Population and economics最新文献_第2页

The impact of long-distance travel to work on the health of commuting labour migrants: a literature review 长途旅行对通勤移民劳工健康的影响：文献综述

Population and economics Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.8.e109997

Yuliia Shitova

{"title":"The impact of long-distance travel to work on the health of commuting labour migrants: a literature review","authors":"Yuliia Shitova","doi":"10.3897/popecon.8.e109997","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.8.e109997","url":null,"abstract":"This literature review analyzes the impact of commuting labour migration (CLM) on human health. Travel time is one of the major CLM factors affecting migrant health in both active and passive way. Fatigue and stress associated with commuting result in the increased blood pressure and risk of obesity.\u0000 The paper also dwells upon the impact of CLM on worker stress by gender. The article also explores the relationship between CLM and mortality. Work-life balance plays a crucial role in migrant health, while satisfaction with life can be compromised due to insecure life style associated with CLM. There is an effect of adaptation that can influence migrant health in a positive way.\u0000 In addition to negative aspects the article reviews benefits of CLM, including improved professional skills and higher income, and effective use of travel time. A special attention is payed to health of the Russian commuting migrants and their specific challenges and problems.\u0000 The article is a comprehensive review of scientific literature on CLM impact of human health. the results obtained can be used to develop programs and policies aimed at improving health of labour migrants and mitigating negative effects of commuting labour migration.","PeriodicalId":93044,"journal":{"name":"Population and economics","volume":"24 4","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140077249","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

West and East: convergence or divergence of Millennials’ transition to adulthood in four European countries 西方与东方：四个欧洲国家千禧一代向成年过渡的趋同或差异

Population and economics Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.7.e112452

Ekaterina S. Mitrofanova, Sergey A. Makarov

{"title":"West and East: convergence or divergence of Millennials’ transition to adulthood in four European countries","authors":"Ekaterina S. Mitrofanova, Sergey A. Makarov","doi":"10.3897/popecon.7.e112452","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.7.e112452","url":null,"abstract":"The invention of the Internet and rapid technological advancements have transformed Millennials (born between 1980 and 1999) into the first generation that is truly global in its connectivity and experiences. To what extent are the changes in the transition to adulthood for Millennials global and universal? We compared Millennials in France, Finland, Estonia, and Russia to answer this question. Using data from the European Social Survey (conducted in 2006 and 2018), we examined six key events that mark adulthood: completion of professional education, leaving the parental home, first employment, first cohabitation, first marriage, and first childbirth. By comparing the structure, timing, and tempo of the occurrence of these starting events in the selected countries, we found that the transition to adulthood is becoming more unified but still retains country-specific characteristics. Socioeconomic events occur for the majority of Millennials (50-90%) at the ages of 18-20 in a more gradual way in France and Finland, and more abruptly in Estonia and Russia. Cohabitation is the most common event from the demographic part of transition to adulthood. In comparison to cohabitations, first marriages and childbirth occur for less than 50% of respondents and at much older ages. Russians have the highest prevalence of these events and experience them at a younger age.","PeriodicalId":93044,"journal":{"name":"Population and economics","volume":" 2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139142792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Cohort consumption in the Russian Federation 俄罗斯联邦的群组消费

Population and economics Pub Date : 2023-12-29 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.7.e108830

Kirill V. Kuznetsov

{"title":"Cohort consumption in the Russian Federation","authors":"Kirill V. Kuznetsov","doi":"10.3897/popecon.7.e108830","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.7.e108830","url":null,"abstract":"The current demographic situation in both developed and developing countries is characterized by an aging population. From an economic perspective, this phenomenon holds practical significance for studying anticipated changes in the structure of state budget revenues and expenditures, as well as alterations in the overall consumption of goods and services. This paper investigates the spending patterns of different generations in the Russian Federation. In foreign literature, there is an observed increase in consumption with each successive generation compared to its predecessor. This trend is commonly attributed to declining fertility rates, the accumulation of capital by one generation, and its subsequent transfer to the next. Consequently, the younger generation tends to possess more capital than their forebears. The level of consumption across generations is also influenced by the life expectancy of the population; an extension of healthy life expectancy enables individuals to remain active in the workforce beyond retirement age. Utilizing data from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey (RLMS), HSE conducts cohort consumption estimates for the years 2000-2020, categorized into five-year age groups. The study results indicate an increase in consumption levels beyond the age of 50 for cohorts born between 1930 and 1955. Conversely, for cohorts born between 1960 and 1999, the consumption levels below the age of 50 remained relatively unchanged.","PeriodicalId":93044,"journal":{"name":"Population and economics","volume":"70 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139146646","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

“Silver” users of marketplaces and the convenience of the mobile interface 市场的 "白银 "用户和移动界面的便利性

Population and economics Pub Date : 2023-12-22 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.7.e109447

Marina Y. Sheresheva, Kristina M. Petrukhina

引用次数: 0

Different experiences of children living in two-parent and single-parent families: Comparing generations born in the 1950s-1980s in Russia and in France 生活在双亲家庭和单亲家庭中的儿童的不同经历：比较 20 世纪 50-80 年代在俄罗斯和法国出生的几代人

Population and economics Pub Date : 2023-12-22 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.7.e114980

E. Churilova, Sergei Zakharov

引用次数: 0

Differences in aspirations and educational trajectories of Russian schoolchildren 俄罗斯学童的愿望和教育轨迹差异

Population and economics Pub Date : 2023-12-22 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.7.e90191

Elizaveta Soboleva

引用次数: 0

Russian Short-Term Mortality Fluctuations Data Series 俄罗斯短期死亡率波动数据系列

Population and economics Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.7.e114628

Aleksey E. Shchur, S. Timonin, E. Churilova, Egor V. Sergeev, Vera V. Sokolova, Olga A. Rodina, Bulat A. Shamsutdinov, Dmitry A. Jdanov, V. Shkolnikov

{"title":"Russian Short-Term Mortality Fluctuations Data Series","authors":"Aleksey E. Shchur, S. Timonin, E. Churilova, Egor V. Sergeev, Vera V. Sokolova, Olga A. Rodina, Bulat A. Shamsutdinov, Dmitry A. Jdanov, V. Shkolnikov","doi":"10.3897/popecon.7.e114628","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.7.e114628","url":null,"abstract":"The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed significant gaps in the coverage and quality of the existing international and national statistical surveillance systems. The most reliable approach to estimating mortality associated with short-term risk factors or factors fluctuating within calendar years is based on estimating weekly excess mortality. Although this approach is obvious, its application turned out to be problematic due to the lack of reliable data. In response to this challenge, a new Short-Term Mortality Fluctuations (STMF) data series was created in 2020. The Russian Short-Term Mortality Fluctuations Data Series (RuSTMF) is a further development of the STMF idea at the regional level. It contains weekly crude and standardized death rates for the Russian regions and Russia as a whole. The main source for calculating death rates is depersonalized individual data on the deceased provided by the Rosstat. This database provides for the analysis of short- and medium-term changes in mortality in males, females and total population in Russia as a whole and its regions, as well as the estimation of «excess» deaths during short-term sharp increases in mortality due to, for example, heat or cold waves, seasonal influenza epidemics, the Covid-19 pandemic or technogenic catastrophes.","PeriodicalId":93044,"journal":{"name":"Population and economics","volume":" 63","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138962329","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Forecasting the population growth and wheat crop production in Pakistan with non-linear growth and ARIMA models 用非线性增长和 ARIMA 模型预测巴基斯坦人口增长和小麦作物产量

Population and economics Pub Date : 2023-12-19 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.7.e101500

Muhammad Islam, F. Shehzad, Samrat Ray, Mirza Waseem Abbas

{"title":"Forecasting the population growth and wheat crop production in Pakistan with non-linear growth and ARIMA models","authors":"Muhammad Islam, F. Shehzad, Samrat Ray, Mirza Waseem Abbas","doi":"10.3897/popecon.7.e101500","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.7.e101500","url":null,"abstract":"Food security as a major social concern and a global threat, requires better policy decisions based on empirical studies. This work presents a comparative statistical analysis of different methods to forecast wheat area, productivity, production, and population growth rate in Pakistan. Time series data from 1950 to 2020 were analyzed using various methods such as ARIMA, the compound growth exponential regression model (CGREM), Cuddy Della Valle instability index (CDVI), and decomposition analysis. The results show that CGREM performs better than other models. Periodic compound growth rates indicate that wheat area and yield decrease by about 67.0% and 40.0%, while the population decreases by 31.7%. For the period 2001-2020, the compound growth reaches the level of 0.60% for wheat area, 1.21% for yield, while it is high for the population and amounts to 2.22%. The overall compound growth rate for wheat area and yield (about 1.207%, 2.326%) is lower compared to the population (about 2.839%). The paper presents forecasts for wheat area, yield, and population in Pakistan will rise: 12.7%, 25.5%, 31.8% in 2030 and 43%, 97.8%, and 129% in 2050. The results of this study provide empirical evidence for the necessity of policy decisions addressing the problem of food security in Pakistan.","PeriodicalId":93044,"journal":{"name":"Population and economics","volume":" 22","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138961935","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Patterns of mortality during pandemic: An example of Spanish flu pandemic of 1918. 大流行期间的死亡模式:以1918年西班牙流感大流行为例。

Population and economics Pub Date : 2020-01-01 Epub Date: 2020-04-30 DOI: 10.3897/popecon.4.e53492

Natalia S Gavrilova, Leonid A Gavrilov

{"title":"Patterns of mortality during pandemic: An example of Spanish flu pandemic of 1918.","authors":"Natalia S Gavrilova, Leonid A Gavrilov","doi":"10.3897/popecon.4.e53492","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.3897/popecon.4.e53492","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Now the attention of the whole world is focused on the developing pandemic of the coronavirus infection COVID-19. This article discusses mortality patterns of the deadliest epidemic in the last 120 years - the Spanish flu pandemic of 1918. Statistical sources from Italy and the USA, published shortly after the pandemic, were analyzed. The analysis was carried out for mortality from all causes, since in this case inaccuracies associated with establishing the causes of death are minimized. Despite the fact that the first cases of the Spanish flu appeared in the United States as early as March 1918, this first wave of epidemic practically did not affect the total mortality rate. The main peak of mortality in 1918 occurred in October 1918 both in the USA and Italy, with a gradual decrease in mortality over several months. Analysis of age-specific mortality demonstrates a significant increase in mortality at middle ages (20-50 years) in 1918 compared with 1917. Analysis of mortality trends using the method of latent variables shows a significant increase in the background mortality factor in 1918, which turned out to be higher for Italy than the mortality losses during the Second World War. The Spanish flu pandemic differs from the current coronavirus pandemic, because of significant increase in mortality of middle-aged people, while the COVID-19 pandemic causes a more marked increase in mortality among the elderly. With this, the COVID-19 pandemic is more like the recent flu epidemics than the earlier Spanish flu pandemic.</p>","PeriodicalId":93044,"journal":{"name":"Population and economics","volume":"4 2","pages":"56-64"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7351247/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"38147045","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 13