{"title":"Project Matching and Overcapacity in China","authors":"Lixue Wu, Cheng Liu","doi":"10.3868/S060-008-019-0025-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3868/S060-008-019-0025-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":44830,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers of Economics in China","volume":"14 1","pages":"629-669"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2020-01-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46501947","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in China: Evidence from Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression Model","authors":"Yunpeng Sun, Jingjia Zhang","doi":"10.3868/S060–008–019–0016–9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3868/S060–008–019–0016–9","url":null,"abstract":"Since 2002, the People's Bank of China has frequently used both quantity-based direct monetary instruments and price-based indirect monetary instruments to promote economic growth and stabilize price level. Specifically, this study estimates 13 three-variable factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) models to explore how two types of monetary instruments affect China's economy and price level. Overall, we find that monetary policy has positive effects on China's economy and price level. Second, this study clearly states that the effectiveness of China's monetary policy on the economy has depended on China's quantity-based direct monetary instruments since 2002. Third, the effectiveness of quantity-based direct monetary instruments on China's economy and price level is dependent on the significant and positive effects of quantity-based direct monetary instruments after the 2008 financial crisis. Fourth, the significant and positive effects of price-based indirect monetary instruments on China's economy and price level before 2008 cannot fundamentally change their current insignificant effects on China's economy and price level.","PeriodicalId":44830,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers of Economics in China","volume":"14 1","pages":"336-370"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43530326","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Impacts of the Contributions of FDI and Remittances on the Economic Growth in Asia and Latin America: A Comparative Study","authors":"Leo H. Chan, Maritza Sotomayor, D. Lien","doi":"10.3868/S060–008–019–0017–6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3868/S060–008–019–0017–6","url":null,"abstract":"Foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign remittance have been the main sources of external capital inflows for many developing countries. FDI has been credited as the main driver of rapid economic growth in many Asian countries/regions in recent decades. However, this effect of FDI on long-run economic growth has not been observed in Latin American countries. Now, the question is whether FDI and an increase in foreign remittances in the past two decades have achieved expected positive results in terms of economic growth for emerging economies. This study uses a generalized method of moments (GMM) dynamic panel model to quantify the impacts of FDI and foreign remittances as sources of foreign capital for Asia and Latin America. Our findings suggest that FDI and remittances perform differently in different regions in terms of their impacts on GDP growth. Countries that have specific policies (i.e., industrial policy, domestic content requirement, and export production targets) for FDI are likely to derive more significant benefits from FDI and remittances. Developing countries that are emerging or lagging should learn from the countries with positive outcomes and implement similar policies.","PeriodicalId":44830,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers of Economics in China","volume":"14 1","pages":"371-400"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41774303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Kreps & Scheinkman with Product Differentiation","authors":"Stephen Martin","doi":"10.3868/S060-008-019-0011-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3868/S060-008-019-0011-4","url":null,"abstract":"Kreps and Scheinkman (1983)'s celebrated result is that in a two-stage model of a market with homogeneous products in which firms noncooperatively pick capacities in the first stage and set prices in the second stage, the equilibrium outcome is that of a one-shot Cournot game. This note derives capacity best response functions for the first stage and extends the Kreps and Scheinkman result to the case of differentiated products.","PeriodicalId":44830,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers of Economics in China","volume":"14 1","pages":"203-219"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2019-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46708913","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An Agenda for Reforming Economic Theory","authors":"J. Stiglitz","doi":"10.3868/S060-008-019-0009-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3868/S060-008-019-0009-3","url":null,"abstract":"In this article, Nobel Prize Laureate Joseph Stiglitz argues that the standard macro-economic paradigm has failed not only to predict the crisis but also to provide insights into the design of a regulatory framework that would make a recurrence less likely. He points out that many of the underlying assumptions of the standard paradigm always seemed implausible and many of its predictions, such as those concerning the micro-economic behavior of the constituents (firms and households), are inconsistent with the empirical evidence. He then identifies a number of key modeling challenges, what he views as key ingredients that have to be incorporated in any model that is going to describe economic fluctuations or be the basis of a well-designed regulatory or monetary framework.","PeriodicalId":44830,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers of Economics in China","volume":"14 1","pages":"149-167"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2019-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44596581","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Coordination Costs, Market Size, and the Choice of Technology","authors":"Haiwen Zhou","doi":"10.3868/S060-008-019-0008-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3868/S060-008-019-0008-6","url":null,"abstract":"Impact of coordination costs and market size on a firm's choice of technology is studied in a general equilibrium model in which firms engage in oligopolistic competition. A firm establishes an organizational hierarchy to coordinate its production. First, it is shown that an increase in market size leads a firm to choose a more specialized technology. Second, surprisingly, a robust result is that an increase in the level of coordination efficiency leads a firm to choose a less specialized technology.","PeriodicalId":44830,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers of Economics in China","volume":"14 1","pages":"131-148"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2019-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45010886","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"China’s Growth Deceleration: Causes and Future Growth Prospect","authors":"J. Lin","doi":"10.3868/S060-008-019-0003-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3868/S060-008-019-0003-1","url":null,"abstract":"Chinai¯s growth decelerated substantially after 2010. This paper argues that the main cause for the deceleration is external and cyclical, China has a potential growth rate of 8%, the economy has good investment opportunities and resources, and China is likely to achieve a medium-high growth rate of around 6.5% in the coming years. The paper also examines the various structural reforms that can help China to release its growth potential and complete the transition to a well-functioning market economy.","PeriodicalId":44830,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers of Economics in China","volume":"14 1","pages":"26-52"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2019-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48307261","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Tackle China’s Economic Complexities by Deepening Reform and Opening Up: Macroeconomic Outlook, Policy Simulations, and Reform Implementation—A Summary of the Annual SUFE Macroeconomic Report (2018–2019)","authors":"K. Huang, Guoqiang Tian, Yuqing Wang","doi":"10.3868/S060-008-019-0006-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3868/S060-008-019-0006-2","url":null,"abstract":"Faced with complicated external and internal challenges, China's economy continues to see sluggish growth in 2018. Rapid accumulation of household debts, exacerbation in income inequality, tightened real sector liquidity, escalated trade tensions with the US, and weakened external demand pose key problems in Chinai¯s macroeconomic landscape. The status quo is exacerbated by soaring uncertainty and weakening confidence in the face of persistent resource misallocations and institutional distortions, which cast more shadow on the already dampened consumer sentiment, sluggish private investment growth, and fallen foreign reserves. This summary report highlights the urgency of deeper structural reforms for tackling the various internal and external problems. Based on the IAR-CMM model, with both cyclical and secular factors taken into consideration, our baseline forecast of real GDP growth rate is 6.4% (6.1% using more reliable instead of the official data) in 2019. Alternative scenario analyses and policy simulations are conducted to assess the consequences of possible downside risks and the corresponding policy options needed to ensure the assumed growth targets. These analyses lead us to conclude that comprehensively deepening reform and opening up, which should be both rule-of-law based and market-oriented, with well-designed and well-conceived strategies that properly weigh short-, medium-, and long-term benefits and costs, should continue to be set as the guidance for Chinai¯s transformation into a phase with sustainable and high-quality growth.","PeriodicalId":44830,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers of Economics in China","volume":"14 1","pages":"80-109"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2019-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46484967","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Growth and Cycles in China’s Unbalanced Development: Resource Misallocation, Debt Overhang, Economic Inequality, and the Importance of Structural Reforms","authors":"K. Huang","doi":"10.3868/S060-008-019-0004-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3868/S060-008-019-0004-8","url":null,"abstract":"The recent China's growth slowdown is both cyclical and secular, driven by external and internal factors. In this article, I highlight several key internal factors that have hindered China's growth in recent years. These include worsening misallocation of resources and declining growth of total factor productivity, plus rising household income inequality and debt overhang in the face of tightened liquidity constraint. All of these show the urgency for deepening reforms in China's key macroeconomic landscapes in order to remove institutional barriers and distortions deep-rooted in the nationi¯s economic and financial structure, and to correct fundamental imperfections of its social- economic system. I argue that such reforms are of critical importance for China's pursuit of healthy and sustainable growth and of balanced and adequate development going forward.","PeriodicalId":44830,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers of Economics in China","volume":"14 1","pages":"53-71"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2019-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46101203","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Slowdown of China’s Economic Growth in Terms of Statistics","authors":"Xianchun Xu","doi":"10.3868/S060-008-019-0005-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3868/S060-008-019-0005-5","url":null,"abstract":"The paper discusses the falling back of economic growth from four aspects. From the aspect of production, the traditional industry has the greatest impact on the falling back of economic growth. From the perspective of demand, the consumption demand, investment demand, and export demand have jointly caused the falling back of the economic growth, in which the pulling function of investment demand is more obvious. From the standpoint of cardinality, the growth rate of the economy is restrained by the increase of economic scale. From the perspective of production factors, changes in the supply of labor force affect the falling back of economic growth rate.","PeriodicalId":44830,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers of Economics in China","volume":"14 1","pages":"72-79"},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2019-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44408274","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}