Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva最新文献_第6页

Modeling the change in maximum temperature in Zuwara weather station for the period (1961-2099) using SDSM technique 利用SDSM技术模拟Zuwara气象站1961-2099年最高气温变化

Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/gsgd2201157b

Moloud Brebish, Asmahan Othman

{"title":"Modeling the change in maximum temperature in Zuwara weather station for the period (1961-2099) using SDSM technique","authors":"Moloud Brebish, Asmahan Othman","doi":"10.2298/gsgd2201157b","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2298/gsgd2201157b","url":null,"abstract":"The research aims to use climate models to identify how the climate has changed over time in the Zuwara region of Libya, especially the change in the maximum temperature during the twenty-first century. It is based on the technique of the Statistical Downscaling Model ?SDSM?, where it will depend on the maximum temperature data of a weather station, and Zuwara for the period from (1961-1990), and forecasting the monthly, quarterly and annual rate of future increase or decrease during the period (2019-2099) ac-cording to the two climate change scenarios, which are approved by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change The (IPCC) in a report known as Special Report Emissions Scenarios (SRES) in 2000 to make projections of the climate and the environment based on the amount of greenhouse gas emissions. The results proved that the annual average maximum temperature in the Zuwara region will take an upward trend during the modelling periods compared to the base period (1961-1990). This is consistent with all IPCC scenarios, especially during the second period (2046-2072) with an increase of 1.3?C over the base period, and this rate maintains its trend of increasing by about 1?C during the period (2073-2099). The results also indicated an increase in the average maximum seasonal temperature according to the two scenarios H3A2a and H3B2a during the winter season in the second period (2046-2072) at a rate of 8?C. In the spring, the rate of change will reach 2?C. It is expected that the summer will witness a decrease in the maximum average temperature by 5?C, and the same will be the case in the autumn by a rate of 3.3?C in the second period compared to the base period, which threatens the inability of the countries of the world to control and mitigate emissions of greenhouse gases.","PeriodicalId":35518,"journal":{"name":"Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90481257","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Spatial planning systems worldwide 世界各地的空间规划系统

Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/gsgd2201029t

B. Tošić, Z. Živanović

引用次数: 0

Investigating students attitudes and preferences towards disaster learning multimedia to enhance preparedness 调查学生对灾害多媒体学习的态度和偏好，以加强备灾

Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva Pub Date : 2021-09-29 DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-944111/v1

Ivanka Krnjić, V. Cvetković

{"title":"Investigating students attitudes and preferences towards disaster learning multimedia to enhance preparedness","authors":"Ivanka Krnjić, V. Cvetković","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-944111/v1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-944111/v1","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This paper presents quantitative research results regarding students’ attitudes and preferences towards disaster learning multimedia to enhance preparedness. The research was conducted during February and March 2021, where the respondents' answers were collected by sending an online survey questionnaire electronically to the email addresses of high schools. The general hypothesis refers to verifying the claim that the application of multimedia in the education of children in schools about disasters ensures that students are acquainted with disasters and develop skills for safety and risk management in case of disasters. The regression model within the conducted research confirmed that the education of students through multimedia has the most significant impact on safety and risk management in disasters. Future directions of research in this field should move towards the analysis of different simulation models that can be of great help to acquaint students with the dangers arising from disasters. Given that simulation has proven to be an effective tool in acquiring knowledge, their application in educating students about disasters would inevitably have significant effects.","PeriodicalId":35518,"journal":{"name":"Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79013823","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Changes in the extreme air temperature in Czech Republic 捷克共和国极端气温的变化

Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/gsgd2101077n

N. Nikolova, M. Bárta

引用次数: 0

Demographic and economic aspects of urban shrinkage in Serbia - typology and regional differentiation 塞尔维亚城市收缩的人口和经济方面——类型学和区域分化

Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/gsgd2102043d

Danica Djurkin, Marija Antic, Aljoša Budović

{"title":"Demographic and economic aspects of urban shrinkage in Serbia - typology and regional differentiation","authors":"Danica Djurkin, Marija Antic, Aljoša Budović","doi":"10.2298/gsgd2102043d","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2298/gsgd2102043d","url":null,"abstract":"Urban shrinkage is a process that many European countries have been facing in recent decades. It had started in highly developed regions at the time of deindustrialisation, but since the 1990s, this process has also affected Central, Eastern and South-eastern Europe, with different patterns and dynamics of urban shrinkage. The political and economic crisis in Serbia during the 1990s, as well as the transition from a centrally governed and urban-based industrialisation to a neoliberal market economy, has brought significant changes in the development of cities, which faced declining demographic and economic vitality. This paper is focused on the analysis of the intensity and dynamics of demographic and economic aspects of urban shrinkage in Serbia and on classification of cities according to the different phases of urban shrinkage. Typological classification was performed using the K-means clustering algorithm. The cluster analysis is based on the use of relevant demographic and socio-economic indicators, for the period from 2002 to 2011. After identifying cities that recorded an increase in total population and relatively stable economic development, three types of shrinking cities were determined according to the intensity of demographic and economic shrinkage - cities with low, medium and high shrinkage intensity. The analysis of the main patterns and factors that influenced the different levels of urban shrinkage enabled a better understanding of this phenomenon in Serbia. The results indicate the heterogeneity of urban space due to different levels of demographic and economic shrinkage, thus it can serve as a starting point for future research of uneven urban development in Serbia.","PeriodicalId":35518,"journal":{"name":"Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"81594404","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 5

Perceptions of the problems of drinking water supply in Ziguinchor (Senegal): Case of the peripheral district Nema 2 对ziiguinchor(塞内加尔)饮用水供应问题的认识:以周边地区Nema 2为例

Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/gsgd2102097f

C. Faye

{"title":"Perceptions of the problems of drinking water supply in Ziguinchor (Senegal): Case of the peripheral district Nema 2","authors":"C. Faye","doi":"10.2298/gsgd2102097f","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2298/gsgd2102097f","url":null,"abstract":"Good water quality is important for the human health, energy and development. However, it is not available to millions of people throughout the world. In the Casamance region, the climatic situation has been characterised for the last thirty years by a drop in rainfall, combined with a demographic explosion which has led to an intensive exploitation of available water resources. Ziguinchor, the main city of Casamance, although located in a humid region rich in rainwater, does not guarantee continuous access to drinking water for all its inhabitants, especially those living in the outlying districts. The aim of this article is to show that the difficulties of access to drinking water in the outskirts of Ziguinchor are closely related to the inadequacy of the infrastructure for water supply. The methodology adopted revolves around three main axes: documentary research, data collection and data processing. The results of this study reveal that the water production capacity in Ziguinchor, of 9,500 m3 per day (i.e. 400 m3/h), in fact presents a production deficit in relation to demand from population estimated at 583,528 inhabitants, mainly noted in the peripheral zone such as N?ma 2. The causes of this mismatch between supply and demand are due to inadequate infrastructure, but also to the pollution and salinity of water resources, in addition to poor governance of the supply sector. Faced with this situation, there is an imperative to mobilise water resources in the commune in a properly rational manner and to ensure more sustainable management.","PeriodicalId":35518,"journal":{"name":"Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"82473395","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Assessment of torrential flood and landslide susceptibility of terrain: Case study - Mlava River Basin (Serbia) 地形洪涝滑坡易感性评价——以塞尔维亚姆拉瓦河流域为例

Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/gsgd2101049d

Uroš Durlević

{"title":"Assessment of torrential flood and landslide susceptibility of terrain: Case study - Mlava River Basin (Serbia)","authors":"Uroš Durlević","doi":"10.2298/gsgd2101049d","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2298/gsgd2101049d","url":null,"abstract":"Torrential floods and landslides are frequent natural disasters in Serbia, but also in the Mlava River Basin. Due to the large number of settlements, the main goal of this research is to determine the locations that are most susceptible to torrential floods and landslides in the Mlava River Basin. Using geographic information systems (GIS), the first step is the analysis the susceptibility of the terrain to torrential floods using the Flash Flood Potential Index (FFPI) method. According to the obtained data, it was determined that 31.53% of the Mlava River Basin is susceptible, and 10.46% is very susceptible to torrential floods. The second step is the analysis of the susceptibility of the terrain to landslides, for which the statistical Probability method (PM) and the Landslide Susceptibility Index (LSI) were used. According to the results of the LSI index and PM method, 8.09% and 14.04% of the basin area is in the category of high and very high susceptibility to landslides. This paper represents a significant step towards a better understanding of unfavorable natural conditions in the Mlava River Basin, and the obtained results are applicable to numerous human activities in the research area (environmental protection, sustainable management of agricultural plots, protection of water and forest resources and ecosystems, etc.).","PeriodicalId":35518,"journal":{"name":"Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80433826","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina) 波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那萨拉热窝极端气候指数的变化

Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/gsgd2102001g

Slobodan Gnjato, T. Popov, Marko Ivanišević, Goran Trbić

{"title":"Changes in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina)","authors":"Slobodan Gnjato, T. Popov, Marko Ivanišević, Goran Trbić","doi":"10.2298/gsgd2102001g","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2298/gsgd2102001g","url":null,"abstract":"The study analyzes trends in extreme climate indices in Sarajevo (Bosnia and Herzegovina). Based on daily maximum temperatures, daily minimum temperatures and daily precipitation during the 1961-2016 periods, a set of 27 indices recommended by the CCl/CLIVAR Expert Team for Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI) was calculated in the RClimDex (1.0) software. Given the results, the extreme temperature indices displayed a warming tendency throughout the year (most prominent in summer). The positive trends in warm temperature indices were stronger than the downward trends in cold ones. The highest trend values were estimated for TXx, TNx, TX90p, TN90p, WSDI, SU25 and SU30. The extreme precipitation indices displayed trends mixed in sign (annually and seasonally), but all statistically insignificant. However, upward trends in R99p, RX1day, RX5day, SDII, R10mm and R20mm suggest an increase in the magnitude and frequency of intense precipitation events. Moreover, significant changes in distribution of majority temperature indices were determined, whereas shifts in precipitation indices were mostly insignificant. The observed changes in extreme temperature indices are related with large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns (primarily the East-Atlantic pattern) and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. The negative correlation with the North Atlantic Oscillation, the East Atlantic/West Russia pattern and the Arctic Oscillation is found for majority of extreme precipitation indices.","PeriodicalId":35518,"journal":{"name":"Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72553653","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Variations in seasonality in spa centres of Serbia 塞尔维亚温泉中心的季节变化

Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/gsgd2101089p

S. Pavlović, N. Todorovic, Jelena Bolovic, M. Vesić

{"title":"Variations in seasonality in spa centres of Serbia","authors":"S. Pavlović, N. Todorovic, Jelena Bolovic, M. Vesić","doi":"10.2298/gsgd2101089p","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2298/gsgd2101089p","url":null,"abstract":"Seasonality of tourist demand imposes a number of issues related to the destination?s carrying capacity and business activities of the individual service providers in tourism. As one indicator of seasonal fluctuation of tourist demand, the Gini index is identified in order to establish monthly concentration of tourists. In this study, the Gini index was calculated for four spa tourism destinations in Serbia (Vrnjacka Banja, Sokobanja, Niska Banja, and Prolom Banja), in order to establish variability in the seasonality. The research took into consideration the period 2010-2019. Research results indicate that Niska Banja Spa has the lowest values of the Gini index, while Vrnjacka Banja Spa and Sokobanja Spa have the highest values, whereby no values are higher that .45 (mostly between .30 and .39). Given that the theoretically lowest value of the Gini index is 0 (smallest seasonal concentration) and the highest is 1 (biggest concentration), the selected spas still do not have particularly high degree of seasonal concentration of tourists. Possibilities for reduction of tourist demand seasonality are pointed out, given its impact on tourism planning and its economic effects.","PeriodicalId":35518,"journal":{"name":"Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77730509","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Reksc, M. (2019). Wyobrazenia zbiorowe spoleczenstw bylej Jugoslawii w XXI wieku. Perspektywa politologiczna, Lodz: Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Lódzkiego

Glasnik - Srpskog Geografskog Drustva Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2298/gsgd2102143b

Karolina Baraniak

引用次数: 0