{"title":"Seizing opportunities: ASEAN country cluster readiness in light of the fourth industrial revolution","authors":"Patricia Enzmann, Matteo Moesli","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100021","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100021","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Technological advances of the fourth industrial revolution (4IR) threaten Southeast Asian countries’ industrialization model and expose its workforce to the risk of substitution. Using the Dynamic Pattern Synthesis method to ascertain how Southeast Asian countries are prepared to face these risks, we have identified three clusters based on manufacturing resources and associated them to different levels of technological capabilities. While the Cluster 1 countries Cambodia, Laos and Myanmar prove the least and Cluster 3 nations Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam the most advanced, the preparedness of Cluster 2 countries Indonesia and the Philippines shows mixed results. Our findings emphasize the importance of human capital and trade paired with strong institutions to advance technological abilities, based on which we discuss each cluster's readiness for the 4IR.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"2 1","pages":"Article 100021"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111521000219/pdfft?md5=d1ae842f16eac9456dc029f175f049ac&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111521000219-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80409760","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"China's transition to a digital currency does it threaten dollarization?","authors":"Ahmet Faruk Aysan , Farrukh Nawaz Kayani","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100023","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This article provides a detailed introduction to China's launching of a digital currency. We conduct a comparative analysis concerning whether digital currency is a more stable and reliable currency than cryptocurrency and investigate whether a digital renminbi (or yuan) could replace the US dollar as a medium of exchange in international transactions. China has gained a first-mover advantage by rolling out a central bank digital currency (CBDC). But the outcome will depend on the US response as well as the future evolution of the US and Chinese economies. Most other articles on this topic focus on domestic use of the Chinese CBDC. But this study is unique in analyzing the prospects of a digital renminbi as a replacement for the US dollar in international commerce.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"2 1","pages":"Article 100023"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111521000232/pdfft?md5=65cd5dfbae6cd7d2df0c4a597763a811&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111521000232-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"137191446","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yi Qu , Andrzej Cieślik , Runze Zhang , Shuo Zhao , Nannan Ban
{"title":"The role of regional formal institutions in China's OFDI location choice and firm performance - The moderation roles of international experience and foreign capital utilization","authors":"Yi Qu , Andrzej Cieślik , Runze Zhang , Shuo Zhao , Nannan Ban","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2022.100029","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2022.100029","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Based on the micro data of Chinese enterprises, this paper examines the effects of regional formal institutional environment in China on the location choice and firm performance of Chinese OFDI, and discusses the roles played by international experience and the foreign capital usage. The results show that regional formal institutional environment of China significantly and positively affects the location choice and performance of Chinese OFDI. Moreover, different regional formal institutions have varied effects. In particular, institutional factors represented by the ‘government and market relationship’, ‘product market’ and ‘factor market’ development play the key role. It is also found that actual FDI utilization and firms’ international experience play positive and significant moderation roles in the institutional effect on China's OFDI, but such moderation effects are constrained to ‘intermediary organizations and legal environment’ as the institutional factor only. Therefore, the policy of improving regional institutional quality can have a positive effect on OFDI and corporate performance.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"2 1","pages":"Article 100029"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111522000068/pdfft?md5=4d1ce93d1b5ec83d6377b56c8d0147b1&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111522000068-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"137191460","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Benefitting from Investment Abroad? Evidence from Indian Manufacturing","authors":"Isha Chawla","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100022","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100022","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper studies the relationship between outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) and domestic performance for Indian firms utilizing propensity score matching combined with a difference-in-differences specification. We find modest effects on total factor productivity (TFP), but complementary effects on exporting and sales. Multiple sources of heterogeneity in treatment effects are considered. Taking the foreign investment decision as one that may differ in intensity, continuous treatment based on dose (OFDI intensity)-response (TFP growth, sales growth, export intensity) functions shows an inverted U-shaped relationship complementing previous exports-performance literature. Export intensity shows a robust relationship in which performance rises relative to a dose of zero, within a range of OFDI intensity. As the foreign involvement of Indian firms is still very low, there appears to be a considerable interval over which OFDI can favorably impact home effects. OFDI policy should support the benefits of outward investment, focusing on firms with small OFDI positions</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"2 1","pages":"Article 100022"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111521000220/pdfft?md5=052f7185aafb87d228d66ebea5b48a3f&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111521000220-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91223087","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Why Europe looks so much like China: Big government and low income inequalities","authors":"Vladimir Popov","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2022.100024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2022.100024","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>One view in the literature is that the East Asian economic model is superior to other models in the Global South (i.e. in the developing world), at least in terms of catch-up development and possibly even in innovations beyond the technological frontier. Unlike economic models in Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa, the East Asian model prioritizes community interests of the work collective, the neighbourhood, the nation-state, and all of humanity over those of individuals, possibly limiting some human rights for the greater benefit of all. Crucial features of the East Asian economic model include relatively low income and wealth inequalities, strong state institutional capacity. The origins of the East Asian economic model can be traced to different trajectories of the development of the Global South since the 16th century.This paper argues that European economic model and the East Asian model have a lot in common. After controlling for the country size and the level of development, it turns out that government consumption as a share of GDP is relatively high in both models, whereas income inequalities are relatively low.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"2 1","pages":"Article 100024"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111522000019/pdfft?md5=4da539605d976457c4a1df5a3ea38785&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111522000019-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"137191175","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Zoia S. Podoba , Victor A. Gorshkov , Anastasiya A. Ozerova
{"title":"Japan's export specialization in 2000–2020","authors":"Zoia S. Podoba , Victor A. Gorshkov , Anastasiya A. Ozerova","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100014","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>By empirically examining the commodity structure of Japan's exports in 2000–2020, the authors have identified product groups with increased, diminished, newly emerged, and lost revealed comparative advantages (RCA). In 2020, Japan had RCA in 24 product groups with relatively high levels of product complexity and thus managed to maintain its highly diversified trade portfolio. However, increasing global competition poses potential risks to Japan's exports. Eight product groups with diminished and two product groups with lost RCA are signs of Japan's unsuccessful adaptation to the structural changes on the world markets. The newly emerged RCA, predominantly in the chemicals and allied industries, still mostly have lower index values in comparison to major trade partners, however, their contribution to Japan's exports is likely to expand. To enhance its comparative advantages, Japan should foster innovation which may positively affect national competitiveness but this depends on how the country will adapt to domestic and global challenges.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"1 2","pages":"Article 100014"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111521000141/pdfft?md5=f11a629d3d2738688cb2a1621e843358&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111521000141-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"76574680","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"China's rise and its implications for International Relations and Northeast Asia","authors":"Gerard Roland","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100016","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100016","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The paper analyzes China's rise, its causes and consequences as well as China's geopolitical strategy. We discuss in particular its meaning in the context of the evolution of the International (dis)order, threatened by nationalist populism. A particularly important question is the effect of North Korea's successful nuclear program on the situation in Northeast Asia, in the context of China's rise.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"1 2","pages":"Article 100016"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667111521000165/pdfft?md5=7e12e03fa1425a8904c641ce1792a38c&pid=1-s2.0-S2667111521000165-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"89681079","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Convergence to the global frontier in South East Asia and CESEE: The role of external and internal anchors and their interactions","authors":"István P. Székely","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100005","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The paper investigated the difference the EU made to the nature and speed of convergence process in the countries that joined the EU since 2004 relative to countries that converged outside such closely-knit supranational organization. It draws some lessons from this analysis for ASEAN countries. The most important lesson is that closely integrated supranational organizations can boost economic convergence to the global frontier by further unleashing the market forces of globalization. However, market-based rapid economic convergence requires matching improvement in institutional quality to make the process sustainable and to turn economic convergence into social convergence.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"1 1","pages":"Article 100005"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100005","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"91996090","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Win-win? Assessing the global impact of the Chinese economy","authors":"Risto Herrala , Fabrice Orlandi","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100006","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We study the global impact of the Chinese economy based on a novel indirect approach where the spillover effect is quantified from a forecast error model under relatively favorable identifying conditions. Findings from the real-time World Economic Outlook data over the period 2004 ̶ 2015 indicate that an increase in economic growth in China had a negative impact on most other economies one to two years ahead. The estimations furthermore uncover evidence at the global level that spillover propagated by influencing prices, including global commodity prices, which tend to increase in reaction to accelerating economic growth in China.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"1 1","pages":"Article 100006"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100006","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"92071823","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How the coronavirus crisis is affecting the Korean economy: Evidence from the stock market","authors":"Willem Thorbecke","doi":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>South Korea has proven resilient through crises. During the COVID-19 pandemic, Korea has used testing and contact tracing to keep the number of cases per capita far below those in the U.S. and Europe. This paper uses sectoral stock returns to gauge the impact of the pandemic on the Korean economy. The results indicate that industrial machinery stocks have doubled in value in the eight months since the crisis hit. Other sectors that benefit individuals hunkered at home such as consumer digital services, software and computer services, leisure goods, and electronic entertainment have also done well. On the other hand, sectors providing services such as travel and leisure, casinos and gambling, and convenience stores have languished. The crisis has benefited sectors producing goods and employing higher-skilled workers and harmed sectors providing services and employing lower-skilled workers. This risks perpetuating disparities that existed in Korea before the pandemic.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":100126,"journal":{"name":"Asia and the Global Economy","volume":"1 1","pages":"Article 100004"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/j.aglobe.2021.100004","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"80666015","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}