ERN: Income & In-Kind Transfer Policy (Sub-Topic)最新文献

Evaluating a Structural Model of Labor Supply and Welfare Participation: Evidence from State Welfare Reform Experiments 劳动供给与福利参与的结构模型评价:来自国家福利改革实验的证据

ERN: Income & In-Kind Transfer Policy (Sub-Topic) Pub Date : 2018-11-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3289937

Eleanor Jawon Choi

{"title":"Evaluating a Structural Model of Labor Supply and Welfare Participation: Evidence from State Welfare Reform Experiments","authors":"Eleanor Jawon Choi","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3289937","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3289937","url":null,"abstract":"This paper assesses the ability of a structural labor supply model to predict the impacts of a welfare policy change by studying two state welfare reform experiments conducted in Minnesota (MN) and Vermont (VT) during the mid-1990s. I estimate and evaluate a static discrete choice model of labor supply and welfare participation that incorporates heterogeneity in preferences, fixed costs of work, and disutility associated with welfare take-up. Although this type of labor supply models has been commonly estimated and applied to welfare and tax policy simulations, there have been very few attempts to verify the predictive ability of the existing models. I use the experimental impacts of the welfare policy change in each state as a benchmark for the structural model’s predictions. This approach is similar in spirit to LaLonde (1986). The utility parameters of the model are estimated using data from the MN control group. First, based on the parameter estimates, I make predictions regarding labor supply, welfare participation, and government costs under the treatment group program in MN and compare them with the observed effects of the MN experiment. Next, I apply the parameter estimates to the VT control group and compare the predicted and observed impacts of the policy change in VT. The results show that the model fits the estimation sample very well, but is unable to replicate the observed treatment effects on labor supply and welfare participation outcomes of the two experiments. Consequently, the effect on net government costs is under-predicted by 31 to 93 percent in MN. The prediction biases are even larger for the VT sample.","PeriodicalId":190801,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Income & In-Kind Transfer Policy (Sub-Topic)","volume":"54 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2018-11-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129015145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 3

BIMic: The Bank of Italy Microsimulation Model for the Italian Tax and Benefit System BIMic:意大利银行意大利税收和福利制度的微观模拟模型

ERN: Income & In-Kind Transfer Policy (Sub-Topic) Pub Date : 2017-09-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3056279

Nicola Curci, Marco Savegnago, Marika Cioffi

引用次数: 11

Does 'Soft Conditionality' Increase the Impact of Cash Transfers on Desired Outcomes? Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial in Lesotho “软条件”会增加现金转移对预期结果的影响吗?来自莱索托随机对照试验的证据

ERN: Income & In-Kind Transfer Policy (Sub-Topic) Pub Date : 2016-11-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2876458

N. Pace, S. Daidone, B. Davis, Luca Pellerano

{"title":"Does 'Soft Conditionality' Increase the Impact of Cash Transfers on Desired Outcomes? Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial in Lesotho","authors":"N. Pace, S. Daidone, B. Davis, Luca Pellerano","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2876458","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2876458","url":null,"abstract":"Cash transfers programs have been shown to have positive effects on a variety of outcomes. While much of the literature focuses on the role of conditionality in achieving desired impact, this paper focuses on the role of ‘soft conditionality’ implemented through both ‘labeling’ and ‘messaging’ in evaluating the impact of the Child Grants Program in Lesotho, an unconditional cash transfer targeting poor households with orphans and vulnerable children. Beneficiary households received a clear message that the transfer should be spent on the interest and needs of children. Our findings are based on a randomized experiment and suggest that ‘soft conditionality’ does play a strong role in increasing expenditure for children, especially on education, clothing and footwear. Results indicate in fact that transfer income is spent differently from general income as it exerts both an income and a substitution effect. This behavioral change is confirmed by comparing the ex-ante expected behaviors with the ex-post actual response to the program. We find that for expenditure categories linked to the wellbeing of children the ex-post response was much higher than the ex-ante expected behavior.","PeriodicalId":190801,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Income & In-Kind Transfer Policy (Sub-Topic)","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2016-11-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126548666","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 8

Take It or Leave It: Take-Up, Optimal Transfer Programs, and Monitoring 要么接受要么放弃:接受、最佳转移方案和监控

ERN: Income & In-Kind Transfer Policy (Sub-Topic) Pub Date : 2010-04-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1592813

Laurence Jacquet

引用次数: 64