{"title":"Employment and value added created by ports: A case study for Germany with an outlook to 2040","authors":"David Ennen","doi":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.048","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.048","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper analyzes the economic impacts of German sea and inland ports by estimating the employment and gross value added (GVA) generated by the ports in 2022. We consider both direct effects, arising from the economic activity of port stakeholders, and indirect effects, stemming from the economic activity of suppliers in the upstream value chain. Indirect effects are estimated using an input-output model and the official input-output table for Germany. The results show that ports contribute more than 60,500 jobs and €6.1 billion in GVA to the German economy. Based on the findings for 2022 and the \"Transport Forecast 2040\" for Germany, we discuss the future development of the economic impacts of ports. Notably, the transition to a carbon-neutral economy is expected to largely eliminate imports of fossil energy carriers such as coal and crude oil, while imports of sustainable energy carriers are unlikely to fully compensate for the resulting decline in cargo volumes. This has substantial consequences for cargo handling at ports and the associated employment and GVA.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":101261,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Procedia","volume":"95 ","pages":"Pages 377-384"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147551901","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Saumik Sakib Bin Masud (Ph.D.) , Alexandra Kondyli (Ph.D.)
{"title":"Dynamic Real-Time Prediction of Drivers’ Risk Perception Using Deep Learning and Driving Simulator Data","authors":"Saumik Sakib Bin Masud (Ph.D.) , Alexandra Kondyli (Ph.D.)","doi":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study presents a dynamic, real-time framework for predicting drivers’ risk perception (RP) using deep learning techniques and driving simulator data. RP, a critical factor influencing driving behavior and decision-making, was modeled through a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network, leveraging data collected from the University of Kansas National Advanced Driving Simulator (miniSim). Thirty drivers across three age groups participated in car-following scenarios and risk-inducing events, during which vehicular parameters, mental workload (WL) fluctuations, and driver demographics were recorded. RP was quantified using continuous measures derived from braking and accelerator forces. The LSTM model, designed with six look-back timesteps, demonstrated strong predictive performance, achieving an RMSE of 0.2 and MAPE of 3.28%. Analysis revealed that braking intensity, space headway, traffic congestion, WL fluctuations, and demographic factors significantly influenced RP. Younger drivers exhibited more consistent but less sensitive RP patterns, while older drivers showed greater RP variability, often linked to elevated WL. RP levels increased in congested conditions and decreased during sustained low WL, indicating potential complacency risks. The LSTM model closely captured the temporal dynamics of RP across diverse scenarios, underscoring its potential for integration into Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) to enable adaptive, personalized interventions. The findings also highlight the need for demographic-specific training programs and inform policy strategies aimed at enhancing traffic safety. Future work will focus on extending model validation to real-world driving contexts and incorporating additional physiological and environmental parameters to further refine predictive capabilities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":101261,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Procedia","volume":"95 ","pages":"Pages 57-64"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147551484","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Emily Stoebke , Markus Kühlen , Katrin Kölker , Klaus Lütjens
{"title":"From ground to sky: Exploring the dynamics of ground times in relation to future aircraft design and airline networks","authors":"Emily Stoebke , Markus Kühlen , Katrin Kölker , Klaus Lütjens","doi":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.089","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.089","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Extended aircraft ground times between two flights are widely recognised to have the potential to increase costs, to generate network inefficiencies, and to diminish the attractiveness of both airports and airlines. As a result, minimizing ground times, and thereby maximising aircraft utilisation, has become an objective within airline operation planning. Furthermore, incorporating operational data such as ground times into scenario-based analyses has become relevant for identifying suitable design parameters in future aircraft concepts, such as the design of liquid hydrogen (LH<sub>2</sub>) or electric aircraft. This study aims to explore the dynamics of ground times in relation to future aircraft design and airline networks. A dual approach is employed, combining both descriptive and analytical methods to analyse ground times across factors as aircraft types, regions, airports, and airlines. An openly available ADS-B data set to extract ground time information from flight operations between 2022 and 2024 is utilised. Additionally, flight schedules and passenger demand data are incorporated to conduct a network analysis from airport and network level, evaluating how ground times affect overall airline performance and connectivity.</div><div>The analysis of ground times across aircraft categories highlights the need for range- and operation-specific insulation strategies in future LH<sub>2</sub> aircraft to optimise hydrogen storage. Furthermore, the regression-based network analysis reveals that reduced ground times are associated with greater network robustness, higher passenger numbers, increased connectivity, enhanced centrality, and improved aircraft utilisation at the network level, with variations observed across regions and business models. Regional differences are more evident at the airport level, while business model variations became more apparent at the network level.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":101261,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Procedia","volume":"95 ","pages":"Pages 704-711"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147551629","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Shared Autonomous Electric Vehicle: A Simulation Study on Operational Efficiency and Service Dynamics","authors":"Elena N. Belodedova , Amin Anjomshoaa","doi":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.096","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.096","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Shared autonomous electric vehicles (SAEV) represent a transformative shift in urban mobility, promising enhanced flexibility and sustainability. This study investigates the impact of integrating SAEVs into a taxi-hailing aggregator, focusing on their operational efficiency and environmental benefits. Based on New York City trip data from high-volume for-hire vehicle (FHV) services, a simulation is conducted to model how such vehicles would operate, exploring fleet performance, environmental impact, and revenue while considering constraints such as charging infrastructure, fleet size, and real-time demand fuctuations in an urban setting. The simulation evaluates key metrics, including CO2 emissions, utilization, completed trips rate, and net revenue, comparing them with traditional 15-hour driver-based taxis and 24-hour hailing service. Our results confrm the initial expectations, demonstrating that SAEVs outperform traditional taxi services across all key metrics, irrespective of fleet size. The simulation reveals that, on average, net revenue increased by over 250%, while CO2 emissions were reduced by more than 100% compared to the benchmark services. In comparison to 24-hour hailing services, SAEVs clearly offer advantages in terms of revenue and environmental impact, though they do exhibit a decline in operational efficiency. Importantly, this decline can be mitigated through appropriate scaling of the SAEV feet..</div></div>","PeriodicalId":101261,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Procedia","volume":"95 ","pages":"Pages 760-767"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147551656","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Giovanni Calabrò , Giuseppe Inturri , Michela Le Pira
{"title":"Integrating Passenger and Freight Transport in Demand-Responsive Systems: A Novel Agent-Based Modelling Approach","authors":"Giovanni Calabrò , Giuseppe Inturri , Michela Le Pira","doi":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.095","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.095","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Integrating passenger and freight transport within a single system can enhance the profitability and sustainability of demand-responsive transport services, particularly in low-demand or rural areas. This study proposes a model in which low-capacity vehicles serve both passengers and parcels, prioritizing passenger trips while scheduling deliveries during vehicle idle times. Using an agent-based simulation in a synthetic environment, the analysis evaluates the trade-offs between passenger service quality, delivery reliability, and operator profitability. By varying the number of parcels and the flexibility of passenger time windows, the study identifies operational conditions that optimize system efficiency. Results show that moderate parcel volumes (i.e., 100 parcels/day) yield limited passenger discomfort, with 2–5% increase in travel times with respect to the passenger-only DRT service, while maintaining high passenger and delivery acceptance rates (>92%). A monetary compensation mechanism is proposed, redistributing the operator’s net profit (derived from avoided conventional delivery costs) among passengers as travel discounts. This incentive ensures user acceptance while supporting integrated service viability. The findings highlight the potential of passenger-freight integration to increase cost-efficiency and promote sustainable urban logistics in low-demand areas.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":101261,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Procedia","volume":"95 ","pages":"Pages 752-759"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147551732","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Marta Leonina Tessitore , Marcella Samà , Giorgio Sartor , Carlo Mannino , Dario Pacciarelli
{"title":"Evaluating the Impact of Station Capacity Reduction on the Timetable","authors":"Marta Leonina Tessitore , Marcella Samà , Giorgio Sartor , Carlo Mannino , Dario Pacciarelli","doi":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.051","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.051","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In train timetabling, robustness usually refers to the timetable’s ability to withstand disturbances and recover from delays. However, railway systems are also subject to disruptions, major unplanned events, such as train breakdowns, that significantly impact train operations and cause substantial deviations from the planned timetable. Even tough disruptions are less frequent than disturbances, they often require significant rescheduling efforts, including train rerouting and cancellations, and major changes to the timetable. These changes often involve the closure of tracks or platforms and temporary reductions in network capacity, increasing the likelihood of delays propagating through the network. In this work, we present a case study analysis of a Norwegian railway line and investigate how the concept of timetable fragility may be exploited to ensure reliable train service in case of disruptions, and reduce the negative effects of disruptions on the timetable. Specifically, we analyze how a reduction in station capacity, such as that occurring during planned maintenance, may affect the timetable’s ability to both absorb delays and recover from disruptions. This analysis certainly provides valuable information to understand the impact of maintenance activities on timetable performance and to help design more robust schedules that can better withstand disruptions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":101261,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Procedia","volume":"95 ","pages":"Pages 401-408"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147551903","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
João Montenegro , Lígia Conceição , Rosaldo Rossetti
{"title":"Forecasting C-ITS Deployments: a discrete choice modelling approach","authors":"João Montenegro , Lígia Conceição , Rosaldo Rossetti","doi":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.046","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.02.046","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Aiming to overcome challenges associated with urban mobility, cities adopt different strategies to attain safer and more efficient traffic, among other objectives. An example of such endeavours involves the deployment of Cooperative Intelligent Transport Systems (C-ITS). However, cities face strong uncertainty regarding different deployment-related aspects, such as the choice of technology and the ideal sequence of services and use cases. This paper, based on data collected by the C-Roads initiative (EU-funded project), proposes a discrete choice modelling approach to predict the ideal implementation period for a specific C-ITS use case. The model aims to assist city authorities in deciding when to implement it, thereby reducing uncertainties in C-ITS deployment. Using data from 22 European cities, the study considers key features that may influence the use case deployment periods, including infrastructure dimension, network design, public and private participation, funding sources, and policy goals. Significant associations between the implementation periods and critical characteristics were revealed, such as public-private participation in the deployment stages, the presence of national funding, and environmental concerns being an essential policy goal. Despite limitations arising from data constraints, the model contributes to the decision-making process for a specific use case.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":101261,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Procedia","volume":"95 ","pages":"Pages 361-368"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147551907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How gender sensitive are our data collections? Emphasising the need for a new way of thinking in transport research","authors":"Johanna Koch, Carsten Sommer","doi":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.04.142","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.04.142","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The issue of gender in transport planning and research has occasionally been discussed for a while now. Despite this long history, not much has been done in terms of concrete implementation, making it still relevant to talk about these aspects. The gender data gap in surveys on travel behaviour is often discussed as a central topic in the field of gender and mobility. This means that certain trip patterns cannot be mapped by current data collection methods, resulting in a ‘gap’ in our data. Achieving gender equitable transport surveys requires the research community to be aware of this problem. For this reason, this discussion paper provides a literature-based problem analysis of the field of gender and mobility research in order to sensitise researchers and encourage them to conduct more in-depth research in this area. Building on this, we conclude with the need for further research.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":101261,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Procedia","volume":"97 ","pages":"Pages 48-57"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148154011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Learning-Assisted Optimization for the Stochastic Service Network Design Problem","authors":"Ahmad Baubaid","doi":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.03.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.03.011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Service Network Design (SND) problems arise when consolidation carriers plan vehicle or vessel capacities for their transportation networks for an upcoming operating season. The two-stage stochastic SND (SSND) further explicitly considers uncertain demand: carriers commit to offering transportation services in advance (first stage) and may later adapt by procuring additional costlier spot-market capacity (second stage). While more realistic, SSNDs are computationally challenging.</div><div>In this work, we study the efficacy of using artificial neural networks to assist in solving two-stage SSND problems. The aim is to learn a predictive model that estimates the recourse cost of candidate first-stage SSND solutions under uncertain demand. This trained predictive model can then be used in lieu of the recourse subproblem, with the goal of forming a more tractable hybrid or surrogate optimization model. Results show that effective learning can be achieved: the solutions produced by the surrogate model exhibit an average estimation gap of about 4% between their true expected cost and their surrogate-predicted value. We also observe that estimation quality decreases as instance size increases (for a fixed training set size).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":101261,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Procedia","volume":"96 ","pages":"Pages 79-86"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148154045","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Autonomous Indoor Rescue Drone Guided by Sound and LLMs","authors":"Rawan Bakro , Raghad Al-Johani , Asma Al-Arfaj , Hussein Samma","doi":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.04.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trpro.2026.04.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In high-risk indoor emergencies such as fires, autonomous drones can play a vital role in accelerating rescue operations while reducing risk to human responders. This paper presents a sound-guided indoor rescue drone enhanced by Large Language Model (LLM)-based multimodal reasoning to enable adaptive perception and decision-making in GPS-denied environments. The proposed system integrates sound strength estimation, vision-based scene understanding, and LLM-driven navigation to guide the drone toward a target sound source while avoiding obstacles. The approach was validated using a real DJI Tello drone in indoor corridor environments. Experimental results show that the drone successfully navigated toward the target sound source in 75% of test scenarios. On average, 6–10 LLM-generated navigation decisions were required to localize the sound source. Each perception–decision cycle required approximately 20–30 seconds, primarily due to LLM inference latency. Despite this limitation, the system demonstrated robust multimodal reasoning and safe navigation without collisions in all successful trials.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":101261,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Procedia","volume":"96 ","pages":"Pages 388-395"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2026-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148153764","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}