DEMIS. Demographic Research最新文献

A General Theory of Population Aging and Its Impact on Socio-Economic Development 人口老龄化及其对社会经济发展影响的一般理论

DEMIS. Demographic Research Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.1

Thi Minh Hoa Nguyen, Tuan Anh Ha

{"title":"A General Theory of Population Aging and Its Impact on Socio-Economic Development","authors":"Thi Minh Hoa Nguyen, Tuan Anh Ha","doi":"10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.1","url":null,"abstract":"Population aging is becoming one of the discussed topics not only in Vietnam but all over the world and is one of the most important social transformation phenomena of the 21st century. This process will affect to most areas of social life such as the labor market, finance, demand for goods and services, education, social security and health care for the elderly, etc. Research on aging, especially in a developing country like Vietnam, has become more urgent than ever, when the aging rate is fast but the average income is low and the social security budget is tight. Therefore, population aging can slow down the economic growth and increase the burden on the budget, even affecting social stability. This article analyzes the current situation and aging trends in Vietnam. Next, it focuses on clarifying the general theory of the mechanism of population aging and pointing out the impact of population aging on socio-economic development. Quantifying the impact of aging on socio-economic growth is very complex, requiring in-depth, multi-disciplinary, multi-field and multi-dimensional research. This analysis has reviewed some reliable assessment methods in the world as well as in Vietnam on aging. The results suggest a more multifaceted perspective on aging, referring to the consideration of the age structure of the population in development. At the same time, research on aging requires the participation of scientists, policymakers, etc. to effectively respond to an aging society.","PeriodicalId":427586,"journal":{"name":"DEMIS. Demographic Research","volume":"16 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140365348","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The Effect of Social Assistance on Early Childbearing in Vietnam: The Role of Migration 越南社会援助对早育的影响：移民的作用

DEMIS. Demographic Research Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.9

Hue Thi Hoang, Phuong Thi Xuan Ngo, Lan Thi Nguyen, Yen Thi Bao Le, Chi Khanh Tran, P. Le

引用次数: 0

Japan’s Policies to Attract and Retain International Students: Economic and Migration Approaches 日本吸引和留住留学生的政策：经济和移民方法

DEMIS. Demographic Research Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.10

M. Shipilova

引用次数: 0

About the III Eurasian Analytical Forum “Ethnocultural Factors of Eurasian Integration (EAF-2023)” 关于 "欧亚一体化的民族文化因素（EAF-2023）"第三届欧亚分析论坛

DEMIS. Demographic Research Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.11

G. Osadchaya, Marina Vartanova, Olga A. Volkova, Tatiana Yudina

引用次数: 0

Mathematical Models of Migration Balance and Migration Attitudes in Armenia 亚美尼亚移民平衡和移民态度的数学模型

DEMIS. Demographic Research Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.2

S. Manukyan

{"title":"Mathematical Models of Migration Balance and Migration Attitudes in Armenia","authors":"S. Manukyan","doi":"10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.2","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of the study is to provide a quantitative explanation of the migration balance and migration attitudes in Armenian society. A linear regression model has been constructed to explain the dependence of the migration balance on variables at the macro level, including annual GDP growth, the internal and external political state of Armenia. Data from the Armenian Statistical Service on statistics of border movements and annual GDP growth were used. The foreign policy state is represented by a variable taking the values “Truce”, “War”, and “Intense War”. The internal political state is represented by a variable taking the values “Open conflict”, “Latent conflict”, “Balanced”, “Positive expectations”, and “High expectations”. Based on the model, an estimate of the migration balance for 2023 was calculated. According to a sociological survey conducted in November 2022 using the structural modeling method (Structural Equation Modeling), two models were built that explain migration attitudes in society through the socio-economic characteristics of the respondent and characteristics of his political culture, including: the presence of a labor migrant in the family, the age of the respondent, approval of the 2018 revolution in Armenia, the realization of expectations from the revolution, a sense of political competence, political subjectivity and patriotism. The results of the study can be used to forecast the migration balance and migration attitudes in the society, as well as strategic planning and management of migration processes in Armenia.","PeriodicalId":427586,"journal":{"name":"DEMIS. Demographic Research","volume":"53 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140367321","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Labour Migration and Economic Growth: A Perspective from Asia Pacific Region 劳动力迁移与经济增长：亚太地区的视角

DEMIS. Demographic Research Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.5

Hoang Duong Nguyen, Bich Ngoc Nguyen, Hoang Minh Chau Le

{"title":"Labour Migration and Economic Growth: A Perspective from Asia Pacific Region","authors":"Hoang Duong Nguyen, Bich Ngoc Nguyen, Hoang Minh Chau Le","doi":"10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.5","url":null,"abstract":"Globalization has led to significant changes in economies and societies worldwide, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region where labor migration drives economic growth. Migrant workers, valued across various sectors, play a key role in regional development by sending remittances that support families’ essential needs and entrepreneurial endeavors. Countries have simplified immigration procedures and enacted protective measures to attract and retain foreign labor, but challenges such as job displacement and balancing the rights of migrants with those of domestic workers persist. Research on the impact of labor migration on economic development in the Asia-Pacific region is crucial in addressing these complexities. Therefore, this article will focus on elucidating the theoretical foundations and practical aspects of labor migration while examining the correlation between labor migration and economic development in the countries within the Asia-Pacific region. The main purpose of the study is to elucidate the general migration context of the Asia-Pacific region and clarify it by conducting a deeper analysis of some representative countries in the region. Additionally, the study aims to elucidate the relationship between labor migration and economic development in this area. The results reveal that labor migration has a positive impact on economic growth through remittances.","PeriodicalId":427586,"journal":{"name":"DEMIS. Demographic Research","volume":"57 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140366119","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Socio-Economic and Demographic Aspects of Russian Tourism in Thailand in 2023 2023 年泰国俄罗斯旅游业的社会经济和人口方面

DEMIS. Demographic Research Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.6

N. Ryazantsev, Elena Lukashenko, Alexey Smirnov

{"title":"Socio-Economic and Demographic Aspects of Russian Tourism in Thailand in 2023","authors":"N. Ryazantsev, Elena Lukashenko, Alexey Smirnov","doi":"10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.6","url":null,"abstract":"The article reviews the evolution of the growth of Russian tourist flow to the Kingdom of Thailand in 2023, a significant growth of which mainly began to occur after the cancelation of the pandemic status of a new coronavirus infection. The study covers the contemporary strategy for the recovery of the internal tourism business aimed at popularizing travel, including such concepts as safety, hygiene, environmental friendliness, getting new impressions, profitability, etc. The analysis of the updated data for the past year represents the scientific novelty of this study, aimed to assess the rate of recovery of the tourist flow of our compatriots, who have always made a significant share in the flow of foreign tourists to this hospitable Southeastern Kingdom. The relevance of the study can be explained within the study of Thai experience of increasing the volume of the tourism industry, which was most affected by COVID-19 and related anti-epidemiological restrictions. The results of the scientific work conducted by the authors, first of all, the identification of the main trends that require systemic changes necessary for the “recovery therapy” of the modern tourist industry in the post-COVID period, can be applied by scientists in studies of migration for recreational purposes, as well as in the format of using foreign experience in the development of strategies to increase tourist flows to Russian resorts. In the future, this research program will most likely be continued.","PeriodicalId":427586,"journal":{"name":"DEMIS. Demographic Research","volume":"28 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140367029","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Demographic Characteristics of Labor Resources Formation and Use in the Largest Cities of Russia in 2019–2021 2019-2021 年俄罗斯最大城市劳动力资源形成和使用的人口特征

DEMIS. Demographic Research Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.3

A. Topilin

{"title":"Demographic Characteristics of Labor Resources Formation and Use in the Largest Cities of Russia in 2019–2021","authors":"A. Topilin","doi":"10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.3","url":null,"abstract":"The article examines the demographic characteristics of labor resources formation in Russian cities with a population of over a million. The research reveals the role of migration in replenishing largest cities’ labor resources, which corresponds to E.G.Ravenstein’s law that large cities grow mainly due to migration. Based on indicators of demographic well-being, the author gives an assessment of the demographic situation in the largest cities. It has been established that during the pandemic, the intensity of migration processes decreases, and its recovery occurs in cities at different rates. The article presents an analysis of structural changes in employment for large groups of industries and types of economic activity– commodity-producing industries, infrastructure, and social spheres. The reserves for increasing employment in the largest cities are considered. Emphasis is placed on increasing the labor activity of internal migrants, who have advantages compared to foreign labor. The research reveals a significant differentiation of wages across the largest cities, which creates unequal conditions for the reproduction of the labor force. It also determines ratings of the largest cities in terms of generation replacement, employment, unemployment, wages, and the social sphere. The author proposes a development in the system of strategic planning documents of a block of indicators characterizing the achievement of demographic well-being and increasing the efficiency of using the labor potential of the largest cities.","PeriodicalId":427586,"journal":{"name":"DEMIS. Demographic Research","volume":"64 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140365142","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Migration Behavior of Youth in the Omsk Region: Reasons, Factors, Prospects 鄂木斯克州青年的移民行为：原因、因素、前景

DEMIS. Demographic Research Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.8

Yuliya V. Potapova, A. Malenova, A. Malenov, Alexander K. Potapov

{"title":"Migration Behavior of Youth in the Omsk Region: Reasons, Factors, Prospects","authors":"Yuliya V. Potapova, A. Malenova, A. Malenov, Alexander K. Potapov","doi":"10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.8","url":null,"abstract":"The problem of the preconditions for the migration activity of Omsk youth is posed. Possible causes of migration risks and factors determining them are discussed. Attention is paid to external, economic, and internal, psychological factors in order to determine possible ways to manage migration risks. Objectives of the study: to determine the emotional assessment of the city and the connection between migration attitudes of young people and attachment and identification with it; identify the main reasons for migration from Omsk, establish differences in the career orientations of students with different levels of migration attitudes; determine the necessary living conditions of the city to radically change the migration situation in it. Thanks to qualitative (interviews) and quantitative (testing and questionnaires) methods on a sample of 416 people with different socio-demographic characteristics, the reasons for migration behavior were analyzed and an analysis of “push” and “retaining” factors was carried out. It has been established that when young people emotionally assess the city, positive connotations dominate, but young people more often place Omsk on the time scale closer to the concept of “past” rather than “future.” Thus, the reasons for real migration behavior are the perception of the lack of prospects associated with development in the city, and the accompanying dissatisfaction with the economic, educational and career conditions that exist in it. Factors that reduce the level of expression of migration attitudes are high identification with the city, a sense of belonging to it, planning for a future associated with the city, and career orientation towards stability of place of residence. Factors that increase the desire to migrate are a career orientation toward autonomy at work and a poorly developed urban identity.","PeriodicalId":427586,"journal":{"name":"DEMIS. Demographic Research","volume":"65 9","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140366430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Features of Distribution and Use of Foreign Labor in the Siberian Federal District 西伯利亚联邦区外国劳动力的分布和使用特点

DEMIS. Demographic Research Pub Date : 2024-03-29 DOI: 10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.4

E. Andreyanova

{"title":"Features of Distribution and Use of Foreign Labor in the Siberian Federal District","authors":"E. Andreyanova","doi":"10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.19181/demis.2024.4.1.4","url":null,"abstract":"The relevance of the study is related not only to the economic and demographic issues of achieving a balance of labor and human resources in the eastern territories of the country, but also to the increased need for the geopolitical stability of the Russian Federation. The article examines the features and directions of the territorial and sectoral placement of the labor force of foreign labor migrants in the Siberian Federal District. The main conclusions of the work are as follows: 1) with the existing depopulation of the population, the territory of the Siberian Federal District retains the historical orientation of the state migration policy towards the placement of labor from external territorial sources; 2) the economy of the Siberian Federal District creates employment opportunities that contribute to the attraction of foreign labor. The sectoral specifics of the application of the labor force of foreign labor migrants are represented by construction, trade and repair of cars; 3) the territorial location of foreign labor migrants is represented by their concentration in agglomerations and cities of the Siberian Federal District; 4) the population of the district is characterized by a tolerant attitude towards foreign labor migrants; 5) industry is the leading branch of the economy of the Siberian Federal District, contributes to the activation of social-economic development of the regions and their standard of living, which contributes to the influx of foreign labor migrants. The conclusions and results of the work can be useful to representatives of the real sector of the regional economy, specialists to determine the assessment of the ongoing socio-economic and migration processes in the eastern regions of the country.","PeriodicalId":427586,"journal":{"name":"DEMIS. Demographic Research","volume":"48 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140367748","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0