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Insomnia symptom trajectories and incident cardiovascular disease in older adults: a longitudinal cohort study. 老年人失眠症状轨迹和心血管疾病:一项纵向队列研究
IF 5.1 2区 医学
Heart Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325362
Qing-Mei Huang, Hao-Yu Yan, Huan Chen, Jia-Hao Xie, Jian Gao, Zhi-Hao Li, Chen Mao
{"title":"Insomnia symptom trajectories and incident cardiovascular disease in older adults: a longitudinal cohort study.","authors":"Qing-Mei Huang, Hao-Yu Yan, Huan Chen, Jia-Hao Xie, Jian Gao, Zhi-Hao Li, Chen Mao","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325362","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325362","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Insomnia symptoms are prevalent in older adults and linked to cardiovascular disease (CVD), but the role of long-term symptom trajectories remains unclear. We investigated associations between insomnia symptoms, their trajectories over time and incident CVD in a population-based cohort.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This longitudinal study included 12 102 participants aged ≥50 years without baseline CVD from the US Health and Retirement Study (2002-2018). Insomnia symptoms (non-restorative sleep, difficulty initiating/maintaining sleep, early awakening) were assessed at baseline; trajectories were modelled over 4 years (2002-2006) using latent class analysis. Cox models estimated HRs for incident CVD (heart disease or stroke), adjusted for sociodemographics, lifestyle and comorbidities.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>During a median of 10.2-year follow-up, 3962 incident CVD events occurred. Compared with no symptoms, participants with one, two, or three to four symptoms had higher CVD risk (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.27; HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.05 to 1.28; HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.38, respectively). Four trajectories were identified: persistent low (56.3%), decreasing (27.1%), increasing (7.2%) and persistent high (9.5%). Compared with persistent low, increasing (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.50) and persistent high (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.50) trajectories were associated with elevated CVD risk.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Greater burden of insomnia symptoms at baseline and trajectories over time were associated with higher CVD incidence in older adults.</p>","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144158156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Current and emerging treatment options for transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy. 转甲状腺素淀粉样蛋白心肌病当前和新兴的治疗选择。
IF 5.1 2区 医学
Heart Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325184
Giuseppe Vergaro, Yu Fu Ferrari Chen, Adam Ioannou, Giorgia Panichella, Vincenzo Castiglione, Alberto Aimo, Michele Emdin, Marianna Fontana
{"title":"Current and emerging treatment options for transthyretin amyloid cardiomyopathy.","authors":"Giuseppe Vergaro, Yu Fu Ferrari Chen, Adam Ioannou, Giorgia Panichella, Vincenzo Castiglione, Alberto Aimo, Michele Emdin, Marianna Fontana","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325184","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325184","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Transthyretin amyloidosis (ATTR) is a condition caused by TTR protein misfolding and amyloid deposition, particularly in the heart and nervous system, leading to organ dysfunction. Advances in therapeutic strategies have revolutionised the management of ATTR amyloidosis. Treatments available in clinical practice include TTR stabilisers (tafamidis and acoramidis), which prevent the dissociation of TTR tetramer into monomers and oligomers that subsequently form amyloid fibrils, and gene-silencing therapies (patisiran, inotersen and vutrisiran), which suppress the hepatic synthesis of TTR, which is the amyloid precursor protein. Novel treatment strategies that are at various stages of development include Clustered Regularly Interspaced Short Palindromic Repeats-Cas9 gene-editing technology (nexiguran ziclumeran), which, if successful, offers the prospect of a single-dose treatment, and monoclonal (cormitug and ALXN220) and pan-amyloid antibodies (AT-02) that seek to target and remove amyloid fibrils that have deposited in the myocardium. Amyloid removal remains a significant unmet clinical need, and hence, the ability to promote amyloid degradation and clearance through the use of antiamyloid therapies would represent a groundbreaking advancement in the treatment of ATTR amyloidosis. The success of ATTR-specific disease-modifying therapies has already altered the treatment landscape and changed the perception of ATTR amyloidosis from a progressive and fatal disease to one that is treatable through the availability of highly effective disease-modifying therapies. However, important questions remain, including the long-term safety of these drugs, whether combining therapies with different mechanisms of action has an additive prognostic benefit and how best to monitor the treatment response.</p>","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144158067","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Left atrial pressure normalisation by graded radiofrequency atrial septostomy in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a single-arm pilot study. 保留射血分数的心力衰竭患者通过分级射频房间隔造口术实现左房压正常化:一项单臂先导研究
IF 5.1 2区 医学
Heart Pub Date : 2025-05-27 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2025-325929
Chaowu Yan, Hua Li, Linyuan Wan, Ang Liu, Pingcuo Yundan, Tingting Guo, Lu Hua, Lei Wang, Wei Fang
{"title":"Left atrial pressure normalisation by graded radiofrequency atrial septostomy in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction: a single-arm pilot study.","authors":"Chaowu Yan, Hua Li, Linyuan Wan, Ang Liu, Pingcuo Yundan, Tingting Guo, Lu Hua, Lei Wang, Wei Fang","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2025-325929","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1136/heartjnl-2025-325929","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>In heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), elevated mean left atrial pressure (MLAP) is a recognised haemodynamic feature. This pilot study explored the use of a personalised approach-combined radiofrequency ablation and balloon dilation (CURB)-to establish interatrial communication in patients with elevated resting MLAP.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Between September 2020 and March 2023, a single-arm study was conducted at Fuwai Hospital (Beijing, China) in patients with HFpEF and resting MLAP ≥18 mm Hg. CURB was performed using graded balloon dilation to achieve an MLAP target of <15 mm Hg, followed by rim stabilisation with radiofrequency ablation. Clinical status, interatrial fenestration and haemodynamic parameters were assessed during follow-up.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Thirty-two patients were included (mean age 68.4 years; 59% male). The procedural target was achieved in 31 patients (97%). Median MLAP changed from 19.0 mm Hg (IQR 18.0, 21.0) to 13.0 mm Hg (IQR 12.0, 13.3), and mean pulmonary arterial pressure from 26.9 mm Hg (SD 3.9) to 23.5 mm Hg (SD 3.7). Over a median follow-up of 15.5 months (IQR 11.0, 18.0), fenestrations remained patent. The intervention was associated with favourable change in New York Heart Association functional class (median change: -1 class), 6 min walk distance (+48.5 m) and quality of life scores (-21.7 points). Reassessment in a subset (n=8) beyond 1 year showed sustained MLAP levels.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Among patients with HFpEF and elevated MLAP, the CURB technique was feasible and associated with mid-term changes in haemodynamics and functional measures. Further controlled studies are needed to assess long-term outcomes, safety and broader applicability.</p><p><strong>Trial registration number: </strong>NCT04573166.</p>","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144158169","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Risk stratification and exercise recommendations in cardiomyopathies and channelopathies: a practical guide for the multidisciplinary team. 心肌病和通道病的风险分层和运动建议:多学科团队的实用指南。
IF 5.1 2区 医学
Heart Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2024-324318
Joyee Basu, Hamish MacLachlan, Raghav Bhatia, Helen Alexander, Robert Cooper, Nabeel Sheikh
{"title":"Risk stratification and exercise recommendations in cardiomyopathies and channelopathies: a practical guide for the multidisciplinary team.","authors":"Joyee Basu, Hamish MacLachlan, Raghav Bhatia, Helen Alexander, Robert Cooper, Nabeel Sheikh","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-324318","DOIUrl":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-324318","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Exercise offers a plethora of health benefits. However, certain genetic and acquired diseases such as cardiomyopathies and channelopathies are associated with sudden cardiac death during exercise. Several factors complicate exercise prescription in individuals living with these conditions. The lack of high-quality evidence supporting exercise recommendations, variation in the clinical phenotypes within the same condition and sparse physician education around exercise prescription all leads to a reluctance to provide specific guidance on how to engage in physical activity.This article aims to summarise the latest evidence underpinning risk stratification and current guideline recommendations for physical activity in individuals with cardiomyopathies and channelopathies wishing to engage in exercise. It also aims to provide a basic practical approach to exercise prescription for health professionals involved in the care of these patients. This approach may then serve as a foundation that can be easily personalised. Since risk can never be completely eliminated, all decisions regarding exercise participation should be taken following shared dialogue between the physician, patient and wider stake holders where appropriate.</p>","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":"583-592"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143065179","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Updated evidence on selection and implementation of an invasive treatment strategy for older patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. 老年非st段抬高型心肌梗死患者有创治疗策略的选择和实施的最新证据。
IF 5.1 2区 医学
Heart Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325157
Kieran Gill, Vijay Kunadian
{"title":"Updated evidence on selection and implementation of an invasive treatment strategy for older patients with non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction.","authors":"Kieran Gill, Vijay Kunadian","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325157","DOIUrl":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325157","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is the most common acute coronary syndrome diagnosis in older patients. In the UK, there are ~20 000 NSTEMI cases annually in patients aged ≥75 years. Despite therapeutic advances in pharmacological and invasive management, studies show that older patients with NSTEMI experience worse in-hospital and long-term outcomes than younger patients, suggesting a clear need for robust evidence in this cohort.The European Society of Cardiology guidelines recommend that invasive management should be considered holistically with no specified age cut-offs. However, older patients are less likely to receive invasive management due to a paucity of evidence from trials that represent contemporary clinical characteristics of older adults. Recruiting older patients realistic of those encountered in clinical practice is hugely challenging. Chronological age alone does not reflect the heterogeneity of the older population; ~30% of older patients with NSTEMI are frail, ~65% are cognitively impaired and most live with at least two additional comorbidities that can influence risk. Weighing the risk of an NSTEMI in an older adult against competing risks attributable to underlying frailty, comorbidities and cognitive impairment poses a key challenge.Recently, the SENIOR-RITA trial showed that invasive management in older patients with NSTEMI is safe and reduces non-fatal myocardial infarction and subsequent revascularisation but does not improve mortality. Individualised risk assessment and shared decision-making is necessary to guide these nuanced decisions. This review discusses the latest evidence regarding invasive management in the older population with NSTEMI, including the impact of geriatric syndromes on clinical outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":"546-556"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143407115","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
AF-CARE in the elderly: complex but of increasing importance. 老年人AF-CARE:复杂但日益重要。
IF 5.1 2区 医学
Heart Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325614
Stijn P G Van Vugt, Martin E W Hemels
{"title":"AF-CARE in the elderly: complex but of increasing importance.","authors":"Stijn P G Van Vugt, Martin E W Hemels","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325614","DOIUrl":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325614","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":"544-545"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143440528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Long-term incidence of implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: analysis of appropriate and inappropriate interventions. 肥厚性心肌病患者植入式心律转复除颤器治疗的长期发病率:适当和不适当干预措施的分析。
IF 5.1 2区 医学
Heart Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325020
Emma Basse Christensen, Christoffer Rasmus Vissing, Elvira Silajdzija, Helen Lamiokor Mills, Jens Jakob Thune, Charlotte Larroudé, Helle Skovmand Bosselmann, Berit Thornvig Philbert, Anna Axelsson Raja, Alex Hørby Christensen, Henning Bundgaard
{"title":"Long-term incidence of implantable cardioverter-defibrillator therapy in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: analysis of appropriate and inappropriate interventions.","authors":"Emma Basse Christensen, Christoffer Rasmus Vissing, Elvira Silajdzija, Helen Lamiokor Mills, Jens Jakob Thune, Charlotte Larroudé, Helle Skovmand Bosselmann, Berit Thornvig Philbert, Anna Axelsson Raja, Alex Hørby Christensen, Henning Bundgaard","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325020","DOIUrl":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325020","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Treatment with implantable cardioverter-defibrillators (ICDs) effectively prevents sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). Identifying patients most likely to benefit from a primary prevention ICD remains challenging. We aimed to investigate the long-term incidence of ICD therapy in patients with HCM according to SCD-risk at baseline.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The study retrospectively included all patients with HCM treated with an ICD for primary or secondary prevention between 1995 and 2022 in Eastern Denmark. Medical records for each patient were evaluated. Patients were stratified into risk groups according to the European Society of Cardiology HCM Risk-SCD score.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>We included 208 patients (66% male) with HCM and an ICD for primary (78%) or secondary prevention (22%). During a median 10-year follow-up, 66 patients (32%) received appropriate ICD therapy (antitachycardia pacing and/or shock), while 20 (10%) received inappropriate therapy. Patients with an ICD implanted for secondary prevention were almost twice as likely to receive appropriate therapy compared with patients with an ICD implanted for primary prevention (47% vs 28%, p=0.02). The 5-year cumulative incidences of appropriate shock therapy were 17% in patients with a high HCM Risk-SCD score, 16% in patients with an intermediate-risk score and 6% in patients with a low-risk score. A high-risk score was associated with higher cumulative incidence of appropriate shock therapy (p=0.012).</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>One-third of patients with HCM treated with an ICD experienced appropriate ICD therapy. The HCM-Risk SCD score adequately distinguished between low-risk and high-risk patients among those who underwent ICD implantation. Further improvements of risk-tools are needed to identify a larger proportion of the two-thirds of patients who did not benefit from ICD implantation after 10 years of observation.</p>","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":"575-582"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143004449","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Safety and effectiveness of anticoagulation therapy in older people with atrial fibrillation during exposed and unexposed treatment periods. 暴露治疗期和未暴露治疗期老年人房颤抗凝治疗的安全性和有效性。
IF 5.1 2区 医学
Heart Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2024-324763
Anneka Mitchell, Margaret C Watson, Tomas J Welsh, Anita McGrogan
{"title":"Safety and effectiveness of anticoagulation therapy in older people with atrial fibrillation during exposed and unexposed treatment periods.","authors":"Anneka Mitchell, Margaret C Watson, Tomas J Welsh, Anita McGrogan","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-324763","DOIUrl":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-324763","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>Anticoagulation therapy reduces stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but it is often underused in older populations due to concerns about bleeding. This study aimed to compare the safety and effectiveness of anticoagulation during periods of exposure and non-exposure and across different anticoagulants in people with AF aged ≥75 years.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Using UK primary care data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (2013-2017), a retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients newly prescribed oral anticoagulants (warfarin or direct oral anticoagulants). Exposure to anticoagulation was mapped using prescription data. Cox regression models were used to estimate adjusted HRs for stroke, bleeding, myocardial infarction, and death during periods of exposure and non-exposure and for different anticoagulants.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Among 20 167 patients (median age 81 years), non-exposure to anticoagulation was associated with higher risks of stroke (HR 3.07, 95% CI 2.39 to 3.93), myocardial infarction (HR 1.85, 95% CI 1.34 to 2.56) and death (HR 2.87, 95% CI 2.63 to 3.12) compared with exposure. Compared with warfarin, apixaban was associated with lower risks of non-major bleeding (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.64 to 0.85), whereas rivaroxaban was associated with higher risks of major (HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.15 to 1.55) and non-major (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.44) bleeding.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Non-exposure to anticoagulation increases the risks of stroke, myocardial infarction and death in older patients with AF. Clinicians should carefully weigh the risks of discontinuing anticoagulation and provide shared decision-making support to patients, especially when considering deprescription.</p>","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":"565-574"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143440655","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rare case of marked left ventricular hypertrophy. 罕见的左心室肥厚。
IF 5.1 2区 医学
Heart Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325645
Michiyo Yamano, Aya Miyagawa-Hayashino, Natsuya Keira
{"title":"Rare case of marked left ventricular hypertrophy.","authors":"Michiyo Yamano, Aya Miyagawa-Hayashino, Natsuya Keira","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325645","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1136/heartjnl-2024-325645","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":"111 12","pages":"556-594"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144132295","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Updating the Scottish national cardiovascular risk score: ASSIGN version 2.0. 更新苏格兰国家心血管风险评分:分配2.0版。
IF 5.1 2区 医学
Heart Pub Date : 2025-05-23 DOI: 10.1136/heartjnl-2024-324852
Paul Welsh, Dorien M Kimenai, Mark Woodward
{"title":"Updating the Scottish national cardiovascular risk score: ASSIGN version 2.0.","authors":"Paul Welsh, Dorien M Kimenai, Mark Woodward","doi":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-324852","DOIUrl":"10.1136/heartjnl-2024-324852","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The Assessing cardiovascular risk using Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network (ASSIGN) risk score, developed in 2006, is used in Scotland for estimating the 10-year risk of first atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). Rates of ASCVD are decreasing, and an update is required. This study aimed to recalibrate ASSIGN (V.2.0) using contemporary data and to compare recalibration with other potential approaches for updating the risk score.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data from Scotland-resident participants from UK Biobank (2006-2010) and the Generation Scotland Scottish Family Health Study (2006-2010), aged 40-69 and without previous ASCVD, were used for the derivation of scores. External evaluation was conducted on UK Biobank participants who were not residents of Scotland. The original ASSIGN predictor variables and weights formed the basis of the new sex-specific risk equation to predict the 10-year risk of ASCVD. Different approaches for updating ASSIGN (recalibration, rederivation and regression adjustment) were tested in the evaluation cohort.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The original ASSIGN score overestimated ASCVD risk in the evaluation cohort, with median predicted 10-year risks of 10.6% for females and 15.1% for males, compared with observed risks of 6% and 11.4%, respectively. The derivation cohort included 44 947 (57% females and a mean age of 55) participants. The recalibrated score, ASSIGN V.2.0, improved model fit in the evaluation cohort, predicting median 10-year risk of 4% for females and 8.9% for males. Similar improvements were achieved using the regression-adjusted model. Rederivation of ASSIGN using new beta coefficients offered only modest improvements in calibration and discrimination beyond simple recalibration. At the current risk threshold of20% 10-year risk, the original ASSIGN equation yielded a positive predictive value (PPV) of 16.3% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 94.4%. Recalibrated ASSIGN V.2.0 showed similar performance at a 10% threshold, with a PPV of 16.8% and an NPV of 94.6%.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>The recalibrated ASSIGN V.2.0 will give a more accurate estimation of contemporary ASCVD risk in Scotland.</p>","PeriodicalId":12835,"journal":{"name":"Heart","volume":" ","pages":"557-564"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143004117","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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