Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World最新文献

{"title":"A simulation-game to explore collective critical infrastructure resilience","authors":"J. V. Laere, P. Berggren, Osama Ibrahim, Aron Larsson, Susanne Kallin","doi":"10.1201/9781351174664-164","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351174664-164","url":null,"abstract":"Resilience of interdependent infrastructures increasingly depends on collaborative responses from actors with diverse backgrounds that may not be familiar with cascade effects into areas beyond the ...","PeriodicalId":278087,"journal":{"name":"Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World","volume":"43 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134233813","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Quantitative reliability analysis method for repairable systems with multiple correlations based on goal-oriented method","authors":"X. Yi, B. Xu, J. Shi, P. Hou, H. Mu","doi":"10.1201/9781351174664-312","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351174664-312","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":278087,"journal":{"name":"Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130730967","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Comparison of machine learning algorithms on data from the nuclear industry","authors":"E. Remy, E. Dautreme, C. Talón, Y. Dirat, C. Dinse Le Strat","doi":"10.1201/9781351174664-104","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351174664-104","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":278087,"journal":{"name":"Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World","volume":"74 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132899403","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Understanding and including the dynamics of extreme natural hazard event uncertainty within the overall offshore wind farm project risk assessment using a causality-based graphical modelling approach","authors":"R. Zamora, J. Qin, A. Kristensen, S. Mehmood, Shakeel Ahmed, S. Cuthbert","doi":"10.1201/9781351174664-192","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351174664-192","url":null,"abstract":"Offshore wind structures are subject to the combined action of wind and wave loads. A change of these loads may significantly affect the integrity of the structural elements. Increased instabilities in the Earth’s climate system could increase the frequency of extreme events (e.g. rogue waves) well beyond the frequency values currently recommended within structural design standards. Inherent to extreme event modelling is the need to use expert (subjective) judgement and sparse data sets. In this context, a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN) can be applied to describe the effect of these changes on the frequency of rogue waves within wind farms located in shallow water depths of 20–60 metres. This graphical modelling approach provides the structure to effectively communicate, among others, parameter uncertainty, causality across multiple risk factors, quantitative definition of assessment subjectivity or potential impact of a change in rogue wave frequency relative to that described in current design standards. them in the customary Risk Assessment process of a company that operates physical assets in an offshore environment is entirely justified, despite its complexity and the high number of uncertainties involved. In the present work a causality-based probabilistic graphical modelling methodology is proposed to assess the risk associated with rogue waves in offshore wind farm projects at the final design stage. The methodology includes the impact of future climate change and provides the structure in which to effectively communicate: a) parameter uncertainty; b) correlation across multiple risk factors (i.e. “Systems of Systems” (SoS) complexity mapping/analyses); c) definition of assessment subjectivity; d) and potential impacts of low probability catastrophic events (i.e. extreme events). The methodology provides a holistic framework that can be integrated into existing decision-making processes currently defined within a large capital project execution process. In brief, the method studies the probability of a rogue wave impacting an offshore structure situated in a predefined location of the Northern North Sea, between 20 and 60 m depth, and includes 3 main stages: risk understanding, qualitative bow-tie creation; and transformation to a Belief Bayesian Network.","PeriodicalId":278087,"journal":{"name":"Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World","volume":"13 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115344048","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Hazard identification for a dynamic positioning and mooring system in Arctic condition","authors":"T. Joung, H. Kim, Y. Kim, S. Cho, K. Kang, Y. Liu, M. Lundteigen","doi":"10.1201/9781351174664-217","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351174664-217","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":278087,"journal":{"name":"Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115399216","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Information flow and knowledge transfer of accident investigation results in the Norwegian construction industry","authors":"K. Wasilkiewicz","doi":"10.1201/9781351174664-358","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351174664-358","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":278087,"journal":{"name":"Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115791129","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A mathematical model for preliminary reliability and maintainability allocation","authors":"Z. Vintr, K. Hasilová, M. Vintr","doi":"10.1201/9781351174664-298","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351174664-298","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":278087,"journal":{"name":"Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World","volume":"113 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124118298","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Improving resilience management for critical infrastructures—strategies and practices across air traffic management and healthcare","authors":"V. Cedrini, M. Mancini, L. Rosi, G. Mandarino, S. Giorgi, I. Herrera, M. Branlat, J. Pettersson, Carl‐Oscar Jonson, L. Save, D. Ruscio","doi":"10.1201/9781351174664-166","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351174664-166","url":null,"abstract":"Recent natural and man-made disasters highlight that a more resilient approach to preparing for and dealing with such events is needed. To address this challenge, the main objective of the research and innovation H2020 project DARWIN is the development of European resilience management guidelines for Critical Infrastructures (CI). Based on a systematic literature survey with a world-wide scope and prioritization of resilience concepts, the guidelines have been developed taking into account everyday operations, contingency plans, training, etc. This paper describes insights gained from the adaptation of these guidelines in the domains of Air Traffic Management (ATM) and Healthcare (HC). A collaborative and iterative process has been defined involving relevant experts and practitioners. To ensure transnational, cross-sector applicability and uptake, a Community of Crisis and Resilience Practitioners (DARWIN DCoP) has been involved. The preliminary results indicate that a big step has been taken in moving from the resilience theory to practice. organization in the creation, assessment or improvement of its own reference guidelines, procedures and practices. What is really important is that DARWIN results are useful for our end users namely the Critical Infrastructures that include ATM and HC. For this purpose, the DARWIN Resilience management guidelines are designed to address disruptions, changes and opportunities; facilitate anticipation, adaptation, flexibility; and provide a foundation for an effective crisis response (Adini et al., 2017). An initial set of generic DRMG was produced (DARWIN D2.1, 2016) and then adapted to ATM and HC to make the guidelines more operational and usable in these domains. This paper presents the approach and methodology carried out to adapt the DRMG to both domains and discusses relevant results.","PeriodicalId":278087,"journal":{"name":"Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World","volume":"14 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114440917","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Revitalization of risk management in the Norwegian petroleum sector","authors":"B. Heide, G. Ersdal","doi":"10.1201/9781351174664-245","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351174664-245","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":278087,"journal":{"name":"Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114683498","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Harmonizing normative organizational structures and serification & validation concepts for safety critical generic projects","authors":"E. Dogruguven, I. Ustoglu","doi":"10.1201/9781351174664-398","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1201/9781351174664-398","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":278087,"journal":{"name":"Safety and Reliability – Safe Societies in a Changing World","volume":"28 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-06-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114736099","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}