Journal of Climate Finance最新文献

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Banking in the storm: How natural disaster influence non-performing loans and the path to sustainability in Vietnam 风暴中的银行:自然灾害如何影响越南的不良贷款和可持续发展之路
Journal of Climate Finance Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100076
Huan Huu Nguyen, Anh Chieu Hoang Phan, Nghi Thuc Thuy To, Nguyet Minh Song Nguyen, Tram Bao Huynh Nguyen
{"title":"Banking in the storm: How natural disaster influence non-performing loans and the path to sustainability in Vietnam","authors":"Huan Huu Nguyen,&nbsp;Anh Chieu Hoang Phan,&nbsp;Nghi Thuc Thuy To,&nbsp;Nguyet Minh Song Nguyen,&nbsp;Tram Bao Huynh Nguyen","doi":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100076","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100076","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Natural disasters, including seismic events, inundations, storms alongside the COVID-19 pandemic, pose substantial challenges to economic stability, particularly within the banking industry. This research examines the influence of natural disasters on non-performing loans at Vietnamese commercial banking institutions from 2008 to 2023, utilizing the System Generalized Method of Moments (SGMM) econometric framework to mitigate potential endogeneity concerns. By incorporating lagged variables and internal instruments, the SGMM estimator ensures robust and unbiased estimations. The empirical evidence reveals that economic damage caused by natural disasters significantly amplifies the non-performing loans (NPLs) ratio, particularly in high-exposure sectors such as agriculture, forestry, fisheries, tourism and entertainment industries. Severe storms further exacerbate systemic stress within the banking sector by disrupting economic activities and undermining the solvency of individuals and businesses. In contrast, the COVID-19 pandemic demonstrates a negative association with NPLs, largely attributable to government-led policy intervention instruments such as debt restructuring and financial policy intervention instruments. These findings suggest that the escalation of NPLs stems not only from unforeseen shocks but also from factors including capital buffers, external financial assistance, and internal risk management competencies. In this context, the study underscores the strategic importance of green finance and sustainability-oriented frameworks as long-term trajectories. Investments in advanced technologies for disaster-prone sectors and the promotion of green credit initiatives can mitigate credit risks, reinforce systemic resilience, and facilitate the transition toward a sustainability-aligned banking architecture.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100763,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Climate Finance","volume":"13 ","pages":"Article 100076"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145466718","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Lending over the technology lifecycle: Strategies for information search by banks in renewable energy project finance 技术生命周期内的贷款:可再生能源项目融资中银行信息搜索策略
Journal of Climate Finance Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100073
Anurag Gumber , Bjarne Steffen
{"title":"Lending over the technology lifecycle: Strategies for information search by banks in renewable energy project finance","authors":"Anurag Gumber ,&nbsp;Bjarne Steffen","doi":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100073","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100073","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Commercial bank credit is pivotal for the development of large-scale assets. However, technological immaturity may hinder access to bank capital, particularly when banks lack information on a new technology’s history and investment risk profile. We currently lack an understanding of how the banking sector can overcome this hurdle. Thus, this study examines the strategies banks use to gather information and develop a financial understanding of emerging technologies. Using two-part fractional response models and data on 7826 project finance deals in renewable energy, we find that, under technological uncertainty, banks gain confidence through brownfield lending, syndication, and information sourcing from borrowers until a strong banking network is formed. Furthermore, ownership and past lending relationships influence bank decisions. The dynamic results emphasize the importance of early bank entry and relationship building. The study concludes with policy implications, underscoring the need for greater coordination of public finance and formation of intermediation platforms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100763,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Climate Finance","volume":"13 ","pages":"Article 100073"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145121048","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Efficient mobilization of climate finance: Donors and receiving countries 有效调动气候资金:捐助国和受援国
Journal of Climate Finance Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100077
Gabriela Mundaca , Jon Strand
{"title":"Efficient mobilization of climate finance: Donors and receiving countries","authors":"Gabriela Mundaca ,&nbsp;Jon Strand","doi":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100077","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100077","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study mobilization of mitigation finance (<em>MF</em>) through an agreement between contributing high-income (<em>H</em>) donor countries. Mobilized <em>MF</em> funds are collected and managed by a coordinating international financial institution (IFI), and applied to implement efficient greenhouse gas (GHG) mitigation in lower-income (<em>L)</em> countries. When all other participating <em>H</em> countries respond to a defection by one <em>H</em> country from the collaborative solution using immediate “tit-for-tat” reaction strategies, a fully cooperative and stable equilibrium in <em>MF</em> contributions is obtained. When not all <em>H</em> countries react against deviations, and with delays in such reactions, full cooperation is no longer achievable as an equilibrium solution. Collaborative <em>MF</em> solutions are more efficient when <em>MF</em> contributions by <em>H</em> countries are made conditional on co-financing by <em>L</em> countries themselves. More <em>MF</em> is then raised, and more GHG mitigation is implemented in the <em>L</em> countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100763,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Climate Finance","volume":"13 ","pages":"Article 100077"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145684301","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Digital transformation, financial performance and firm valuation: The moderating effect of environmental risk 数字化转型、财务绩效与企业估值:环境风险的调节作用
Journal of Climate Finance Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100075
Mongkhol Moolkham
{"title":"Digital transformation, financial performance and firm valuation: The moderating effect of environmental risk","authors":"Mongkhol Moolkham","doi":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100075","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100075","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates how digital transformation affects firm valuation via financial performance, highlighting the moderating role of environmental risk, namely climate change and air pollution. It employs panel data from companies listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand and utilizes partial least-squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) for analysis. The results indicate that both core digital technologies and their applications have a positive and direct influence on financial performance and firm value, aligning with the national \"Thailand 4.0\" agenda. Additionally, the analysis suggests that improved financial performance serves as the primary mechanism by which digital transformation enhances firm value. However, this research presents a significant paradox when compared to existing literature. While previous studies propose that environmental risk can drive corporate digital adoption, the findings demonstrate that these same risks diminish the efficiency of the value-creation process. The study reveals that environmental risk not only directly undermines financial performance and firm value but, more critically, significantly reduces the positive, performance-mediated effect of digital transformation on firm value. This study advances key theoretical perspectives by showing that the value of digital assets is conditional on organizational resilience, reinforcing the resource-based view, contingency theory, and dynamic capabilities theory. It also extends signaling and stakeholder theories by highlighting the critical role of environmental context in shaping investor responses and strategic outcomes. The study suggests that, in an era characterized by increasing environmental risk, dependence solely on technology is insufficient. Firms must integrate environmental resilience to successfully convert digital transformation into sustainable long-term value gains.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100763,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Climate Finance","volume":"13 ","pages":"Article 100075"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145466658","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Enhancing sustainable development in West Africa despite uncertainty: The transformative potential of green financing 在不确定的情况下促进西非的可持续发展:绿色融资的变革潜力
Journal of Climate Finance Pub Date : 2025-12-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100074
Joshua Adeyemi Afolabi
{"title":"Enhancing sustainable development in West Africa despite uncertainty: The transformative potential of green financing","authors":"Joshua Adeyemi Afolabi","doi":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100074","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100074","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite the increasing evidence on the adverse effects of uncertainty on sustainable development, little is known about how green financing can mitigate this effect. This paper assesses the transformative potential of green financing in promoting sustainable development amid prevailing uncertainties in West Africa, drawing on evidence from developed regions. Four different static and dynamic model estimators are employed to analyse relevant data for the 2010–2022 period drawn from 14 West African countries. The empirical findings show uncertainty as a major impediment to sustainable development, while green financing enhances sustainable development in West Africa. Further results present green financing as a significant moderator of the negative effect of uncertainty on sustainable development. The results remain robust across various estimation methods and alternative measures of green financing. Thus, the lacunas in existing green financing frameworks in West Africa must be fixed while developing/strengthening modern frameworks and policies to enhance sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100763,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Climate Finance","volume":"13 ","pages":"Article 100074"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145060826","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Public climate concern and policy shifts: Understanding the joint impact on carbon prices in China 公众气候关注与政策转变:了解对中国碳价的共同影响
Journal of Climate Finance Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100071
Haoxi Chen
{"title":"Public climate concern and policy shifts: Understanding the joint impact on carbon prices in China","authors":"Haoxi Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100071","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100071","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>To effectively control greenhouse gas emissions, the carbon trading system has gained widespread attention as one of the most effective tools. This study adopts a broader perspective to analyse and compare the impacts of two societal forces — top-down climate policy changes and bottom-up public climate concern and awareness — on carbon trading prices in China. The findings disclose that top-down policy shifts and bottom-up public concern exert asymmetric effects on carbon trading prices under different market conditions, with particularly pronounced impacts in the distribution tails. The causal relationships between these forces and carbon trading prices often coincide with major climate policy changes and extreme climate events. This study underscores the importance of a dual-track approach in climate policy design, recognising that effective carbon market stability hinges on both regulatory consistency and active societal engagement.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100763,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Climate Finance","volume":"12 ","pages":"Article 100071"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144828015","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
What determines the price of carbon? New evidence from phase III and IV of the EU ETS 是什么决定了碳的价格?来自EU ETS第三和第四阶段的新证据
Journal of Climate Finance Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100070
Bente Dittmann , Tobias Lauter , Marcel Prokopczuk , Philipp Sibbertsen
{"title":"What determines the price of carbon? New evidence from phase III and IV of the EU ETS","authors":"Bente Dittmann ,&nbsp;Tobias Lauter ,&nbsp;Marcel Prokopczuk ,&nbsp;Philipp Sibbertsen","doi":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100070","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100070","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this paper, we provide new evidence on the determinants of EU emission allowance prices by analyzing the most recent trading periods, i.e. phases III and IV. We consider energy (oil, natural gas, coal) and electricity prices using various modeling approaches. We find that none of the approaches that have been proposed in the early literature on carbon pricing is suitable to explain the allowance price in the most recent sample. Among the variables, crude oil and electricity appear to be the most important market fundamentals, as they explain the largest share of variance. However, the explanatory power of all variables diminishes over time. We find that market fundamentals are able to explain up to 12% of the variation of EU emission allowance prices in phase III. However, the explanatory power drops to below 1% in phase IV. We conjecture that as the EU Emission Trading Scheme matures and the emissions cap tightens, the economic mechanics have fundamentally changed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100763,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Climate Finance","volume":"12 ","pages":"Article 100070"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144780671","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Structural changes and volatility forecasting in China’s carbon markets: A hybrid approach integrating GARCH-SVR with LASSO-weighted windows method 中国碳市场结构变化与波动性预测:GARCH-SVR与lasso加权窗口法的混合方法
Journal of Climate Finance Pub Date : 2025-09-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100072
Gaoxiu Qiao , Jinghui Wang , Feipeng Zhang , Yijun Pan
{"title":"Structural changes and volatility forecasting in China’s carbon markets: A hybrid approach integrating GARCH-SVR with LASSO-weighted windows method","authors":"Gaoxiu Qiao ,&nbsp;Jinghui Wang ,&nbsp;Feipeng Zhang ,&nbsp;Yijun Pan","doi":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100072","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100072","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As a newly established and rapidly developing financial market, China’s carbon markets are highly susceptible to structural changes driven by policy adjustments, external shocks, and immature trading mechanisms, which pose critical challenges for volatility forecasting. This study focuses on volatility forecasting of China’s carbon markets, proposing a novel hybrid forecasting approach to address these challenges. We first apply the hybrid GARCH-SVR method that combines the strengths of GARCH models in capturing volatility clustering with SVR’s ability to model nonlinear dynamics. To address model uncertainty arising from structural changes, we further develop a LASSO-weighted window method, where weights of GARCH-SVR forecasts across different windows are determined via LASSO regression. Empirical results show that LASSO-weighted window approach outperforms standalone GARCH models and GARCH-SVR in forecasting accuracy. Robustness tests with alternative windows and volatility proxies confirm this superiority. Importantly, economic value evaluation based on portfolio performance demonstrates that our method enhances asset allocation efficiency, providing practical guidance for carbon asset management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100763,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Climate Finance","volume":"12 ","pages":"Article 100072"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144866428","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Extreme temperatures and the profitability of large European firms 极端气温和欧洲大公司的盈利能力
Journal of Climate Finance Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100068
Gian Pietro Bellocca , Pilar Poncela , Esther Ruiz
{"title":"Extreme temperatures and the profitability of large European firms","authors":"Gian Pietro Bellocca ,&nbsp;Pilar Poncela ,&nbsp;Esther Ruiz","doi":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100068","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100068","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this paper, we analyze the impact of temperature exposure on earnings per share of large European firms over the 21st century using panel data models. Our findings reveal that earnings are sensitive to extreme temperatures in a large proportion of sectors. Depending on the particular quarter of the year and sector, we observe impacts on profitability, which can be positive, negative, or both. Most of the effects of extreme temperatures are observed during the milder seasons of spring and autumn. Furthermore, we find a steady increase in investments in sectors that are negatively impacted by extreme temperatures, which grew from around 16 % in 2015 to more than 23 % in 2022. Finally, we find a higher percentage of sectors affected by exposure to extreme temperatures in Europe than that observed in other similar studies for the US.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100763,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Climate Finance","volume":"11 ","pages":"Article 100068"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143935997","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Did we open the flood gates? climate risk and infrastructure loans probability of default 我们打开闸门了吗?气候风险与基础设施贷款违约概率
Journal of Climate Finance Pub Date : 2025-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100066
Abderrahim Assab
{"title":"Did we open the flood gates? climate risk and infrastructure loans probability of default","authors":"Abderrahim Assab","doi":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100066","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jclimf.2025.100066","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>I provide a novel approach to estimating asset-level expected damage from flooding for 952 airports, ports, and power plants globally. This study contributes to the understanding of climate risks in infrastructure finance by focusing on the impact of flood damage on loan default probabilities—a critical aspect for investors and policymakers managing climate adaptation in high-risk areas. Using multivariate regression models with sectoral and geographic controls, I find that the expected damage from flood increases the probability of default on infrastructure project finance loans and that the presence of stringent flood adaptation standards decreases it. A standard deviation increase in the expected damage from flood increases the probability of default by one percent, while the presence of enforced flood adaptation standards leads to a 4 percent decrease in the probability of default. I find that the effect of expected damage from floods is higher for long-maturity loans, as well as projects including financial risk mitigation mechanisms such as Power Purchase Agreements. I also find that flood adaptation standards decrease probability of default only when these are enforced. The presence of non-enforced flood management policies leads to an increase in probability of default. These findings have important implications for project finance as an instrument to finance infrastructure and infrastructure as a distinct financial asset class.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100763,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Climate Finance","volume":"11 ","pages":"Article 100066"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143899236","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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