{"title":"Quo Vadis? External Powers in a Changing Gulf Region","authors":"Li-Chen Sim, Jonathan Fulton","doi":"10.4324/9781315110394-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315110394-1","url":null,"abstract":"This introduction sets the theoretical framework for explaining and understanding the changing dynamic between the external powers and the Arab Gulf monarchies. It begins with an historical overview of the Gulf monarchies’ long relationships with extra-regional actors, focusing on their bilateral alliances with the United Kingdom and the United States of America. The analysis in this section emphasizes the use of realist approaches to international politics - such as the balance of power and balance of threat strategies – to both material and ideational challenges to the Gulf monarchies. The chapter then proceeds to highlight the roles played by relative newcomers to the Gulf at the dawn of the 21st century. France, China, and South Korea have made good use of their financial, economic, technological, and cultural statecraft. Finally, in the face of a more assertive foreign policy orientation on the part of the Arab Gulf monarchies in the wake of post-Arab Spring instability throughout the Middle East, the chapter considers whether this regional alliance model will once again give way to bilateral alliances. What opportunities for a larger regional role exist for powers that have traditionally not perceived the Gulf as within their sphere of interests? It then discusses how the contributions to this book address this changing dynamic, and analyzes the central themes discussed in this volume.","PeriodicalId":294385,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Alliances/Inter-State Relationships (Topic)","volume":"65 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128620642","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Russia's Economic Aid to Other Countries in 2016","authors":"Y. Zaytsev, A. Knobel","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3057284","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3057284","url":null,"abstract":"In the past few years, the volumes of Russia’s aid to foreign states remained high. Also, substantial growth was observed in the share of the bilateral development aid (when the aid is channeled directly to the recipient) as compared to the multilateral aid (when it is provided through international organizations). This can be explained by expansion of aid programs to former-Soviet states, including programs aimed at promoting the Eurasian economic integration.","PeriodicalId":294385,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Alliances/Inter-State Relationships (Topic)","volume":"69 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-10-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116780598","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mehran Kamrava, A. Lieven, M. Monshipouri, G. Winrow, H. Ahmadi, J. Mankoff, Meliha Benli Altunışık, B. Balci, Richard Giragosian, A. Kupatadze, Anar Valiyev
{"title":"The Great Game in West Asia","authors":"Mehran Kamrava, A. Lieven, M. Monshipouri, G. Winrow, H. Ahmadi, J. Mankoff, Meliha Benli Altunışık, B. Balci, Richard Giragosian, A. Kupatadze, Anar Valiyev","doi":"10.1093/oso/9780190673604.003.0001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190673604.003.0001","url":null,"abstract":"The Great Game in West Asia examines the strategic competition between Iran and Turkey for power and influence in the South Caucasus. These neighboring Middle East powers have vied for supremacy and influence throughout the region and especially in their immediate vicinity, while contending with ethnic heterogeneity both within their own territories and across their borders. Turkey has long conceived of itself as not just a bridge between Asia and Europe but in more substantive terms as a central player in regional and global affairs. If somewhat more modest in its public statements, Iran’s parallel ambitions for strategic centrality and influence have only been masked by its own inarticulate foreign policy agendas and the repeated missteps of its revolutionary leaders. But both have sought to deepen their regional influence and power, and in the South Caucasus each has achieved a modicum of success. In fact, as the contributions to this volume demonstrate, as much of the world’s attention has been diverted to conflicts and flashpoints near and far, a new great game has been unravelling between Iran and Turkey in the South Caucasus.","PeriodicalId":294385,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Alliances/Inter-State Relationships (Topic)","volume":"37 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2017-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130652248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How the Prospect of Non-Compliance Affects Elite Preferences for International Cooperation: Evidence from a 'Lab in the Field' Experiment","authors":"E. Hafner-Burton, Brad L. LeVeck, D. Victor","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2431525","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2431525","url":null,"abstract":"Uncertainty about a state’s own capacity to comply with an international agreement makes countries wary of international cooperation. There are a variety of possible explanations. That screening effect could result from the decision to avoid the costs associated with formal institutional enforcement. Alternatively, it could result from fear of informal retaliation, reputational loss, or the desire to abide by international norms. The empirical record of extensive treaty membership and high compliance offers little variation with which to evaluate these explanations. We develop an experimental survey conducted on 95 actual high level policy elites in the United States that allows us to look causally at the link between formal enforcement and decision maker preferences for cooperation under different conditions of uncertainty about their country’s future compliance. We provide the first elite-level evidence that uncertainty about future compliance with treaty obligations decreases policy makers’ willingness to cooperate by joining treaties. However, we also demonstrate that compliance uncertainty makes decision makers wary of cooperation more out of concern for the shadow of the future than for immediate threats of punishment imposed by institutional enforcement of treaty obligations. Uncertainty, rather than the costs associated with institutional enforcement, may be the driving force behind the screening effect, which is at least in part a matter of the personal dispositions of decision makers.","PeriodicalId":294385,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Alliances/Inter-State Relationships (Topic)","volume":"56 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114705296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Regional Linkages and Global Policy Alignment: The Case of China–Southeast Asia Relations","authors":"P. Abb, Georg Strüver","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2600419","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2600419","url":null,"abstract":"This paper uses the case of Sino–Southeast Asian relations to gain insights on China’s ability to muster support for its global agenda. The analysis focuses on the regional–global nexus of interstate relations and explores the extent to which the quality of two states’ regional relations influences the likelihood of behavioral alignment in global politics. To this end, we consider a range of potentially influential aspects of Sino–Southeast Asian relations (the quality of bilateral relations based on recent event data, alliance policy, regime similarity, development level, and economic ties) and employ a statistical model to search for correlations with observed trends of voting coincidence in the United Nations General Assembly during the period 1979–2010. We find a strong correlation between the quality of regional bilateral relations and global policy alignment, which indicates that patterns of regional cooperation and conflict also impact the trajectory of China’s rise in world affairs.","PeriodicalId":294385,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Alliances/Inter-State Relationships (Topic)","volume":"2 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129284839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The 40th Anniversary of Korea-India Amity: Evaluation and Prospects for Investment Cooperation","authors":"C. Cho, Yoon-Jung Choi","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2488371","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2488371","url":null,"abstract":"The Korea-India diplomatic relationship marked its 40th year in 2013. Regarding relations between the two countries, investment plays a particularly significant role, because trade barriers from India make investment an effective channel of cooperation compared to trade. Moreover, India has placed greater priority and emphasis on investment rather than trade, as the country is suffering from chronic trade deficits and a lack of investment sources. Despite the importance of investment, however, in the late 2000s, other major investing countries boosted their investments significantly in India and consequently weakened Korea’s standing. Since 2007, Singapore has become the second largest investor in India after Mauritius, a well-known tax haven. The fourth largest foreign investor in India is Japan, whose cumulative investment represents 7.4% of India’s total investment from 2000 to 2013. Meanwhile, during the same period, Korea was ranked 13th, accounting for 0.6% of foreign investment in India. This paper examines the achievements related to investment between Korea and India by analyzing associated trends, characteristics and determinants. Flaws and solutions are also identified, through a comparative analysis on the distinct features of FDI in India and on the investment patterns of major investors. The paper ultimately aims to propose policy challenges for the future and contribute to bringing the two countries closer together as investment partners.","PeriodicalId":294385,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Alliances/Inter-State Relationships (Topic)","volume":"702 ","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2014-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"120877884","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
E. Yeoh, Susie Yieng-Ping Ling, Lionel Wei-Li Liong
{"title":"China-ASEAN Relations Amidst Territorial Dispute, Maritime Conflict and Nationalism: Challenges and Prospects","authors":"E. Yeoh, Susie Yieng-Ping Ling, Lionel Wei-Li Liong","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2207584","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2207584","url":null,"abstract":"This paper looks at the impact of the rise of China on the geopolitical configuration and international relations in the East Asian region the main flashpoints of which include the high-profile disputes over the ownership of the islands, atolls, reefs, cays and islets in the South China Sea (SCS)/ Biển Đong (East Vietnam Sea)/West Philippine Sea which reflect in a large part in reality resource conflicts. The rapid growth of China’s population, with an increase of more than ten million people per year, and the general shortage in energy resources to feed her rapid economic growth underlines the importance of the resource-rich SCS. In terms of geopolitics, the Spratlys occupy a highly important strategic position, the key to the control of the SCS and critical hub in China’s sea route transport connection with East Asia, West Asia and the Indian Ocean. Looking at the Spratlys and Paracels disputes as the major military-related security problem in the relations between China and ASEAN, the paper examines the challenges posed by China’s ascendance in the global arena in recent decades, in particular within the context of the changing ASEAN-China relations in terms of both geopolitical and economic terms, with special focus on the attendant problem of the conflict in the SCS and the critical issue of finding a solution to the conflict.","PeriodicalId":294385,"journal":{"name":"PSN: Alliances/Inter-State Relationships (Topic)","volume":"141 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-10-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132653602","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}