Climate Change Ecology最新文献

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Climatological effects on survival, recruitment, and possible extirpation of a Sierra Nevada anuran 气候对内华达山脉羚羊生存、繁殖和可能灭绝的影响
Climate Change Ecology Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100099
Brian J. Halstead , Patrick M. Kleeman , Jonathan P. Rose , Robert L. Grasso , Gary M. Fellers
{"title":"Climatological effects on survival, recruitment, and possible extirpation of a Sierra Nevada anuran","authors":"Brian J. Halstead ,&nbsp;Patrick M. Kleeman ,&nbsp;Jonathan P. Rose ,&nbsp;Robert L. Grasso ,&nbsp;Gary M. Fellers","doi":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100099","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100099","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The drivers of population dynamics are a primary interest of ecologists, and predicting the consequences of climate variability on wildlife populations benefits from an understanding of how weather causes variation in the vital rates of populations. Given recent and projected extremes in annual precipitation in the Sierra Nevada of California, USA, including two severe droughts, we sought to examine the role of snowpack and summer water availability on the population dynamics and potential extirpation of a meadow population of the U.S. Endangered Sierra Nevada yellow-legged frog (<em>Rana sierrae</em>) using a long-term capture-mark-recapture dataset. We found that snowpack and summer water availability affected both survival and recruitment probabilities. Although these variables only explained approximately 17 % of the annual variation in adult survival, they explained 81 % of the variation in recruitment into the adult population. Following two severe, extended droughts and a nearby wildfire, the population consisted of 20 or fewer individuals with &gt;95 % certainty, and 10 or fewer individuals with 64 % certainty. If realized, increased precipitation volatility and extended droughts likely present an additional threat to some meadow populations of this endangered frog.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100260,"journal":{"name":"Climate Change Ecology","volume":"10 ","pages":"Article 100099"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145415426","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rights of nature as a response to the climate crisis and discourses on sustainability 自然权利作为对气候危机和可持续性话语的回应
Climate Change Ecology Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100101
Diana Carolina Sánchez-Zapata , María Fernanda Cárdenas
{"title":"Rights of nature as a response to the climate crisis and discourses on sustainability","authors":"Diana Carolina Sánchez-Zapata ,&nbsp;María Fernanda Cárdenas","doi":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100101","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100101","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article analyzes the emergence of the category of nature as a subject of rights and of the rights of Nature as a proposal for the relationship between human beings and the environment in the context of climate crisis. It considers the discourses on sustainability present at different scales (global, within supranational organizations; national, within various states; and regional or local), which have been used as a basis for the recognition of rights to nature. It is evident, through a multi-scale analysis that the rights of Nature emerge as a novel alternative to the structural causes of climate change associated with the relationships between nature and culture; however, there are discursive differences between scales regarding the concept of sustainability. The analysis in specific territorial contexts allows us to evidence sustainability as a language in action that is transformed to enable the implementation of the rights of Nature. Based on this analysis, some proposals are made, taking into consideration the territorial contexts and community experiences that show the importance of recognizing the visions on sustainability of peoples and ethnic communities to implement the rights of Nature.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100260,"journal":{"name":"Climate Change Ecology","volume":"10 ","pages":"Article 100101"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145415424","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Antagonistic climate-land use change interactions shape future distributions of a temperate snake at the northern range limit 对抗性气候-土地利用变化的相互作用塑造了温带蛇在北部范围极限的未来分布
Climate Change Ecology Pub Date : 2025-11-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100103
Andrea Gómez-Sánchez, Stephen C. Lougheed
{"title":"Antagonistic climate-land use change interactions shape future distributions of a temperate snake at the northern range limit","authors":"Andrea Gómez-Sánchez,&nbsp;Stephen C. Lougheed","doi":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100103","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100103","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change presents a substantial threat to biodiversity, driving shifts in species distributions both independently and through interactions with land use change. In Canada, 77 % of reptile species are considered at risk, especially near the Canada-U.S. border, where most species are at the northern range limit and where land use changes have been most pronounced. Climate change is expected to impact reptiles in this region, including snakes; however, how it will interact with land use change to affect snake distributions remains uncertain. Here, we used ensemble models, derived from three different SDM models, to investigate the potential effects of climate-land cover/use interactions on the future distribution of range-edge populations of a large threatened colubrid in Canada, Gray ratsnakes (<em>Pantherophis spiloides</em>). We showed climate and land cover/use change have an antagonistic effect on future environmental suitability, with greater net gains in suitability from climate alone (37–85 %) compared to gains from the combined model (35–81 %). Our study revealed that climate change may benefit temperate snakes, like gray ratsnakes, leading to a northward range-edge shift, but land use change may prevent colonization of new areas and persistence in areas of their current range. Our models showed that the Frontenac Arch is projected to be a key region for gray ratsnake persistence under climate change as it will mostly remain suitable due to the forest cover. These findings highlight the need for protection and restoration of habitat to help mitigate the negative effects of climate change for ratsnakes and many other similar species in Canada.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100260,"journal":{"name":"Climate Change Ecology","volume":"10 ","pages":"Article 100103"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145617407","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A year in review: Environmental policy changes in 2024 一年回顾:2024年的环境政策变化
Climate Change Ecology Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100093
Alice C. Hughes
{"title":"A year in review: Environmental policy changes in 2024","authors":"Alice C. Hughes","doi":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100093","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100093","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":100260,"journal":{"name":"Climate Change Ecology","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100093"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144088786","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Expanding horizon of invasive alien plants under the interacting effects of global climate change: Multifaceted impacts and management prospects 全球气候变化相互作用下外来入侵植物扩展视野:多方面影响与管理展望
Climate Change Ecology Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100092
Roger Bruce Syngkli, Prabhat Kumar Rai, Lalnuntluanga
{"title":"Expanding horizon of invasive alien plants under the interacting effects of global climate change: Multifaceted impacts and management prospects","authors":"Roger Bruce Syngkli,&nbsp;Prabhat Kumar Rai,&nbsp;Lalnuntluanga","doi":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100092","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100092","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Anthropogenic disturbances driven introduction of invasive alien plants (IAP) threatened the native biodiversity and environmental sustainability. IAP induced biotic homogenization can also disrupt ecosystem functioning/-services and socio-economy. Multifaceted threats of IAP can further be exacerbated under the interactive effects of climate change. However, IAP-climate change interaction is insufficiently addressed. Therefore, present review attempts to explicitly elucidate this linkage for cross-sectoral invasion ecology and management research. Changes in climatic variables also facilitated IAP to expand their horizon irrespective of the extreme climate and geographical barriers, which enhanced the vulnerability of protected areas rich in endemics. Moreover, IAP-climate change impacted the forestry/agroforestry systems by restricting abiotic resources and influencing forest regeneration, litter stock, and nutrient cycling. Consequently, IAP-climate change can influence ecological economics, livelihood, and human well-being. Implementation of species distribution model (SDM) into management and mitigation strategies is required to control IAP along with the present and future climate change scenarios.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100260,"journal":{"name":"Climate Change Ecology","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100092"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143175447","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Projected climate change effects on individual growth rates and size in a threatened pitviper 预测气候变化对濒危pitviper个体生长速度和大小的影响
Climate Change Ecology Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100091
James N. Helferich , Richard B. King , Lisa J. Faust , Sarah J. Baker , Michael J. Dreslik , Kenton Otterbein , Jennifer A. Moore , Doug Wynn , Thomas A. Bell , Robyn L. Bailey , Kristin Wildman , Glenn Johnson , Matthew Kleitch , Karen Cedar , Rori A. Paloski , Jonathan D. Choquette , John M. Adamski , Eric T. Hileman
{"title":"Projected climate change effects on individual growth rates and size in a threatened pitviper","authors":"James N. Helferich ,&nbsp;Richard B. King ,&nbsp;Lisa J. Faust ,&nbsp;Sarah J. Baker ,&nbsp;Michael J. Dreslik ,&nbsp;Kenton Otterbein ,&nbsp;Jennifer A. Moore ,&nbsp;Doug Wynn ,&nbsp;Thomas A. Bell ,&nbsp;Robyn L. Bailey ,&nbsp;Kristin Wildman ,&nbsp;Glenn Johnson ,&nbsp;Matthew Kleitch ,&nbsp;Karen Cedar ,&nbsp;Rori A. Paloski ,&nbsp;Jonathan D. Choquette ,&nbsp;John M. Adamski ,&nbsp;Eric T. Hileman","doi":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100091","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100091","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ectotherms are particularly vulnerable to climate change because they rely on the surrounding environment for thermoregulation. In snakes, prolonged warmer temperatures and precipitation changes may lead to faster growth and smaller body size. Our goal was to assess how climate change may impact future sizes and growth rates on an endangered pitviper species as a model organism. We hypothesized that climate change-induced shifts in growing season temperature, early growing season precipitation, and snow residence time (SRT) would impact growth rate and asymptotic size in the threatened Eastern Massasauga (<em>Sistrurus catenatus</em>) rattlesnake. We used capture-mark-recapture data from eleven sites across the species’ range to fit a set of non-linear models evaluating the effects of these three climate variables on asymptotic size and growth coefficient in a modified von Bertalanffy growth curve. We found that longer SRT resulted in larger asymptotic size. We also found support for both a negative relationship between SRT and growth rate and a positive relationship between precipitation and growth rate. We averaged all supported models and predicted growth and size in the 2080s under a stabilization (RCP 4.5) and a high (RCP 8.5) emission scenario. Under RCP 8.5, predicted increases in female growth rate ranged from 10 % to 33 %, whereas decreases in female size across sites ranged from 9 % to 17 %. Under this scenario female lifetime reproductive success will decrease, as faster growth is associated with increased mortality, early senescence, and poor offspring quality, and smaller body sizes will result in smaller and fewer young.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100260,"journal":{"name":"Climate Change Ecology","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100091"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143175445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Plant competition dominates grass species interactions in a migrating marsh-forest ecotone 在迁移的沼泽-森林过渡带中,植物竞争主导着禾草物种的相互作用
Climate Change Ecology Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100095
Keryn B. Gedan , Whitney C. Hoot , Eduardo Fernández-Pascual
{"title":"Plant competition dominates grass species interactions in a migrating marsh-forest ecotone","authors":"Keryn B. Gedan ,&nbsp;Whitney C. Hoot ,&nbsp;Eduardo Fernández-Pascual","doi":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100095","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2025.100095","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ecotone communities are areas of high species turnover and steep environmental gradients. We investigated how environmental gradients shape species interactions between upland and tidal wetland grass species to shed light on zonation in these species’ distribution patterns, in the context of understanding how their distributions may change with sea level rise and forest dieback. Across the coastal marsh-forest ecotone, there are stark shifts in two vital conditions for plants: salinity and light availability. We measured these abiotic conditions and plant productivity at sites spanning the ecotone and within a forest clear-cut, where canopy shading had been experimentally removed. In a greenhouse manipulation of plant species neighbor, salinity, and light availability, we hypothesized that plant interactions would become more facilitative in stressful conditions and that more salt tolerant species would also be more light-demanding. Species salt tolerance followed an expected ranking based on species zonation in the field, but all species responded similarly to reductions in light. Plant interactions in all treatments were negative or neutral, never facilitative. Despite low resource availability of light and elevated levels of salinity within the marsh-forest ecotone, plant interactions there reflect a benign stress environment, in which competition is predominant and where resource limitation, stress, and competition have additive, negative effects on plant performance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100260,"journal":{"name":"Climate Change Ecology","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100095"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143759142","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Varying effects of climate change on the photosynthesis and calcification of crustose coralline algae: Implications for settlement of coral larvae 气候变化对珊瑚藻光合作用和钙化的不同影响:对珊瑚幼虫定居的影响
Climate Change Ecology Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100090
Jennifer M. Sneed , Justin E. Campbell , Audrey Looby , Aurora Giorgi , Valerie J. Paul
{"title":"Varying effects of climate change on the photosynthesis and calcification of crustose coralline algae: Implications for settlement of coral larvae","authors":"Jennifer M. Sneed ,&nbsp;Justin E. Campbell ,&nbsp;Audrey Looby ,&nbsp;Aurora Giorgi ,&nbsp;Valerie J. Paul","doi":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100090","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100090","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Coral recruitment is critical to the maintenance of healthy coral reef ecosystems. Many coral species settle preferentially on certain crustose coralline algae (CCA) (e.g., <em>Hydrolithon boergesenii</em>) over others (e.g., <em>Paragoniolithon solubile</em>). Calcifying organisms like CCA are particularly susceptible to ocean acidification (OA), and settlement behavior of larvae may be compromised as seawater temperatures increase (ocean warming; OW) and pH levels decrease as a result of climate change. Here, we examine the effects of future seawater conditions (OW and OA) on the calcification and photosynthetic efficiency of two CCA species, <em>H. boergesenii</em> and <em>Pa. solubile</em>. We also examine the effects of conditioning CCA in combined OA and OW on the settlement preferences of three coral species, <em>Acropora palmata, A. cervicornis</em> and <em>Porites astreoides. Acropora palmata</em> and <em>Po. astreoides</em> demonstrated a preference for <em>H. boergesenii</em> over <em>Pa. solubile</em> in choice experiments after short-term treatment (7–21 days) and this preference was not affected by future seawater conditions. <em>A. cervicornis</em> did not demonstrate a CCA preference under any treatment. <em>Po. astreoides</em> did not demonstrate a CCA preference in no-choice assays and settlement was unaffected by OW and OA even after the longest exposure (99 days). Both CCA had reduced photosynthetic efficiency after exposure to future seawater conditions. However, net calcification rate was reduced in <em>H. boergesenii</em> but not <em>Pa. solubile</em> after exposure to future seawater conditions. These results demonstrate that while climate change may differentially affect the physiological functioning of various species of CCA, coral settlement preferences are unlikely to be altered.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100260,"journal":{"name":"Climate Change Ecology","volume":"9 ","pages":"Article 100090"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143175446","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Will global warming reduce the nutritional quality of wild blueberries? 全球变暖会降低野生蓝莓的营养质量吗?
Climate Change Ecology Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100088
Oluwafemi A Alaba , Sofiane Bechami , Yu-Ying Chen , Tawanda W Gara , Brian Perkins , Yong-Jiang Zhang
{"title":"Will global warming reduce the nutritional quality of wild blueberries?","authors":"Oluwafemi A Alaba ,&nbsp;Sofiane Bechami ,&nbsp;Yu-Ying Chen ,&nbsp;Tawanda W Gara ,&nbsp;Brian Perkins ,&nbsp;Yong-Jiang Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100088","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100088","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Anthropogenic climate change may affect the nutritional quality of perennial crops. Wild blueberry is a perennial crop of cultural and economic importance and known for its health-promoting properties. Wild blueberry fields in Maine, USA are experiencing unprecedented warming, which may affect the quality and marketability of the fruit. We examined the biochemistry of wild blueberries grown under active open-top heating that elevated temperatures by 3.3 °C, passive open-top heating by 1.2 °C, and ambient conditions (control). We found that total soluble solids, fructose, total soluble sugars and total soluble protein decreased as temperatures increased. In contrast, anthocyanin, total flavonoid and phenolics were not affected. Additionally, warming weakened the correlation between sugars, total soluble solids, and other components. Our results suggest that future global warming may reduce the nutritional value and marketability of wild blueberries. Potential mitigation techniques will need to be developed for future production.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100260,"journal":{"name":"Climate Change Ecology","volume":"8 ","pages":"Article 100088"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666900524000066/pdfft?md5=1a0ff0401fa3667bfba41c56557e779b&pid=1-s2.0-S2666900524000066-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142094846","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Anticipated impacts in habitat of diagnostic species of potential natural vegetations due to climate change at the ecotone between temperate and boreal forests 温带森林和北方森林生态区气候变化对潜在天然植被诊断物种栖息地的预期影响
Climate Change Ecology Pub Date : 2024-11-01 Epub Date: 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100089
Aurélie Chalumeau , Yves Bergeron , Mathieu Bouchard , Pierre Grondin , Marie-Claude Lambert , Catherine Périé
{"title":"Anticipated impacts in habitat of diagnostic species of potential natural vegetations due to climate change at the ecotone between temperate and boreal forests","authors":"Aurélie Chalumeau ,&nbsp;Yves Bergeron ,&nbsp;Mathieu Bouchard ,&nbsp;Pierre Grondin ,&nbsp;Marie-Claude Lambert ,&nbsp;Catherine Périé","doi":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100089","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ecochg.2024.100089","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Potential natural vegetations are crucial for forest research, management, and monitoring, especially considering their evolution amidst climate change. In Quebec (Canada), these vegetations were defined in the 2000s but haven't been updated since then. Originally, stability in their composition and dynamics relied on unchanged climate, soil characteristics, and disturbance regimes. However, in the southwestern part of Quebec forests, we have enhanced the description of potential natural vegetations using diagnostic species, based on their indicator values and relative abundance. This improvement prompts a reevaluation of these vegetations, particularly at the transition between temperate and boreal forests, considering climate change. Our study, using tree habitat suitability models, reveals that even under a moderately warming scenario (2041–2070 RCP 4.5 W m<sup>−2</sup>), diagnostic coniferous and boreal hardwood species face habitat suitability declines but the current classification remains adequate. However, a more severe warming scenario (2071–2100 RCP 8.5 W m<sup>−2</sup>) results in significant habitat unsuitability for these diagnostic species, questioning the relevance of the current classification at the ecotone. Given the crucial tool of potential natural vegetations in forest management, updating their classification becomes imperative to guide forestry practices' adaptation to climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":100260,"journal":{"name":"Climate Change Ecology","volume":"8 ","pages":"Article 100089"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142702152","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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