China Population, Resources and Environment最新文献_第2页

Characteristics of Rural Labor Emigration in Minority Areas of Honghe, Yunnan and Its Impact on New Socialist Countryside Construction in the 21st Century 云南红河少数民族地区农村劳动力迁移特征及其对21世纪社会主义新农村建设的影响

China Population, Resources and Environment Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60014-0

L. Qi, Yang Chunyue

引用次数: 3

Energy-Saving Effect Calculation and Implementation Strategy Study on the Industrial Structure Adjustment in Western China 西部地区产业结构调整的节能效应计算与实施策略研究

China Population, Resources and Environment Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60011-5

Guang-tao Guo, Ju-e Guo, Youmin Xi, Meng Lei

引用次数: 8

Forecasting energy demand of China using Bayesian Combination model 基于贝叶斯组合模型的中国能源需求预测

China Population, Resources and Environment Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60012-7

Chai Jian, Guo Ju'E, Lu Hu

{"title":"Forecasting energy demand of China using Bayesian Combination model","authors":"Chai Jian, Guo Ju'E, Lu Hu","doi":"10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60012-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60012-7","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To analyze the impact of the related economic factors on China's energy demand, Path analysis is used to analyze the major factors and their direct and indirect effects on energy demand. This study showed that the main factors that affect the energy demand are the economic growth, the total population, and the primary energy structure, the economic growth is the main determining factor, and the primary energy structure is the major restrictive factor. On this basis and considering the multicollinearity and the validity of the forecast, we established a partial least-square (PLS) and the trend extrapolation prediction model, and then we sum up all the information to found a PLS—trend extrapolation combination forecasting model based on the optimized combining forecast theory. Finally, we obtain the probability distribution of the error using the Bayesian statistic theory and find the confidence interval of combining forecasting result. The results indicate that the outcome of combining forecasting will be more precise after using the Bayesian error correction approach.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100240,"journal":{"name":"China Population, Resources and Environment","volume":"18 4","pages":"Pages 50-55"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60012-7","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91631802","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 14

Impact Study on Human Activity to the Resource-environment Based on the Consumption Level Difference of China's Provinces or Autonomous Regions 基于省区消费水平差异的人类活动对资源环境的影响研究

China Population, Resources and Environment Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60015-2

Wenheng Wu, Shuwen Niu

引用次数: 15

Characteristics of Rural Labor Emigration in Minority Areas of Honghe, Yunnan and Its Impact on New Socialist Countryside Construction in the 21st Century 云南红河少数民族地区农村劳动力迁移特征及其对21世纪社会主义新农村建设的影响

China Population, Resources and Environment Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60014-0

Lu Qi , Yang Chunyue

引用次数: 3

Analysis of Influences between the Energy Structure Change and Energy Intensity in China 中国能源结构变化与能源强度的影响分析

China Population, Resources and Environment Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60010-3

Guo Ju-e, Chai Jian, Xi Youmin

引用次数: 22

Study on the Dynamic Relationship Between Economic Growth and China Energy Based on Cointegration Analysis and Impulse Response Function 基于协整分析和脉冲响应函数的经济增长与中国能源动态关系研究

China Population, Resources and Environment Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60013-9

Yu Wang, Guo Ju-e, Xi Youmin

引用次数: 20

Forecasting energy demand of China using Bayesian Combination model 基于贝叶斯组合模型的中国能源需求预测

China Population, Resources and Environment Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60012-7

Chai Jian, Guo Ju-e, Lu Hu

引用次数: 14

Analysis of Influences between the Energy Structure Change and Energy Intensity in China 中国能源结构变化与能源强度的影响分析

China Population, Resources and Environment Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60010-3

Guo Ju'e, Chai Jian, Xi Youmin

引用次数: 22

Energy-Saving Effect Calculation and Implementation Strategy Study on the Industrial Structure Adjustment in Western China 西部地区产业结构调整的节能效应计算与实施策略研究

China Population, Resources and Environment Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60011-5

Guo Guangtao, Guo Ju'e, Xi Youmin, Meng Lei

{"title":"Energy-Saving Effect Calculation and Implementation Strategy Study on the Industrial Structure Adjustment in Western China","authors":"Guo Guangtao, Guo Ju'e, Xi Youmin, Meng Lei","doi":"10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60011-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60011-5","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The western region is an important strategic base of energy in China. The average per capita possession of fossil energy in the west is twice that in China. On the basis of the analysis of the mechanism how industrial structure adjustment affects energy consumption per unit of gross domestic product (GDP), the energy input-output table of western China was designed and compiled. Combining multiobjective planning techniques, setting energy-saving, economic growth, and laborer's income growth as the goals, setting basic input-output relations, production capacity, and labor as the constraints, the multiobjective optimization model of western energy input-output was constructed. The results of industrial structure optimization of western China show that: with technology and product price remaining unchanged, the adjustment of the industrial structure can reduce energy consumption per unit GDP by 2.7%, at the same time ensuring the average annual increase of GDP and laborer's income of western region in excess of 8%. It indicates that industrial structure adjustment is an effective method in accomplishing the aim of energy saving. Finally, policy suggestions from four angles, such as industrial chain and financial policies, were put forward.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100240,"journal":{"name":"China Population, Resources and Environment","volume":"18 4","pages":"Pages 44-49"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2008-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/S1872-583X(09)60011-5","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91631800","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 8