CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology最新文献

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Push Forward Clinical Management of Hematological Toxicity due to Lenalidomide Overexposure: Model-Informed Precision Dosing for Chinese Population With Renal Insufficiency. 来那度胺过度暴露引起的血液学毒性的临床管理:基于模型的中国肾功能不全人群精确给药。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-05-10 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70040
Yi Ma, Zaiwei Song, Hao Bing, Huan He, Libo Zhao, Rongsheng Zhao
{"title":"Push Forward Clinical Management of Hematological Toxicity due to Lenalidomide Overexposure: Model-Informed Precision Dosing for Chinese Population With Renal Insufficiency.","authors":"Yi Ma, Zaiwei Song, Hao Bing, Huan He, Libo Zhao, Rongsheng Zhao","doi":"10.1002/psp4.70040","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/psp4.70040","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Dose-dependent hematological toxicity of lenalidomide has been reported previously, and thus, there is a clinical need for dose individualization to manage toxicities. The objectives of this study were to explore optimal individualized dosing regimens for Chinese B-cell malignancies patients with varying degrees of renal function, and to push forward clinical management of hematological toxicity due to lenalidomide overexposure. A total of 164 plasma concentrations of lenalidomide were obtained from 97 Chinese patients with multiple myeloma (MM) and B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) from a multicenter prospective study. A population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) model for lenalidomide was developed by nonlinear mixed effect modeling. A Monte Carlo simulation was conducted to recommend model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) for patients with varying degrees of renal function. A one-compartment model with first-order elimination best described the pharmacokinetics of lenalidomide. The population typical values of lenalidomide were as follows: absorption rate constant (Ka) of 8.34 h<sup>-1</sup>, apparent volume of distribution (V/F) of 37.4 L, and apparent clearance (CL/F) of 7.4 L/h. Creatinine clearance (CCr) was identified as a major covariate for CL/F, whereas other demographics or clinical characteristics had no significant effect on the model. When given the identical dose, Chinese patients exhibited a higher exposure than the predominantly non-Asian population at all dosage regimens, especially in patients with severe renal damage (CCr < 30 mL/min). For Chinese patients with CCr of 15-30 mL/min who do not require dialysis usually, compared to the dosing regimen of 15 mg every other day recommended by drug instructions, there exists a relatively lower risk of hematotoxicity when administered with 5 or 10 mg/day. For Chinese patients with CCr < 15 mL/min requiring dialysis, there was still a certain level of hematotoxicity risk associated with the dosing regimen of 5 mg/day recommended by drug instructions. The PopPK Model-based simulation suggests that Chinese patients may exhibit a higher exposure than the predominantly non-Asian population. For patients with severely impaired renal function, compared to dose adjustment in accordance with drug instructions, an individualized dosage strategy based on therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) and MIPD would be preferable from a safety perspective.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143972297","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Virtual Clinical Trial Reveals Significant Clinical Potential of Targeting Tumor-Associated Macrophages and Microglia to Treat Glioblastoma. 虚拟临床试验揭示靶向肿瘤相关巨噬细胞和小胶质细胞治疗胶质母细胞瘤的重要临床潜力。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70033
Blanche Mongeon, Morgan Craig
{"title":"Virtual Clinical Trial Reveals Significant Clinical Potential of Targeting Tumor-Associated Macrophages and Microglia to Treat Glioblastoma.","authors":"Blanche Mongeon, Morgan Craig","doi":"10.1002/psp4.70033","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/psp4.70033","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Glioblastoma is the most aggressive primary brain tumor, with a median survival of 15 months with treatment. Standard-of-care (SOC) consists of resection, radio- and chemotherapy. Clinical trials involving PD-1 inhibition with nivolumab combined with SOC failed to increase survival. A quantitative understanding of the interactions between the tumor and its immune environment that drive treatment outcomes is currently lacking. As such, we developed a mathematical model of tumor growth that considers CD8+ T cells, pro- and antitumoral tumor-associated macrophages and microglia (TAMs), SOC, and nivolumab. Using our model, we studied five TAM-targeting strategies currently under investigation for solid tumors. Our results show that PD-1 inhibition fails due to a lack of CD8+ T cell recruitment during treatment, explained by TAM-driven immunosuppressive mechanisms. Our model predicts that while reducing TAM numbers does not improve prognosis, altering their functions to counter their protumoral properties has the potential to considerably reduce post-treatment tumor burden. In particular, restoring antitumoral TAM phagocytic activity through anti-CD47 treatment in combination with SOC was predicted to nearly eradicate the tumor. By studying time-varying efficacy with the same half-life as the anti-CD47 antibody Hu5F9-G4, our model predicts that repeated dosing of anti-CD47 provides sustained control of tumor growth. We propose that targeting TAMs by enhancing their antitumoral properties is a highly promising avenue to treat glioblastoma and warrants future clinical development. Together, our results provide proof-of-concept that mechanistic mathematical modeling can uncover the mechanisms driving treatment outcomes and explore the potential of novel treatment strategies for hard-to-treat tumors like glioblastoma.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143968731","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Use of Model-Based Meta-Analysis to Inform the Design of Early Clinical Trials of Anti-Amyloid Beta Therapies in Alzheimer's Disease. 使用基于模型的荟萃分析为阿尔茨海默病抗淀粉样蛋白疗法的早期临床试验设计提供信息。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70038
Sagar S Bachhav, Ana Victoria Ponce-Bobadilla, Diana Clausznitzer, Sven Stodtmann, Hao Xiong
{"title":"Use of Model-Based Meta-Analysis to Inform the Design of Early Clinical Trials of Anti-Amyloid Beta Therapies in Alzheimer's Disease.","authors":"Sagar S Bachhav, Ana Victoria Ponce-Bobadilla, Diana Clausznitzer, Sven Stodtmann, Hao Xiong","doi":"10.1002/psp4.70038","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/psp4.70038","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>To inform an efficient development of new investigational anti-amyloid beta (anti-Aβ) monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), a modeling-and-simulation-based strategy was proposed. A general modeling framework that links drug exposures to the time course of amyloid plaque removal and amyloid-related imaging abnormalities characterized by edema and effusion (ARIA-E) was developed based on publicly available data on aducanumab, lecanemab, and donanemab. A non-linear mixed effect model with shared model parameters described the dose response data from aducanumab, lecanemab, and donanemab studies after adjusting for different potency for different antibodies, which allowed the rate of amyloid plaque removal to vary by drug. A time-to-event model was developed to describe ARIA-E incidence. The model assumes that ARIA-E incidence rate is dependent on the rate of amyloid plaque removal with a drug-dependent scaling factor linking amyloid plaque removal rate and treatment-dependent hazard. Simulations of amyloid plaque removal and ARIA-E for a hypothetical anti-Aβ mAb based on certain assumptions and scenarios provided insights into possible outcomes. Overall, the meta-analysis of published data on existing anti-Aβ mAbs could be utilized to model exposure-response relationships and the time course of amyloid plaque removal and ARIA-E incidence of new anti-Aβ mAbs and to inform the design of early clinical trials for them.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143980342","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Precision Dosing in Presence of Multiobjective Therapies by Integrating Reinforcement Learning and PK-PD Models: Application to Givinostat Treatment of Polycythemia Vera. 整合强化学习和PK-PD模型的多目标治疗精准给药:在给予维诺他治疗真性红细胞增多症中的应用。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-05-05 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70012
Alessandro De Carlo, Elena Maria Tosca, Paolo Magni
{"title":"Precision Dosing in Presence of Multiobjective Therapies by Integrating Reinforcement Learning and PK-PD Models: Application to Givinostat Treatment of Polycythemia Vera.","authors":"Alessandro De Carlo, Elena Maria Tosca, Paolo Magni","doi":"10.1002/psp4.70012","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/psp4.70012","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Precision dosing aims to optimize and customize pharmacological treatment at the individual level. The integration of pharmacometric models with Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms is currently under investigation to support the personalization of adaptive dosing therapies. In this study, this hybrid technique is applied to the real multiobjective precision dosing problem of givinostat treatment in polycythemia vera (PV) patients. PV is a chronic myeloproliferative disease with an overproduction of platelets (PLT), white blood cells (WBC), and hematocrit (HCT). The therapeutic goal is to simultaneously normalize the levels of these efficacy/safety biomarkers, thus inducing a complete hematological response (CHR). An RL algorithm, Q-Learning (QL), was integrated with a PK-PD model describing the givinostat effect on PLT, WBC, and HCT to derive both an adaptive dosing protocol (QL<sub>pop</sub>-agent) for the whole population and personalized dosing strategies by coupling a specific QL-agent to each patient (QL<sub>ind</sub>-agents). QL<sub>pop</sub>-agent learned a general adaptive dosing protocol that achieved a similar CHR rate (77% vs. 83%) when compared to the actual givinostat clinical protocol on 10 simulated populations. Treatment efficacy and safety increased with a deeper dosing personalization by QL<sub>ind</sub>-agents. These QL-based patient-specific adaptive dosing rules outperformed both the clinical protocol and QL<sub>pop</sub>-agent by reaching the CHR in 93% of the test patients and completely avoided severe toxicities during the whole treatment period. These results confirm that RL and PK-PD models can be valid tools for supporting adaptive dosing strategies as interesting performances were achieved in both learning a general set of rules and in customizing treatment for each patient.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143988875","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A Novel Empirical Autoinduction Model to Characterize the Population Pharmacokinetics and Recommend Dose for Repotrectinib in Adult and Adolescents With Advanced Solid Tumors Harboring ALK, ROS1, or NTRK1-3 Rearrangements. 一种新的经验自诱导模型表征成人和青少年晚期实体肿瘤患者ALK、ROS1或NTRK1-3重排的群体药代动力学和推荐剂量
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70036
Shengnan Du, Zheyi Hu, Jun Shen, Lora Hamuro, Justine Lam, Ming Lu, Li Zhu, Amit Roy, Anna Kondic
{"title":"A Novel Empirical Autoinduction Model to Characterize the Population Pharmacokinetics and Recommend Dose for Repotrectinib in Adult and Adolescents With Advanced Solid Tumors Harboring ALK, ROS1, or NTRK1-3 Rearrangements.","authors":"Shengnan Du, Zheyi Hu, Jun Shen, Lora Hamuro, Justine Lam, Ming Lu, Li Zhu, Amit Roy, Anna Kondic","doi":"10.1002/psp4.70036","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/psp4.70036","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Repotrectinib is approved in the US for treating ROS1-positive non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and solid tumors harboring an NTRK gene fusion. A Population Pharmacokinetic (PopPK) model for repotrectinib was developed using data from 620 adults (118 healthy volunteers and 502 patients) across seven studies and 24 pediatric patients from one study. The PopPK model, a two-compartment model with first-order absorption and an absorption lag time, incorporating a time-varying clearance due to drug-induced autoinduction, adequately described all PK data. Clearance was modeled as a time- and concentration-dependent (Ctrough) autoinduction process, accounting for increased clearance over time. While empirical in nature, this Ctrough-driven autoinduction model effectively described the changes in clearance and avoided the abrupt concentration changes that can occur with discrete dose-driven autoinduction models. Additionally, this approach avoided time-consuming differential equation computations for the semi-mechanistic enzyme turnover autoinduction models. The model estimated that the maximum drug-induced clearance (CLMAX) was 4.9 times the baseline clearance. Body weight (BW) effects on clearance and volume of distribution were estimated as allometric scaling exponents of 0.477 and 0.962, respectively. Age was found to affect CLMAX, with younger patients generally exhibiting higher CLMAX values. Simulations suggested that a flat dosing regimen (e.g., 160 mg QD for 14 days followed by 160 mg BID) provides comparable drug exposures in both adult and adolescent patients. The PopPK model supported the health authority approval of the dosing regimen for repotrectinib in both adult and adolescent patients with NTRK gene fusion-positive solid tumors.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143995965","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Interactions of Therapeutic Antibodies With Presynaptically-Released Misfolded Proteins in Neurodegenerative Diseases. A Spatial Monte-Carlo Simulation Study. 治疗性抗体与突触前释放的错误折叠蛋白在神经退行性疾病中的相互作用。空间蒙特卡罗模拟研究。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-04-28 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70035
Jamie Goff, Maryam Khalifa, Shaina M Short, Piet H van der Graaf, Hugo Geerts
{"title":"Interactions of Therapeutic Antibodies With Presynaptically-Released Misfolded Proteins in Neurodegenerative Diseases. A Spatial Monte-Carlo Simulation Study.","authors":"Jamie Goff, Maryam Khalifa, Shaina M Short, Piet H van der Graaf, Hugo Geerts","doi":"10.1002/psp4.70035","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/psp4.70035","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The spatial progression hypothesis of misfolded tau and alpha-synuclein proteins in Alzheimer's and Parkinson's Disease proposes the release of proteins from a presynaptic membrane followed by diffusion over the synaptic cleft and uptake by the postsynaptic membrane in the afferent neuron. A number of antibodies aiming to reduce this neuronal uptake by capturing these proteins in the extracellular space are currently in clinical development, so far without much success. For modeling the interaction between antibodies and misfolded proteins in the extremely small synaptic volume with only a few proteins navigating a crowded environment of transsynaptic proteins, traditional assumptions of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) break down. Here we use spatial Monte Carlo calculations of individual molecule trajectories in a realistic geometrical environment using the open-source software Mcell (mcell.org). For several different densities of transsynaptic proteins, we show that due to geometric constraints, less than 0.5% of the antibody in the brain interstitial fluid (ISF) can enter the crowded synaptic cleft. As a consequence, uptake of the seed-competent proteins is reduced by less than 10%, even at the highest concentration and for selective antibodies. Only the seed-competent protein that escapes the synaptic cleft (between 15% and 30%) is captured by the antibody. Given the extremely low penetrance of the antibodies, it is close to impossible for antibodies to interfere with the uptake mechanism that takes place in the synaptic cleft. These simulations using a detailed and realistic biological environment provide a possible explanation for the clinical trial failures of anti-tau and anti-αsynuclein antibodies.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143962776","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Development of a Heuristic Machine Analogy Method for Model Simplification With an Application to a Large-Scale Model of Gi/Gs Signaling. 模型简化的启发式机器类比方法及其在大尺度Gi/Gs信号模型中的应用。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70029
Liang Yang, David Finlay, Michelle Glass, Stephen Duffull
{"title":"Development of a Heuristic Machine Analogy Method for Model Simplification With an Application to a Large-Scale Model of Gi/Gs Signaling.","authors":"Liang Yang, David Finlay, Michelle Glass, Stephen Duffull","doi":"10.1002/psp4.70029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/psp4.70029","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Model simplification is a process to simplify large-scale mathematical models to enable easy applications such as simulation and parameter estimation. A novel heuristic machine analogy method of model simplification was developed and applied to a motivating example of a model for cAMP signaling switch induced by Gi/Gs pathway competition for the CB<sub>1</sub> receptor (consisting of 31 species and 76 parameters) to enable its use in estimation. The method first acquired an understanding of the mechanism by full model simulation, and then the mechanism was abstracted to a machine analogy. The machine analogy included signal start, signal mode selector, signal size regulator, and final effector, representing functions of different parts of the full model. The simplified minimal model (consisting of 11 species and 13 estimated parameters) was used for parameter estimation for Gi/Gs signaling of six CB<sub>1</sub> agonists. The results of the minimal model suggested that six CB<sub>1</sub> agonists have similar ratios of Gi/Gs activation, indicating Gi/Gs preference was more of a system effect rather than a ligand-specific effect. In conclusion, the novel machine analogy method can be used to heuristically simplify a larger-scale model while maintaining the important mechanisms. In the example here, the full Gi/Gs model of CB<sub>1</sub> was successfully simplified, and the results indicated Gi/Gs preference is a system-dependent effect.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143982655","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Model-Based Meta-Analysis of the Relationship Between Pioglitazone and Histological Outcomes in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis Patients. 基于模型的吡格列酮与代谢功能障碍相关脂肪性肝炎患者组织学结局关系的meta分析
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70034
Quyen Thi Tran, Tham Thi Bui, Lien Thi Ngo, Bo Ram Yang, In-Hwan Baek, Van Hung Nguyen, Kyung Ae Lee, Hwi-Yeol Yun, Jung-Woo Chae, Soyoung Lee, Jae Hyun Kim, Woojin Jung
{"title":"Model-Based Meta-Analysis of the Relationship Between Pioglitazone and Histological Outcomes in Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatohepatitis Patients.","authors":"Quyen Thi Tran, Tham Thi Bui, Lien Thi Ngo, Bo Ram Yang, In-Hwan Baek, Van Hung Nguyen, Kyung Ae Lee, Hwi-Yeol Yun, Jung-Woo Chae, Soyoung Lee, Jae Hyun Kim, Woojin Jung","doi":"10.1002/psp4.70034","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/psp4.70034","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Given the high prevalence of the population who have metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), interest is growing in MASH-targeted treatments. However, currently, there has been only one regulatory approved drug for MASH (Rezdiffra). Pioglitazone, a commonly used type 2 diabetes mellitus drug, is currently used off-label for the treatment of MASH. Our study aimed to perform a model-based meta-analysis to quantitatively examine the efficacy of pioglitazone in improving histological parameters and liver enzymes in patients with MASH. A comprehensive search was performed in Pubmed and clinicaltrials.gov. We collected histological outcomes (including steatosis, inflammation, ballooning, and fibrosis) and liver enzyme data. Due to sparse data, the gathered histological outcomes were used to generate virtual data. Next, model development for the virtual histological dataset was performed using a logistic model. In addition, Weibull and exponential models were tested to find the best fit for liver enzyme data. Model evaluations were carried out by visual predictive check, bootstrap method, and stacked bar plot. Eight studies with 540 patients were included. A logit model was used to analyze four outcomes. The results showed that using pioglitazone improved all four histological parameters. These effects are dose- and time-dependent under the Emax-time model for steatosis and ballooning, and under the linear relationship for inflammation and fibrosis. For liver enzymes, the Weibull model fitted well for both ALT and AST data. In conclusion, the developed models of pioglitazone may serve as a benchmark to assess the effectiveness of novel MASH-targeted treatments.</p>","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143972552","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Historical Use of Markov Model and Posterior Predictive Checks in Pharmacometrics 马尔可夫模型和后验预测检验在药物计量学中的历史应用。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-04-08 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70031
Pascal Girard, Helen Kastrissios
{"title":"Historical Use of Markov Model and Posterior Predictive Checks in Pharmacometrics","authors":"Pascal Girard,&nbsp;Helen Kastrissios","doi":"10.1002/psp4.70031","DOIUrl":"10.1002/psp4.70031","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;p&gt;We would like to congratulate the authors for their excellent “&lt;i&gt;Tutorial on pharmacometric Markov models&lt;/i&gt;” published in a recent issue of CPT-PSP [&lt;span&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;]. Their publication emphasizes the increasing use of such models in the field of pharmacometrics, is very complete, and presents in one single paper the theoretical framework of discret-time Markov model (DTMM), continuous-time Markov model, and Hidden Markov model.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;However, by restricting their Pubmed search to &lt;b&gt;“&lt;/b&gt;Markov pharmacometric” the authors missed two important seminal papers in this field, both authored by Girard, Sheiner, Kastrissios and Blashke, related to the analysis of dosing regimen compliance (or adherence) data and population pharmacokinetic (pop-PK) modeling [&lt;span&gt;2, 3&lt;/span&gt;]. The first paper [&lt;span&gt;2&lt;/span&gt;] addressed via DTMM and pop-PK simulations the question of the loss of information (bias and precision) in pop-PK analysis when using partial information on patients' dose intakes before concentration measurements versus using the full dosing history as provided by an electronic device. The paper concluded that the use of a limited number of dose records (chosen based on an a priori estimate of the half-life of the drug) would be sufficient to get unbiased and precise PK parameter estimates. Interestingly, the sequence of dose intakes was simulated using a DTMM that was calibrated using real data from electronically monitored patients, which to our best knowledge is the first time a Markov model was used in the field of pharmacometrics.&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;For &lt;i&gt;p&lt;/i&gt;(&lt;i&gt;n&lt;/i&gt;), a Markov model was postulated and logits were derived with proper constraints for &lt;i&gt;n&lt;/i&gt; = 0, 1, or &gt; 1. The full log likelihood was derived, and parameter estimation was performed with the Laplacian method in NONMEM. The covariates, time of the day (morning, mid-day, evening), weekend days, and age were found to be significant. Figure 4 of that paper visualizes observed dosing patterns (corresponding to the number of times the pill bottle was opened by the patients) [&lt;span&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;] (reproduced here as Figure 1). Interestingly, it is quite similar to panels (a) and (b) of Figure 1 of the tutorial paper that shows a visualization to explore the Markovian features of a categorical response, although the latter paper goes one step further by showing a correlation plot of current versus previous response [&lt;span&gt;1&lt;/span&gt;].&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;The original work [&lt;span&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;] was published in a statistical journal and was written based on a statistical background rather than a pharmacometric one. However, it is an important reminder that our work [&lt;span&gt;2, 3&lt;/span&gt;] was supervised and guided by Prof Lewis B. Sheiner, a giant in the field of pharmacometrics, even before it became a newly coined discipline in 1982 [&lt;span&gt;4&lt;/span&gt;]. Coming back to our original published work [&lt;span&gt;3&lt;/span&gt;], it is also worth noting that this paper was the first time where pharmacometricians used the ‘posterior pr","PeriodicalId":10774,"journal":{"name":"CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology","volume":"14 5","pages":"817-818"},"PeriodicalIF":3.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/psp4.70031","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143802648","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Synthetic Data in Healthcare and Drug Development: Definitions, Regulatory Frameworks, Issues 医疗保健和药物开发中的合成数据:定义、监管框架和问题。
IF 3.1 3区 医学
CPT: Pharmacometrics & Systems Pharmacology Pub Date : 2025-04-07 DOI: 10.1002/psp4.70021
Giuseppe Pasculli, Marco Virgolin, Puja Myles, Anna Vidovszky, Charles Fisher, Elisabetta Biasin, Miranda Mourby, Francesco Pappalardo, Saverio D'Amico, Mario Torchia, Alexander Chebykin, Vincenzo Carbone, Luca Emili, Daniel Roeshammar
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