{"title":"The loan puzzle in Mexico","authors":"Luis Fernando Colunga-Ramos","doi":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100160","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100160","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Empirical evidence for advanced economies suggests that following a monetary tightening, commercial and industrial bank loans show a positive “puzzling response”. Since there is no wide evidence for the Mexican case, this paper analyzes the response of bank loans at the sectoral level after a monetary contraction. For this purpose, I estimate a structural VAR model with block exogeneity to identify a monetary shock for a small open economy. The results show evidence of firms’ loan puzzles during 2001-2019 characterized by an inflation-targeting regime in Mexico. Those short-lived loan puzzles are mainly observed in sectors with the lowest delinquency rates during the period of analysis. My finding of the loan puzzle at the aggregate level in a recent sample arises in a closed as well as in an open economy approach.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100867,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","volume":"6 1","pages":"Article 100160"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099594","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Brazilian economy in the 2000’s: A tale of two recessions","authors":"Matheus Cardoso Leal, Márcio Issao Nakane","doi":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100162","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100162","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>During the 2008 Great Recession, the adoption of counter-cyclical economic policies made the Brazilian economy more resilient. However, a noteworthy shift occurred in 2014, marked by a deterioration in Brazil’s macroeconomic landscape, primarily driven by a worsening debt situation. Consequently, this downturn led to a decline in private investment, an upswing in unemployment rates, and negative growth rates over multiple quarters. To comprehend these macroeconomic fluctuations, this paper employs the Business Cycle Accounting (BCA) analytical framework, focusing on quarterly data spanning from 2002 to 2019. Among the key findings, the study reveals that the efficiency wedge played a pivotal role in replicating observed output movements during both recessions, with the labor wedge following closely. Investment and government consumption wedges were not significant business cycle drivers in the period.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100867,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","volume":"6 1","pages":"Article 100162"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099584","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The effect of financial inclusion on economic and social indicators in Mexico","authors":"Guadalupe del Carmen Briano-Turrent","doi":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100161","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100161","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper analyses the relationship between financial inclusion and the economic and social development in Mexico. For this quantitative research, a study sample composed by 448 observations during the 2007–2020 was analyzed using fixed effect estimations with instrumental variables 2SLS. Empirical results show that access to banking services reduces poverty, informality and inequality and favor the human development and its components of health, standard of living and education. The banking penetration decreases poverty, informality and inequality and enhances the standard of living and education. An increase in the usage of banking services diminishes the poverty and informality and increases the human development. This research contributes to practical implications for policy makers to enhance financial inclusion and human development in Mexico.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100867,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","volume":"6 1","pages":"Article 100161"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143099670","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The role of informality in the economic growth, employment, and inflation during the COVID-19 crisis","authors":"Manuel Torres-Favela, Edgar M. Luna","doi":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100150","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100150","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100867,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","volume":"310 3","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141852732","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Capital ratios and the Weighted Average Cost of Capital: Evidence from Chilean banks","authors":"Rodrigo Cifuentes, Tomás Goméz, Alejandro Jara","doi":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100143","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100143","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100867,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","volume":"20 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141853860","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Marcos Valli Jorge, A. M. Fasolo, Silvio Michael de Azevedo Costa
{"title":"Mitigating policies for pollutant emissions in a DSGE for the Brazilian economy","authors":"Marcos Valli Jorge, A. M. Fasolo, Silvio Michael de Azevedo Costa","doi":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100145","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100145","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100867,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","volume":"12 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141693248","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Uruguay’s banking system exposure to transition risk","authors":"Andrea Barón, Helena Rodríguez","doi":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100148","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100148","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100867,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","volume":"235 1‐2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141708604","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The effects of climate change on a small and open economy: Economic and monetary perspectives","authors":"Jesús Bejarano, Daniela Rodríguez","doi":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100144","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100144","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100867,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","volume":"43 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141840742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Real exchange rate and economic activity in Jamaica","authors":"Alvin E. Harris, Prudence Serju-Thomas","doi":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100149","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100149","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100867,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","volume":"34 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141709659","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Viviana Alfonso C, Steven Kamin, Fabrizio Zampolli
{"title":"Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) in Latin America and the Caribbean","authors":"Viviana Alfonso C, Steven Kamin, Fabrizio Zampolli","doi":"10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100140","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.latcb.2024.100140","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100867,"journal":{"name":"Latin American Journal of Central Banking","volume":"22 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141703986","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}