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Application of the Hybrid Forecasting Models to Road Traffic Accidents in Algeria 混合预测模型在阿尔及利亚道路交通事故中的应用
IF 0.2
Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.37
F. Chellai
{"title":"Application of the Hybrid Forecasting Models to Road Traffic Accidents in Algeria","authors":"F. Chellai","doi":"10.54694/stat.2021.37","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.54694/stat.2021.37","url":null,"abstract":"Road traffic accidents are a growing public health concern. In this study, we focused on analyzing and forecasting the monthly number of accidents, number of injuries, and number of deaths in Algeria over the period (2015–2020). For this purpose, hybrid forecasting models based on equal weights and in-sample errors were fitted, and we compared them with the seasonal autoregressive moving average (SARIMA) models. The three models retained for forecasting until 2022 are all hybrid models, one based on equal weight and two models based on in-sample errors (using the RMSE indicator). Furthermore, the hybrid models outperformed the SARIMA models for short (6 months), medium (12 months), and long horizon (24 months). The forecasting results showed that we expect an increase in the number of accidents, the number of deaths, and the number of injuries over the next 12 months. Policymakers must enhance strategies for prevention and road safety, especially in rural areas, where the highest rate of fatalities is recorded.","PeriodicalId":43106,"journal":{"name":"Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.2,"publicationDate":"2022-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44543013","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Relationship between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Turkey: Evidence from Fourier Tests 土耳其金融发展、贸易开放与经济增长的关系:来自傅立叶检验的证据
IF 0.2
Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.46
Havanur Ergün Tatar, Gökhan Konat, M. Temi̇z
{"title":"The Relationship between Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in Turkey: Evidence from Fourier Tests","authors":"Havanur Ergün Tatar, Gökhan Konat, M. Temi̇z","doi":"10.54694/stat.2021.46","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.54694/stat.2021.46","url":null,"abstract":"In this study, the effects of financial development and trade openness on economic growth were investigated using annual data for Turkey over the period 1960–2017. The financial development variable is represented as the ratio of financial system deposits to GDP. The trade openness variable is represented as the ratio of the sum of exports and imports of goods and services to GDP. To examine the long-run relationship between financial development, trade openness and economic growth; Fourier-based stationarity test and its complementary Fourier-based cointegration test are used. Finally, Fourier-based causality tests are also used to examine the causality relationship between the variables. As a result of cointegration tests, a long-term cointegration relationship was found between variables. According to the Fourier Toda-Yamamoto causality analysis results, it is seen that there is a one-way causality relationship from financial development to economic growth and from financial development to trade openness.","PeriodicalId":43106,"journal":{"name":"Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.2,"publicationDate":"2022-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44544771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Can Individual Human Financial Behaviour Be Mathematically Modelled? A Case Study of Elon Musk’s Dogecoin Tweets 个人金融行为可以数学建模吗?以埃隆·马斯克的狗狗币推文为例
IF 0.2
Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2022.9
Juraj Medzihorský, Peter Krištofík
{"title":"Can Individual Human Financial Behaviour Be Mathematically Modelled? A Case Study of Elon Musk’s Dogecoin Tweets","authors":"Juraj Medzihorský, Peter Krištofík","doi":"10.54694/stat.2022.9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.54694/stat.2022.9","url":null,"abstract":"The price of Dogecoin has been influenced by Elon Musk’s tweets on several occasions. Moreover, there are repeating patterns in the Dogecoin prices. However, is there also a pattern to the timing of the tweets? Applying linear regression, we have been able to make the reverse analysis – to use hard financial data (prices) to analyse the human behaviour (tweets) that preceded and influenced the financial data. Selected tweets could be paired thanks to the projections of their timing on the regression line that had been created over the prices. Our model exhibits inaccuracies only in the order of the days. That is surprising, as pump schemes do not usually require such a high level of long-term deterministic timing.","PeriodicalId":43106,"journal":{"name":"Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.2,"publicationDate":"2022-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44182847","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Is Gender Earnings Gap a Reality? Signals from Indian Labour Market 性别收入差距是现实吗?来自印度劳动力市场的信号
IF 0.2
Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.19
Sonu Madan, Surender Mor
{"title":"Is Gender Earnings Gap a Reality? Signals from Indian Labour Market","authors":"Sonu Madan, Surender Mor","doi":"10.54694/stat.2021.19","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.54694/stat.2021.19","url":null,"abstract":"We examined the persistence of the gender earnings gap across diverged occupational groups and the workers owning diverged work status in India using the relevant information on 94 446 workers from the Periodic Labour Force Survey (2017–18). The marginal mean earning of workers is estimated using GLM: ANCOVA. The findings report the persistence of significant gender earnings gap across the occupational structure and work status of workers. The elimination of demotivating factors leading to the gender earnings gap, removal of gender discrimination, enhancing the self-esteem of females, raising productivity potential by augmenting the professional/vocational education and policies for increased female work participation is the need of the hour.","PeriodicalId":43106,"journal":{"name":"Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.2,"publicationDate":"2022-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48362458","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
The Importance of Determinants of Transition from Unemployment to Self-Employment: Evidence from Slovak Micro-Data 从失业到自营职业过渡的决定因素的重要性:来自斯洛伐克微观数据的证据
IF 0.2
Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal Pub Date : 2022-06-17 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2022.8
Peter Pisár, Alexandra Mertinková, Miroslav Šipikal, M. Stachová
{"title":"The Importance of Determinants of Transition from Unemployment to Self-Employment: Evidence from Slovak Micro-Data","authors":"Peter Pisár, Alexandra Mertinková, Miroslav Šipikal, M. Stachová","doi":"10.54694/stat.2022.8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.54694/stat.2022.8","url":null,"abstract":"The study empirically analyses the determinants of self-employment from unemployment in Slovakia in the period of economic boom. The previous employment of individuals before support is proving to be an important factor in the transition to self-employment. We believe that the importance lies in gaining a practical basis from past jobs, market orientation or establishing contacts before starting a business. Practical courses and support in the form of a tax loan would contribute to the creation of value-added business ideas that have a better chance on the labour market (because after support there is entrepreneurship only in less capital-intensive industries). The paper examines short-term and long-term perspectives using decision trees and random forests, which are exceptionally used in the study of public support. At the same time, research is enriched with practical perspectives, which significantly increases the information base of research.","PeriodicalId":43106,"journal":{"name":"Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.2,"publicationDate":"2022-06-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42851545","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Income and Inequality Measures in Households in Czech Republic and Poland based on Zenga Distribution 基于Zenga分布的捷克和波兰家庭收入与不平等测度
IF 0.2
Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.12
Kamila Trzcińska
{"title":"Income and Inequality Measures in Households in Czech Republic and Poland based on Zenga Distribution","authors":"Kamila Trzcińska","doi":"10.54694/stat.2021.12","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.54694/stat.2021.12","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":43106,"journal":{"name":"Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.2,"publicationDate":"2022-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41800787","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
A Demand-Supply Equilibrium Model - Study Case on the Electricity Market for Households from the Perspective of Prices Liberalization 一个供需平衡模型——基于价格自由化视角的家庭电力市场研究
IF 0.2
Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.30
Ionuţ Pandelică, Cristina Popîrlan, Cristina Mihaela Barbu, Mihail Cristian Negulescu, Anca Madalina Bogdan, Simona Moise, E. Bică, Mihaela Cocoșilă
{"title":"A Demand-Supply Equilibrium Model - Study Case on the Electricity Market for Households from the Perspective of Prices Liberalization","authors":"Ionuţ Pandelică, Cristina Popîrlan, Cristina Mihaela Barbu, Mihail Cristian Negulescu, Anca Madalina Bogdan, Simona Moise, E. Bică, Mihaela Cocoșilă","doi":"10.54694/stat.2021.30","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.54694/stat.2021.30","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":43106,"journal":{"name":"Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.2,"publicationDate":"2022-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42404334","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On what Really Matters: Evidence from Alternative Well-Being Indicator in EU-28 Countries 关于真正重要的东西:来自欧盟28国替代福祉指标的证据
IF 0.2
Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.39
Veronika Jurčišinová, Ľubica Štiblárová
{"title":"On what Really Matters: Evidence from Alternative Well-Being Indicator in EU-28 Countries","authors":"Veronika Jurčišinová, Ľubica Štiblárová","doi":"10.54694/stat.2021.39","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.54694/stat.2021.39","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":43106,"journal":{"name":"Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.2,"publicationDate":"2022-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49074608","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Did COVID-19 Precautions and Lockdowns Cause Better Air Quality? Empirical Findings from Turkish Provinces COVID-19预防措施和封锁导致空气质量改善吗?来自土耳其各省的实证研究结果
IF 0.2
Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.34
Ali Ari, Raif Cergibozan, Caner Demir
{"title":"Did COVID-19 Precautions and Lockdowns Cause Better Air Quality? Empirical Findings from Turkish Provinces","authors":"Ali Ari, Raif Cergibozan, Caner Demir","doi":"10.54694/stat.2021.34","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.54694/stat.2021.34","url":null,"abstract":"The Covid-19 pandemic have dramatically affected the socio-economic structure in the world since governments put into action considerable precautions including lockdowns to reduce the speed of the contagion. Focusing on this point, we empirically investigate the environmental outcomes of the Covid-19 precautions and lockdowns in Turkey. The empirical analysis through the data obtained from different measurement stations indicate that the air pollution in the selected Turkish cities decreased due to the implemented precautions. The findings suggest that the Covid-19 might be an opportunity to rethink some economic and behavioral practices, as demonstrated by the reduction in the emission of air pollutants.","PeriodicalId":43106,"journal":{"name":"Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.2,"publicationDate":"2022-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46497592","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Productive Population and Czech Economy by 2060 到2060年,生产人口和捷克经济
IF 0.2
Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal Pub Date : 2022-03-18 DOI: 10.54694/stat.2021.29
J. Sixta, Karel Šafr
{"title":"Productive Population and Czech Economy by 2060","authors":"J. Sixta, Karel Šafr","doi":"10.54694/stat.2021.29","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.54694/stat.2021.29","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":43106,"journal":{"name":"Statistika-Statistics and Economy Journal","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.2,"publicationDate":"2022-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41952851","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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