{"title":"nth-order feature adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology for response-coupled forward/adjoint linear systems: II. Illustrative application to a paradigm energy system","authors":"Dan Gabriel Cacuci","doi":"10.3389/fenrg.2024.1421519","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1421519","url":null,"abstract":"This work presents a representative application of the newly developed “n<jats:sup>th</jats:sup>-order feature adjoint sensitivity analysis methodology for response-coupled forward/adjoint linear systems” (abbreviated as “n<jats:sup>th</jats:sup>-FASAM-L”), which enables the most efficient computation of exactly obtained mathematical expressions of arbitrarily high-order (n<jats:sup>th</jats:sup>-order) sensitivities of a generic system response with respect to all of the parameters (including boundary and initial conditions) underlying the respective forward/adjoint systems. The n<jats:sup>th</jats:sup>-FASAM-L has been developed to treat responses of linear systems that simultaneously depend on both the forward and adjoint state functions. Such systems cannot be considered particular cases of nonlinear systems, as illustrated in this work by analyzing an analytically solvable model of the energy distribution of the “contributon flux” of neutrons in a mixture of materials. The unparalleled efficiency and accuracy of the n<jats:sup>th</jats:sup>-FASAM-L stem from the maximal reduction in the number of adjoint computations (which are “large-scale” computations) for determining the exact expressions of arbitrarily high-order sensitivities since the number of large-scale computations when applying the n<jats:sup>th</jats:sup>-FASAM-N is proportional to the number of model features as opposed to the number of model parameters (which are considerably more than the number of features). Hence, the higher the order of computed sensitivities, the more efficient the n<jats:sup>th</jats:sup>-FASAM-N becomes compared to any other methodology. Furthermore, as illustrated in this work, the probability of encountering identically vanishing sensitivities is much higher when using the n<jats:sup>th</jats:sup>-FASAM-L than other methods.","PeriodicalId":12428,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Energy Research","volume":"25 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142215053","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hasnain Iftikhar, Justyna Zywiołek, Javier Linkolk López-Gonzales, Olayan Albalawi
{"title":"Electricity consumption forecasting using a novel homogeneous and heterogeneous ensemble learning","authors":"Hasnain Iftikhar, Justyna Zywiołek, Javier Linkolk López-Gonzales, Olayan Albalawi","doi":"10.3389/fenrg.2024.1442502","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1442502","url":null,"abstract":"In today’s world, a country’s economy is one of the most crucial foundations. However, industries’ financial operations depend on their ability to meet their electricity demands. Thus, forecasting electricity consumption is vital for properly planning and managing energy resources. In this context, a new approach based on ensemble learning has been developed to predict monthly electricity consumption. The method divides electricity consumption time series into deterministic and stochastic components. The deterministic component, which consists of a secular long-term trend and an annual seasonality, is estimated using a multiple regression model. In contrast, the stochastic part considers the short-run random fluctuations of the consumption time series. It is forecasted by four different time series, four machine learning models, and three novel proposed ensemble models: the time series homogeneous ensemble model, the machine learning ensemble model, and the heterogeneous ensemble model. The study analyzed data on Pakistan’s monthly electricity consumption from 1991-January to 2022-December. The evaluation of the forecasting models is based on three criteria: accuracy metrics (including the mean absolute percent error (MAPE), the mean absolute error (MAE), the root mean squared error (RMSE), and the root relative squared error (RRSE)); an equality forecast statistical test (the Diebold and Mariano’s test); and a graphical assessment. The heterogeneous ensemble model’s forecasting results show lower error values compared to the homogeneous ensemble models and the singles models, with accuracy metrics measured by MAPE, MAE, RMSE, and RRSE at 5.0027, 460.4800, 614.5276, and 0.2933, respectively. Additionally, the heterogeneous ensemble model is statistically significant (p <jats:inline-formula><mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\"><mml:mo><</mml:mo></mml:math></jats:inline-formula> 0.05) and superior to the rest of the models. Also, the heterogeneous ensemble model demonstrates considerable performance with the least mean error, which is comparatively better than the individual and best models reported in the literature and are considered baseline models. Further, the forecast values’ monthly behavior depicts that electricity consumption is higher during the summer season, and this demand will be highest in June and July. The forecast model and graph reveal that electricity consumption rapidly increases with time. This indirectly indicates that the government of Pakistan must take adequate steps to improve electricity production through different energy sources to restore the country’s economic status by meeting the country’s electricity demand. Despite several studies conducted from various perspectives, no analysis has been undertaken using an ensemble learning approach to forecast monthly electricity consumption for Pakistan.","PeriodicalId":12428,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Energy Research","volume":"6 3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142215109","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kena Chen, Lei Luo, Wei Lei, Pinlei Lv, Liang Zhang
{"title":"Design and implementation of online battery monitoring and management system based on the internet of things","authors":"Kena Chen, Lei Luo, Wei Lei, Pinlei Lv, Liang Zhang","doi":"10.3389/fenrg.2024.1454398","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1454398","url":null,"abstract":"Battery pack provides the backup power supply for DC system of power substations. In the event of an AC power outage or other accidents, it is an important guarantee for the reliable operation of power substation. To prevent possible failures, batteries usually require careful maintenance. Common methods are online monitoring, condition assessments, and health management. Among these, model-based techniques are widely used for battery monitoring and prognostics optimization. Data-driven methods are a good alternative solution when no mathematical models are available. As substations develop towards intelligent and unmanned modes, this paper proposes an online battery monitoring and management system based on the “cloud-network-edge-end” Internet of Things (IoT) architecture. Firstly, advanced battery monitoring system based on IoT architecture is reviewed in depth. It provides basis for later designing. Secondly, the battery online monitoring and management system is designed considering functional requirements and data link. Designing functions include ledger management, basic battery information display, real-time display of battery monitoring data, and the visualization of battery alarm information. It can implement online monitoring and intelligent maintenance management for battery operating status. Finally, the designed and developed system is applied in a 110 kV offshore substation, mainly providing battery maintenance suggestions and fault alarm prompts. Typical results of ledger information management, key parameter monitoring and alarm prompt are presented. This verifies the effectiveness and convenience of IoT-based system for the monitoring and management of batteries.","PeriodicalId":12428,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Energy Research","volume":"28 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142215056","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reactive power regulation strategy for WTGs based on active disturbance rejection control","authors":"Shuilian Xue, Zhilong Yin, Zhiguo Wang, Feng Yu, Hailiang Chen","doi":"10.3389/fenrg.2024.1447094","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1447094","url":null,"abstract":"With the large-scale interconnection of wind power generation, the voltage problem of the power system becomes more and more prominent. Compared with adding external reactive power compensation devices, it is more economical and responsive for fans to adjust their control strategies to provide reactive power support. To make full use of reactive power supported by wind turbines, a mathematical model of doubly fed induction generator (DFIG) wind turbines is constructed to characterize the reactive power boundary of wind turbines. Then, active disturbance rejection control (ADRC) is used to generate a voltage control signal to effectively improve the unit’s reactive response speed; in addition, a variable gain coefficient is used to adjust the reactive power output of the unit, which effectively improves the reactive power response speed and its control adaptability and robustness under changing power grid conditions. Finally, a wind turbine generator (WTG) simulation model is built using MATLAB/Simulink simulation software, different fault locations are perturbed, and the effectiveness of reactive power support of the proposed ADRC-based strategy is simulated and verified. The proposed ADRC-based strategy could inject more reactive power to the grid to improve the voltage.","PeriodicalId":12428,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Energy Research","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142215077","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Wang Bin, Jia Tao, Xu Binggui, Ning Kun, Tan Peng, Zhou Yi
{"title":"Experimental study on hydraulic fracture propagation behavior in heterogeneous shale formations","authors":"Wang Bin, Jia Tao, Xu Binggui, Ning Kun, Tan Peng, Zhou Yi","doi":"10.3389/fenrg.2023.1309591","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2023.1309591","url":null,"abstract":"The study of fracture propagation in heterogeneous shale is a crucial prerequisite for the investigation of heterogeneous cluster and perforation parameters optimization. In this paper, we conduct a physical simulation fracturing experiment on heterogeneous shale to investigate the effects of various influencing factors, such as shale bedding, near-wellbore fractures, lithological changes, and the presence of fractures surrounding the perforation hole, on fracture propagation law and morphology. Our research demonstrates that during shale fracturing, shear dislocation typically occurs between layers, resulting in the separation of different layer planes. The main fracture primarily propagates through layers in a stepped manner. The presence of sandstone in heterogeneous shale significantly impedes fracturing fractures, causing significant distortion and deviation. As the scale of natural fractures increases, it tends to cause the fracturing fracture to twist and change direction. The natural fractures network can also lead to the distortion of fracturing fractures, albeit to a lesser extent than large-scale natural fractures. The presence of micro fractures parallel to the perforation axis surrounding the perforation hole enhances the ability of the main fracturing fractures to pass through natural fractures.","PeriodicalId":12428,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Energy Research","volume":"7 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142215081","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An review of research on liquid hydrogen leakage: regarding China’s hydrogen refueling stations","authors":"Yangyiming Rong, Wenhao Yuan, Jianbin Peng, Jiaxin Hou, Jun Gao, Xiang Zhang, Jianye Chen, Shunyi Chen","doi":"10.3389/fenrg.2024.1408338","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1408338","url":null,"abstract":"Hydrogen is regarded as the premier energy source for future sustainability and renewability. However, its distinct physicochemical properties render it prone to explosions in the event of a leak. Therefore, there is a need for more comprehensive research dealing with hydrogen leakage, explosion scenarios, and risk assessment. This paper provides an overview of the current hydrogen policies adopted in China. It reviews the processes of hydrogen refueling station construction and the thermophysical mechanisms of liquid hydrogen leakage. In this regard, the effects of various factors, including leakage rate, leakage time, leakage hole size, wind direction and speed, and building location, on the hydrogen leakage rate are analyzed and evaluated. Additionally, the impacts of different factors on hydrogen explosion overpressure are reported, including hydrogen concentration, wind speed, obstacles, and ignition position, in addition to the current applications of quantitative risk assessment methods in hydrogen refueling stations. Finally, the limitations of current research on liquid hydrogen leakage and explosion accidents are highlighted, along with the shortcomings of current risk assessment methods for liquid hydrogen refueling stations.","PeriodicalId":12428,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Energy Research","volume":"97 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142215078","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Zhigang Ren, Wei Guo, Hongquan Ji, Junwei Geng, Jing Cai, Yekun Men, Bo Liu
{"title":"Field strength prediction of 220 kV cable oil terminal defects based on multivariate nonlinear regression model","authors":"Zhigang Ren, Wei Guo, Hongquan Ji, Junwei Geng, Jing Cai, Yekun Men, Bo Liu","doi":"10.3389/fenrg.2024.1462991","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1462991","url":null,"abstract":"During the installation of a cable oil terminal, it is easy to leave scratches on the main insulation owing to uneven forces when removing the semi-conductive layer. Scratch defects cause field intensity distortion, which leads to partial discharge and insulation failure. This study attempts to establish a simulation model of a 220 kV cable terminal to determine the effect of the length, depth, and position of the scratch on the maximum field strength at the defect. The simulation and experiment demonstrate that the maximum field strength at the defect increases with greater length and decreases as the depth increases. Therefore, a prediction method for the terminal defect field strength based on a multivariate nonlinear regression model was proposed in this study. When the defect is located at 20 mm from the root of the stress cone, the maximum field strength is 14.5 MV/m when the length and depth are 2 mm and 1 mm, respectively. The maximum field strength at the defect was predicted based on the length, depth, and position of the scratch defect to evaluate the severity of the defect.","PeriodicalId":12428,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Energy Research","volume":"3 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142227029","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Dynamic prediction of overhead transmission line ampacity based on the BP neural network using Bayesian optimization","authors":"Yong Sun, Yuanqi Liu, Bowen Wang, Yu Lu, Ruihua Fan, Xiaozhe Song, Yong Jiang, Xin She, Shengyao Shi, Kerui Ma, Guoqing Zhang, Xinyi Shen","doi":"10.3389/fenrg.2024.1449586","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1449586","url":null,"abstract":"Traditionally, the ampacity of an overhead transmission line (OHTL) is a static value obtained based on adverse weather conditions, which constrains the transmission capacity. With the continuous growth of power system load, it is increasingly necessary to dynamically adjust the ampacity based on weather conditions. To this end, this paper models the heat balance relationship of the OHTL based on a BP neural network using Bayesian optimization (BO-BP). On this basis, an OHTL ampacity prediction method considering the model error is proposed. First, a two-stage current-stepping ampacity prediction model is established to obtain the initial ampacity prediction results. Then, the risk control strategy of ampacity prediction considering the model error is proposed to correct the ampacity based on the quartile of the model error to reduce the risk of the conductor overheating caused by the model error. Finally, a simulation is carried out based on the operation data of a 220-kV transmission line. The simulation results show that the accuracy of the BO-BP model is improved by more than 20% compared with the traditional heat balance equation. The proposed ampacity prediction method can improve the transmission capacity by more than 150% compared with the original static ampacity.","PeriodicalId":12428,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Energy Research","volume":"417 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142215079","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hassan Hadi H. Awaji, Abdullah Ali Alhussainy, Abdulraheem H. Alobaidi, Sultan Alghamdi, Sami Alghamdi, Mohammed Alruwaili
{"title":"Real-time energy management simulation for enhanced integration of renewable energy resources in DC microgrids","authors":"Hassan Hadi H. Awaji, Abdullah Ali Alhussainy, Abdulraheem H. Alobaidi, Sultan Alghamdi, Sami Alghamdi, Mohammed Alruwaili","doi":"10.3389/fenrg.2024.1458115","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1458115","url":null,"abstract":"The presented work addresses the growing need for efficient and reliable DC microgrids integrating renewable energy sources. However, for the sake of practicality, implementing complex control strategies can increase system complexity. Thus, efficient methodologies are required to provide efficient energy management of microgrids while increasing the integration of renewable energy sources. The primary contribution of this work is to investigate the issues related to operating a DC microgrid with conventional control designed to power DC motors using readily available, non-advanced control strategies with the objective of achieving stable and reliable grid performance without resorting to complex control schemes. The proposed microgrid integrates a combination of uncontrollable renewable distributed generators (DGs) alongside controllable DGs and energy storage systems, including batteries and supercapacitors, connected via DC links. The Incremental Conductance (InCond) algorithm is employed for maximum power point tracking to maximize power output from the PV system. The energy management strategy prioritizes the solar system as the primary source, with the battery and supercapacitor acting as backup power sources to ensure overall system reliability and sustainability. The effectiveness of the microgrid under various operating conditions is evaluated through extensive simulations conducted using MATLAB. These simulations explore different power generation scenarios, including normal operation with varying load levels and operation under Standard Test Conditions (STC). Moreover, fault analysis of the DC microgrid is performed to examine system reliability. The system performance is evaluated using real-time simulation software (OPAL-RT) to validate the effectiveness of the approach under real-time conditions. This comprehensive approach demonstrates the efficacy of operating a DC microgrid with conventional controllers, ensuring grid stability and reliability across various operating conditions and fault scenarios while prioritizing the use of renewable energy sources. The results illustrated that system efficiency increases with load, but fault tolerance measures, can introduce trade-offs between reliability and peak efficiency.","PeriodicalId":12428,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Energy Research","volume":"15 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142215082","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Research of the calculation formula for working clearance leakage flow of the hydrogen circulation pump","authors":"Huanle Zhai, Wei Li, Xiaomeng Chu, Honggang Mu, Yuanfeng Xu","doi":"10.3389/fenrg.2024.1414926","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3389/fenrg.2024.1414926","url":null,"abstract":"The hydrogen circulation pump (HCP), a device for recovering unconsumed hydrogen gas in fuel cell systems to improve efficiency, is an important equipment in fuel cell systems. Efficient calculation of the output flow rate of the HCP is crucial for accelerating the product development process, but there is a lack of an effective calculation formula for the working clearance leakage. In this paper, a series of HCP models with different working clearances are established and calculated using an overlapping grid simulation method, verifying that the traditional Roots blower leakage flow formula is feasible for HCP, although the maximum calculation error reaches 10.71%. Further study the pressure distribution law inside the HCP chamber, and revise the traditional calculation formula accordingly, so that the average calculation error of the series models is reduced from 5.75% to 3.82%, and the maximum error is also reduced to 7.73%. Compared with the prototype test data, though the flow values obtained from the two calculation formulas are slightly higher, the calculation error of the correction formula is relatively smaller. The research results indicate that the correction formula can more accurately predict the flow rate of HCP and has important application value.","PeriodicalId":12428,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Energy Research","volume":"97 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142215083","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}