{"title":"A Study of Financial Performance and Stock Return in IPO Underpricing Phenomenon on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX)","authors":"Agus S. Irfani","doi":"10.21002/ICMR.V4I2.3618","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/ICMR.V4I2.3618","url":null,"abstract":"It is widely believed that financial performance of listed companies on stock exchange might potentially affect long-term stock return. However, the impact of financial performance on underpric-ing is still in debate. The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of financial performance on underpricing at the same period and the effect of both financial performance and underpricing on the long-term stock return on the Indonesia stock exchange (IDX). By employing judgemental sampling method, the sample of this reseach includes 43 underpriced stocks taken from the population of 51 initially public offered stocks on the IDX during 2008-2010. This research uses multiple regression technique to test the hypothesis. This study concludes that not all financial performance ratios affect the underpricing and the long-term stock return in 2011. In addition, this study does not find any em-pirical evidence about the effect of underpricing on the long-term stock return. \");} \u0000// --> activate javascript","PeriodicalId":40640,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Capital Market Review","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2014-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"68239465","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An Evaluation of Indonesian Capital Market Co-integration with ASEAN 4 to Enter the ASEAN Capital Market Integration in Accordance to ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) 2020 Scheme: Should Indonesia Enter or Postpone?","authors":"Barli Suryanta","doi":"10.21002/ICMR.V3I1.3621","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/ICMR.V3I1.3621","url":null,"abstract":"Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Economic Community (AEC) 2020 has already been declared on 7 October 2003 by ASEAN Concord II in Bali, Indonesia. In general, AEC was designed to prepare ASEAN countries for ASEAN economic integration within the next 10-15 year. ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) had actually been launched since 1992 though was not comprehensive enough and kept ASEAN only partially integrated. To overcome it, ASEAN proposed inancial integration through capital market integration based on AEC commitment in order to reach comprehensive ASEAN economic integration. Indonesia is one of the ASEAN members that is linked by AEC 2020. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate Indonesian capital market co-integration in entering the ASEAN capital market integration compared to those of ASEAN 4. To examine the notion of the Indonesian capital market integration within ASEAN region, cointegration model is utilised to igure out co-integration between Indonesian stock market indices and ASEAN 4, i.e., Singapore, Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand. In addition, Vector Auto-regression (VAR) model is also utilised to examine Indonesian market returns co-movement and dynamic link with ASEAN 4. The conclusions of this research, i.e. co-integration between Indonesian capital market with Singaporean, Malaysian, Philippines, and Thailand does not exist; there is neither co-movement nor strong dynamic link between Indonesian capital market with those of Singaporean, Malaysian, Philippines, and Thailand. This paper also recommends Indonesia to postpone the integration of its capital market into the integrated ASEAN capital market. \");} \u0000// --> activate javascript","PeriodicalId":40640,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Capital Market Review","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2014-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"68238774","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Formation of Rational and Irrational Behaviors in Risky Investment Decision Making: Laboratory Experiment of Coping Theory Implication in Investors’ Adaptation Model","authors":"W. Wendy, Marwan Asri, Jogiyanto Hartono","doi":"10.21002/ICMR.V4I2.3615","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/ICMR.V4I2.3615","url":null,"abstract":"This study analyzes the stock investor's rational and irrational behavior formation through Investor's Adaptation model. Hypotheses testings were conducted by manipulating four market conditions using between-subject experimental design. The results supported the hypotheses proposed in this study. When given treatment one (opportunity-high control), investors tended to adapt the profit maximizing strategy (rational). Meanwhile, when given treatment two (opportunity-low control), three (threat-high control) and four (threat-low control), they tended to adapt the profit satisfying strategy (rational-emotional), bad news handling strategy (emotional-rational), and self-preserving strategy (irrational) respectively. The application of rational strategies are intended to obtain personal benefits and profit, while adapting irrational strategy is intended to recover emotional stability and reduce some other tensions. Another finding showed that for the investors, the relatively irrational decision formation was \"harder\" than that of rational.","PeriodicalId":40640,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Capital Market Review","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2014-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"68239298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Moon Effect on Paciic Basin Stock Markets","authors":"Rayenda Khresna Brahman, C. Hooy, Zamri Ahmad","doi":"10.21002/ICMR.V3I2.3627","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/ICMR.V3I2.3627","url":null,"abstract":"This is an empirical study on the inluences of moon on seven stock markets, which are Indonesia, Malaysia, United Kingdom, United States, Philippines, Japan, and Thailand. The period is from January 1999 until December 2009 in daily basis. This study investigates the relationship between moon phase and market returns. We divided moon phases into new moon and full moon. While literature mention the relationship between moon phase and market returns, our research reject the null hypothesis in regression analysis. However, the descriptive catches the indication and conirmed previous research. It also proposes that the market is still rational and not moon-mood inluenced. This result is not contending the EMH theorem. Further research is needed in term of investigating the relationship between psychology factors (heuristic bias, information ignorance, and other factors) and investor behavior. The effect of moon on certain anomalies has to examine speciically. \");} \u0000// --> activate javascript","PeriodicalId":40640,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Capital Market Review","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2014-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"68239551","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Risk and Real Estate Investment Trust (REITs) Return: Evidence from Listed Public Trust","authors":"N. Mohamad, N. M. Saad, S. Bakar","doi":"10.21002/ICMR.V3I1.3620","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/ICMR.V3I1.3620","url":null,"abstract":"This study examines an association of risk and returns of REITs from Malaysian REITs listed companies. The secondary data for analysis is retrieved from Bloomberg's Database of all 13 listed REITs in the Bursa Malaysia main market for three year period, from 2007 to 2009 with quarterly observation. The dependent variables are average return, expected return using Capital Asset Pricing Model, Sharpe Index, and Jensen Alpha Index. The independent variables represented by standard deviation, beta, trading volume, gross domestic product, inlation rate, and share price. The control variable for this study is type of REITs, whether it was categorized as Islamic or conventional REITs. Applying correlations and multiple regression analysis, the results provide evidence on the association between return and risk on REITs. This study is also hoped to bring beneits to the public listed company and shareholders in obtaining the key factors in determining the REITs yield. \");} \u0000// --> activate javascript","PeriodicalId":40640,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Capital Market Review","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2014-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"68239205","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Investors’ Behavior Placing Orders in Indonesia Stock Exchange","authors":"G. Syamni","doi":"10.21002/ICMR.V3I2.3628","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/ICMR.V3I2.3628","url":null,"abstract":"The objective of this research is to analyze the behavior pattern of trading volume at opening and closing of market in Indonesia Stock Exchange. The behaviors pattern is structured by investors' decision in placing buy and sell orders. This research used intraday data transaction history-corporate edition demand and order history stock which included in pre-opening and LQ-45 in Indonesia Stock Exchange on March, April, and Mei 2005. The result of this research is investor place bigger order on the opening and closing markets than period trading. This shows that they are more carefully and more conservative in doing trades on the opening session. This can occur because of the large orders at the market opening is not necessarily for investors to execute the transaction order status match. Research has found that the pattern of investors in making orders morning session has a reverse J pattern and a pattern of J at afternoon session. Reverse J pattern in the morning session subject to lunch time and most of these patterns of behavior are driven by more dominant sell orders in comparison to buy orders, while the afternoon session or the closing of the market is caused by of investors who want to realize higher transaction match. Other implication is investors must be more active in observing all of the information in doing trading on pre opening, during, and closing of market. \");} \u0000// --> activate javascript","PeriodicalId":40640,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Capital Market Review","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2014-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"68239662","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Financial Development and Economic Growth Nexus: The Moroccan Case","authors":"Mohamed Abouch, E. Ezzahid","doi":"10.21002/ICMR.V3I1.3622","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/ICMR.V3I1.3622","url":null,"abstract":"The issues of the existence and the direction of causality between inance and growth are not yet settled. Even if theoretical and historical evidences suggest an important contribution of inance to foster economic growth, empirical studies provide conlicting results depending upon analytical approaches, econometric techniques, and used data sets. The empirical exploration of the links between the development of the Moroccan inancial sector (MFS) and the economic performance of the country shed some light on the proile of this relationship. It appears that even if the indicators measuring the degree of development of the MFS have steadily evolved, they are not systematically and signiicantly linked with economic growth. This situation may be explained by the characteristics of the MFS and the existence of other factors, not related to this sector, that hinder economic growth. \");} // --> activate javascript","PeriodicalId":40640,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Capital Market Review","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2014-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"68238837","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Causal Nexus between Stock Price, Demand for Money, Interest Rate, Foreign Institutional Investment, and Exchange Rates in India: A Post Subprime Crisis Analysis","authors":"Iti Vyas, Narayan Prasad, A. Mishra","doi":"10.21002/ICMR.V3I2.3625","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/ICMR.V3I2.3625","url":null,"abstract":"This paper makes an attempt to empirically examine the causal nexus between stock price, demand for money, interest rates, foreign institutional investment and exchange rates in India in the post subprime mortgage crisis period. The study employed Granger causality test, Vector Auto Regression and Johansen Maximum Likelihood procedure to examine the short run and long run dynamic interaction among the above mentioned variables for the period January 1993 to May 2009. The major indings of the study are: stock return affects exchange rate return, net foreign institutional investment and growth of demand for money. Growth of demand for money, in turn, affects interest rate. Interest rate is more affected by exchange rate return. Foreign institutional investment also affects interest rate. The co-integration test conirms that there does not exist any long run equilibrium relationship between stock return and exchange rate return \");} \u0000// --> activate javascript","PeriodicalId":40640,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Capital Market Review","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2014-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"68239495","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Does Moving Average Technical Trading Rule Provide Value for Intraday Stock Trading?: Evidence from the Indonesia Stock Exchange","authors":"Ario Harsanto, I. A. Ekaputra","doi":"10.21002/ICMR.V4I2.3619","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/ICMR.V4I2.3619","url":null,"abstract":"This paper analyzes the value of employing simple moving average (SMA) and moving average (MA) technical trading rules for intraday stock trading in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. We test independently SMA[5], SMA[10], SMA[15], MA[5,50], MA[5,150], and MA[5,200] trading rules. We find all three SMAs and MA[5,200] tend to deliver returns greater than the unconditional basic return (UBR), while MA[5,50] and MA[5,150] generate returns less than UBR. We conclude that SMAs are more valuable than MAs as intraday technical trading rules. \");} \u0000// --> activate javascript","PeriodicalId":40640,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Capital Market Review","volume":"67 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2014-08-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"68239573","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analysis the Efficiency and Productivity of Indonesian Pharmaceutical Public Companies Using Data Envelopment Analysis","authors":"D. Hanggraeni","doi":"10.21002/ICMR.V6I2.3592","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21002/ICMR.V6I2.3592","url":null,"abstract":"As one of the biggest medicines market in the South East Asia, the pharmaceutical industry in Indonesia has a huge potential market. However, the majority supply of raw materials has been imported. Besides, regulations of the Health Ministry and the Trade Ministry have still hampered most players in Indonesia pharmaceutical industry. Therefore, this study used Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) models to analyze efficiency and productivity change in the Indonesian pharmaceutical industry between 2006 and 2011, listed in the Indonesia Stock Exchange and also supported by applying efficiency financial ratio. This study finds that the decision for the most relatively efficient company is different using DEA compared to efficiency financial ratios, yet DEA has better measurement of efficiency. It is proven by one of State-owned Enterprises has been evaluated underperformed by the financial ratio analysis, unexpectedly is efficient using the DEA approach. This study has also proposed and tested a hypothesis on the average efficiency to check if the domestic and foreign pharmaceutical companies differ in their efficiency but the result implies that there is no significant statistical difference among them. This study indicates that firms having dominant contribution in selling overthe- counter medicines are more efficient than selling ethical medicines. Lastly, technological change contribution has more influence to productivity change instead of pure technical efficiency change in Indonesia pharmaceutical companies.","PeriodicalId":40640,"journal":{"name":"Indonesian Capital Market Review","volume":"6 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.4,"publicationDate":"2014-08-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"68240280","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}