{"title":"Applying Lessons from the Past? Exploring Historical Analogies in ECB Speeches through Text Mining, 1997-2019","authors":"Anselm Küsters","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3861671","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3861671","url":null,"abstract":"By employing Text Mining methods such as Structural Topic Modeling to examine all 2,135 speeches by ECB Executive Board members between February 1997 and October 2019, this paper identifies and analyses a significant semantic change that occurred in ECB communication in the transition from Great Moderation to Great Recession. The methodology also allows for a structured and empirical assessment of the hypothesis that central bankers used ‘lessons from the past’ during the crisis. The quantitative and qualitative results indicate that references to historical analogies indeed increased at the height of the crisis (2009-11) but often served only rhetorical functions.","PeriodicalId":22967,"journal":{"name":"The Repository: Historiographical eJournal","volume":"8 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89013299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Culture, Institutions & the Long Divergence","authors":"Alberto Bisin, Jared Rubin, A. Seror, T. Verdier","doi":"10.3386/W28488","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3386/W28488","url":null,"abstract":"Recent theories of the Long Divergence between Middle Eastern and Western European economies focus on Middle Eastern (over-)reliance on religious legitimacy, use of slave soldiers, and persistence of restrictive proscriptions of religious (Islamic) law. These theories take as exogenous the cultural values that complement the prevailing institutions. As a result, they miss the role of cultural values in either supporting the persistence of or inducing change in the economic and institutional environment. In this paper, we address these issues by modeling the joint evolution of institutions and culture. In doing so, we place the various hypotheses of economic divergence into one, unifying framework. We highlight the role that cultural transmission plays in reinforcing institutional evolution toward either theocratic or secular states. We extend the model to shed light on political decentralization and technological change in the two regions.","PeriodicalId":22967,"journal":{"name":"The Repository: Historiographical eJournal","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83168058","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Fiction, Truth and Method","authors":"O. Bertolami","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3851564","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3851564","url":null,"abstract":"How does fiction help to build a consensual narrative of the time we live? How necessary is this narrative and how close it should resemble the reality? Since its inception, fiction can state and frame ideas and concepts through the refutation of the established aesthetical, ethical, hermeneutical, ontological and political consensus. This inverted logics that Aristotle regarded so dangerous is in fact the ultimate capability of the fictional narrative to capture the reality in vivo and to describe it with its full colours. However, it is undeniable that this intrinsically disruptive strength can be particularly unsettling. The very imagination that turns Gregor Samsa into an insect and transforms David Kepesh into a huge breast can very well distort reality and pretend that a lost election have been rigged and won by a lot. How can one be sure that a culture is mature enough in exercising fact verification and in analysing reality with scientific tolls that it is shielded against ideological, political or religious fictions? How to ensure that society has means to deconstruct distortions and lies engendered by social agents with specific interests? We believe that just a blend of objective means of fact verification, scientific analysis and an uncommitted ethical bond with truth can ensure that society is not misled by lies and misrepresentations of reality.","PeriodicalId":22967,"journal":{"name":"The Repository: Historiographical eJournal","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77884484","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Human Biographical Record (HBR)","authors":"Arash Nekoei, Fabian Sinn","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3741450","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3741450","url":null,"abstract":"We construct a new dataset of more than seven million notable individuals across recorded human history, the Human Biographical Record (HBR). With Wikidata as the backbone, HBR adds further information from various digital sources, including Wikipedia in all 292 languages. Machine learning and text analysis combine the sources and extract information on date and place of birth and death, gender, occupation, education, and family background. This paper discusses HBR's construction and its completeness, coverage, accuracy, and also its strength and weakness relative to prior datasets. HBR is the first part of a larger project, the human record project that we briefly introduce.","PeriodicalId":22967,"journal":{"name":"The Repository: Historiographical eJournal","volume":"64 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80337175","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yulingga Nanda Hanief, Guntur Firmansyah, Novri Gazali, G. Ramadan, Sabaruddin Yunis Bangun, M. E. Winarno
{"title":"Produktivitas Publikasi Dosen Pendidikan Jasmani di Indonesia: Suatu Kajian Pada SINTA dari 2015-2019","authors":"Yulingga Nanda Hanief, Guntur Firmansyah, Novri Gazali, G. Ramadan, Sabaruddin Yunis Bangun, M. E. Winarno","doi":"10.29407/repo/192","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29407/repo/192","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":22967,"journal":{"name":"The Repository: Historiographical eJournal","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-06-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89354150","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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