“软条件”会增加现金转移对预期结果的影响吗?来自莱索托随机对照试验的证据

N. Pace, S. Daidone, B. Davis, Luca Pellerano
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引用次数: 8

摘要

现金转移支付方案已被证明对各种结果有积极影响。虽然许多文献关注的是条件性在实现预期影响方面的作用,但本文关注的是通过“标签”和“信息传递”两种方式实施的“软条件性”在评估莱索托儿童补助计划影响方面的作用,这是一项针对有孤儿和弱势儿童的贫困家庭的无条件现金转移。受益家庭收到了一个明确的信息,即转移资金应用于儿童的兴趣和需要。我们的发现基于一项随机实验,并表明“软条件”确实在增加儿童支出方面发挥了重要作用,尤其是在教育、服装和鞋类方面。结果表明,事实上,转移性收入的支出与一般收入不同,因为它既具有收入效应,又具有替代效应。通过比较事前预期行为和事后对程序的实际反应,可以确认这种行为变化。我们发现,对于与儿童福祉相关的支出类别,事后反应远高于事前预期行为。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does 'Soft Conditionality' Increase the Impact of Cash Transfers on Desired Outcomes? Evidence from a Randomized Control Trial in Lesotho
Cash transfers programs have been shown to have positive effects on a variety of outcomes. While much of the literature focuses on the role of conditionality in achieving desired impact, this paper focuses on the role of ‘soft conditionality’ implemented through both ‘labeling’ and ‘messaging’ in evaluating the impact of the Child Grants Program in Lesotho, an unconditional cash transfer targeting poor households with orphans and vulnerable children. Beneficiary households received a clear message that the transfer should be spent on the interest and needs of children. Our findings are based on a randomized experiment and suggest that ‘soft conditionality’ does play a strong role in increasing expenditure for children, especially on education, clothing and footwear. Results indicate in fact that transfer income is spent differently from general income as it exerts both an income and a substitution effect. This behavioral change is confirmed by comparing the ex-ante expected behaviors with the ex-post actual response to the program. We find that for expenditure categories linked to the wellbeing of children the ex-post response was much higher than the ex-ante expected behavior.
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