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Regional and global benthic δ18O stacks for the last glacial cycle 末次冰期旋回的区域和全球底栖生物δ18O栈
Paleoceanography Pub Date : 2016-10-01 DOI: 10.1002/2016PA003002
L. Lisiecki, J. Stern
{"title":"Regional and global benthic δ18O stacks for the last glacial cycle","authors":"L. Lisiecki, J. Stern","doi":"10.1002/2016PA003002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/2016PA003002","url":null,"abstract":"Although detailed age models exist for some marine sediment records of the last glacial cycle (0–150 ka), age models for many cores rely on the stratigraphic correlation of benthic δ18O, which measures ice volume and deep ocean temperature change. The large amount of data available for the last glacial cycle offers the opportunity to improve upon previous benthic δ18O compilations, such as the “LR04” global stack. Not only are the age constraints for the LR04 stack now outdated but a single global alignment target neglects regional differences of several thousand years in the timing of benthic δ18O change during glacial terminations. Here we present regional stacks that characterize mean benthic δ18O change for 8 ocean regions and a volume-weighted global stack of data from 263 cores. Age models for these stacks are based on radiocarbon data from 0 to 40 ka, correlation to a layer-counted Greenland ice core from 40 to 56 ka, and correlation to radiometrically dated speleothems from 56 to 150 ka. The regional δ18O stacks offer better stratigraphic alignment targets than the LR04 global stack and, furthermore, suggest that the LR04 stack is biased 1–2 kyr too young throughout the Pleistocene. Finally, we compare global and regional benthic δ18O responses with sea level estimates for the last glacial cycle.","PeriodicalId":19882,"journal":{"name":"Paleoceanography","volume":"31 1","pages":"1368-1394"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/2016PA003002","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"51094118","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 100
Environmental constraints on Holocene cold‐water coral reef growth off Norway: Insights from a multiproxy approach 挪威海域全新世冷水珊瑚礁生长的环境约束:来自多代理方法的见解
Paleoceanography Pub Date : 2016-10-01 DOI: 10.1002/2016PA002974
J. Raddatz, V. Liebetrau, J. Trotter, A. Rüggeberg, S. Flögel, W. Dullo, A. Eisenhauer, S. Voigt, M. McCulloch
{"title":"Environmental constraints on Holocene cold‐water coral reef growth off Norway: Insights from a multiproxy approach","authors":"J. Raddatz, V. Liebetrau, J. Trotter, A. Rüggeberg, S. Flögel, W. Dullo, A. Eisenhauer, S. Voigt, M. McCulloch","doi":"10.1002/2016PA002974","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/2016PA002974","url":null,"abstract":"High-latitude cold-water coral (CWC) reefs are particularly susceptible due to enhanced CO2 uptake in these regions. Using precisely dated (U/Th) CWCs (Lophelia pertusa) retrieved during research cruise POS 391 (Lopphavet 70.6°N, Oslofjord 59°N) we applied boron isotopes (δ11B), Ba/Ca, Li/Mg and U/Ca ratios to reconstruct the environmental boundary conditions of CWC reef growth. The sedimentary record from these CWC reefs reveals a lack of corals between ∼ 6.4 and 4.8 ka. The question remains if this phenomenon is related to changes in the carbonate system or other causes. The initial postglacial setting had elevated Ba/Ca ratios, indicative of meltwater fluxes showing a decreasing trend towards cessation at 6.4 ka with a oscillation pattern similar to continental glacier fluctuations. Downcore U/Ca ratios reveal an increasing trend, which is outside the range of modern U/Ca variability in L. pertusa, suggesting changes of seawater pH near 6.4 ka. The reconstructed BWT at Lopphavet reveals a striking similarity to Barent Sea-Surface and sub-Sea-Surface-Temperature records. We infer that meltwater pulses weakened the North Atlantic Current system resulting in southward advances of cold and CO2 rich Arctic waters. A corresponding shift in the δ11B record from ∼ 25.0‰ to ∼ 27.0 ‰ probably implies enhanced pH-up regulation of the CWCs due to the higher pCO2 concentrations of ambient seawater, which hastened Mid-Holocene CWC reef decline on the Norwegian Margin.","PeriodicalId":19882,"journal":{"name":"Paleoceanography","volume":"31 1","pages":"1350-1367"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/2016PA002974","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"51093924","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 26
Antarctic intermediate water circulation in the South Atlantic over the past 25,000 years 过去25000年来南大西洋的南极中间水循环
Paleoceanography Pub Date : 2016-10-01 DOI: 10.1002/2016PA002975
J. Howe, A. Piotrowski, D. Oppo, Kuo‐Fang Huang, S. Mulitza, C. Chiessi, J. Blusztajn
{"title":"Antarctic intermediate water circulation in the South Atlantic over the past 25,000 years","authors":"J. Howe, A. Piotrowski, D. Oppo, Kuo‐Fang Huang, S. Mulitza, C. Chiessi, J. Blusztajn","doi":"10.1002/2016PA002975","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/2016PA002975","url":null,"abstract":"Antarctic Intermediate Water is an essential limb of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation that redistributes heat and nutrients within the Atlantic Ocean. Existing reconstructions have yielded conflicting results on the history of Antarctic Intermediate Water penetration into the Atlantic across the most recent glacial termination. In this study we present leachate, foraminiferal, and detrital neodymium isotope data from three intermediate-depth cores collected from the southern Brazil margin in the South Atlantic covering the past 25 kyr. These results reveal that strong chemical leaching following decarbonation does not extract past seawater neodymium composition in this location. The new foraminiferal records reveal no changes in seawater Nd isotopes during abrupt Northern Hemisphere cold events at these sites. We therefore conclude that there is no evidence for greater incursion of Antarctic Intermediate Water into the South Atlantic during either the Younger Dryas or Heinrich Stadial 1. We do, however, observe more radiogenic Nd isotope values in the intermediate-depth South Atlantic during the mid-Holocene. This radiogenic excursion coincides with evidence for a southward shift in the Southern Hemisphere westerlies that may have resulted in a greater entrainment of radiogenic Pacific-sourced water during intermediate water production in the Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean. Our intermediate-depth records show similar values to a deglacial foraminiferal Nd isotope record from the deep South Atlantic during the Younger Dryas but are clearly distinct during the Last Glacial Maximum and Heinrich Stadial 1, demonstrating that the South Atlantic remained chemically stratified during Heinrich Stadial 1.","PeriodicalId":19882,"journal":{"name":"Paleoceanography","volume":"31 1","pages":"1302-1314"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/2016PA002975","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"51093933","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 30
Low-frequency Pliocene climate variability in the eastern Nordic Seas 北欧海东部上新世低频气候变率
Paleoceanography Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1002/2015PA002918
B. Risebrobakken, C. Andersson, S. D. Schepper, E. McClymont
{"title":"Low-frequency Pliocene climate variability in the eastern Nordic Seas","authors":"B. Risebrobakken, C. Andersson, S. D. Schepper, E. McClymont","doi":"10.1002/2015PA002918","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/2015PA002918","url":null,"abstract":"The Pliocene (5.3–2.6 Ma) is often described as a relatively stable climatic period, with warm temperatures characterizing high latitudes. New suborbital resolved stable isotope records from Ocean Drilling Program Hole 642B in the eastern Nordic Seas document that the Pliocene was not a stable period characterized by one climate. Rather, seven distinct climate phases, each lasting between 150,000 and 400,000 years, are identified and characterized in the time interval 5.1–3.1 Ma. Four of the transitions between the defined climate phases occurred close to an eccentricity minimum and a minimum in amplitude of change for Northern Hemisphere summer insolation, while two occurred around an eccentricity maximum and a maximum in amplitude in insolation change. Hence, a low-frequency response of the Nordic Seas to insolation forcing is indicated. In addition, paleogeographic and related paleoceanographic changes, expansion of the Arctic sea ice cover, and onset of Northern Hemisphere glaciation were important factors behind the evolving Pliocene low-frequency variability in the eastern Nordic Seas. It is likely that the identified climate phases and transitions are important beyond the Nordic Seas, due to their association with changes to both insolation and paleogeography. However, a strong and variable degree of diagenetic calcite overgrowth is documented for the planktic foraminifera, especially influencing the planktic δ18O results; the absolute values and amplitude of change cannot be taken at face value.","PeriodicalId":19882,"journal":{"name":"Paleoceanography","volume":"73 3","pages":"1154-1175"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/2015PA002918","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"51017232","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 18
Evidence of reduced mid-Holocene ENSO variance on the Great Barrier Reef, Australia 澳大利亚大堡礁中全新世ENSO变化减小的证据
Paleoceanography Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1002/2016PA002967
Nicole D. Leonard, K. Welsh, J. Lough, Yue‐xing Feng, J. Pandolfi, T. Clark, Jian-xin Zhao
{"title":"Evidence of reduced mid-Holocene ENSO variance on the Great Barrier Reef, Australia","authors":"Nicole D. Leonard, K. Welsh, J. Lough, Yue‐xing Feng, J. Pandolfi, T. Clark, Jian-xin Zhao","doi":"10.1002/2016PA002967","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/2016PA002967","url":null,"abstract":"Globally, coral reefs are under increasing pressure both through direct anthropogenic influence and increases in climate extremes. Understanding past climate dynamics that negatively affected coral reef growth is imperative for both improving management strategies, and for modelling coral reef responses to a changing climate. The El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the primary source of climate variability at inter-annual timescales on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR), north-eastern Australia. Applying continuous wavelet transforms to visually assessed coral luminescence intensity in massive Porites corals from the central GBR we demonstrate that these records reliably reproduce ENSO variance patterns for the period 1880 – 1985. We then applied this method to three sub-fossil corals from the same reef to reconstruct ENSO variance from ~5200 – 4300 years before present (yBP). We show that ENSO events were less extreme and less frequent after ~5200 yBP on the GBR compared to modern records. Growth characteristics of the corals are consistent with cooler sea surface temperatures (SST) between 5200 and 4300 yBP compared to both the millennia prior (~6000 yBP) and modern records. Understanding ENSO dynamics in response to SST variability at geological timescales will be important for improving predictions of future ENSO response to a rapidly warming climate.","PeriodicalId":19882,"journal":{"name":"Paleoceanography","volume":"31 1","pages":"1248-1260"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/2016PA002967","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"51093908","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 13
Eccentricity pacing of eastern equatorial Pacific carbonate dissolution cycles during the Miocene Climatic Optimum 中新世气候最适期赤道东太平洋碳酸盐溶蚀旋回的偏心步进
Paleoceanography Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1002/2016PA002988
K. Kochhann, A. Holbourn, W. Kuhnt, J. Channell, M. Lyle, J. Shackford, R. Wilkens, N. Andersen
{"title":"Eccentricity pacing of eastern equatorial Pacific carbonate dissolution cycles during the Miocene Climatic Optimum","authors":"K. Kochhann, A. Holbourn, W. Kuhnt, J. Channell, M. Lyle, J. Shackford, R. Wilkens, N. Andersen","doi":"10.1002/2016PA002988","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/2016PA002988","url":null,"abstract":"The Miocene Climatic Optimum (MCO; similar to 16.9 to 14.7Ma) provides an outstanding opportunity to investigate climate-carbon cycle dynamics during a geologically recent interval of global warmth. We present benthic stable oxygen (O-18) and carbon (C-13) isotope records (5-12kyr time resolution) spanning the late early to middle Miocene interval (18 to 13Ma) at Integrated Ocean Drilling Program (IODP) Site U1335 (eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean). The U1335 stable isotope series track the onset and development of the MCO as well as the transitional climatic phase culminating with global cooling and expansion of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet at similar to 13.8Ma. We integrate these new data with published stable isotope, geomagnetic polarity, and X-ray fluorescence (XRF) scanner-derived carbonate records from IODP Sites U1335, U1336, U1337, and U1338 on a consistent, astronomically tuned timescale. Benthic isotope and XRF scanner-derived CaCO3 records depict prominent 100kyr variability with 400kyr cyclicity additionally imprinted on C-13 and CaCO3 records, pointing to a tight coupling between the marine carbon cycle and climate variations. Our intersite comparison further indicates that the lysocline behaved in highly dynamic manner throughout the MCO, with >75% carbonate loss occurring at paleodepths ranging from similar to 3.4 to similar to 4km in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. Carbonate dissolution maxima coincide with warm phases (O-18 minima) and C-13 decreases, implying that climate-carbon cycle feedbacks fundamentally differed from the late Pleistocene glacial-interglacial pattern, where dissolution maxima correspond to C-13 maxima and O-18 minima. Carbonate dissolution cycles during the MCO were, thus, more similar to Paleogene hyperthermal patterns.","PeriodicalId":19882,"journal":{"name":"Paleoceanography","volume":"1 1","pages":"1176-1192"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/2016PA002988","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"51094256","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 48
Computational simulations of the effects of the G229D KCNQ1 mutation on human atrial fibrillation. 计算模拟 G229D KCNQ1 突变对人类心房颤动的影响。
Paleoceanography Pub Date : 2016-09-01 Epub Date: 2016-02-27 DOI: 10.1007/s12576-016-0438-3
Indana Zulfa, Eun Bo Shim, Kwang-Soup Song, Ki Moo Lim
{"title":"Computational simulations of the effects of the G229D KCNQ1 mutation on human atrial fibrillation.","authors":"Indana Zulfa, Eun Bo Shim, Kwang-Soup Song, Ki Moo Lim","doi":"10.1007/s12576-016-0438-3","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s12576-016-0438-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Atrial fibrillation (AF) is related to mutations at the genetic level. This includes mutations in genes that encode KCNQ1, a subunit of the I Ks channel. Here, we investigate the mechanism of gain-of-function in I Ks towards the occurrence of AF. We used the Courtemanche-Ramirez-Nattel (CRN) human atrial cell model (Am J Physiol Heart Circ Physiol 275:H301-H321, 1998) and applied the modification proposed by Hasegawa et al. (Heart Rhythm 11:67-75, 2014) to fit the behavior of I Ks due to the G229D mutation in KCNQ1 under a heterozygous mutant form. This was incorporated into two-(2D) and three-dimensional (3D) tissue models, where the mutation sustained a reentrant wave. However, under the wild-type condition, the reentrant wave terminated before the end of our simulations (in 2D, the spiral wave terminated before 10 s, while in 3D, the spiral wave terminated before 13 s). Sustained reentry under the mutation conditions also resulted in a spiral wave breakup in the 3D model, which was sustained until the end of the simulation (20 s), indicating AF. </p>","PeriodicalId":19882,"journal":{"name":"Paleoceanography","volume":"2 1","pages":"407-15"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s12576-016-0438-3","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80064700","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
Environmental perturbations at the early Eocene ETM2, H2, and I1 events as inferred by Tethyan calcareous plankton (Terche section, northeastern Italy) 由特提斯钙质浮游生物推断的始新世早期ETM2、H2和I1事件的环境扰动(意大利东北部Terche剖面)
Paleoceanography Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1002/2016PA002940
R. D'Onofrio, V. Luciani, E. Fornaciari, L. Giusberti, F. B. Galazzo, E. Dallanave, T. Westerhold, M. Sprovieri, Sonia Telch
{"title":"Environmental perturbations at the early Eocene ETM2, H2, and I1 events as inferred by Tethyan calcareous plankton (Terche section, northeastern Italy)","authors":"R. D'Onofrio, V. Luciani, E. Fornaciari, L. Giusberti, F. B. Galazzo, E. Dallanave, T. Westerhold, M. Sprovieri, Sonia Telch","doi":"10.1002/2016PA002940","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/2016PA002940","url":null,"abstract":"Several early Eocene hyperthermals have been recently investigated and characterized in terms of temperature anomalies and oceanographic changes. The effects of these climatic perturbations on biotic communities are much less constrained. Here we present new records from the Terche section (northeastern Italy) that, for the first time, integrates data on planktic foraminifera and calcareous nannofossils across three post Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM) negative carbon isotope excursions (CIEs). The bio-magnetostratigraphic framework generated at Terche allows us to confidently relate such CIEs to the Eocene Thermal Maximum 2 (ETM2), H2, and I1 events. Each of these events coincides with lithological anomalies characterized by significantly lower calcium carbonate content (marly-units, MUs). We interpret these MUs as mainly linked to an effect of increased terrigenous dilution, as dissolution proxies do not display significant variations. Calcareous plankton assemblages change significantly across these events and radiolarians increase. Observed changes suggest that transient warming and environmental perturbations, though more intense during ETM2, occurred during each of the three investigated perturbations. Variations among calcareous plankton suggest increase in surface-water eutrophication with respect to the pre-events conditions, coupled with a weakening of the upper water-column thermal stratification. Higher nutrient discharge was related to intensification of the hydrological cycle as a consequence of the warmer climate. These conditions persisted during the early CIE recovery, implying slower recovery rates for the environment and biota than for the carbon cycle.","PeriodicalId":19882,"journal":{"name":"Paleoceanography","volume":"31 1","pages":"1225-1247"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/2016PA002940","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"51092670","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 28
Tracing shifts of oceanic fronts using the cryptic diversity of the planktonic foraminifera Globorotalia inflata 利用浮游有孔虫Globorotalia inflata的隐性多样性追踪海洋锋面的移动
Paleoceanography Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1002/2016PA002977
R. Morard, M. Reinelt, C. Chiessi, J. Groeneveld, M. Kučera
{"title":"Tracing shifts of oceanic fronts using the cryptic diversity of the planktonic foraminifera Globorotalia inflata","authors":"R. Morard, M. Reinelt, C. Chiessi, J. Groeneveld, M. Kučera","doi":"10.1002/2016PA002977","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/2016PA002977","url":null,"abstract":"The use of planktonic foraminifera in paleoceanographic studies relies on the assumption that morphospecies represent biological species with ecological preferences that are stable through time and space. However, genetic surveys unveiled a considerable level of diversity in most morphospecies of planktonic foraminifera. This diversity is significant for paleoceanographic applications because cryptic species were shown to display distinct ecological preferences that could potentially help refine paleoceanographic proxies. Subtle morphological differences between cryptic species of planktonic foraminifera have been reported, but so far their applicability within paleoceanographic studies remains largely unexplored. Here we show how information on genetic diversity can be transferred to paleoceanography using Globorotalia inflata as a case study. The two cryptic species of G. inflata are separated by the Brazil-Malvinas Confluence (BMC), a major oceanographic feature in the South Atlantic. Based on this observation, we developed a morphological model of cryptic species detection in core top material. The application of the cryptic species detection model to Holocene samples implies latitudinal oscillations in the position of the confluence that are largely consistent with reconstructions obtained from stable isotope data. We show that the occurrence of cryptic species in G. inflata, can be detected in the fossil record and used to trace the migration of the BMC. Since a similar degree of morphological separation as in G. inflata has been reported from other species of planktonic foraminifera, the approach presented in this study can potentially yield a wealth of new paleoceanographical proxies.","PeriodicalId":19882,"journal":{"name":"Paleoceanography","volume":"31 1","pages":"1193-1205"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/2016PA002977","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"51093948","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 24
Bayesian hierarchical regression analysis of variations in sea surface temperature change over the past million years 近百万年海面温度变化的贝叶斯层次回归分析
Paleoceanography Pub Date : 2016-09-01 DOI: 10.1002/2016PA002944
Carolyn W. Snyder
{"title":"Bayesian hierarchical regression analysis of variations in sea surface temperature change over the past million years","authors":"Carolyn W. Snyder","doi":"10.1002/2016PA002944","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/2016PA002944","url":null,"abstract":"Statistical challenges often preclude comparisons among different sea surface temperature (SST) reconstructions over the past million years. Inadequate consideration of uncertainty can result in misinterpretation, overconfidence, and biased conclusions. Here I apply Bayesian hierarchical regressions to analyze local SST responsiveness to climate changes for 54 SST reconstructions from across the globe over the past million years. I develop methods to account for multiple sources of uncertainty, including the quantification of uncertainty introduced from absolute dating into inter-record comparisons. The estimates of local SST responsiveness explain 64% (62% to 77%, 95% interval) of the total variation within each SST reconstruction with a single number. There is remarkable agreement between SST proxy methods, with the exception of Mg/Ca proxy methods estimating muted responses at high latitudes. The Indian Ocean exhibits a muted response in comparison to other oceans. I find a stable estimate of the proposed “universal curve\" of change in local SST responsiveness to climate changes as a function of sin2(latitude) over the past 400,000 years: SST change at 45° N/S is larger than the average tropical response by a factor of 1.9 (1.5 to 2.6, 95% interval) and explains 50% (35% to 58%, 95% interval) of the total variation between each SST reconstruction. These uncertainty and statistical methods are well-suited for application across paleoclimate and environmental data series inter-comparisons.","PeriodicalId":19882,"journal":{"name":"Paleoceanography","volume":"31 1","pages":"1283-1300"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1002/2016PA002944","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"51092711","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
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