PLoS Computational BiologyPub Date : 2025-02-07eCollection Date: 2025-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012780
Brinkley Raynor Bellotti, Elvis W Díaz, Micaela De la Puente-León, Maria T Rieders, Sergio E Recuenco, Michael Z Levy, Ricardo Castillo-Neyra
{"title":"Challenging a paradigm: Staggered versus single-pulse mass dog vaccination strategy for rabies elimination.","authors":"Brinkley Raynor Bellotti, Elvis W Díaz, Micaela De la Puente-León, Maria T Rieders, Sergio E Recuenco, Michael Z Levy, Ricardo Castillo-Neyra","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012780","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012780","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>From smallpox to poliomyelitis, halting contagion transmission through simultaneous mass vaccination is ubiquitous and often perceived as the only possible solution. But implementing mass vaccination campaigns in large populations within a short period poses many challenges. For example, in Arequipa, Peru, sweeping mass vaccination campaigns conducted yearly over a single weekend have failed to achieve the required 'herd immunity' to halt canine rabies transmission. Contrary to the global paradigm of a simultaneous campaign, the 2022 Arequipa rabies campaign was implemented at the sub-district level (patches), with dates of the campaign staggered across 6 months.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>We constructed a stochastic, metapopulation model to examine how the timing of pulsed vaccination campaigns across patches can affect metapopulation dynamics. We explore general metapopulation dynamics for pulsed vaccinations as well as parameterizing the model for canine rabies in Arequipa, Peru. We simulated how the timing of the planned vaccination campaign, staggered over 6 months versus a single yearly pulse, affected the prospects for regional rabies elimination.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Metapopulation dynamics can affect the efficacy of pulsed vaccination campaigns. In the case of Arequipa, Peru, the planned staggered mass dog vaccination campaign has the potential for local elimination with the tradeoffs of increased time to elimination and increased outbreak size due to metapopulation dynamics.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Heterogeneities caused by control strategies enactment at sub-population scales should be accounted for when modeling transmission dynamics. In Arequipa, Peru, although metapopulation dynamics may allow for re-introduction of canine rabies in previously vaccinated patches when mass dog vaccination campaigns are staggered temporally over 6 months, continuous mass vaccination reaching recommended vaccination coverage levels is sufficient to eliminate canine rabies.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"21 2","pages":"e1012780"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143371057","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Eliezyer Fermino de Oliveira, Pranjal Garg, Jens Hjerling-Leffler, Renata Batista-Brito, Lucas Sjulson
{"title":"Identifying patterns differing between high-dimensional datasets with generalized contrastive PCA.","authors":"Eliezyer Fermino de Oliveira, Pranjal Garg, Jens Hjerling-Leffler, Renata Batista-Brito, Lucas Sjulson","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012747","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012747","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>High-dimensional data have become ubiquitous in the biological sciences, and it is often desirable to compare two datasets collected under different experimental conditions to extract low-dimensional patterns enriched in one condition. However, traditional dimensionality reduction techniques cannot accomplish this because they operate on only one dataset. Contrastive principal component analysis (cPCA) has been proposed to address this problem, but it has seen little adoption because it requires tuning a hyperparameter resulting in multiple solutions, with no way of knowing which is correct. Moreover, cPCA uses foreground and background conditions that are treated differently, making it ill-suited to compare two experimental conditions symmetrically. Here we describe the development of generalized contrastive PCA (gcPCA), a flexible hyperparameter-free approach that solves these problems. We first provide analyses explaining why cPCA requires a hyperparameter and how gcPCA avoids this requirement. We then describe an open-source gcPCA toolbox containing Python and MATLAB implementations of several variants of gcPCA tailored for different scenarios. Finally, we demonstrate the utility of gcPCA in analyzing diverse high-dimensional biological data, revealing unsupervised detection of hippocampal replay in neurophysiological recordings and heterogeneity of type II diabetes in single-cell RNA sequencing data. As a fast, robust, and easy-to-use comparison method, gcPCA provides a valuable resource facilitating the analysis of diverse high-dimensional datasets to gain new insights into complex biological phenomena.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"21 2","pages":"e1012747"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143371061","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Rodrigo Osuna-Orozco, Edward Castillo, Kameron Decker Harris, Samantha R Santacruz
{"title":"Identification of recurrent dynamics in distributed neural populations.","authors":"Rodrigo Osuna-Orozco, Edward Castillo, Kameron Decker Harris, Samantha R Santacruz","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012816","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012816","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Large-scale recordings of neural activity over broad anatomical areas with high spatial and temporal resolution are increasingly common in modern experimental neuroscience. Recently, recurrent switching dynamical systems have been used to tackle the scale and complexity of these data. However, an important challenge remains in providing insights into the existence and structure of recurrent linear dynamics in neural time series data. Here we test a scalable approach to time-varying autoregression with low-rank tensors to recover the recurrent dynamics in stochastic neural mass models with multiple stable attractors. We demonstrate that the parsimonious representation of time-varying system matrices in terms of temporal modes can recover the attractor structure of simple systems via clustering. We then consider simulations based on a human brain connectivity matrix in high and low global connection strength regimes, and reveal the hierarchical clustering structure of the dynamics. Finally, we explain the impact of the forecast time delay on the estimation of the underlying rank and temporal variability of the time series dynamics. This study illustrates that prediction error minimization is not sufficient to recover meaningful dynamic structure and that it is crucial to account for the three key timescales arising from dynamics, noise processes, and attractor switching.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"21 2","pages":"e1012816"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143365041","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
PLoS Computational BiologyPub Date : 2025-02-06eCollection Date: 2025-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012768
Dennis Khodasevich, Nina Holland, Lars van der Laan, Andres Cardenas
{"title":"A SuperLearner-based pipeline for the development of DNA methylation-derived predictors of phenotypic traits.","authors":"Dennis Khodasevich, Nina Holland, Lars van der Laan, Andres Cardenas","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012768","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012768","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>DNA methylation (DNAm) provides a window to characterize the impacts of environmental exposures and the biological aging process. Epigenetic clocks are often trained on DNAm using penalized regression of CpG sites, but recent evidence suggests potential benefits of training epigenetic predictors on principal components.</p><p><strong>Methodology/findings: </strong>We developed a pipeline to simultaneously train three epigenetic predictors; a traditional CpG Clock, a PCA Clock, and a SuperLearner PCA Clock (SL PCA). We gathered publicly available DNAm datasets to generate i) a novel childhood epigenetic clock, ii) a reconstructed Hannum adult blood clock, and iii) as a proof of concept, a predictor of polybrominated biphenyl exposure using the three developmental methodologies. We used correlation coefficients and median absolute error to assess fit between predicted and observed measures, as well as agreement between duplicates. The SL PCA clocks improved fit with observed phenotypes relative to the PCA clocks or CpG clocks across several datasets. We found evidence for higher agreement between duplicate samples run on alternate DNAm arrays when using SL PCA clocks relative to traditional methods. Analyses examining associations between relevant exposures and epigenetic age acceleration (EAA) produced more precise effect estimates when using predictions derived from SL PCA clocks.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>We introduce a novel method for the development of DNAm-based predictors that combines the improved reliability conferred by training on principal components with advanced ensemble-based machine learning. Coupling SuperLearner with PCA in the predictor development process may be especially relevant for studies with longitudinal designs utilizing multiple array types, as well as for the development of predictors of more complex phenotypic traits.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"21 2","pages":"e1012768"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143365010","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Structural prediction of chimeric immunogen candidates to elicit targeted antibodies against betacoronaviruses.","authors":"Jamel Simpson, Peter M Kasson","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012812","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012812","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Betacoronaviruses pose an ongoing pandemic threat. Antigenic evolution of the SARS-CoV-2 virus has shown that much of the spontaneous antibody response is narrowly focused rather than broadly neutralizing against even SARS-CoV-2 variants, let alone future threats. One way to overcome this is by focusing the antibody response against better-conserved regions of the viral spike protein. This has been demonstrated empirically in prior work, but we posit that systematic design tools will further potentiate antigenic focusing approaches. Here, we present a design approach to predict stable chimeras between SARS-CoV-2 and other coronaviruses, creating synthetic spike proteins that display a desired conserved region, in this case S2, and vary other regions. We leverage AlphaFold to predict chimeric structures and create a new metric for scoring chimera stability based on AlphaFold outputs. We evaluated 114 candidate spike chimeras using this approach. Top chimeras were further evaluated using molecular dynamics simulation as an intermediate validation technique, showing good stability compared to low-scoring controls. Experimental testing of five predicted-stable and two predicted-unstable chimeras confirmed 5/7 predictions, with one intermediate result. This demonstrates the feasibility of the underlying approach, which can be used to design custom immunogens to focus the immune response against a desired viral glycoprotein epitope.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"21 2","pages":"e1012812"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143256375","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Christopher Graser, Takako Fujiwara-Greve, Julián García, Matthijs van Veelen
{"title":"Repeated games with partner choice.","authors":"Christopher Graser, Takako Fujiwara-Greve, Julián García, Matthijs van Veelen","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012810","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012810","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Repetition is a classic mechanism for the evolution of cooperation. The standard way to study repeated games is to assume that there is an exogenous probability with which every interaction is repeated. If it is sufficiently likely that interactions are repeated, then reciprocity and cooperation can evolve together in repeated prisoner's dilemmas. Who individuals interact with can however also be under their control, or at least to some degree. If we change the standard model so that it allows for individuals to terminate the interaction with their current partner, and find someone else to play their prisoner's dilemmas with, then this limits the effectiveness of disciplining each other within the partnership, as one can always leave to escape punishment. The option to leave can however also be used to get away from someone who is not cooperating, which also has a disciplining effect. We find that the net effect of introducing the option to leave on cooperation is positive; with the option to leave, the average amount of cooperation that evolves in simulations is substantially higher than without. One of the reasons for this increase in cooperation is that partner choice creates endogenous phenotypic assortment. Compared to the standard models for the co-evolution of reciprocity and cooperation, and models of kin selection, our model thereby produces a better match with many forms of human cooperation in repeated settings. Individuals in our model end up interacting, not with random others that they cannot separate from, once matched, or with others that they are genetically related to, but with partners that they choose to stay with, and that are similarly dependable not to play defect as they are themselves.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"21 2","pages":"e1012810"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143190088","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Paulina N Smaruj, Fahad Kamulegeya, David R Kelley, Geoffrey Fudenberg
{"title":"Interpreting the CTCF-mediated sequence grammar of genome folding with AkitaV2.","authors":"Paulina N Smaruj, Fahad Kamulegeya, David R Kelley, Geoffrey Fudenberg","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012824","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012824","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Interphase mammalian genomes are folded in 3D with complex locus-specific patterns that impact gene regulation. CTCF (CCCTC-binding factor) is a key architectural protein that binds specific DNA sites, halts cohesin-mediated loop extrusion, and enables long-range chromatin interactions. There are hundreds of thousands of annotated CTCF-binding sites in mammalian genomes; disruptions of some result in distinct phenotypes, while others have no visible effect. Despite their importance, the determinants of which CTCF sites are necessary for genome folding and gene regulation remain unclear. Here, we update and utilize Akita, a convolutional neural network model, to extract the sequence preferences and grammar of CTCF contributing to genome folding. Our analyses of individual CTCF sites reveal four predictions: (i) only a small fraction of genomic sites are impactful; (ii) impact is highly dependent on sequences flanking the core CTCF binding motif; (iii) core and flanking nucleotides contribute largely additively to the overall impact of a site; (iv) sites created as combinations of different core and flanking sequences have impacts proportional to the product of their average impacts, i.e. they are broadly compatible. Our analysis of collections of CTCF sites make two predictions for multi-motif grammar: (i) insulation strength depends on the number of CTCF sites within a cluster, and (ii) pattern formation is governed by the orientation and spacing of these sites, rather than any inherent specialization of the CTCF motifs themselves. In sum, we present a framework for using neural network models to probe the sequences instructing genome folding and provide a number of predictions to guide future experimental inquiries.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"21 2","pages":"e1012824"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143190142","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Contributions of action potentials to scalp EEG: Theory and biophysical simulations.","authors":"Niklas Brake, Anmar Khadra","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012794","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012794","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Differences in the apparent 1/f component of neural power spectra require correction depending on the underlying neural mechanisms, which remain incompletely understood. Past studies suggest that neuronal spiking produces broadband signals and shapes the spectral trend of invasive macroscopic recordings, but it is unclear to what extent action potentials (APs) influence scalp EEG. Here, we combined biophysical simulations with statistical modelling to examine the amplitude and spectral content of scalp potentials generated by the electric fields from spiking activity. In physiological parameter regimes, we found that APs contribute negligibly to the EEG spectral trend. Consistent with this, comparing our biophysical simulations with previously published data from pharmacologically paralyzed subjects suggested that the EEG spectral trend can be explained by a combination of synaptic timescales and electromyogram contamination. We also modelled rhythmic EEG generation, finding that APs can generate detectable narrowband power between approximately 60 and 1000 Hz, reaching frequencies much faster than would be possible from synaptic currents. Finally, we show that different spectral detrending strategies are required for AP generated oscillations compared to synaptically generated oscillations, suggesting that existing detrending methods for EEG spectra need to be modified for high frequency signals.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"21 2","pages":"e1012794"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143189972","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Multi-strain phage induced clearance of bacterial infections.","authors":"Jacopo Marchi, Chau Nguyen Ngoc Minh, Laurent Debarbieux, Joshua S Weitz","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012793","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012793","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Bacteriophage (or 'phage' - viruses that infect and kill bacteria) are increasingly considered as a therapeutic alternative to treat antibiotic-resistant bacterial infections. However, bacteria can evolve resistance to phage, presenting a significant challenge to the near- and long-term success of phage therapeutics. Application of mixtures of multiple phages (i.e., 'cocktails') has been proposed to limit the emergence of phage-resistant bacterial mutants that could lead to therapeutic failure. Here, we combine theory and computational models of in vivo phage therapy to study the efficacy of a phage cocktail, composed of two complementary phages motivated by the example of Pseudomonas aeruginosa facing two phages that exploit different surface receptors, LUZ19v and PAK_P1. As confirmed in a Luria-Delbr�ck fluctuation test, this motivating example serves as a model for instances where bacteria are extremely unlikely to develop simultaneous resistance mutations against both phages. We then quantify therapeutic outcomes given single- or double-phage treatment models, as a function of phage traits and host immune strength. Building upon prior work showing monophage therapy efficacy in immunocompetent hosts, here we show that phage cocktails comprised of phage targeting independent bacterial receptors can improve treatment outcome in immunocompromised hosts and reduce the chance that pathogens simultaneously evolve resistance against phage combinations. The finding of phage cocktail efficacy is qualitatively robust to differences in virus-bacteria interactions and host immune dynamics. Altogether, the combined use of theory and computational analysis highlights the influence of viral life history traits and receptor complementarity when designing and deploying phage cocktails in immunocompetent and immunocompromised hosts.</p>","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"21 2","pages":"e1012793"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143190147","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
PLoS Computational BiologyPub Date : 2025-02-03eCollection Date: 2025-02-01DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012731
Timothée Poisot, Daniel J Becker, Cole B Brookson, Ellie Graeden, Sadie J Ryan, Gemma Turon, Colin Carlson
{"title":"Ten quick tips to build a Model Life Cycle.","authors":"Timothée Poisot, Daniel J Becker, Cole B Brookson, Ellie Graeden, Sadie J Ryan, Gemma Turon, Colin Carlson","doi":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012731","DOIUrl":"10.1371/journal.pcbi.1012731","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":20241,"journal":{"name":"PLoS Computational Biology","volume":"21 2","pages":"e1012731"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2025-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11790144/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143123443","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"生物学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}