{"title":"A simulation model for estimating human error probability","authors":"A. Angelopoulou, K. Mykoniatis, N. R. Boyapati","doi":"10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.038","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.038","url":null,"abstract":"This paper describes the system dynamics architecture of a simulation model which estimates human error probability for humans performing certain tasks in a given scenario. Human error probability is estimated as a function of the type of tasks performed and the number of performance shaping factors. In this work, the Standardized Plant Analysis Risk-Human (SPAR-H) reliability analysis method is utilized for estimating the probability of human error. The system dynamics simulation model captures the cause and effect relationships of the SPAR-H defined performance shaping factors that affect human error and uses them to assess the overall human error probability of the system. The present work is a continuation of our previous work on task analysis, workload and human reliability assessment simulation and aims to evaluate the system dynamics simulation as a potential approach to assess human reliability.","PeriodicalId":253381,"journal":{"name":"THE EUROPEAN MODELING AND SIMULATION SYMPOSIUM","volume":"5 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132197552","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Johannes Karder, Viktoria A. Hauder, A. Beham, K. Altendorfer, M. Affenzeller
{"title":"A new solution encoding for simulation-based multi-objective workforce qualification optimization","authors":"Johannes Karder, Viktoria A. Hauder, A. Beham, K. Altendorfer, M. Affenzeller","doi":"10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.037","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.037","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":253381,"journal":{"name":"THE EUROPEAN MODELING AND SIMULATION SYMPOSIUM","volume":"91 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115078743","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
M. Ryzhii, T. Otsuji, V. Ryzhii, V. Leiman, V. Mitin, M. Shur
{"title":"Models of terahertz and infrared devices based on graphene/black-AsP heterostructures","authors":"M. Ryzhii, T. Otsuji, V. Ryzhii, V. Leiman, V. Mitin, M. Shur","doi":"10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.034","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.034","url":null,"abstract":"The gapless energy spectrum of the graphene layers (GLs) enables the interband absorption and emission of photons and plasmons in the terahertz (THz) and infrared (IR) spectral range. The energy of the emerging the black-phosphorus (b-P), black-arsenic (b-As), and the compounds (b-AsxP1-x) varies from 0.15 to 1.7 eV, depending on the number of the atomic sheets and the component relative content. Due to a strong anisotropy of the b-P and b-As, the ratios of the carrier effective masses in different in-plain directions are very large. One of the crucial properties of the GL heterostructures with the b-P, b-As, and b-AsxP1-x barrier layers are associated with the GL Dirac point corresponding to the energy gap in the barriers. Combination of GLs with the b-P, b-As, and b-AsxP1-x layers opens new prospects for the novel THz and IR devices, in particular, GL-based photodetectors, electro-optical modulators, and sources of THz/IR radiation, including the lasers with the GL active region.","PeriodicalId":253381,"journal":{"name":"THE EUROPEAN MODELING AND SIMULATION SYMPOSIUM","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128097785","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Complexity analysis of the future car for automotive logistics","authors":"K. Pawlikowski, M. Toth","doi":"10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.023","url":null,"abstract":"The automotive industry has to manage radical changes. Especially, the complexity of parts and variants changed by the technological trends e-mobility and the increasing introduction of intelligent assistance systems that are based on embedded systems. Moreover, not only the car complexity is affected. To realise the impact of change, a holistic complexity analysis of the product car has to be done. Such analysis is particularly relevant for logistics, which acts as a cross-divisional function between technology development, procurement, production, sales and after-sales. Therefore, this contribution presents identified impact areas in the field of the automotive logistics followed by developed indicators to realise an approach for a holistic complexity analysis. This is necessary to identify impacts on logistics processes, e.g. sourcing strategies.","PeriodicalId":253381,"journal":{"name":"THE EUROPEAN MODELING AND SIMULATION SYMPOSIUM","volume":"37 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115098596","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Estimates of unknown transformation parameters in terrestrial measurements: one simulated problem","authors":"M. Nedvedova, J. Marek, P. Chmelar","doi":"10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.051","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.051","url":null,"abstract":"In connection with the expansion of 3D scanners, 3D object modeling has become highly studied in recent years. Many methods are currently available to solve the registration problem, whereby unknown transformation parameters need to be estimated when targeting a 3D object in multiple scans from different locations. Two different problems are encountered in the practice of targeting 3D objects in geodesy or construction. In the first variant, the measurement of the coordinates of the points of the 3D object is realized in several scans on tens of points marked with targets on a reflective surface. In the second variant, measurements of the coordinates of \"clouds of hundreds or thousands of points\" are available in several scans from different coordinate systems. In clouds it is necessary to find matching pairs of points, called identical points, based on their color match. In both versions, the coordinates of identical points from different coordinate systems must be recalculated to the selected coordinate system during data fusion. The problem leads to finding unknown shift and rotation transformation parameters. The aim of this article is to simulate the measurement of identical points in multiple scans. We will create a test task that can be used to test the methods proposed to solve the registration problem.","PeriodicalId":253381,"journal":{"name":"THE EUROPEAN MODELING AND SIMULATION SYMPOSIUM","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126479482","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
M. Belkin, T. Bakhvalova, V. Golovin, Y. Tyschuk, A. Sigov
{"title":"Selecting an optimal computer software to design microwave-bandwidth optoelectronic devices of a fiber-optics link","authors":"M. Belkin, T. Bakhvalova, V. Golovin, Y. Tyschuk, A. Sigov","doi":"10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.043","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.043","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":253381,"journal":{"name":"THE EUROPEAN MODELING AND SIMULATION SYMPOSIUM","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132102578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
G. Policroniades, I. F. D. L. Mota, J. L. D. Paz, Sashiko Sihirai
{"title":"VRP complex network analysis and simulation","authors":"G. Policroniades, I. F. D. L. Mota, J. L. D. Paz, Sashiko Sihirai","doi":"10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.048","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.048","url":null,"abstract":"When carrying out a systemic analysis of a distribution network, it is possible to identify controllable and non-controllable factors for decision makers, when the system being disaggregated into greater levels of detail, which may affect compliance with a deterministic routing plan. Some of these factors, to mention a few, may include late deliveries of raw material, unexpected transportation failures, unexpected closures of some distribution center; among others. If this type of analysis is combined with a topological analysis of the network as complex one, then it will be possible to develop more robust networks that can deal with a greater number of adversities. Identifying the topological analysis as an opportunity niche for the elaboration of possible scenarios to improve the flow through the entire network. These scenarios have been simulated in SIMIO. One way to mix both principles, is possible to find in the method proposed by authors. A case study is shown in the automotive industry.","PeriodicalId":253381,"journal":{"name":"THE EUROPEAN MODELING AND SIMULATION SYMPOSIUM","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121001038","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
António A. C. Vieira, L. Dias, G. Pereira, J.A. Oliveira
{"title":"A novel application of pre-signals to improve the performance of signalized intersections: evaluation through simulation","authors":"António A. C. Vieira, L. Dias, G. Pereira, J.A. Oliveira","doi":"10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.027","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.027","url":null,"abstract":"To ponder less costlier solutions to solve traffic congestion problems at signalized intersections, this paper proposes a novel application consisting of using pre-signals. Hence, an agent-based traffic simulation model was developed, where it is possible to model different types of intersections – including roundabouts of different sizes – and quantify and compare their performance. By analyzing the simulation results, it was found that: on the intersection with pre-signals, an increase in the flow of 10% and 3% was registered, the vehicles spent 1 and 2 less minutes to cross the intersection and the fuel consumption was decreased in 22% and 44%, in comparison to regular intersections and roundabouts, respectively. Concerning the size of queues, it was noted that the queues of the regular intersection were 60 meters longer than the queues on the intersection with pre-signals and on the roundabout. Based on these findings, and by making cost assumptions, a small cost analysis was made, which indicates that at least 1 million € could be yearly saved.","PeriodicalId":253381,"journal":{"name":"THE EUROPEAN MODELING AND SIMULATION SYMPOSIUM","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122777480","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Mixed Discrete-Events and Agent-Based Modeling of a complex automatic warehouse for copper tubes bundles","authors":"Braglia Marcello, Frosolini Marco, Gabbrielli Roberto, Marrazzini Leonardo, Padellini Luca","doi":"10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.044","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.044","url":null,"abstract":"The use of simulation modelling in science and engineering is today well established. Three methods exist that allow to build complex simulation models in many different contexts: Discrete Event Simulation, System Dynamics, and Agent Based Simulation. Despite the interesting results obtained, what has really limited the parallel and combined application of the three currently used paradigms was the lack of integrated simulation tools. This paper presents the outcomes of a complex plant simulation that has been carried out by means of the parallel and combined application of Discrete Event Simulation and Agent Based Simulation, while using a well-structured modular approach. This presents the advantage of simplifying the building, the debugging and the validation of the whole simulation model, while, at the same time, it offers the unquestionable benefit of allowing a widespread reusability of the simulation code.","PeriodicalId":253381,"journal":{"name":"THE EUROPEAN MODELING AND SIMULATION SYMPOSIUM","volume":"38 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127108669","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Towards more efficient multiclass AUC computations","authors":"S. Dreiseitl","doi":"10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.046","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.46354/i3m.2019.emss.046","url":null,"abstract":"The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC) can be used to assess the discriminatory power of a dichotomous classifier model. Extending this measure to more than two classes is not obvious, and a number of variants have been proposed in the literature. We investigate a heuristic approximation to a method that generalizes the notion of probabilities being correctly ordered, which is equivalent to AUC, to an arbitrary number of classes. While the exact method is computationally complex, we propose a much simpler heuristic that is linear in the number of classes for every combination of data points. Using one artificial and one real-world data set, we demonstrate empirically that this simple heuristic can provide good approximations to the exact method, with Pearson correlation coefficients between 0.85 and 0.998 across all data sets.","PeriodicalId":253381,"journal":{"name":"THE EUROPEAN MODELING AND SIMULATION SYMPOSIUM","volume":"71 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126238434","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}