PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic)最新文献_第2页

EU-Ukraine DCFTA: The Model for Eastern Partnership Regional Trade Cooperation 欧盟-乌克兰自贸区:东部伙伴关系区域贸易合作的典范

PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-10-08 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2158664

V. Movchan, V. Shportyuk

{"title":"EU-Ukraine DCFTA: The Model for Eastern Partnership Regional Trade Cooperation","authors":"V. Movchan, V. Shportyuk","doi":"10.2139/SSRN.2158664","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/SSRN.2158664","url":null,"abstract":"The EU has been one of the largest trade partners for so called Eastern Partnership (EaP) countries, namely Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine. Commodity turnover of these countries with the EU vary between 30% and 50% of total, but their access to the EU market is less preferential than for many other neighboring countries. They trade with the EU on the basis of MFN regime, and five EaP countries, with exemption of Belarus, use privileges provided by Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) or the GSP+ or autonomous trade preferences (Moldova). With the launch of EaP initiative in 2009, relations between the EU and the Eastern European countries (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine) have received new impetus for development. The EaP offers upgrade of relations within three major dimensions, namely (a) the Association Agreement (AA), (b) Agreement on a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area (DCFTA), and (c) Visa Facilitation and Readmission agreements. The AA talks have been launched with all EaP countries expect for Belarus, and four of them have been involved in the DCFTA talks. Ukraine has progressed the most, as after five years of negotiations the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement with embedded DCFTA has been initialed in 2012. The aim of this study is to assess gains and losses that could arise from the DCFTA with the EU for the EaP countries, using information about EU-Ukraine DCFTA as model case for EaP regional trade cooperation. The focus of the paper is on non-tariff (regulatory) component of the EU DCFTA and potential implications of regulatory approximation. Also, current level of harmonization of EaP countries’ regulatory framework with the EU acquis in the areas related to the DCFTA is analyzed.","PeriodicalId":285675,"journal":{"name":"PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic)","volume":"4 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-10-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117009036","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 12

Deepening Regional Integration and Organizing World Trade: The Limits of ECOWAS 深化区域一体化与组织世界贸易:西非经共体的局限性

PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-09-24 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2151519

Oyeniyi Abe

引用次数: 2

Experience of Recently Acceded Member Countries to the WTO 新加入世贸组织的成员国的经验

PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-09-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2144693

A. K. Kanungo

引用次数: 0

Balance‐of‐Payments Crises During the Great Recession: Is this Time Different? 大衰退期间的国际收支危机:这次不同吗?

PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-08-01 DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2012.01036.x

Tiziano Arduini, Giuseppe De Arcangelis, Carlo L. Del Bello

{"title":"Balance‐of‐Payments Crises During the Great Recession: Is this Time Different?","authors":"Tiziano Arduini, Giuseppe De Arcangelis, Carlo L. Del Bello","doi":"10.1111/j.1467-9396.2012.01036.x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9396.2012.01036.x","url":null,"abstract":"During the 2007–09 financial crisis large volatility and wide currency swings characterized the foreign exchange market. This paper utilizes the early‐warning framework to evaluate whether during the period of the Great Recession there has been a structural break in the relationship between fundamentals and exchange rates. This is done by extending an original data set from 1999 and including not only the most recent period, but also 17 new countries. The analysis considers two variations of the original early‐warning system. First, two new methods are proposed to obtain the probability distribution of the early‐warning indicator (conditional on the occurrence of a crisis) - one fully parametric and one based on a novel distribution‐free semi‐parametric approach. Second, the original early‐warning indicator is compared with a core indicator that includes only “pseudo‐financial variables” (domestic credit/GDP, the real exchange rate, international reserves and the real interest‐rate differential) and their performance is evaluated not only for currency crises during the Great Recession, but also for the Asian Crisis. The conclusion from all tests is that “this time is different”, i.e. early‐warning systems based on traditional macroeconomic variables have not only failed to forecast currency crises during the Great Recession, but have also significantly worsened with respect to the period of the Asian crisis.","PeriodicalId":285675,"journal":{"name":"PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic)","volume":"82 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131372315","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 14

Factor Proportions and the Growth of World Trade 要素比例与世界贸易增长

PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2128629

Robert Zymek

引用次数: 9

Exporting Under Financial Constraints: Margins, Switching Dynamics and Prices 金融约束下的出口:利润率、转换动态和价格

PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-06-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2148467

A. Secchi, Federico Tamagni, Chiara Tomasi

引用次数: 18

Technical Barriers to Trade Provisions in Regional Trade Agreements 区域贸易协定中的技术性贸易壁垒条款

PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-06-20 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2088215

Lee Ti Ting

引用次数: 4

Thinking Outside the (Tax) Treaty (税收)条约之外的思考

PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-06-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1986357

Adam H. Rosenzweig

{"title":"Thinking Outside the (Tax) Treaty","authors":"Adam H. Rosenzweig","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1986357","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1986357","url":null,"abstract":"While the legal literature contains numerous discussions on how to increase cooperation and resolve disputes in trade, investment, environment, intellectual property, and other areas, there has been remarkably little written on how to utilize these mechanisms to increase multinational cooperation for tax purposes. Rather, the debate has tended to devolve into two competing and irreconcilable camps: those supporting worldwide harmonization based on the network of bilateral tax treaties and those invoking the right to tax sovereignty to oppose any efforts at harmonization or cooperation. The primary thesis of this Article is that the fundamental problem with cooperation in the modern international tax regime is that it builds on the tax treaty model, thus effectively excluding countries which have not entered into tax treaties — mostly small, poorer countries. Reconsidering international tax in this light leads to a potentially surprising conclusion: that the move towards institutionalizing the web of bilateral tax treaties — which has dominated the modern international tax debate — may actually be counter to its stated goal of encouraging broader worldwide tax cooperation across all nations of the world. Instead, this Article proposes the creation of a tax cooperation mechanism specifically geared towards non-treaty member countries, conceding certain disputes in exchange for increased cooperation more generally. Such an approach could effectively replicate some of the benefits of a tax treaty, but with non-treaty member countries, without needing to overcome the obstacles which have prevented full treaties from being entered among such countries to date. Building a tax cooperation mechanism specifically around the premise of incentivizing cooperation of the least cooperative states in this manner could harness the same forces that led to the emergence of the modern international tax regime in the early twentieth century to address the fiscal crisis facing the early twenty-first century.","PeriodicalId":285675,"journal":{"name":"PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic)","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133332337","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 10

Trade and Growth in an Unequal Global Economy 不平等全球经济中的贸易与增长

PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-06-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2079084

A. Kohler

{"title":"Trade and Growth in an Unequal Global Economy","authors":"A. Kohler","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2079084","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2079084","url":null,"abstract":"This paper studies the patterns of trade and the incentives to innovate in an unequal global economy. We introduce non-homothetic preferences in a general-equilibrium model of endogenous growth and international trade between two countries, and argue that the effects of market integration on the consequent trade patterns and the incentives to innovate depend on the degree of income inequality across countries. We find that if inequality across countries is low, the extensive margin of trade between countries is high whereas the world growth rate is low. The introduction of non-homothetic preferences rises a number of interesting questions that are not an issue in the standard model. For example, we discuss the design of intellectual property rights, in particular national vs. international exhaustion of patents, and argue that households in poor and rich countries might not see eye to eye depending on how poor households weigh future losses in consumption against present gains. Furthermore, we address the welfare consequences of a trade liberalization, and show that households in the poor country might loose relative to households in the rich country if trade costs fall from a high to a sufficiently low level.","PeriodicalId":285675,"journal":{"name":"PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic)","volume":"28 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131087945","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 3

Global Gains from Trade Liberalization 贸易自由化的全球收益

PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic) Pub Date : 2012-03-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2034256

Haichao Fan, E. Lai, H. Qi

{"title":"Global Gains from Trade Liberalization","authors":"Haichao Fan, E. Lai, H. Qi","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2034256","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2034256","url":null,"abstract":"What has been the overall global welfare impact of the accession to the World Trade Organization of a large country like China, or the global welfare impact of the completion of the Uruguay round of GATT negotiations? Can we come up with a simple user-friendly formula to calculate the global welfare impact of the simultaneous trade liberalization of a number of countries? How sensitive is the answer to the assumption of the trade model? We find a striking answer to these questions. We find that, for a very broad class of models and settings, the global welfare impact of trade liberalization in a country, or a simultaneous liberalization of a number of countries, is given by the same simple formula. We find that the global welfare impact of the simultaneous trade liberalization of different countries only depends on two sets of statistics: (i) the ratio of the value of bilateral trade between each and every pair of trading partners and global income; and (ii) the change in exporting cost for each and every pair of trading partners. Most interestingly, the formula applies to a very broad class of models and settings, which include the general Ricardian model (including, for example, Anderson, 1979, and Eaton and Kortum, 2002), the models of Krugman (1980), Melitz (2003) and its extensions, and the extensions of these models to the multi-sectoral case, multi-factor production technology, multi-stage production, the existence of tradable intermediate goods and the existence of a large outside good sector in each country. We find that global welfare would have been 0.05% lower in the year 2008 if China had not gained accession to the WTO in 2001.","PeriodicalId":285675,"journal":{"name":"PSN: International Trade Policy (Topic)","volume":"49 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2012-03-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125402928","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1