Haoning Xi, Yan Wang, Zhiqi Shao, Xiang Zhang, Travis Waller
{"title":"Optimizing mobility resource allocation in multiple MaaS subscription frameworks: a group method of data handling-driven self-adaptive harmony search algorithm","authors":"Haoning Xi, Yan Wang, Zhiqi Shao, Xiang Zhang, Travis Waller","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06209-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06209-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Mobility as a Service (MaaS) transforms urban transportation from car ownership to subscription-based models. A key factor for the success of MaaS is accurately predicting users’ Willingness to Pay (WTP) for various subscription packages, enhancing their adoption and satisfaction. This paper employs a “smart predict-then-optimize” framework, where the weekly, annual, and monthly MaaS subscription models are formulated as online, offline, and hybrid online-offline mobility resource allocation problems, respectively. We develop a group method of data handling (GMDH)-driven self-adaptive harmony search (SAHS) algorithm to solve the proposed mobility resource allocation problems effectively. Initially, GMDH-type neural networks predict users’ WTP using their historical travel data, such as travel distance and service time, and socio-demographic characteristics, including inconvenience tolerance and travel delay budget; then these predicted WTP values are fed into the weekly, annual, and monthly mobility resource allocation problems, respectively. Comprehensive numerical experiments based on a simulated dataset demonstrate the robust prediction performance of the GMDH neural network across weekly, monthly, and annual subscription models, as well as the effectiveness of the GMDH-driven SAHS algorithm in managing resource allocation for these models. Our numerical findings highlight that the monthly subscription model strikes an optimal balance, combining the flexibility of the weekly model with the strategic depth of the annual model. This study proposes three distinct MaaS subscription models and a data-driven metaheuristic algorithm to customize MaaS offerings to user needs.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"42 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142225266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Efficient neighborhood evaluation for the maximally diverse grouping problem","authors":"Arne Schulz","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06217-9","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10479-024-06217-9","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Maximally Diverse Grouping Problem is one of the well-known combinatorial optimization problems with applications in the assignment of students to groups or courses. Due to its NP-hardness several (meta)heuristic solution approaches have been presented in the literature. Most of them include the insertion of an item of one group into another group and the swap of two items currently assigned to different groups as neighborhoods. The paper presents a new efficient implementation for both neighborhoods and compares it with the standard implementation, in which all inserts/swaps are evaluated, as well as the neighborhood decomposition approach. The results show that the newly presented approach is clearly superior for larger instances allowing for up to 160% more iterations in comparison to the standard implementation and up to 76% more iterations in comparison to the neighborhood decomposition approach. Moreover, the results can also be used for (meta)heuristic algorithms for other grouping or clustering problems.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"341 2-3","pages":"1247 - 1265"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10479-024-06217-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142225195","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
María Margarita López, Jorge Vera Andreo, Lluís Miquel Plà Aragonés, Jorge L. Recalde-Ramírez
{"title":"Design of a mathematical model to optimize farmer food security and promote rural development in Paraguay","authors":"María Margarita López, Jorge Vera Andreo, Lluís Miquel Plà Aragonés, Jorge L. Recalde-Ramírez","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06199-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06199-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Peasants occupy many rural areas with low income, excessive self-consumption, and deficient access to resources, which translate into poverty and lack of food security. In developing countries, support programs push incentives for better crop planning decisions, exchanging crops between farmers, and improving market access. Decision-making in this context is complex, given the many available options and criteria regarding nutrition, income, and work capacity that must be satisfied, as well as several uncertainties. Considering the primary agricultural operations, we develop a mixed integer optimization model that maximizes farmer's profit and food security. We test our model for cooperatives from the Department of Caazapá, Paraguay. First, we solve the deterministic model for 60-month horizon planning and generate alternative scenarios. Then, we compare the plan for the actual production with the plan from the model solution. To study the effects of uncertainty, we also develop a two-stage stochastic model in which results for four cooperatives and 24-month horizon planning are compared considering sources of uncertainty on the supply side (harvest yield) and on the demand side (sales price). The proposed plans have economic, environmental, and social advantages: a mix of crop production, crop rotation performance, and the partial fulfillment of nutritional requirements. In the short term, the plans could guide production decision-making. In the long term, the results could support the generation of concrete line actions for programs or projects according to the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG), such as food security and small-scale production planning.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"29 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197536","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"AHP based on scenarios and the optimism coefficient for new and risky projects: case of independent criteria","authors":"Helena Gaspars-Wieloch","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06197-w","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10479-024-06197-w","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>AHP is a well-known multi-criteria procedure which has been investigated and developed by many researchers and practitioners. Some AHP modifications are designed for decision making under uncertainty. The goal of this paper is to present a new AHP approach which can be useful in the case of uncertain one-shot decisions and independent criteria. The method proposed in the article is based on scenario planning, features characteristic for the Hurwicz rule (i.e. the use of the optimism coefficient) and on a scenario set reduction. The novel procedure gives the possibility to generate a relatively small number of pairwise comparison matrices thanks to the reduction of the initial sets of scenarios. The modified version of AHP may be helpful when the decision maker’s knowledge about probabilities of the occurrence of particular scenarios is partial. Such a situation occurs in the case of innovative, innovation and risky projects for which historical data are not known. The idea of the suggested scenario-based AHP is to adjust the final choice not only to the decision makers’ preferences (concerning criteria for example), but also to their nature, attitude towards risk, predictions, expectations and fears.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"341 2-3","pages":"937 - 961"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10479-024-06197-w.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197561","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"In a memory of the late Harry Markowitz","authors":"Haim Levy","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06188-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06188-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p>I have learned from him a lot how to conduct research, but more important, I hope, how to be a better human being.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197537","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Multi-source ensemble method with random source selection for virtual metrology","authors":"Gejia Zhang, Tianhui Wang, Jaeseung Baek, Myong-Kee Jeong, Seongho Seo, Jaekyung Choi","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06179-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06179-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In the era of Industry 4.0, the complexity of semiconductor production is growing very fast, raising the possibility of unnoticed defective wafers and subsequent wasteful use of resources. One of the key advantages of Industry 4.0 is the accessibility to big data, which can be obtained from a number of sensors, including multiple sensor data and extensive data repositories. Recently, engineers have developed data fusion strategies for virtual metrology (VM) prediction models to effectively handle data from multiple sources. This research explores a novel approach for data-driven VM prediction model for multi-source data, namely multi-source ensemble method with random source selection. By utilizing the bagging principle for multi-source data and tree-based prediction paradigms, the proposed approach randomly selects subsets of data sources to construct each tree learner, thus reducing interdependence among the trees and minimizing the risk of overfitting, which can be a challenge faced by existing tree-based prediction models. To validate and illustrate the practical applicability of our proposed method, we use real-world data from the plasma etching process, aiming to provide potential benefits and effectiveness of our methodology.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197541","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Green technology opening, imitation, and investment: firms’ strategic technology choices in competitive markets","authors":"Shaofu Du, Chenyang Gou, Wenzhi Tang","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06201-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06201-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Green firms are considering whether to open or close their new green technologies. Opening up green technology can induce imitation and transformation in traditional firms but intensify competition in the green product market. Meanwhile, green technology imitation leads to the market share transfer effect, which is a supply-side network externality that gains consumer trust and increases the market share of green products as more firms adopt the technology. However, traditional firms also face a dilemma in green technology imitation choices due to the market cannibalization problem. This study constructs a game-theoretic model with one green firm possessing proprietary green technology and one traditional firm to investigate firms’ strategic interactions among green technology opening, imitation, and investment. We find that the technology opening strategy may constitute equilibrium if the market transfer share or the market size of green products is relatively large. Accordingly, the traditional firm produces green products by imitation when the green firm opens its technology. In addition, the technology opening strategy improves social welfare compared with the technology closing strategy, thus forming a win-win situation. We further extend the analysis by considering the technology licensing contract model, consumer-side network effects, the sequential quantity game model, market demand uncertainty, and the government’s subsidy policy.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"88 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197540","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Identification and visualisation of zombie firms using self-organizing maps","authors":"David Veganzones, Eric Séverin","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06215-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06215-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The growing share of zombie firms in developed countries puts economic growth at risk, yet understanding of these uncompetitive firms remains limited. To develop new insights and understanding of zombie firms, the current study relies on data analysis and predictive modeling and aims to establish a financial diagnosis method, based on a self-organizing map of the financial profiles of zombie firms and their pathways to zombification. This article also presents a SOM-SVM prediction model that seeks to anticipate zombie firms. The findings identify diverse profiles of zombie firms; their financial evolution from initial risky phases to zombification are not uniform. The financial deterioration that leads to zombification often cannot be observed in advance, which represents a major hurdle to efforts to differentiate zombie firms from healthy ones and restricts the effectiveness of prediction methods for identifying zombie firms in initial phases.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"29 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197562","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ali Jahed, Seyyed Mohammad Hadji Molana, Reza Tavakkoli-Moghaddam, Vahideh Valizadeh
{"title":"Designing an integrated sustainable-resilient mix-and-match vaccine supply chain network","authors":"Ali Jahed, Seyyed Mohammad Hadji Molana, Reza Tavakkoli-Moghaddam, Vahideh Valizadeh","doi":"10.1007/s10479-024-06211-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10479-024-06211-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Vaccination is the most effective strategy for battling infectious diseases, breaking the disease transmission chain, and achieving herd immunity. Implementing vaccination for the whole population requires an integrated vaccine supply chain network that considers sustainability and resiliency in the network. For this purpose, in this research, a location-allocation-inventory-distribution problem in the sustainable and resilient vaccine supply chain network, considering mix-and-match vaccine regimens against SARS-CoV-2, is designed. The mix-and-match-based vaccination to reach robust immunization, increase vaccination effectiveness, and more resilience to cope with shortages is applied. In addition, three pillars of sustainability, to minimize distribution network costs, vaccine disposal impact, and greenhouse gas emissions, in terms of economic and environmental, and maximizing job creation, demand satisfaction, and vaccination effectiveness to ensure social sustainability, are developed. Also, scenario-based optimization is presented to meet the inevitable disruptions and breakdowns, such as the supply capacity of suppliers and uncertain amounts of vaccine demand, which depends on the previous type of vaccine injected, and robust stochastic programming is used to handle uncertainties. To solve the proposed model, efficient meta-heuristic algorithms, including the genetic algorithm (GA) and variable neighborhood search (VNS), are applied. In addition, a new hybrid algorithm called H-GAVNS based on the GA and VNS is developed in this research to discover near-optimal results. Finally, a case study of the COVID-19 vaccine in Iran’s environment is presented to confirm the accuracy of the presented model. The outcomes show that uncertainties in the real world and sustainability and resiliency aspects are well managed and responded to by the designed model.</p>","PeriodicalId":8215,"journal":{"name":"Annals of Operations Research","volume":"41 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142197563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}