{"title":"THE EFFECT OF FLUCTUATION WORLD OIL PRICES AND THE RUPIAH EXCHANGE RATE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA","authors":"Ulfa Ajnura, H. Juliansyah","doi":"10.29103/JMPE.V4I1.4794","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29103/JMPE.V4I1.4794","url":null,"abstract":"This study examined the effect of fluctuations in world oil prices and the rupiah exchange rate on economic growth in Indonesia in the short and long term. This study used time-series data for 31 years. The analytical model used was the Autoregressive Distributed Lag model. The results show in the short term showed that world oil prices had a positive but insignificant effect on economic growth in Indonesia, while the rupiah exchange rate had a negative and significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. In the long term, world oil prices had a positive and significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. The rupiah exchange rate has a negative and significant effect on economic growth in Indonesia. It indicated that in the short term, the rupiah exchange rate had an influence or contribution to economic growth in Indonesia, and in the long term, world oil prices had an effect or contribution to economic growth in Indonesia.","PeriodicalId":109551,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics","volume":"37 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124720604","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"FACTORS AFFECTING THE DEMAND OF LABOR IN THE 10 REGENCIES/CITIES OF THE SUMATERA UTARA PROVINCE","authors":"Rahmad Cahyadi","doi":"10.29103/JMPE.V4I1.4596","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29103/JMPE.V4I1.4596","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to determine the factors that affect the demand for labor in Sumatera Utara Province. This study discusses panel data analysis using data on labor demand, output, number of companies, and economic growth in Sumatera Utara Province from 2013-2019. The regression data panel can be estimated using three models, namely the Common Effect Model (CEM), Fixed Effect Model (FEM), and Random Effect Model (REM). To get the best model, two tests were used, namely the Chow test and the Hausman test. In this study, the best model is obtained is the Fixed Effect Model. Estimation of parameters in panel data regression with Fixed Effect Model obtained a mathematical equation, namely LDit = 3940.726 + 1.60.10-10Oit + 67.06560JPit + 146.0139Git + eit. Based on the significance test, the demand for labor is simultaneously influenced by output, the number of firms and economic growth. When viewed by a partial test (t test), the output variable and the number of companies have a positive and significant effect on labor demand. Meanwhile, the economic growth variable has a positive but insignificant effect on labor demand. Estimation of parameters in panel data regression with Fixed Effect Model obtained a mathematical equation, namely LDit = 3940.726 + 1.60.10-10Oit + 67.06560JPit + 146.0139Git + eit. Based on the significance test, the demand for labor is simultaneously influenced by output, the number of firms and economic growth. When viewed by a partial test (t test), the output variable and the number of companies have a positive and significant effect on labor demand. Meanwhile, the economic growth variable has a positive but insignificant effect on labor demand. Estimation of parameters in panel data regression with Fixed Effect Model obtained a mathematical equation, namely LDit = 3940.726 + 1.60.10-10Oit + 67.06560JPit + 146.0139Git + eit. Based on the significance test, the demand for labor is simultaneously influenced by output, the number of firms and economic growth. When viewed by a partial test (t test), the output variable and the number of companies have a positive and significant effect on labor demand. Meanwhile, the economic growth variable has a positive but insignificant effect on labor demand. the output variable and the number of companies have a positive and significant effect on labor demand. Meanwhile, the economic growth variable has a positive but insignificant effect on labor demand. the output variable and the number of companies have a positive and significant effect on labor demand. Meanwhile, the economic growth variable has a positive but insignificant effect on labor demand.","PeriodicalId":109551,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130599837","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"THE EFFECT OF FOREIGN INVESTMENT, GOVERNMENT EXTERNAL DEBT, AND GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE ON GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT IN INDONESIA","authors":"I. Sukma, K. Anwar","doi":"10.29103/JMPE.V4I1.4598","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29103/JMPE.V4I1.4598","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to determine the influence of foreign investment, foreign debt, and government spending on Gross Domestic Product in Indonesia during 2005-2019. The data analysis method used in this study is a multiple regression analysis models using the Eviews application. The results show partially (t-test) show that foreign investment, foreign debt, and government expenditure have a positive and significant effect on gross domestic product.Then, the correlation coefficient or R-Squared value is 0.736793 or 73.67%. It shows that there is a strong correlation between the independent variables and the dependent variable. It concludes that foreign investment, foreign debt, and government spending have a positive and significant effect on the provincial gross domestic product in Indonesia from 2005 to 2019.","PeriodicalId":109551,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125622873","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"INFLUENCE ON INVESTMENT, GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE AND THE LABOR FORCE ON ECONOMIC GROWTH IN INDONESIA","authors":"Agus Muliadi Bancin, M. Murtala","doi":"10.29103/JMPE.V3I2.3207","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29103/JMPE.V3I2.3207","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to determine the effect of investment, government spending, and labor force on economic growth in 34 provinces in Indonesia. This study uses panel data from 2014 to 2018 accessed on www.bps.go.id and www.bkpm.go.id. The method of data analysis used is panel data regression analysis. The results of partially show that investment has not significant effect on economic growth in 34 provinces in Indonesia, government spending has a negative and significant effect on economic growth in 34 provinces in Indonesia, and the labor force has not significant effect on economic growth in 34 provinces in Indonesia. Simultaneously, investment, government spending, and labor force have a positive and significant effect on the economic growth of 34 provinces in Indonesia. Keywords: Investment, Government Expenditure, Labor Force, Economic Growth.","PeriodicalId":109551,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics","volume":"168 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115004487","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"THE INFLUENCE OF GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE IN HEALTH AND EDUCATION ON POVERTY IN NORTH ACEH","authors":"Maisarah Maisarah, C. Sari","doi":"10.29103/JMPE.V3I2.3209","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29103/JMPE.V3I2.3209","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to determine the effect of government expenditure of health spending and education spending on poverty in North Aceh. This study uses time series data from 2008-2017. The study utilizes the Dynamic method using the Vector Autoregression model. The results can be seen that the government expenditure of health had no influence on poverty and the government expenditure of education had no effect on poverty in North Aceh in 2008-2017. Keywords:Government expenditure in the field of health, education, poverty.","PeriodicalId":109551,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics","volume":"68 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127413094","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"EFFICIENCCY ANALLYSIS OF TAX REVENUES AND AXCESS BUDGET REMAINING ON INDONESIA’S CAPITAL EXPENDITURE","authors":"Finta Sapridah, H. Juliansyah","doi":"10.29103/JMPE.V3I2.3206","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29103/JMPE.V3I2.3206","url":null,"abstract":"This studys aims to analyze the efficiency of tax revenues and SILPA on capiital expenditures for each Province in Indonesia. This studying uses time-series data, which includes inputt and outputt variabels: Tax revenue, SILPA, and capital Expenditures for 2016-2018 the method of used in this study is the data Envellopment Analysiis program 2.1 to evaluate the performances of an activity in an entity or organizational unit. The Result of this data Envelopment analysis show that in 2018 only 9 Provinces achieved the levell of capitall expenditures efficiency, consisting of the provinces of Aceh, South Sumatra, DKI Jakarta, Maluku, Papua, Nort Maluku, Gorontalo, West Papua, and West Sulawesi.Keywords: Capital expenditures, Taxes, SILPA, data envelopment analysis.","PeriodicalId":109551,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127857659","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"THE ANALYSIS OF PUBLIC NEEDS FOR RAIL TRANSPORT IN KRUENG GEUKUEH, ACEH, INDONESIA","authors":"Murni Hestika, M. Murtala","doi":"10.29103/JMPE.V3I1.3195","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29103/JMPE.V3I1.3195","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to analyze the level of public demand for railroad transportation in Krueng Geukuh, Dewantara District, North Aceh Regency. The survey method used is the dynamic survey method and static survey, the data analysis method used is using the Load Factor method. The results showed that the travel speed using the Train was 5.3 minutes from each station. The time between the train distance and other public vehicles is 60 minutes. Travel time required in 1 km is 1.88 minutes. Keywords: Load Factor, Travel Speed, Headway, Travel Time, Frequency, Wakru Wait","PeriodicalId":109551,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics","volume":"54 7","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132845753","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"THE ANALYSIS OF THE DISTRIBUTION AND RECIPIENTS OF RASKIN RICE ON THE NUMBER OF POOR PEOPLE IN INDONESIA","authors":"Ida Fitriyani, D. Andriyani","doi":"10.29103/JMPE.V3I2.3208","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29103/JMPE.V3I2.3208","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to determine the analysis of the distribution and recipient of Raskin rice on the number of poor people in Indonesia during 2006-2017. This study uses time-series data from 2006 to 2017 obtained from the Indonesian Bulog and BPS Indonesia websites. The data are then analyzed using multiple linear regression analysis. The results show that the distribution and recipient of Raskin rice have a significant effect on the number of poor people in Indonesia during 2006-2017. Simultaneously, the distribution and recipient of Raskin rice have a significant and simultaneous influence on the number of poor people in Indonesia during 2006-2017. Keywords: The amount of rice distribution to the poor, rice recipients, the number of poor people.","PeriodicalId":109551,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics","volume":"16 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133230925","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"ANALYSIS OF GENERAL ALLOCATION FUND EFFICIENCY AND REGIONAL ORIGINAL INCOME ON THE FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE OF CITY GOVERNMENTS IN PROVINCE ACEH","authors":"M. Sari, I. Ichsan","doi":"10.29103/JMPE.V3I1.3194","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29103/JMPE.V3I1.3194","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to analyze the efficiency of general allocation funds (DAU) and local own-source revenues (PAD) on the financial performance of city governments in Aceh Province. The data used in this study is panel data, which includes input variables of general allocation funds, regional original income and output variables of financial performance in 2015-2018. The method used in this research is Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) using DEAP software version 2.1. The analysis shows that in 2015 there were 4 cities that experienced efficient, namely Banda Aceh City, Sabang City, Langsa City and Subulussalam City, in 2016 there were 4 cities that showed efficient, namely Banda Aceh City, Sabang City, Langsa City and Kota Subulussalam, In 2017, the number of cities that showed efficient was 4 cities, namely Banda Aceh City, Langsa City, Lhokseumawe City and Subulusalam City, while in 2018, there were 5 cities that showed efficient, namely Banda Aceh City, Sabang City, Langsa City, Lhokseumawe City and Subulussalam City. To improve its financial performance, the city governments in Aceh Province, especially those whose financial performance has not reached the level of efficiency should make a draft budget in accordance with regionalKeywords: public Financial Performance, Local Revenue, General Allocation Funds, Data Envelopment Analysis","PeriodicalId":109551,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics","volume":"75 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124855341","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity Model Application on Inflation and Consumers Price Index in Aceh","authors":"Sri Hasnanda, R. Ratna","doi":"10.29103/JMPE.V3I1.3191","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.29103/JMPE.V3I1.3191","url":null,"abstract":"This study aimed to analyze the application of Generalized Autoregression Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) on inflation and consumer price index in Aceh Province. The data used in this study is secondary data sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Aceh Province with a period of 2013-2018 on a monthly basis. The data analysis method used is the ARIMA for mean model GARCH for variance models. The results of this study indicate that the Mean Model for Inflation uses the AR (1) and MA (1) components, while the Mean Model for consumer price index is AR (1). Meanwhile, the Variance Model with GARCH estimates for inflation and consumer price index data has insignificant RESID^2 (1) and GARCH (1).Keywords: Inflation, CPI and Generalized Autoregression Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH)","PeriodicalId":109551,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131124164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}