Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences最新文献

{"title":"Estimating the observation errors of FY-3C radio occultation dataset using the three-cornered hat method","authors":"Jiman Zhang, Xiaohua Xu, Jia Luo","doi":"10.1007/s44195-023-00054-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44195-023-00054-2","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract This study uses the three-cornered hat (3CH) method to estimate the observation error variances (ErrVars) of FY-3C RO refractivity, temperature, and specific humidity for the first time. The FY-3C RO data was compared to the three reference datasets including radiosonde observations and NCEP and ERA-Interim reanalyses. The ErrVars of FY-3C RO data are estimated at 18 globally distributed radiosonde stations by using the three reference datasets and are compared to corresponding gridded ErrVars estimated using only the two model datasets as references. The two types of estimates show good correlations at different heights, while the gridded estimates are generally the smaller ones, which may be attributed to the neglection of error correlations among the datasets when applying the 3CH method. Due to the lack of radiosonde data in oceanic and polar regions, the global distributions of FY-3C RO observation errors are presented based on the estimated 5° × 5° gridded ErrVars. The global distribution of the FY-3C RO fractional error standard deviations (ErrSDs) demonstrates that the observation error varies greatly at different pressure levels and latitudes. Specifically, the refractivity ErrSDs at 200 hPa and 50 hPa are significantly higher around 30°N and 30°S than in other areas. The specific humidity ErrSDs generally increase as pressure levels decrease. In addition, statistics show that the fractional ErrSDs of refractivity are generally the lowest between 45° N–75° N and 45° S–75° S at all pressure levels, and land-sea differences exist in the fractional ErrSDs for all three types of RO data.","PeriodicalId":22259,"journal":{"name":"Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136348600","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Surface deformation induced by the 2016 Meinong earthquake and its implications to active folds","authors":"De-Cheng Yi, Ray Y. Chuang, Ling-Ho Chung, Ching-Weei Lin, Ruey-Juin Rau","doi":"10.1007/s44195-023-00053-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44195-023-00053-3","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract We present 230 field observations on the location, trending, and displacement vectors of the coseismic surface cracks induced by the 2016 Meinong earthquake in the Guanmiao area, SW Taiwan. Coseismic surface cracks trends from the north to northeast. The coseismic deformed region moved toward the W-WNW. In Guanmiao town, surface cracks were mainly distributed on both limbs of the Guanmiao syncline. The preseismic deformation was also observed along the axial trace of the Guanmiao syncline. These results give clues to high structural activities in SW Taiwan. We argue that Guanmiao syncline is an active fold with both coseismic activity and interseismic creeping, which induced nonnegligible micro-geohazards because of the continual loss. We report a new case of the normal bending-moment fault, the Luosianliao fault, which locates between the Guanmiao syncline and Chungchou anticline. However, the linkage between the shallow Luosianliao fault and the deep-seated causative fault of Guanmiao aftershocks are not known yet. We demonstrate the kinematic process of coseismic surface deformation and argue that the bending-moment fault could provide an opportunity to understand the recurrence interval of folding. The mechanism of earthquake-induced folding amplification through high fluid-pressure rocks may play a critical role in assessing earthquake hazard risks in regions with similar geology to SW Taiwan.","PeriodicalId":22259,"journal":{"name":"Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135616742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Three-dimensional hydrological thresholds to predict shallow landslides","authors":"Seulchan Lee, Seungcheol Oh, Ram. L. Ray, Yangwon Lee, Minha Choi","doi":"10.1007/s44195-023-00052-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44195-023-00052-4","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Past studies have focused on the importance of hydrological variables in analyzing landslide initiation condition. Even though precipitation is the main driver of shallow landslides and debris flows, use of only rainfall-based parameters has shown some limitations. Soil moisture has been used widely to improve threshold detection capabilities. Since soil moisture directly reflects the wetness status of the ground, it can be used to identify pore pressure fluctuations more effectively. This study used rainfall and soil moisture simultaneously to capture landslide initiation conditions in detail. Results showed that continued rainfall on the day of landslide leaded to a sudden increase in soil moisture, and that soil moisture increments (∆SM) were positive in 155 out of 170 landslide cases (91%). Two simple thresholds (daily precipitation over 40 mm, ∆SM over 0) and daily precipitation (P), Antecedent Precipitation Index (API), ∆SM-based three-dimensional threshold planes having 5%, 20% probability levels were applied and compared. With respect to false alarms (FA), P-based threshold was most effective among the single thresholds (FA ranging from 24 to 28 from September 2016 to December 2019 at five validation locations). Combining P- and ∆SM-based thresholds, FA reduced without compromising the detection accuracy (2 to 3 reduction in FA). Additionally combining three-dimensional threshold with 20% probability level, FA reduced significantly (ranging from 12 to 16), at the cost of two detection failures. These findings demonstrate the need for combining precipitation and soil moisture to determine landslide thresholds.","PeriodicalId":22259,"journal":{"name":"Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135883930","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Changes in El Niño characteristics and air–sea feedback mechanisms under progressive global warming","authors":"Min-Hua Shen, Jia-Yuh Yu","doi":"10.1007/s44195-023-00051-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44195-023-00051-5","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In this study, we investigate the potential changes of El Niño characteristics, including intensity, frequency and CP/EP El Niño ratio, under progressive global warming based on the 140-year CMIP6 model simulation outputs with the 1pctCO2 experiment. Major air-sea feedback mechanisms attributing to the changes are also examined. The CMIP6 ensemble means project a slight enhancement of El Niño intensity by about 2% and a modest increase of El Niño frequency by about 4% from the first to the second 70-year periods. It is found that these small changes result from the opposite response to global warming between CP and EP El Niño, i.e., the intensity of EP El Niño is projected to weaken by nearly 4.6% while the intensity of CP El Niño is projected to increase by about 4.5%. Since CP El Niño occurs more frequently than EP El Niño in CMIP6 simulations, this leads to a slight enhancement of the total El Niño intensity if these two types of El Niño were not separated. A similar situation occurs in projecting the future change of El Niño frequency, i.e., the frequency of EP El Niño is projected to decrease by about 1.4% while the frequency of CP El Niño is projected to increase by about 2%, thereby leading to a modest increase of the total El Niño frequency. By comparing the variance explained by key air-sea feedback mechanism between the two 70-year periods, we also note that the increased CP/EP ratio can be explained by the enhanced role played by the SF (seasonal footprinting) mechanism in a warmer atmosphere. Our study also points out that, as long as a climate model can correctly produce the intensity (variance) of major air-sea feedback mechanisms, the relationship between changes in El Niño characteristics and changes in feedback mechanisms can be physically robust.","PeriodicalId":22259,"journal":{"name":"Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136098357","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Development of landslide susceptibility mapping with a multi-variance statistical method approach in Kepahiang Indonesia","authors":"Eli Putriani, Yih-Min Wu, Chi-Wen Chen, Arif Ismulhadi, Darmawan Ikhlas Fadli","doi":"10.1007/s44195-023-00050-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44195-023-00050-6","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Landslides are an example of severe natural disasters that occur worldwide and generate many harmful effects that can affect the stability and development of society. A better-quality susceptibility mapping technique for the landslide risk is crucial for mitigating landslides. However, the use of assemblages of multivariate statistical methods is still uncommon in Indonesia, particularly in the Kepahiang Regency of Bengkulu Province. Therefore, the objective of this study was to provide an improved framework for creating landslide susceptibility map (LSM) using multivariate statistical methods, i.e., the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) method, the simple additive weighting (SAW) method and the frequency ratio (FR) method. In this study, we established a landslide inventory considering 15 causative factors using the area under the curve (AUC) validation method and another evaluation technique. The performance of each causative factor was evaluated using multicollinearity and Pearson correlation analysis with regression-based ranking. The LSM results showed that the most susceptible areas were located in the districts of Kabawetan, Kepahiang, and Tebat Karai. The high landslide risk in these areas could be attributed to the slope conditions in mountainous regions, which are characterized by high annual rainfall and seismic activity. The AUC training values of the AHP, SAW, and FR methods were 0.866, 0.838, and 0.812, respectively. Then, on the validation dataset, the AHP method yielded the highest AUC value (0.863), followed by the SAW (0.833) and FR (0.807) methods. Moreover, the AHP method provided a higher accuracy value, which suggests that the AHP method is more suitable than the other methods. Therefore, our research indicated that all algorithm methods generate a positive impact and greatly improve landslide susceptibility evaluation, especially for the preparation of landslide damage assessments in this study area. Finally, the method proposed in this study could improve the feasibility of LSM and provide support for Indonesian government decision-makers in arranging hazard mitigation measures in the Kepahiang Regency, Indonesia.","PeriodicalId":22259,"journal":{"name":"Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136308990","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"An integrated, non-destructive method for evaluating core quality from R/V Legend’s giant piston coring system (LGD-GPC)","authors":"Pai-Sen Yu, Ting-Ting Chen","doi":"10.1007/s44195-023-00048-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44195-023-00048-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":22259,"journal":{"name":"Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42216166","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Correction: Factors affecting interannual variation in late summer rainfall in the Red River Delta of Vietnam","authors":"D. Dinh, Hai Bui-Manh, Trung‑Hung Le, Yen-Ta Fu, Cheng-Chih Lin, Ming‑Cheng Yen","doi":"10.1007/s44195-023-00049-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44195-023-00049-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":22259,"journal":{"name":"Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49658693","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Strategy analysis of the extrapolation adjusted by model prediction (ExAMP) blending scheme for rainfall nowcasting","authors":"Chih-Chien Tsai, J. Liou, Hsin-Hao Liao, Yi-Chiang Yu, Yu-Chun Chen, Chung-Yi Lin, Kao‐Shen Chung, Ben Jong-Dao Jou","doi":"10.1007/s44195-023-00047-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44195-023-00047-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":22259,"journal":{"name":"Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46928408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Jianghan plain, the locale of China’s Great Flood four thousand years ago","authors":"Li-Xin Guo, Meng-Long Hsieh, Olga Gorodetskaya, Zi-Hao Fan, Shih-Ying Chiu","doi":"10.1007/s44195-023-00044-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44195-023-00044-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":22259,"journal":{"name":"Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42407806","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The VLF-induced ionospheric perturbations detected by DEMETER during solar minimum","authors":"Xuemin Zhang, L. Dong, Lei Nie","doi":"10.1007/s44195-023-00046-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s44195-023-00046-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":22259,"journal":{"name":"Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41775735","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}