All Azimuth-A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace最新文献_第6页

Temporal Horizons in the Study of Turkish Politics: Prevalence of Non-Causal Description and seemingly “Global Warming” Type of Causality 土耳其政治研究中的时间视界:非因果描述的盛行和看似“全球变暖”类型的因果关系

IF 1

All Azimuth-A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace Pub Date : 2018-10-31 DOI: 10.20991/allazimuth.472127

Ş. Aktürk

{"title":"Temporal Horizons in the Study of Turkish Politics: Prevalence of Non-Causal Description and seemingly “Global Warming” Type of Causality","authors":"Ş. Aktürk","doi":"10.20991/allazimuth.472127","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20991/allazimuth.472127","url":null,"abstract":"In this article, I critically evaluate the causal and temporal dimension of social scientific studies focusing on Turkish politics. A very important and yet often neglected aspect of social scientific analysis involves the temporal dimension of causal processes. The temporal dimension of causal processes has direct consequences for operationalization and measurement, and hence it is an essential component of research design. Does the dependent variable (outcome) of interest unfold over the short term or the long term? Do the hypothesized independent variables (causes) unfold over the short term or the long term? Paul Pierson (2004) provided a classification of four types of causality based on the temporal dimension of causes and outcomes using metaphors of natural disasters: tornado, earthquake, meteorite, and global warming. Operationalization and measurement of long term causes and outcomes pose a major challenge, compounded by the challenges of periodization of causes and effects. Unfortunately, a large proportion of the studies of Turkish politics do not have a clearly discernible independent variable (cause) to begin with, and they are thus better characterized as works of “non-causal description.” Moreover, many of the studies of Turkish politics tend to imply, but rarely state explicitly, a global warming type of causality (long term cause and long term outcome), which necessitates focusing even more intensively on such challenges of measurement and periodization. Yet the operationalization of the key (dependent and independent) variables is often missing even in articles published in reputable academic journals of Turkish politics and society. In the spirit of constructive criticism, I suggest a number of guidelines for research design in order to address the problems of causality and temporality discussed in this article.","PeriodicalId":51976,"journal":{"name":"All Azimuth-A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace","volume":"53 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2018-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"86092126","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 1

Making Sense of Turkey’s Air and Missile Defense Merry-go-round 解读土耳其防空和导弹防御系统的“旋转木马”

IF 1

All Azimuth-A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace Pub Date : 2018-10-15 DOI: 10.20991/allazimuth.470640

Sıtkı Egeli

{"title":"Making Sense of Turkey’s Air and Missile Defense Merry-go-round","authors":"Sıtkı Egeli","doi":"10.20991/allazimuth.470640","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.20991/allazimuth.470640","url":null,"abstract":"At some point during 2013, Turkey’s political authority began to treat the in-country development and production of long-range air and missile defense systems as a priority. Soon after, they announced their decision to favor a Chinese offer that came complete with licensed production and the promise of technology transfer. Yet, with this decision came NATO’s objections and challenges around integration and information security. The 2015 decision to rollback the pro-China decision, and opt instead for the indigenous development of air and missile defense systems (in close conjunction with a foreign technological and industrial partner) was triggered by Turkey’s disillusion with the content of China’s technology transfer package. Subsequently, this new partner became a team comprising France and Italy; Turkish industry tied itself to this team in developing Europe’s next-generation missile defense capability. Then came the Turkish government’s 2017 decision to purchase off-the-shelf, standalone S-400 systems from Russia. This decision was an anomaly, and had all the characteristics of a top-down decision cycle running afoul of technical, operational, and industrial criteria. Turkey’s political figures have justified the S-400 order by citing the benefits of in-country production, access to technologies, not to mention the West’s refusal to sell comparable systems; but these justifications have been refuted by the Russian side and/or in discordant statements by Turkish institutions, authorities, and political figures themselves","PeriodicalId":51976,"journal":{"name":"All Azimuth-A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.0,"publicationDate":"2018-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"75961154","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 11

Turkish Foreign Policy in a Chainging World Order 变化中的世界秩序中的土耳其外交政策

IF 1

All Azimuth-A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace Pub Date : 2018-09-26 DOI: 10.20991/ALLAZIMUTH.464076

H. T. Oğuzlu

引用次数: 8

The Foreign Policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran: Prospects for Change and Continuity 伊朗伊斯兰共和国的外交政策:变革和连续性的前景

IF 1

All Azimuth-A Journal of Foreign Policy and Peace Pub Date : 2018-09-14 DOI: 10.20991/ALLAZIMUTH.459943

Vali Golmohammadi

引用次数: 5

Multiple Dualities: Seeking the Patterns in Iran’s Foreign Policy 多重二元性:探寻伊朗外交政策的模式