{"title":"Double-checking auditors: a Bayesian approach","authors":"V. M. Raats, J. J. A. Moors","doi":"10.1111/1467-9884.00364","DOIUrl":"10.1111/1467-9884.00364","url":null,"abstract":"<p><b>Summary.</b> The paper discusses the problem of a fallible auditor who may classify incorrect values as ‘correct’, or vice versa. To detect these mistakes, a sample of the auditor's classifications is checked again, now by an infallible expert. From the classifications of both the auditor and the expert the error rate in the population is estimated. We show that classical confidence intervals for the error rate are of limited practical use. Instead, we propose and implement a Bayesian approach.</p>","PeriodicalId":100846,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician)","volume":"52 3","pages":"351-365"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2003-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1467-9884.00364","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"62647685","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Applied Multivariate Statistics for the Social Sciences","authors":"Lada Mitchell","doi":"10.1111/1467-9884.00369_23","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_23","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100846,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician)","volume":"52 3","pages":"418-420"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2003-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_23","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72322683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Box on Quality and Discovery: with Design, Control and Robustness","authors":"P. W. Woodward","doi":"10.1111/1467-9884.00369_26","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_26","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100846,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician)","volume":"52 3","pages":"421-422"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2003-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_26","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72322688","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"In All Likelihood: Statistical Modelling and Inference Using Likelihood","authors":"Pia Veldt Larsen","doi":"10.1111/1467-9884.00369_20","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_20","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100846,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician)","volume":"52 3","pages":"416-417"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2003-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_20","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72322690","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Principles and Methods of Social Research","authors":"Armando H. Seuc","doi":"10.1111/1467-9884.00369_4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100846,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician)","volume":"52 3","pages":"404-405"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2003-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_4","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72323041","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Notes on the life and work of R. A. Fisher","authors":"Peter J. Green","doi":"10.1111/1467-9884.00359","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00359","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100846,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician)","volume":"52 3","pages":"299-301"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2003-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1467-9884.00359","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72323078","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Analysis of sports data by using bivariate Poisson models","authors":"Dimitris Karlis, Ioannis Ntzoufras","doi":"10.1111/1467-9884.00366","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00366","url":null,"abstract":"<p><b>Summary.</b> Models based on the bivariate Poisson distribution are used for modelling sports data. Independent Poisson distributions are usually adopted to model the number of goals of two competing teams. We replace the independence assumption by considering a bivariate Poisson model and its extensions. The models proposed allow for correlation between the two scores, which is a plausible assumption in sports with two opposing teams competing against each other. The effect of introducing even slight correlation is discussed. Using just a bivariate Poisson distribution can improve model fit and prediction of the number of draws in football games. The model is extended by considering an inflation factor for diagonal terms in the bivariate joint distribution. This inflation improves in precision the estimation of draws and, at the same time, allows for overdispersed, relative to the simple Poisson distribution, marginal distributions. The properties of the models proposed as well as interpretation and estimation procedures are provided. An illustration of the models is presented by using data sets from football and water-polo.</p>","PeriodicalId":100846,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician)","volume":"52 3","pages":"381-393"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2003-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1467-9884.00366","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72322678","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modern Statistics for the Life Sciences","authors":"Scott Sissons","doi":"10.1111/1467-9884.00369_10","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_10","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100846,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician)","volume":"52 3","pages":"409-410"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2003-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_10","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72323026","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Cross-over Trials in Clinical Research","authors":"Alan S. Rigby","doi":"10.1111/1467-9884.00369_22","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_22","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100846,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician)","volume":"52 3","pages":"417-418"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2003-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_22","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72323027","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Fundamentals of Queueing Networks: Performance, Asymptotics and Optimization","authors":"Jordan Stoyanov","doi":"10.1111/1467-9884.00369_3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100846,"journal":{"name":"Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series D (The Statistician)","volume":"52 3","pages":"403"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2003-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1467-9884.00369_3","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72323077","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}