Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures最新文献

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Voices from Akplabanya: Community adaptation and social-ecological changes in coastal Ghana. 来自Akplabanya的声音:加纳沿海地区的社区适应和社会生态变化。
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures Pub Date : 2025-09-03 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/cft.2025.10011
Eranga K Galappaththi, Brandy Ayesu-Danso, Sithuni M Jayasekara, Timothy D Baird, Anamaria Bukvic, Santosh Rijal
{"title":"Voices from Akplabanya: Community adaptation and social-ecological changes in coastal Ghana.","authors":"Eranga K Galappaththi, Brandy Ayesu-Danso, Sithuni M Jayasekara, Timothy D Baird, Anamaria Bukvic, Santosh Rijal","doi":"10.1017/cft.2025.10011","DOIUrl":"10.1017/cft.2025.10011","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Despite coastal regions' importance and vulnerability to climate change, Ghana's coasts remain underexplored through social-ecological systems (SES) approaches, with limited attention to Indigenous and local communities' adaptive responses to contemporary challenges. We conducted a study with the aims of (1) identifying the changes in coastal SES as perceived by the Akplabanya community and (2) examining the Akplabanya community's human adaptation responses to those changes. During two months of fieldwork in Akplabanya, we used four data collection methods: participant observation, semi-structured interviews, key informant interviews, and focus group discussions. We found social-ecological changes related to five themes: (i) coastal climate change (sea-level rise), (ii) resource change (changes in land use), (iii) agrobiodiversity loss (changes in livestock), (iv) pollution (unsustainable practices) and (v) population change (increasing population). As adaptation responses to these changes, the community adaptive responses we found were (a) place (sense of place), (b) agency (emergence of food markets), (c) Indigenous and local knowledge (weakening of Indigenous knowledge), (d) collective action (collective solutions), (e) institutions (partnerships) and (f) learning (awareness). Our study highlights the urgent need for targeted research in regions like Ghana to guide and improve adaptation policy interventions for scientists, policymakers and researchers.</p>","PeriodicalId":520999,"journal":{"name":"Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures","volume":"3 ","pages":"e19"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12573693/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145433619","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
From perception to modelling: Nature-based solutions as a tool for coastal risk management. 从感知到建模:作为沿海风险管理工具的基于自然的解决方案。
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures Pub Date : 2025-08-22 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/cft.2025.10009
Marina d'Avdeew, Louis Janin, Lydie Goeldner-Gianella, Robin Sigwald, Anne Levasseur, Jean Lecroart
{"title":"From perception to modelling: Nature-based solutions as a tool for coastal risk management.","authors":"Marina d'Avdeew, Louis Janin, Lydie Goeldner-Gianella, Robin Sigwald, Anne Levasseur, Jean Lecroart","doi":"10.1017/cft.2025.10009","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/cft.2025.10009","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Coastal nature-based solution (NBS) projects have been on the rise over the past few years. In France, the expression is being increasingly used at a local level, and new projects are developing on the coast. However, they face various limitations, involving both technical challenges and social acceptability issues. Based on data from the perception survey conducted by the DIGUES research programme in the Authie Bay in 2021 and a numerical model used to assess the efficiency of flood protection measures developed as part of a flood action and prevention programme, this study aimed to highlight the gap between perceptions and misconceptions surrounding NBS-like scenarios and more objective modelling data. It offers a cross-comparison of these two datasets. For this purpose, the scenarios used to assess public perception in the DIGUES survey were translated in the numerical model to study the difference between perceived protection and actual protection in the Authie Bay, the opportunity for dyke relocation in an NBS scenario, and the effectiveness of the NBSs according to their scale. Overall, these results demonstrated a real benefit for implementing dyke relocation through breaches, compared to other scenarios for the Authie Bay.</p>","PeriodicalId":520999,"journal":{"name":"Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures","volume":"3 ","pages":"e20"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12573694/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145433614","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Coastline changes: A reconsideration of the prevalence of recession on sandy shorelines. 海岸线的变化:对沙质海岸线上普遍存在的衰退的重新考虑。
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures Pub Date : 2025-08-22 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/cft.2025.10010
Colin D Woodroffe, Niki Evelpidou, Irene Delgado-Fernandez, David Green, Dhriti Sengupta, Anna Karkani, Paolo Ciavola
{"title":"Coastline changes: A reconsideration of the prevalence of recession on sandy shorelines.","authors":"Colin D Woodroffe, Niki Evelpidou, Irene Delgado-Fernandez, David Green, Dhriti Sengupta, Anna Karkani, Paolo Ciavola","doi":"10.1017/cft.2025.10010","DOIUrl":"10.1017/cft.2025.10010","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>It is often inferred that rising sea levels will result in widespread coastal recession. Erosion appeared prevalent in a worldwide compilation of evidence derived from maps and aerial photographs undertaken in the 1980s by the Commission on the Coastal Environment. Eric Bird, chair of the commission, inferred that >70% of sandy coastlines had retreated, a generalisation that has been widely cited. We reconsider these findings in respect of subsequent advances in shoreline mapping, including greater precision possible using geographical information systems and more frequent remote sensing imagery with increased spatial, spectral and temporal resolution. Satellite-derived shorelines now enable broad global and regional generalisations about shoreline position. Beaches fluctuate over a range of timescales, meaning that trends in their position are highly dependent on techniques and temporal scales adopted for monitoring. Recent global- and regional-scale shoreline assessments indicate that many sandy shorelines have been stable, and that detectable retreat has occurred on fewer beaches than previously inferred. Accretion is apparent on some coasts, particularly where engineering interventions protect or have reclaimed land. There is considerable variability in the behaviour of monitored beaches, and it is not yet possible to decipher a response to the gradual centimetre-scale rise in sea level of recent decades. Instead, we re-emphasise the several other factors that were considered to contribute to recession by the Commission, many of which relate to a change in sediment budget. To provide insights into future coastline behaviour, a better understanding of the multiple drivers on individual beaches is needed to discriminate between erosional events and longer-term trends in shoreline position.</p>","PeriodicalId":520999,"journal":{"name":"Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures","volume":"3 ","pages":"e18"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12573697/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145433599","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Closing the parachute and opening the umbrella: Strategies for inclusivity and representation in producing impactful coastal ecosystem research. 闭合降落伞和打开伞:在产生有影响力的沿海生态系统研究中的包容性和代表性策略。
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures Pub Date : 2025-08-05 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/cft.2025.10004
Katie May Laumann, Nicholas M Hoad, Lauren Alvaro, Shahrzad Lili Badri, Noirin Burke, Annie Carew, Guilherme N Corte, Aldo Croquer, Yasmina Shah Esmaeili, Martha Farrell, Naoko Kouchi, Juhyung Lee, Masahiro Nakaoka, Lina Mtwana Nordlund, Rita I Sellares-Blasco, Ed Sheldon, Maria F Villalpando, Jonathan S Lefcheck
{"title":"Closing the parachute and opening the umbrella: Strategies for inclusivity and representation in producing impactful coastal ecosystem research.","authors":"Katie May Laumann, Nicholas M Hoad, Lauren Alvaro, Shahrzad Lili Badri, Noirin Burke, Annie Carew, Guilherme N Corte, Aldo Croquer, Yasmina Shah Esmaeili, Martha Farrell, Naoko Kouchi, Juhyung Lee, Masahiro Nakaoka, Lina Mtwana Nordlund, Rita I Sellares-Blasco, Ed Sheldon, Maria F Villalpando, Jonathan S Lefcheck","doi":"10.1017/cft.2025.10004","DOIUrl":"10.1017/cft.2025.10004","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Parachute science is the problematic and extractive practice of non-local researchers taking data, knowledge and information from communities of which they are not members, failing to engage the local community and local scientists, marginalizing them in most aspects of the research, and using the results to their own benefit. Perpetuated by colonialism and unequal access to resources such as funding, education and data, it is harmful to local scientists and undervalues the contributions of the community as a whole. Ultimately, it erodes trust within the scientific community and, more broadly, builds dependence on foreign researchers and makes science less global and collaborative. Increasing international and cross-cultural collaborations while being careful to avoid parachute science can help minimize these impacts. Here, we offer our perspectives on parachute science and suggestions on how to avoid it, based on our experiences conducting research internationally with diverse scientists and communities, including both academics and non-academics. Instead of a parachute, we suggest opening the scientific \"umbrella\" to incorporate diverse perspectives and local contributions in generating relevant and impactful scientific insight.</p>","PeriodicalId":520999,"journal":{"name":"Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures","volume":"3 ","pages":"e21"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12573691/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145433624","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global analysis of temporal clusters of storm surges. 风暴潮时间集群的全球分析。
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures Pub Date : 2025-08-01 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/cft.2025.10008
Ariadna Martín, Robert Jane, Alejandra R Enriquez, Thomas Wahl
{"title":"Global analysis of temporal clusters of storm surges.","authors":"Ariadna Martín, Robert Jane, Alejandra R Enriquez, Thomas Wahl","doi":"10.1017/cft.2025.10008","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1017/cft.2025.10008","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Temporal storm surge clustering refers to a series of events affecting the same region within a short period of time, which can strongly influence coastal flooding impacts and erosion. Here, we analyze global storm surge clustering from tide gauges and a state-of-the-art global model hindcast to identify geographical hotspots of extreme storm surge clusters and assess event frequencies. We study the spatial distribution as well as the contribution of different event intensities to clustering. On average, globally, 92% of coastal locations show significant temporal clustering for 1-year return period events, and 25% for 5-year return level events, although notable spatial differences exist. Our results reveal two distinct clustering regimes: (i) short timescale clustering, where events occur in rapid succession (intra-annual), and (ii) long timescales (inter-annual), providing varying recovery times between events. We also test the validity of assuming a Poisson distribution, commonly used in storm surge frequency analyses. Our results show that >80% of the stations analyzed do not follow a Poisson distribution, at least when including events that are not the most extreme but exceeded, for example, the 1-year return level. These findings offer insights into temporal clustering dynamics of storm surges and their implications for coastal hazard assessments.</p>","PeriodicalId":520999,"journal":{"name":"Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures","volume":"3 ","pages":"e17"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12645316/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145644840","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Erratum: The power of learning from the bottom up: working towards a blueprint for community-led biodiversity protection and restoration - ERRATUM. 从下向上学习的力量:为社区主导的生物多样性保护和恢复蓝图而努力-勘误。
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures Pub Date : 2025-07-02 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/cft.2025.10007
Emma Verling, Maria Power, Melanie Biausque, Lee Wah Pay, Aoife Deane, Rory Scarrott, Darragh Ó Súilleabháin
{"title":"Erratum: The power of learning from the bottom up: working towards a blueprint for community-led biodiversity protection and restoration - ERRATUM.","authors":"Emma Verling, Maria Power, Melanie Biausque, Lee Wah Pay, Aoife Deane, Rory Scarrott, Darragh Ó Súilleabháin","doi":"10.1017/cft.2025.10007","DOIUrl":"10.1017/cft.2025.10007","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1017/cft.2025.10002.].</p>","PeriodicalId":520999,"journal":{"name":"Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures","volume":"3 ","pages":"e16"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-07-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12973238/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147438854","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quantifying coral reef accretion in a changing world: approaches, challenges and emerging opportunities. 在不断变化的世界中量化珊瑚礁增生:方法、挑战和新出现的机遇。
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures Pub Date : 2025-06-27 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/cft.2025.10005
Didier M de Bakker, Chris T Perry, Alice E Webb
{"title":"Quantifying coral reef accretion in a changing world: approaches, challenges and emerging opportunities.","authors":"Didier M de Bakker, Chris T Perry, Alice E Webb","doi":"10.1017/cft.2025.10005","DOIUrl":"10.1017/cft.2025.10005","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The long-term development of coral reef frameworks and the net vertical accretion of reefs fundamentally underpins the provisioning of most reef-related ecosystem services. One area of particular concern at present is how rates of reef accretion are changing under ecological decline and what the consequences of this may be for the capacity of reefs to keep pace with near-future sea-level rise (SLR). This may have major implications for the capacity of reefs to maintain their coastal protective functions and to support reef island stability. Both are issues relevant to understanding future tropical coastal risk. Long-term (millennial timescale) rates of reef accretion are relatively well constrained, including through past periods of sea-level fluctuations. However, widespread and persistent ecological degradation of coral communities has caused many reefs to diverge significantly from their past accretion trajectories. This renders historical analogues increasingly unreliable for projecting future accretion potential. Addressing this necessitates a reorientation towards considering reef accretion rates across shorter (ecological to geomorphic) timescales, i.e., over years to multi-decades. This is essential if we are to better constrain contemporary reef accretion rate and SLR interactions at timescales relevant to predicting emerging coastal risks and understanding future implications for reef-derived benefits. Here, we review existing approaches for quantifying vertical reef accretion rates of modern reefs. These methods span data recovered from fossil outcrops or core-derived records, the conversion of carbonate budget data, direct in situ measurements and emerging remote sensing and image-based techniques. The review explores the advantages and limitations of these different approaches and outlines options for developing an integrated framework to link past, present and future reef accretion potential.</p>","PeriodicalId":520999,"journal":{"name":"Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures","volume":"3 ","pages":"e15"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12337609/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144987267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The power of learning from the bottom up: working towards a blueprint for community-led biodiversity protection and restoration. 自下而上学习的力量:为社区主导的生物多样性保护和恢复蓝图而努力。
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures Pub Date : 2025-06-18 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/cft.2025.10002
Emma Verling, Maria Power, Melanie Biausque, Lee Wah Pay, Aoife Deane, Rory Scarrott, Darragh Ó Súilleabháin
{"title":"The power of learning from the bottom up: working towards a blueprint for community-led biodiversity protection and restoration.","authors":"Emma Verling, Maria Power, Melanie Biausque, Lee Wah Pay, Aoife Deane, Rory Scarrott, Darragh Ó Súilleabháin","doi":"10.1017/cft.2025.10002","DOIUrl":"10.1017/cft.2025.10002","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The impacts of climate change have become more widespread and frequent, and society is beginning to recognise the connection between it and the biodiversity crisis. Communities have the capacity to play a key role in the success of multi-stakeholder nature restoration projects, but examples of successful projects, in which communities are the architects of the action - as opposed to the recipients of it - are not well documented. This study used a participatory evaluation research approach to explore a multi-stakeholder, community-led restoration project at Harper's Island Wetlands, Co. Cork, Ireland to understand the elements of success and to extract key learnings for other communities. In order to rapidly upscale nature restoration and biodiversity protection globally, there is an urgent need to gain speed and momentum, identifying innovative approaches and disseminating them appropriately. The insights from this case study highlight four key components to be considered by groups at the beginning of community-led projects: setting up a core committee, assigning clear roles within the committee, creating a short-, medium- and long-term strategy and beginning practical tasks as soon as possible. This research serves as a step towards preparing blueprints to inform research, policy and practice in this space to enable stakeholders to respond collectively.</p>","PeriodicalId":520999,"journal":{"name":"Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures","volume":"3 ","pages":"e14"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12337600/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144986989","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global coastal exposure patterns by coastal type from 1950 to 2050. 1950 - 2050年各沿海类型的全球沿海暴露模式。
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures Pub Date : 2025-06-16 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/cft.2025.10001
Björn Nyberg, Albina Gilmullina, William Helland-Hansen, Jaap Nienhuis, Joep Storms
{"title":"Global coastal exposure patterns by coastal type from 1950 to 2050.","authors":"Björn Nyberg, Albina Gilmullina, William Helland-Hansen, Jaap Nienhuis, Joep Storms","doi":"10.1017/cft.2025.10001","DOIUrl":"10.1017/cft.2025.10001","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Addressing sea-level rise and coastal flooding requires adaptation strategies tailored to specific coastal environments. However, a lack of detailed geomorphological data on global coasts impedes effective strategy development. This research maps seven coastal environments worldwide, and for each environment analyzes the effect of coastal changes on coastal populations by including sea-level change, extreme sea-level events with varying return periods and population growth from 1950 to 2050. It identifies the historical exposure of low-lying deltaic and estuarine flood areas (>48% of total population) and reveals that flood exposure will significantly increase for barrier islands and strandplains by 2050 (with over a 40% rise in exposure), particularly along African coastlines. Population growth emerges as the primary factor behind the increased exposure. While sea-level rise is projected to contribute between 26% and 65% of the increased inundated area by 2050 compared to a 10-year extreme sea-level event, varying by coastal environment. The findings highlight the critical need for mitigation measures that account for the distinct responses of different coastal types to sea-level rise, posing various risks over varying timescales.</p>","PeriodicalId":520999,"journal":{"name":"Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures","volume":"3 ","pages":"e12"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12337604/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144987231","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation. 关于海平面上升的不确定性、危害和影响以及适应的综合观点。
Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures Pub Date : 2025-06-16 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1017/cft.2025.10003
Tim Henri Josephus Hermans, Renske de Winter, Joep Storms, Frances E Dunn, Renske Gelderloos, Ferdinand Diermanse, Toon Haer, Dewi Le Bars, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Ymkje Huismans, Loes M Kreemers, Eveline C van der Linden, Stuart G Pearson, Roelof Rietbroek, Aimee B A Slangen, Kathelijne M Wijnberg, Gundula Winter, Roderik S W van de Wal
{"title":"An integrated view on the uncertainties of sea-level rise, hazards and impacts, and adaptation.","authors":"Tim Henri Josephus Hermans, Renske de Winter, Joep Storms, Frances E Dunn, Renske Gelderloos, Ferdinand Diermanse, Toon Haer, Dewi Le Bars, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Ymkje Huismans, Loes M Kreemers, Eveline C van der Linden, Stuart G Pearson, Roelof Rietbroek, Aimee B A Slangen, Kathelijne M Wijnberg, Gundula Winter, Roderik S W van de Wal","doi":"10.1017/cft.2025.10003","DOIUrl":"10.1017/cft.2025.10003","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>While adapting to future sea-level rise (SLR) and its hazards and impacts is a multidisciplinary challenge, the interaction of scientists across different research fields, and with practitioners, is limited. To stimulate collaboration and develop a common research agenda, a workshop held in June 2024 gathered 22 scientists and policymakers working in the Netherlands. Participants discussed the interacting uncertainties across three different research fields: sea-level projections, hazards and impacts, and adaptation. Here, we present our view on the most important uncertainties within each field and the feasibility of managing and reducing those uncertainties. We find that enhanced collaboration is urgently needed to prioritize uncertainty reductions, manage expectations and increase the relevance of science to adaptation planning. Furthermore, we argue that in the coming decades, significant uncertainties will remain or newly arise in each research field and that rapidly accelerating SLR will remain a possibility. Therefore, we recommend investigating the extent to which early warning systems can help policymakers as a tool to make timely decisions under remaining uncertainties, in both the Netherlands and other coastal areas. Crucially, this will require viewing SLR, its hazards and impacts, and adaptation as a whole.</p>","PeriodicalId":520999,"journal":{"name":"Cambridge prisms. Coastal futures","volume":"3 ","pages":"e13"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12337580/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144987168","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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