Review of Behavioral Finance最新文献

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Herding behaviour surrounding the Russo–Ukraine war and COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from energy, metal, livestock and grain commodities 围绕俄乌战争和 COVID-19 大流行病的放牧行为:来自能源、金属、牲畜和谷物商品的证据
IF 2
Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-04 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-12-2023-0339
Azhar Mohamad
{"title":"Herding behaviour surrounding the Russo–Ukraine war and COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from energy, metal, livestock and grain commodities","authors":"Azhar Mohamad","doi":"10.1108/rbf-12-2023-0339","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/rbf-12-2023-0339","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>This study examines herding behaviour in commodity markets amid two major global upheavals: the Russo–Ukraine conflict and the COVID-19 pandemic.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>By analysing 18 commodity futures worldwide, the study examines herding trends in metals, livestock, energy and grains sectors. The applied methodology combines static and dynamic approaches by incorporating cross-sectional absolute deviations (CSAD) and a time-varying parameter (TVP) regression model extended by Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling to adequately reflect the complexity of herding behaviour in different market scenarios.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>Our results show clear differences in herd behaviour during these crises. The Russia–Ukraine war led to relatively subdued herding behaviour in commodities, suggesting a limited impact of geopolitical turmoil on collective market behaviour. In stark contrast, the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic significantly amplified herding behaviour, particularly in the energy and livestock sectors.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>This discrepancy emphasises the different impact of a health crisis versus a geopolitical conflict on market dynamics. This study makes an important contribution to the existing literature as it is one of the first studies to contrast herding behaviour in commodity markets during these two crises. Our results show that not all crises produce comparable market reactions, which underlines the importance of the crisis context when analysing financial market behaviour.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":44559,"journal":{"name":"Review of Behavioral Finance","volume":"238 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141259762","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Non-professional versus professional investors’ trust in financial analysts’ recommendations and influences on investments 非专业与专业投资者对金融分析师建议的信任度及对投资的影响
IF 2
Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-07-2023-0191
Magnus Jansson, Patrik Michaelsen, Doron Sonsino, Tommy Gärling
{"title":"Non-professional versus professional investors’ trust in financial analysts’ recommendations and influences on investments","authors":"Magnus Jansson, Patrik Michaelsen, Doron Sonsino, Tommy Gärling","doi":"10.1108/rbf-07-2023-0191","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/rbf-07-2023-0191","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>The paper aims to investigate differences in non-professional and professional stock investors’ trust in and tendency to follow financial analysts’ buy and sell recommendations.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>Online experiment conducted in Sweden in March 2022 comparing non-professional private investors (<em>n</em> = 80), professional investors (<em>n</em> = 33), and master students in finance (<em>n</em> = 28). Information was presented about four company stocks listed on the New York stock exchange. Two stocks were buy-recommended and two stocks sell-recommended by financial analysts. For one stock of each type, the recommendation was presented to participants. Dependent variables were predictions of the stock price after three months, ratings of confidence in the predictions and choices of holding, buying or selling the stock. Ratings were also made of the importance of presented stock-related information as well as trust in analysts’ skill and integrity.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>More positive return predictions were made of buy-recommended than sell-recommended stocks. Non-professionals and to some degree finance students tended to trust financial analysts more than professional investors did and they were more influenced by the presentation of the buy recommendations. All groups made too optimistic return predictions, but the professionals were less confident in their predictions, more likely to sell the stocks and lost less on their investments.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>A new finding is that non-professional stock investors are more likely than professional stock investors to trust financial analysts and follow their recommendations. It suggests that financial analysts’ recommendations influence non-professional investors to take unmotivated investment risks. Non-professionals in the stock market should hence be advised to exercise more caution in following analysts’ recommendations.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":44559,"journal":{"name":"Review of Behavioral Finance","volume":"357 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140942251","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Framing effect and disposition effect: investment decisions tools to understand bounded rationality 框架效应和处置效应:理解有界理性的投资决策工具
IF 2
Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-11-2023-0311
Andreas Kiky, Apriani Dorkas Rambu Atahau, Linda Ariany Mahastanti, Supatmi Supatmi
{"title":"Framing effect and disposition effect: investment decisions tools to understand bounded rationality","authors":"Andreas Kiky, Apriani Dorkas Rambu Atahau, Linda Ariany Mahastanti, Supatmi Supatmi","doi":"10.1108/rbf-11-2023-0311","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/rbf-11-2023-0311","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>This paper aims to explore the development of investment decision tools by understanding the rationality behind the disposition effect. We suspect that not all disposition decisions are irrational. The decisions should be evaluated based on the bounded rationality of the individuals’ target and tolerance level, which is not covered in previous literature. Adding the context of individual preference (target and tolerance) in their decision could improve the classic measurement of disposition effect.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>The laboratory web experiment is prepared to collect the responses in holding and selling the stocks within 14 days. Two groups of Gen Z investors are observed. The control group makes a decision based on their judgment without any system recommendation. In contrast, the second group gets help inputting their target and tolerance. Furthermore, the framing effect is also applied as a reminder of their target and tolerance to induce more holding decisions on gain but selling on loss.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The framing effect is adequate to mitigate the disposition effect but only at the early day of observation. Bounded rationality explains the rationality of liquidating the gain because the participants have reached their goal. The framing effect is not moderated by days to affect the disposition effect; over time, the disposition effect tends to be higher. A new measurement of the disposition effect in the context of bounded rationality is better than the original disposition effect coefficient.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Practical implications</h3>\u0000<p>Gen Z investors need a system aid to help their investment decisions set their target and tolerance to mitigate the disposition effect. Investment firms can make a premium feature based on real-time market data for investors to manage their assets rationally in the long run. Bounded rationality theory offers more flexibility in understanding the gap between profit maximization and irrational decisions in behavioral finance. The government can use this finding to develop a suitable policy and ecosystem to help beginner investors understand investment risk and manage their assets based on subjective risk tolerance.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>The classic Proportion Gain Realized (PGR) and Proportion Loss Realized (PLR) measurements cannot accommodate several contexts of users’ targets and tolerance in their choices, which we argue need to be re-evaluated with bounded rationality. Therefore, this article proposed new measurements that account for the users’ target and tolerance level to evaluate the rationality of their decision.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":44559,"journal":{"name":"Review of Behavioral Finance","volume":"29 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140927296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Agent expectations and news sentiment in the dynamics of price in a financial market 金融市场价格动态中的代理预期和新闻情绪
IF 2
Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-16 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-09-2023-0237
Steven D. Silver
{"title":"Agent expectations and news sentiment in the dynamics of price in a financial market","authors":"Steven D. Silver","doi":"10.1108/rbf-09-2023-0237","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/rbf-09-2023-0237","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>Although the effects of both news sentiment and expectations on price in financial markets have now been extensively demonstrated, the jointness that these predictors can have in their effects on price has not been well-defined. Investigating causal ordering in their effects on price can further our understanding of both direct and indirect effects in their relationship to market price.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>We use autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) methodology to examine the relationship between agent expectations and news sentiment in predicting price in a financial market. The ARDL estimation is supplemented by Grainger causality testing.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>In the ARDL models we implement, measures of expectations and news sentiment and their lags were confirmed to be significantly related to market price in separate estimates. Our results further indicate that in models of relationships between these predictors, news sentiment is a significant predictor of agent expectations, but agent expectations are not significant predictors of news sentiment. Granger-causality estimates confirmed the causal inferences from ARDL results.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Research limitations/implications</h3>\u0000<p>Taken together, the results extend our understanding of the dynamics of expectations and sentiment as exogenous information sources that relate to price in financial markets. They suggest that the extensively cited predictor of news sentiment can have both a direct effect on market price and an indirect effect on price through agent expectations.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Practical implications</h3>\u0000<p>Even traditional financial management firms now commonly track behavioral measures of expectations and market sentiment. More complete understanding of the relationship between these predictors of market price can further their representation in predictive models.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>This article extends the frequently reported bivariate relationship of expectations and sentiment to market price to examine jointness in the relationship between these variables in predicting price. Inference from ARDL estimates is supported by Grainger-causality estimates.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":44559,"journal":{"name":"Review of Behavioral Finance","volume":"50 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140583418","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of investor greed and fear on cryptocurrency returns: a Granger causality analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum 投资者的贪婪和恐惧对加密货币收益的影响:比特币和以太坊的格兰杰因果关系分析
IF 2
Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-08-2023-0224
Everton Anger Cavalheiro, Kelmara Mendes Vieira, Pascal Silas Thue
{"title":"The impact of investor greed and fear on cryptocurrency returns: a Granger causality analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum","authors":"Everton Anger Cavalheiro, Kelmara Mendes Vieira, Pascal Silas Thue","doi":"10.1108/rbf-08-2023-0224","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/rbf-08-2023-0224","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>This study probes the psychological interplay between investor sentiment and the returns of cryptocurrencies Bitcoin and Ethereum. Employing the Granger causality test, the authors aim to gauge how extensively the Fear and Greed Index (FGI) can predict cryptocurrency return movements, exploring the intricate bond between investor emotions and market behavior.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>The authors used the Granger causality test to achieve research objectives. Going beyond conventional linear analysis, the authors applied Smooth Quantile Regression, scrutinizing weekly data from July 2022 to June 2023 for Bitcoin and Ethereum. The study focus was to determine if the FGI, an indicator of investor sentiment, predicts shifts in cryptocurrency returns.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The study findings underscore the profound psychological sway within cryptocurrency markets. The FGI notably predicts the returns of Bitcoin and Ethereum, underscoring the lasting connection between investor emotions and market behavior. An intriguing feedback loop between the FGI and cryptocurrency returns was identified, accentuating emotions' persistent role in shaping market dynamics. While associations between sentiment and returns were observed at specific lag periods, the nonlinear Granger causality test didn't statistically support nonlinear causality. This suggests linear interactions predominantly govern variable relationships. Cointegration tests highlighted a stable, enduring link between the returns of Bitcoin, Ethereum and the FGI over the long term.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Practical implications</h3>\u0000<p>Despite valuable insights, it's crucial to acknowledge our nonlinear analysis's sensitivity to methodological choices. Specifics of time series data and the chosen time frame may have influenced outcomes. Additionally, direct exploration of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors was absent, signaling opportunities for future research.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>This study enriches theoretical understanding by illuminating causal dynamics between investor sentiment and cryptocurrency returns. Its significance lies in spotlighting the pivotal role of investor sentiment in shaping cryptocurrency market behavior. It emphasizes the importance of considering this factor when navigating investment decisions in a highly volatile, dynamic market environment.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":44559,"journal":{"name":"Review of Behavioral Finance","volume":"48 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140583557","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Another look at the price clustering behavior: evidence from the Muscat stock exchange 价格聚类行为的另一种视角:来自马斯喀特证券交易所的证据
IF 2
Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-04 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-02-2023-0053
Tarek Chebbi, Hazem Migdady, Waleed Hmedat, Maha Shehadeh
{"title":"Another look at the price clustering behavior: evidence from the Muscat stock exchange","authors":"Tarek Chebbi, Hazem Migdady, Waleed Hmedat, Maha Shehadeh","doi":"10.1108/rbf-02-2023-0053","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/rbf-02-2023-0053","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>The price clustering behavior is becoming a core part of the market efficiency theory especially with the development of trading strategies and the occurrence of major and unprecedented shocks which have led to severe inquiry regarding asset price dynamics and their distribution. However, research on emerging stock market is scant. The study contributes to the literature on price clustering by investigating an active emerging stock market, the Muscat stock market one of the Arabian Gulf Markets.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>This research adopts the artificial intelligence technique and other statistical estimation procedure in understanding the price clustering patterns in Muscat stock market and their main determinants.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The findings reveal that stock prices are marked by clustering behavior as commonly highlighted in the previous studies. However, we found strong evidence of price preferences to cluster on numbers closer to zero than to one. We also show that the nature of firm’s activity matters for price clustering behavior. In addition, firms with traded bonds in Oman market experienced a substantial less stock price clustering than other firms. Clustered stock prices are more likely to have higher prices and higher volatility of price. Finally, clustering raised when the market became highly uncertain during the Covid-19 crisis especially for the financial firms.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>This study provides novel results on price clustering literature especially for an active emerging market and during the Covid-19 pandemic crisis.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":44559,"journal":{"name":"Review of Behavioral Finance","volume":"2010 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140016985","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Conscientiousness and entrepreneurship 自觉性与创业精神
IF 2
Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-05-2023-0150
Sarah Khalaf
{"title":"Conscientiousness and entrepreneurship","authors":"Sarah Khalaf","doi":"10.1108/rbf-05-2023-0150","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/rbf-05-2023-0150","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>The purpose of this study is to examine the influence of conscientiousness on entrepreneurship over and above the impact of other factors that are associated with entrepreneurship in the literature.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>The design uses household responses from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) biennial survey that follows the same heads of households over time to measure their conscientiousness, businesses owned and other demographic and financial characteristics. Ordinary least squares (OLS), Probit and Poisson regression techniques are applied at the head of household and state level to examine the relationship.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>The results show heads of households’ conscientiousness positively relating to the average number of businesses owned, beyond other Big Five traits and the impact of other characteristics. A one-standard deviation increase in conscientiousness is significantly associated with a 0.012 increase in the number of businesses owned. This association is robust to alternative regression specifications and variable measurements.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>The results are original to the finance literature, complementing studies by linking intrinsic head of household-level traits to entrepreneurship while controlling for external financial and demographic factors. The study also attempts to externally validate previous findings using aggregate-level outcomes. The data and setting used to measure personality traits as well as entrepreneurial outcomes are original to the entrepreneurship literature, validating previous findings.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":44559,"journal":{"name":"Review of Behavioral Finance","volume":"53 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139951520","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of CEO narcissism and optimism on capital structure under pandemic conditions 大流行病条件下首席执行官的自恋和乐观对资本结构的影响
IF 2
Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-04-2023-0087
Elena Fedorova, Alexandr Nevredinov, Pavel Drogovoz
{"title":"The impact of CEO narcissism and optimism on capital structure under pandemic conditions","authors":"Elena Fedorova, Alexandr Nevredinov, Pavel Drogovoz","doi":"10.1108/rbf-04-2023-0087","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/rbf-04-2023-0087","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>The purpose of our study is to study the impact of chief executive officer (CEO) optimism and narcissism on the company's capital structure.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>(1) The authors opt for regression, machine learning and text analysis to explore the impact of narcissism and optimism on the capital structure. (2) We analyze CEO interviews and employ three methods to evaluate narcissism: the dictionary proposed by Anglin, which enabled us to assess the following components: authority, superiority, vanity and exhibitionism; count of first-person singular and plural pronouns and count of CEO photos displayed. Following this approach, we were able to make a more thorough assessment of corporate narcissism. (3) Latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) technique helped to find the differences in the corporate rhetoric of narcissistic and non-narcissistic CEOs and to find differences between the topics of interviews and letters provided by narcissistic and non-narcissistic CEOs.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>Our research demonstrates that narcissism has a slight and nonlinear impact on capital structure. However, our findings suggest that there is an impact of pessimism and uncertainty under pandemic conditions when managers predicted doom and completely changed their strategies. We applied various approaches to estimate the gender distribution of CEOs and found that the median values of optimism and narcissism do not depend on sex. Using LDA, we examined the content and key topics of CEO interviews, defined as positive and negative. There are some differences in the topics: narcissistic CEOs are more likely to speak about long-term goals, projects and problems; they often talk about their brand and business processes.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>First, we examine the COVID-19 pandemic period and evaluate how CEO optimism and pessimism affect their financial decisions under specific external conditions. The pandemic forced companies to shift the way they worked: either to switch to the remote work model or to interrupt operations; to lose or, on the contrary, attract clients. In addition, during this period, corporate management can have a different outlook on their company’s financial performance and goals. The LDA technique helped to find the differences in the corporate rhetoric of narcissistic and non-narcissistic CEOs. Second, we use three methods to evaluate narcissism. Third, the research is based on a set of advanced methods: machine learning techniques (random forest to reveal a nonlinear impact of CEO optimism and narcissism on capital structure).</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":44559,"journal":{"name":"Review of Behavioral Finance","volume":"70 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139677514","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Behavioral biases of cryptocurrency investors: a prospect theory model to explain cryptocurrency returns 加密货币投资者的行为偏差:解释加密货币回报的前景理论模型
IF 2
Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-23 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-07-2023-0172
Manisha Yadav
{"title":"Behavioral biases of cryptocurrency investors: a prospect theory model to explain cryptocurrency returns","authors":"Manisha Yadav","doi":"10.1108/rbf-07-2023-0172","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/rbf-07-2023-0172","url":null,"abstract":"<h3>Purpose</h3>\u0000<p>The study aims to test prospect theory (PT) predictions in the cryptocurrency (CC) market. It proposes a new asset pricing model that explores the potential of prospect theory value (PTV) as a significant predictor of CC returns.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Design/methodology/approach</h3>\u0000<p>The study comprehensively analyses a large sample set of 1,629 CCs, representing more than 95% of the CC market. The study uses a portfolio analysis approach, employing univariate and bivariate sorting techniques with equal-weighted and value-weighted portfolios. The study also employs ordinary least squares (OLS) regression, panel data methods and quantile regression (QR) to estimate the models.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Findings</h3>\u0000<p>This study demonstrates an average inverse relationship between PTV and CC returns. However, this relationship exhibits asymmetry across different quantiles, indicating that investor reactions vary based on market conditions. Moreover, PTV provides more robust predictions for smaller CCs characterized by high volatility and illiquidity. Notably, the findings highlight the dominant role of the probability weighting (PW) component in PT for predicting CC behaviors, suggesting a preference for lottery-like characteristics among CC investors.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->\u0000<h3>Originality/value</h3>\u0000<p>The study is one of the early studies on CC price dynamics from the PT perspective. The study is the first to apply a QR approach to analyze the cross-section of CCs using a PT-based asset pricing model. The results shed light on CC investors' decision-making processes and risk perception, offering valuable insights to regulators, policymakers and market participants. From a practical perspective, a trading strategy centered around the PTV effect can be implemented.</p><!--/ Abstract__block -->","PeriodicalId":44559,"journal":{"name":"Review of Behavioral Finance","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139518345","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Examining the association between robo-advisory and perceived financial satisfaction 研究机器人咨询与感知财务满意度之间的关联
IF 2
Review of Behavioral Finance Pub Date : 2024-01-18 DOI: 10.1108/rbf-10-2023-0268
Zefeng Bai
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