making the system regressive.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100532"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142311362","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Growing older and growing technologically backward? Population ageing and high-technology exports of 171 countries 年龄增长和技术落后?人口老龄化与 171 个国家的高技术出口
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2024-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100530
Na Tan , Xiaojun Liang , Liang Chang
{"title":"Growing older and growing technologically backward? Population ageing and high-technology exports of 171 countries","authors":"Na Tan ,&nbsp;Xiaojun Liang ,&nbsp;Liang Chang","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100530","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100530","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study examines the impact of population ageing on high-technology exports, employing both theoretical and empirical analyses. Using data of 171 countries from 2000 to 2019, we find that higher population ageing significantly reduces a country’s high-technology exports. On average, a country’s high-technology exports decline by 0.5–1.1 percent for every one percent increase in population ageing. Moreover, the negative effects of ageing populations on high-technology exports are mitigated in countries with greater utilization of industrial robots, higher digital economy development, and superior institutional quality. The mechanism analysis suggests that population ageing primarily influences high-technology exports through increasing production costs and reducing human capital levels. The results remain valid after applying instrumental variables approaches and exploiting an exogenous policy shock. This paper presents the most comprehensive analysis to date of the relationship between a country’s age structure and its export capacity, with a particular focus on high-technology products.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100530"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142148690","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
China’s public long-term care insurance and risky asset allocation among elderly households 中国公共长期护理保险与老年家庭的风险资产配置
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100531
Min He , Lin Lin
{"title":"China’s public long-term care insurance and risky asset allocation among elderly households","authors":"Min He ,&nbsp;Lin Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100531","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100531","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>China’s elderly households are characterized by higher holdings of cash and cash equivalents and lower holdings of stocks and bonds in their financial portfolios. We utilize the public Long-term Care Insurance (LTCI) reform and data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) to examine how LTCI coverage affects risky asset holdings among newly insured elderly households. Employing a difference-in-differences methodology, our findings reveal that LTCI significantly increases the share of risky assets in the financial portfolios of older families. The increased preference for risky assets may be a result of a weakening incentive for precautionary savings. Decomposing risky assets into bonds and stocks, we find that the increase in the share of risky assets following the LTCI pilot comes mainly from bond investments rather than stocks, which indicates that LTCI has a limited effect on risk asset holdings among the Chinese elderly. Our study contributes to understanding the economic impacts of China’s public LTCI by showing that LTCI may lead to changes in asset allocation strategies among elderly households.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100531"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142122265","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of population ageing on the application of industrial robots: Evidence from China 人口老龄化对工业机器人应用的影响:来自中国的证据
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100529
Yantong Zhao , Rusmawati Said , Normaz Wana Ismail , Asmaddy Haris , Hanny Zurina Hamzah
{"title":"Impact of population ageing on the application of industrial robots: Evidence from China","authors":"Yantong Zhao ,&nbsp;Rusmawati Said ,&nbsp;Normaz Wana Ismail ,&nbsp;Asmaddy Haris ,&nbsp;Hanny Zurina Hamzah","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100529","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100529","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>China is experiencing a rise in its ageing population alongside rapid advancements in industrial robotics. Using panel data from China’s industries (2006 to 2021), this study empirically examines the impact of population ageing on the application of industrial robots. The results show that population ageing significantly promotes industrial robot application. The impact of population ageing on the application of industrial robots varies by industry. The promotion effect is greater in low and medium-technology industries than that of high-tech industries. This effect became more evident after 2012. Industries with high state ownership exhibit stronger influence coefficients than those with lower state ownership. Mechanism analysis indicates that population ageing promotes industrial robot adoption through the labour cost substitution effect. These findings offer insights for government policies to promote sustainable ageing and upgrading the manufacturing sector through artificial intelligence represented by the application of robotics.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100529"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142058392","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How many people will live and die with serious illness in Ireland to 2040? Estimated needs and costs using microsimulation 到 2040 年,爱尔兰将有多少人死于重病?利用微观模拟估计需求和成本
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100528
Peter May , Charles Normand , Samantha Smith , Frank Moriarty , Mark Ward , Karen Ryan , Bridget M. Johnston , Roman Romero-Ortuno , Rose Anne Kenny , R. Sean Morrison , Bryan Tysinger
{"title":"How many people will live and die with serious illness in Ireland to 2040? Estimated needs and costs using microsimulation","authors":"Peter May ,&nbsp;Charles Normand ,&nbsp;Samantha Smith ,&nbsp;Frank Moriarty ,&nbsp;Mark Ward ,&nbsp;Karen Ryan ,&nbsp;Bridget M. Johnston ,&nbsp;Roman Romero-Ortuno ,&nbsp;Rose Anne Kenny ,&nbsp;R. Sean Morrison ,&nbsp;Bryan Tysinger","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100528","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100528","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As populations age, more people worldwide will live and die with serious illness like cancer, heart disease and dementia. Prior projections of serious illness prevalence and end-of-life care needs have typically used static population-level methods. We estimated future disease prevalence and healthcare costs by applying dynamic microsimulation models to high-quality individual-level panel data on older adults (aged 50 + ) in Ireland. We estimated that the number of people living and dying with serious illness will increase approximately 70 % over 20 years. Per-capita annual costs both at end of life and not at end of life increase substantially due to ageing populations and growing complexity. Total health system expenditures on care for people with serious illness are projected to double before accounting for rising cost of inputs in real terms. Decomposition of these estimates suggests that 39 % of additional costs are accounted for by rising absolute numbers of older people, 37 % by changing age distribution and growing life expectancy, and 23 % due to rising individual complexity including morbidity and functional limitations. Our results and methods will be of interest to other countries planning for the future population health needs, and formidable health system resources associated with these needs, in the coming years.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100528"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212828X24000288/pdfft?md5=f462efa742f6208f5e82dc72ecad68ee&pid=1-s2.0-S2212828X24000288-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142050250","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unravelling hidden inequities in a universal public long-term care system 揭开全民公共长期护理体系中隐藏的不公平现象
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100527
Joaquim Vidiella-Martin , Helena M. Hernández-Pizarro , Pilar García-Gómez , Guillem López-Casasnovas
{"title":"Unravelling hidden inequities in a universal public long-term care system","authors":"Joaquim Vidiella-Martin ,&nbsp;Helena M. Hernández-Pizarro ,&nbsp;Pilar García-Gómez ,&nbsp;Guillem López-Casasnovas","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100527","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100527","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We study the socioeconomic horizontal inequity in the allocation of publicly subsidised long-term care (LTC) in Spain, using administrative data from the universe of applicants in Catalonia. We find that, after controlling for needs, cash subsidies for informal care are disproportionately concentrated among wealthier individuals, while the use of formal care services (home care and nursing homes) is concentrated among the less well-off. This suggests that cash benefits may inadvertently facilitate access to wealthier individuals’ private care. We also find inequity in the form of provision, with in-kind services being more prevalent among the worse-off while wealthier beneficiaries are more likely to receive vouchers. While this duality in provision does not lead to significant differences in overall time to access LTC, we find that lower-income individuals wait longer for telecare, and wealthier individuals opting for in-kind nursing home care wait longer, suggesting potential differences in preferences or constraints. We find no evidence of socioeconomic inequity in the time spent navigating the administrative application process. Our findings highlight the need for policymakers to consider the potential unintended consequences of cash benefits and different forms of provision to ensure equitable access to LTC services.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100527"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212828X24000276/pdfft?md5=e8c9eaac0a15c7105cb788948076a28f&pid=1-s2.0-S2212828X24000276-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141638197","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Aging populations and expenditures on health 人口老龄化与卫生支出
IF 1.9 3区 经济学
Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2024-06-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100518
Malene Kallestrup-Lamb , Alexander O.K. Marin , Seetha Menon , Jes Søgaard
{"title":"Aging populations and expenditures on health","authors":"Malene Kallestrup-Lamb ,&nbsp;Alexander O.K. Marin ,&nbsp;Seetha Menon ,&nbsp;Jes Søgaard","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100518","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100518","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Aging populations exert upwards pressure on healthcare systems, raising concerns about increasing expenditures on health. This paper reviews the empirical literature on the issue and critically assesses the strengths and weaknesses of the outcomes measured, methodologies used, and the hypotheses tested. While age strongly predicts long-term care expenditure, the time-to-death factor renders the aging effect null for hospital care expenditure. Existing literature disagrees on the importance of age and time-to-death effects on prescription drug and ambulatory care costs. Morbidity and medical innovation mediate these effects, proving crucial for aging-related healthcare expenditure growth. We identify several opportunities for future research including gender differences, utilization of emerging methods, and the importance of institutional settings.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"29 ","pages":"Article 100518"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-06-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212828X24000185/pdfft?md5=445470ebd05bd30f89da73ef980286e0&pid=1-s2.0-S2212828X24000185-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141396827","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of ageing on economic dependency in Slovakia: An application of the Slovak national transfer accounts 斯洛伐克老龄化对经济依赖性的影响:斯洛伐克国民转账账户的应用
IF 2.2 3区 经济学
Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100516
Štefan Domonkos , Tomáš Domonkos , Miroslava Jánošová
{"title":"The impact of ageing on economic dependency in Slovakia: An application of the Slovak national transfer accounts","authors":"Štefan Domonkos ,&nbsp;Tomáš Domonkos ,&nbsp;Miroslava Jánošová","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100516","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2024.100516","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The intergenerational transfer of resources is gaining importance across countries facing population ageing. This paper investigates the economic and budgetary consequences of ageing in the Slovak Republic, which is projected to be one of the fastest ageing polities of the European Union. Using dependency and support indicators derived from the National Transfer Accounts, the quantitative analysis shows how this demographic development impacts aggregate labour income, consumption, taxes and public and private transfers. For instance, the transfer weighted public sector dependency ratio increases by 117 %, from 1.12 in 2015 to 2.43 in 2060. While increasing the retirement age may dampen the negative economic effect of demographic ageing, it cannot resolve the ensuing imbalance in labour income and consumption on its own. Moreover, the potential positive effect of higher fertility is preceded by an increase in consumption by the economically inactive Youth, which results in a deteriorating balance of private transfers. This trade-off is often overlooked in the scholarly debate. A combination of measures composed of increased labour productivity and lower consumption appears the most likely solution to the problem of growing imbalance between aggregate labour income and consumption.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"28 ","pages":"Article 100516"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141142242","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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