Journal of the Economics of Ageing最新文献_第2页

Employment and productivity in an ageing society: Japan in international perspective 老龄化社会中的就业与生产力：国际视野中的日本

IF 2 3区经济学

Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2026.100624

Christophe André, Peter Gal, Matthias Schief

{"title":"Employment and productivity in an ageing society: Japan in international perspective","authors":"Christophe André, Peter Gal, Matthias Schief","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2026.100624","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2026.100624","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Japan is ahead of most other countries in the global population ageing process. Its working-age population (aged 20–64) peaked in 1998, compared to 2011 in the European Union, while continued growth is expected in the United States until 2070, albeit at a declining pace. In this paper, we analyse employment and productivity developments in Japan since 1998 and examine how Japan differs from other OECD countries in various dimensions potentially related to ageing. Rising employment among women and older workers has lifted Japan’s employment rate to one of the highest levels in the OECD. However, older workers tend to be employed in low-productivity jobs. Despite rising labour shortages, immigration is much lower in Japan than in most other OECD countries. Ageing has led to the adoption of some labour-saving technologies, notably robots. Nevertheless, business dynamism is weak in international comparison and population ageing creates challenges for business succession. Changes in the consumption structure have been modest. Age-related spending contributed significantly to the deterioration of fiscal positions. Overall, even though Japan has been able to cope with ageing relatively well, its economic developments over the past decades illustrate the challenges of enhancing job quality at the same time as raising employment rates, sustaining innovation and preserving public finance sustainability in an ageing society.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"33 ","pages":"Article 100624"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147417296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Decomposing longevity: How life expectancy changes around the world 分解寿命：世界各地的预期寿命如何变化

IF 2 3区经济学

Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100587

Martin G. Haas, Uwe Sunde

引用次数: 0

Who supports carbon pricing? Older adults’ financial literacy and attitudes toward carbon taxation 谁支持碳定价？老年人的金融知识和对碳税的态度

IF 2 3区经济学

Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100595

Joelle H. Fong, Yuhao Ba, Zhe Chen

引用次数: 0

Aging workforce and industrial Robots: Industry-Level evidence from Japan 老龄化劳动力和工业机器人：来自日本的工业层面证据

IF 2 3区经济学

Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100602

Fang Chen, Wenge Liu

{"title":"Aging workforce and industrial Robots: Industry-Level evidence from Japan","authors":"Fang Chen, Wenge Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100602","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100602","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As demographic aging intensifies globally, the aging of the labor force is exerting significant impacts on technological adoption, industrial restructuring, and pathways toward sustainable development. This study empirically investigates the effect of labor force aging on the adoption of industrial robots by employing industry-level panel data from Japan spanning 1996 to 2018. A fixed-effects regression model is used to control for unobserved industry and year heterogeneity, while human capital variables—including educational attainment and average wage—are incorporated to assess potential moderating effects.</div><div>The results indicate that labor force aging significantly facilitates the deployment of industrial robots, particularly in manufacturing and capital-intensive industries, whereas the effect is statistically insignificant in service-oriented and labor-intensive sectors. Furthermore, higher average wages strengthen the positive relationship between labor force aging and robot adoption, while educational attainment shows no significant moderating effect. Robustness tests using alternative aging measures (e.g., working hours by age group) and lagged explanatory variables confirm the stability of the findings.</div><div>This study contributes to the literature by revealing the demographic underpinnings of automation trends, emphasizing the role of labor composition in shaping technological transitions. The findings offer policy implications for aging societies aiming to enhance resilience and productivity through automation. Future research should expand the scope by exploring cross-national comparisons and investigating the potential of intelligent automation in non-standard labor markets and service-oriented domains.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"32 ","pages":"Article 100602"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145424828","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Who has benefited from nursing home expansion in Japan?: The effects of government supply-side intervention 谁从日本养老院的扩张中受益？：政府供给侧干预的效果

IF 2 3区经济学

Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100604

Yoshinori Nishimura , Masato Oikawa

引用次数: 0

The effect of aging on entrepreneurship and aggregate productivity 老龄化对企业家精神和总生产率的影响

IF 2 3区经济学

Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100605

Takeo Hoshi , Naomi Kodama , Huiyu Li

引用次数: 0

Free health check-ups and chronic disease care among older adults in China 中国老年人的免费健康检查和慢性病护理

IF 2 3区经济学

Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100607

Zhiyong Huang , Fabrice Kämpfen

{"title":"Free health check-ups and chronic disease care among older adults in China","authors":"Zhiyong Huang , Fabrice Kämpfen","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100607","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100607","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We evaluate the impact of a free health check-up program targeting older adults in China on the diagnosis and management of chronic diseases, focusing on hypertension and diabetes. Drawing on nine years of panel data from five waves of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), we use a fixed-effects instrumental variable (IV) strategy that leverages age-based eligibility (65+) for free check-ups to address endogeneity in health service uptake. Our findings show that eligibility for a check-up increases the probability of diabetes diagnosis by 8.3 percentage points (p = 0.042), with even stronger effects for women in rural areas (13.3 percentage points, p = 0.063). In contrast, we find no significant impact on hypertension diagnosis. Although the check-up policy improves diabetes detection, our causal estimates show no statistically significant effects on treatment, disease control, or provider recommendations. For hypertension, the policy raises lifestyle advice, but we estimate no precise impacts on clinical outcomes. These results suggest that while preventive screening can enhance disease detection among older adults, substantial gaps remain in the delivery of effective follow-up care and disease management. This has important implications for designing cost-effective chronic disease interventions in aging populations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"32 ","pages":"Article 100607"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145579222","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Trade-offs in long-term care for older people in an ageing society: A constrained portfolio choice experiment 老龄化社会中老年人长期护理的权衡：一个受限的投资组合选择实验

IF 2 3区经济学

Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100599

Sander Boxebeld , Niek Mouter , Job van Exel

{"title":"Trade-offs in long-term care for older people in an ageing society: A constrained portfolio choice experiment","authors":"Sander Boxebeld , Niek Mouter , Job van Exel","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100599","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100599","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many countries face rapidly ageing populations, resulting in a rising demand for long-term care (LTC) for older people and an increased pressure on LTC systems. In responding to this development, governments face challenging trade-offs between different policy measures and their effects. To inform allocation decisions, this study elicited citizens’ policy preferences for LTC for older people in the Netherlands in 2040. We conducted a constrained portfolio choice experiment, in which 997 respondents composed a portfolio of their preferred policies, subject to a budget constraint, while being presented with the expected effects of their choices. Choices were analysed using a Multiple Discrete Continuous Extreme Value (MDCEV) choice model and a Latent Class Cluster Analysis (LCCA). The results suggest a preference for distributing resources towards multiple policies, including both nursing and social care, over investing heavily in one or two particularly. Also, most respondents chose portfolios constituting a substantial public expenditure increase, suggesting a widespread willingness to accept a tax increase to allow for this. Preferences were particularly heterogeneous with respect to expenditure levels and the adoption of supportive care technologies and compulsory social service for young adults. Policymakers may use these results to support the selection of a portfolio of LTC policies that aligns with public preferences.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"32 ","pages":"Article 100599"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145332751","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The effect of the increase in social security’s full retirement age on unemployment among older adults 提高社会保障的完全退休年龄对老年人失业的影响

IF 2 3区经济学

Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100594

Halim Yoon

{"title":"The effect of the increase in social security’s full retirement age on unemployment among older adults","authors":"Halim Yoon","doi":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100594","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100594","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Social Security began to gradually raised the Full Retirement Age (FRA) from 65 to 67 in 2000. While previous research has shown that this reform increased employment and labor supply among older adults, its impact on unemployment among older workers is limited. As employment rises among older individuals, there is an increased risk of facing periods of unemployment at older ages. In addition, people may experience longer unemployment spells if they choose to stay unemployed strategically in order to collect Unemployment Insurance (UI) benefits and delay claiming Social Security. This study uses data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) to examine the effect of raising the FRA on unemployment among older men born between 1932 and 1940. The findings indicate a slight increase in unemployment among cohorts with higher FRAs. However, this increase does not translate into longer unemployment spells. Instead, unemployed individuals aged 62 to 65 in the treated cohorts are more likely to move from unemployment to employment, rather than remaining unemployed or retiring. Moreover, there is no strong evidence of strategic use of UI. The results suggest that individuals subject to greater penalties for early Social Security claiming experience higher unemployment as they stay longer in the labor market, rather than through any strategic effort to collect UI benefits.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":45848,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Economics of Ageing","volume":"32 ","pages":"Article 100594"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144988580","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Driving human capital accumulation. The role of grandparents 推动人力资本积累。祖父母的角色

IF 2 3区经济学

Journal of the Economics of Ageing Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jeoa.2025.100598

Mauro Maria Baldi, Raffaella Coppier, Elisabetta Michetti

引用次数: 0