Technological Forecasting最新文献

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Toward a methodology for systemic forecasting 走向系统预测的方法论
Technological Forecasting Pub Date : 1970-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90019-0
Erich Jantsch
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引用次数: 3
The precision of Delphi estimates 德尔菲估计的精度
Technological Forecasting Pub Date : 1970-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90030-X
Joseph P. Martino (Lt. Col. USAF)
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引用次数: 38
A general approach to measurement of the state of the art and technological advance 一种衡量技术发展状况和技术进步的通用方法
Technological Forecasting Pub Date : 1970-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90018-9
E.N. Dodson
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引用次数: 29
A university for the postindustrial society 后工业社会的大学
Technological Forecasting Pub Date : 1970-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90028-1
Harold A. Linstone
{"title":"A university for the postindustrial society","authors":"Harold A. Linstone","doi":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90028-1","DOIUrl":"10.1016/0099-3964(70)90028-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The position of the United States in the past quarter century can be traced in no small part to its large and advanced system of higher education. The academic establishment has been at the forefront, providing the country with its most important resource: trained and knowledgeable manpower. But trouble looms and in a nightmare we are apt to have a vision reminiscent of the well-known cartoon which shows a crowd of running people trailed by one man desperately exclaiming: “There go my people. I must follow them for I am their leader.”</p><p>In the next quarter century the widening chasm between progress in technology and the social/behavioral sciences threatens to wreak havoc in the United States. And the same pattern may subsequently be repeated in the other advanced countries. The challenge posed to the leadership of the academic community is awesome indeed. With this paper, we hope to intensify the dialogue on the role university in reducing the chasm and thereby helping to propel the country toward the era of the post-industrial society.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101211,"journal":{"name":"Technological Forecasting","volume":"1 3","pages":"Pages 263-281"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"1970-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0099-3964(70)90028-1","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"85208679","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 10
Use of self-ratings to improve group estimates: Experimental evaluation of delphi procedures 使用自评来改善群体估计:德尔菲程序的实验评估
Technological Forecasting Pub Date : 1970-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90029-3
N. Dalkey, B. Brown, S. Cochran
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引用次数: 126
Goal systems for governmental R & D planning 政府研发规划的目标体系
Technological Forecasting Pub Date : 1970-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(70)90015-3
Dirk Beckerhoff
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引用次数: 1
New organizational forms for forecasting 预测的新组织形式
Technological Forecasting Pub Date : 1969-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(69)90016-7
Erich Jantsch
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引用次数: 3
Technological forecasting and policymaking reform 技术预测与决策改革
Technological Forecasting Pub Date : 1969-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(69)90012-X
Yehezkel Dror (Senior Professional Sfaff Member)
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引用次数: 1
The establishment of a national goals research staff 建立一支国家级目标研究队伍
Technological Forecasting Pub Date : 1969-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(69)90021-0
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引用次数: 0
Induction of psychointellectual activity in long-term forecasting and planning of research: Psychoheuristic programming 长期预测和研究计划中心理智力活动的诱导:心理启发式规划
Technological Forecasting Pub Date : 1969-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/0099-3964(69)90014-3
Corresponding Member Vladimir Chavchanidze (Director)
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引用次数: 2
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