Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal最新文献_第2页

Conflict Forecasting and Its Limits 冲突预测及其局限性

Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal Pub Date : 2017-02-19 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2920514

Thomas Chadefaux

引用次数: 27

Impulsive Behavior in Competition: Testing Theories of Overbidding in Rent-Seeking Contests 竞争中的冲动行为:寻租竞争中超竞价的检验理论

Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal Pub Date : 2016-09-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2676419

Roman M. Sheremeta

引用次数: 62

Trading Fire: The Arms Trade Network and Civil War 《战火交易:武器贸易网络与内战

Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal Pub Date : 2016-09-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2835679

B. Benson, Kristopher W. Ramsay

{"title":"Trading Fire: The Arms Trade Network and Civil War","authors":"B. Benson, Kristopher W. Ramsay","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2835679","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2835679","url":null,"abstract":"The last fifty years have seen two big changes in world politics. First, the most important violent conflicts now largely play out within states rather than between great powers. Second, the decrease in transportation cost has pulled even the smallest and remote countries in the the global exchange of goods and services. In this paper we study how these two fundamental elements of modern world politics interact by analyzing the effects of the trade in small arms on the severity of civil war measured in terms of battle deaths. Using an instrumental variables approach we provide credible evidence that the trade in small arms increases the deadliness for combatants in civil war. Our results also show that sanctions and arms embargoes decrease the loss of combatant life. In addition, our estimation strategy implies an effect of markets and the arms trade network on the transmission of violence to civil war locations. In essence the results show that the arms trade produces a law of conservation of violence. As one civil war ends, the resulting changes in the international market leads other war torn countries’ imports to increase, which in turn increases the number of casualties in ongoing civil wars.","PeriodicalId":234067,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal","volume":"45 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128090900","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 3

A Note on the Size of Trading Blocs, Market Power and World Welfare Effects 贸易集团的规模、市场力量和世界福利效应

Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal Pub Date : 2016-05-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2786379

Winston W. Chang, Tai-liang Chen, Tetsuya Saito

引用次数: 1

Rural Grievances, Landholding Inequality and Civil Conflict 农村不满、土地占有不平等和国内冲突

Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal Pub Date : 2016-02-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2551186

Henry Thomson

{"title":"Rural Grievances, Landholding Inequality and Civil Conflict","authors":"Henry Thomson","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2551186","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2551186","url":null,"abstract":"Economic grievances, particularly those caused by landholding inequality, play a central role in theories of political instability and civil conflict. However, cross-national empirical studies have failed to confirm the link between unequal distributions of land and civil war. This is due to problems in measuring and theorizing rural inequality. A measure of landholding inequality which accounts for landlessness captures economic grievances in the countryside and is predicted to be correlated with conflict. Gini coefficients of the concentration of land ownership do not only capture grievances among landowners, but also their ability to act collectively as rebels and a repressive rural elite. The relationship between landholding Ginis and conflict is shaped like an inverted 'U': inequality is associated with an increasing likelihood of conflict, but as concentration of landholdings and grievances reach very high levels the likelihood of conflict decreases with the formation of a small repressive class of landowners. Results of regressions using new data on overall land inequality and the concentration of landholdings confirm these predictions, suggesting that landholding inequality should not be ruled out as an important underlying cause of civil war.","PeriodicalId":234067,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal","volume":"54 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-02-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124033467","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 39

Affinity and Hostility in Divided Communities: A Mathematical Model 分裂社区中的亲和和敌意:一个数学模型

Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal Pub Date : 2015-11-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2687353

C. Thron, R. McCoy

引用次数: 1

What's in a Line? Natural Experiments and the Line of Demarcation in WWII Occupied France 一行里有什么?自然实验与二战被占领法国的分界线

Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal Pub Date : 2015-07-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2555716

M. Kocher, Nuno P. Monteiro

引用次数: 5

Social Practice of Conflict Management in HRM System: A Parfum Company Case in Saint-Petersburg (Russia) 人力资源管理系统中冲突管理的社会实践——以俄罗斯圣彼得堡香水公司为例

Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal Pub Date : 2015-05-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2613556

Anastasia Kraiukhina, M. Rubtcova

{"title":"Social Practice of Conflict Management in HRM System: A Parfum Company Case in Saint-Petersburg (Russia)","authors":"Anastasia Kraiukhina, M. Rubtcova","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2613556","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2613556","url":null,"abstract":"This study focused on the investigation of the organizational conflicts and ways and methods of their regulation in the human resource management system. The research was based on Marxist and Lewis Coser’s approaches to studying organizational conflicts, collaboration among employees and everyday organizational practices. The research questions were as follows: which objectives the HRM department is assigned with; what is the place of the department in the organization; which problems the head of the department and employees are faced with in everyday activity; what is the practice used in the organization for managing conflicts. In order to achieve the target, researcher analyzed the data collected in the company named \"Parfum\", Saint Petersburg, Russia. The methodology used in this research was a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods. After an expert in-depth interview with the head of the HRM department of the company, a questionnaire survey of employees was conducted. The result showed that the organization’s staff as a group is an important social foundation of this company; and conflicts that arise within the company are solved most often with the involvement of the head of this department.","PeriodicalId":234067,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal","volume":"43 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2015-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114877558","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Does Exposure to Violence Increase or Decrease Support for Political Violence? 接触暴力会增加还是减少对政治暴力的支持?

Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal Pub Date : 2015-03-03 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2573300

Direnç Kanol

引用次数: 1

Terrorist Group Brutality and the Emergence of the Islamic State 恐怖组织的暴行和伊斯兰国的出现

Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal Pub Date : 2014-08-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2479740

P. J. Phillips

{"title":"Terrorist Group Brutality and the Emergence of the Islamic State","authors":"P. J. Phillips","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2479740","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2479740","url":null,"abstract":"We assess the certainty with which terrorist groups can repeatedly inflict fatalities in terrorist attacks. A terrorist group is particularly dangerous that can inflict higher levels of fatalities with more certainty than other groups. We develop a fatalities-to-variability (F-V) measurement statistic to shed some light on the risk-adjusted brutality of terrorist groups. A relatively high F-V ratio indicates that a terrorist group demonstrates a capability to inflict fatalities with less variable outcomes across attacks than other groups. An increasing F-V ratio indicates an enhancement of this capability. Terrorist groups observed to be increasing the F-V ratio of their actions may be special cause for concern, especially when F increases concomitant with decreases in V. We compute the F-V statistic for every terrorist group that was active during the period 2000 to 2008. We assess the results and compare the relative brutality of terrorist groups. We examine several prominent cases including Algerian terrorism, Al-Qa`ida, the Taliban, the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA) and the Islamic State (ISIS). ISIS has been accorded considerable attention recently. However, its emergence as a terrorist group with a relatively high F-V ratio can be traced to as early as 2007.","PeriodicalId":234067,"journal":{"name":"Conflict Studies: Scientific Study eJournal","volume":"213 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2014-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121452791","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0