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Japan's smart power strategy and securing the US-led order 日本的智能大国战略与确保美国主导的秩序
IF 2 3区 社会学
Contemporary Politics Pub Date : 2023-06-21 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2023.2217041
Bhubhinda Singh
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引用次数: 1
How regional organisation survives: ASEAN, hedging and international society 区域组织如何生存：东盟、对冲和国际社会
IF 2 3区 社会学
Contemporary Politics Pub Date : 2023-05-23 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2023.2216031
I. Wicaksana, M. F. Karim
{"title":"How regional organisation survives: ASEAN, hedging and international society","authors":"I. Wicaksana, M. F. Karim","doi":"10.1080/13569775.2023.2216031","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2023.2216031","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT How can a regional organisation survive in great power contests? This article uses the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) as the empirical case to address the puzzle. The inquiry is important for three reasons. First, the recent developments in world politics have shown the increasingly penetrative actions of the major powers into regional multilateral organisations. Second, looking at ASEAN, the internal cohesion and solidity of the Association's member countries over the last decade have been challenged by the competition between China and the U.S. Third, the existing literature on ASEAN regional strategic affairs has been focused on hedging as the weaker states’ agential choice to manage their relations with the stronger states. However, there is insufficient explanation of what makes sustainable Southeast Asian states’ hedging possible. Working within the English School theory of IR, this article offers two factors explaining ASEAN’s survival as a regional international society: elite diplomatic culture and great power management. The argument is that ASEAN has developed its ideas and values of intra-regional diplomatic relations and built institutions that can mitigate the damaging consequences of the U.S.–China order contestation. Furthermore, this study promotes an English School perspective on hedging based on the ASEAN case. Arguing against the realist theory of hedging, which focuses on the domestic function of foreign policy strategy, the narrow conception of national interests and the relative distribution of power at the systemic level, hedging works because of viable institutions of the regional international society oriented toward constructing and preserving order .","PeriodicalId":51673,"journal":{"name":"Contemporary Politics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46183125","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Why can’t the drama stop? US–China rivalry and security triangulation on the Korean peninsula 为什么戏剧停不下来?中美在朝鲜半岛的竞争和安全三角关系
IF 2 3区 社会学
Contemporary Politics Pub Date : 2023-05-20 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2023.2215115
Xiangfeng Yang
{"title":"Why can’t the drama stop? US–China rivalry and security triangulation on the Korean peninsula","authors":"Xiangfeng Yang","doi":"10.1080/13569775.2023.2215115","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2023.2215115","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Why did the flurry of summitry in the Trump years to denuclearize North Korea fall short? What is the crux of the Korean security problem? To understand peninsular security, I argue that a more holistic approach is warranted to unpack and piece together the many crosscutting and overlapping security dynamics in a cogent and coherent manner. In this article, I first argue that the Korean Peninsula should be understood as a security system writ large, comprising the United States, China, and the two Koreas as indispensable players in all major issues pertaining to peninsular security. The second section introduces complex systems theory as an analytical approach that injects more sophistication and dynamic into the otherwise overly structural analysis typical of the field. The third and fourth sections reconstruct the unfolding of major events in terms of a positive feedback loop – namely, how great power realpolitik and North Korea’s provocations converged and ricocheted to cause the crisis in 2017, as well as a negative feedback loop in which triangular interactions both facilitated and obstructed US – North Korea wrangling. The conclusion offers some preliminary assessments of how things might play out in the future.","PeriodicalId":51673,"journal":{"name":"Contemporary Politics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44251369","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Conceptualising democratic resilience: a minimalist account 民主弹性的概念化:一个极简主义的解释
IF 2 3区 社会学
Contemporary Politics Pub Date : 2023-05-15 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2023.2213536
Alexandru Volacu, P. Aligica
{"title":"Conceptualising democratic resilience: a minimalist account","authors":"Alexandru Volacu, P. Aligica","doi":"10.1080/13569775.2023.2213536","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2023.2213536","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT The aim of this article is to contribute in two respects to the evolving research agenda focused on the problem of democratic resilience. First, we attempt to provide several clarifications regarding the general concept of ‘democratic resilience’, in the course of which we both assess a number of accounts offered thus far and discuss some difficulties raised by elements of its most attractive articulation. Second, we outline a specific conception of democratic resilience framed on minimalist grounds and designed so as to be compatible with a wide range of descriptive and normative models of democracy. Aside from the conceptual and analytical value of these contributions, we also point to their practical relevance for both empirical assessments and for the normative and applied-level evaluation of democratic institutions and their performance.","PeriodicalId":51673,"journal":{"name":"Contemporary Politics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41659771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Big data-mediated repression: a novel form of preemptive repression in China’s Xinjiang region 以大数据为媒介的镇压:中国新疆地区先发制人镇压的一种新形式
IF 2 3区 社会学
Contemporary Politics Pub Date : 2023-04-20 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2023.2203568
L. I. Oztig
{"title":"Big data-mediated repression: a novel form of preemptive repression in China’s Xinjiang region","authors":"L. I. Oztig","doi":"10.1080/13569775.2023.2203568","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2023.2203568","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT Governments repress using different logics. Responsive repression is employed in the aftermath of dissent activities. Preemptive repression is applied in anticipation of challenges to the state's authority. This article brings a novel insight into the mechanism of preemptive repression by giving analytical weight to big data analytics. It is shown that a new type of preemptive repression has emerged in China's Xinjiang region. While targeted repression is generally associated with specific opposition groups, with the use of big data technology, China is now able to apply targeted repression against millions of Muslim minorities by processing data to predict dissent behaviour, which constitutes a radical transformation of preemptive repression. This article defines this mode of repression as ‘a techno-panoptic form of repression’ in which human behaviour is reduced to data and big data analytics becomes an instrument through which the state gains hyper-agency.","PeriodicalId":51673,"journal":{"name":"Contemporary Politics","volume":"29 1","pages":"576 - 597"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"60110699","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Anti-democratic youth? The influence of youth cohort size and quality of democracy on young people’s support for democracy 反民主青年吗?青年群体规模和民主质量对青年支持民主的影响
IF 2 3区 社会学
Contemporary Politics Pub Date : 2023-04-13 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2023.2196877
G. Nkansah, A. Bartha
{"title":"Anti-democratic youth? The influence of youth cohort size and quality of democracy on young people’s support for democracy","authors":"G. Nkansah, A. Bartha","doi":"10.1080/13569775.2023.2196877","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2023.2196877","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This paper aims to investigate whether a country’s youth cohort size and quality of democracy, independently and jointly predict young people’s propensity to support democracy as a political system. We use pooled data from World Values Survey Waves 5–7, comprising 81 country-waves with 25,125 observations from 39 established and new democracies, in multilevel binary logistic regression analyses. The paper finds evidence that firstly, against conventional expectations, a large youth cohort exerts a positive influence on young people’s support for democracy as a political system. Secondly, the effect of youth cohort size depends on the quality of democracy of countries: young people growing as part of the youth cohorts in established democracies show stronger propensities to support democracy than their peers in new democracies. This has implications for both theory and empirical research.","PeriodicalId":51673,"journal":{"name":"Contemporary Politics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44327816","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Islamic State, Shia religious clerics and the mobilisation of Shia militias in Iraq and Syria 伊斯兰国、什叶派宗教神职人员以及伊拉克和叙利亚什叶派民兵的动员
IF 2 3区 社会学
Contemporary Politics Pub Date : 2023-04-13 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2023.2196875
Ali Akbar, B. Isakhan
{"title":"The Islamic State, Shia religious clerics and the mobilisation of Shia militias in Iraq and Syria","authors":"Ali Akbar, B. Isakhan","doi":"10.1080/13569775.2023.2196875","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2023.2196875","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This article focuses on the Islamic State’s (IS) attacks on Shia communities and their holy sites across Iraq and Syria and explores the responses of key Shia religious and political leaders. It demonstrates how these Shia elites utilised sophisticated mobilisation frames to admonish their followers to take up arms against the IS. To do so, these Shia elites drew on Shia religious symbols and historical events that emphasise Shia suffering at the hands of Sunni forces and highlighted the urgent need to protect Shia communities and their holy sites. The article also demonstrates how these mobilisation frames were malleable in the hands of different Shia elites and were instrumentalized to advance both national (defend the country) and transnational goals (defend Shia Islam). The article concludes by noting that this study of the complex motives underpinning Shia mobilisation has implications beyond the case of contemporary Iraq and Syria.","PeriodicalId":51673,"journal":{"name":"Contemporary Politics","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46876879","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
European union crisis-induced institutional evolution. The effect of institutional entrepreneurship in the formation of EFSF 欧盟危机引发的制度演变。制度企业家精神在EFSF形成中的作用
IF 2 3区 社会学
Contemporary Politics Pub Date : 2023-04-05 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2023.2195693
Eleftherios (Lefteris) Karchimakis
{"title":"European union crisis-induced institutional evolution. The effect of institutional entrepreneurship in the formation of EFSF","authors":"Eleftherios (Lefteris) Karchimakis","doi":"10.1080/13569775.2023.2195693","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2023.2195693","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT This paper conducts an in-depth case study of the 2010 Greek entrepreneurship attempts that led to the EFSF's creation, aiming to theorise crisis-induced institutional change in the EU. This research aims to cover the theoretical gap left by existing literature by combining theoretical elements derived from historical institutionalism and institutional entrepreneurship. Crises function as critical junctures. During critical junctures, the structural grip of path dependency loosens; thus, a multitude of paths forward are available. The choice of a specific path, if any, heavily relies on the concept of institutional entrepreneur. In 2010 the Greek government was such an agent, with interest in altering EU institutional design to overcome its financial ordeal and with direct access to the EU Council, the primary decision-making body regarding institutional change. The entrepreneur triggers a process of institutional change through their proposal. Once the entrepreneur chooses a path forward, this is further moulded by path dependencies.","PeriodicalId":51673,"journal":{"name":"Contemporary Politics","volume":"29 1","pages":"514 - 534"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"60110597","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
When institutions ‘bite’: Malaysia’s flawed democratisation 当制度“咬人”:马来西亚有缺陷的民主化
IF 2 3区 社会学
Contemporary Politics Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2023.2185176
Abdillah Noh, N. H. Yashaiya
{"title":"When institutions ‘bite’: Malaysia’s flawed democratisation","authors":"Abdillah Noh, N. H. Yashaiya","doi":"10.1080/13569775.2023.2185176","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2023.2185176","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT While the expectation is that electoral turnover spurred by change agents will translate to political reform and/or consolidation of reform, recent outcomes have been disappointing. Taking the example of Malaysia’s recent political change, we argue that carrying out political reform and consolidating them remain elusive because there are strong tendencies by all parties – change agents included – to stay invested to aspects of state’s institutional qualities. We explain that institutions ‘bite’; that change agents are not completely free agents because political reform remains highly dependent on existing institutional qualities, the so-called rules of the game. While new reform ideas hold promises of change, issues of path dependence, increasing returns, and dense institutional networks impose challenges to actors making them highly invested in existing institutional mixes resulting in a botched democratisation effort.","PeriodicalId":51673,"journal":{"name":"Contemporary Politics","volume":"29 1","pages":"492 - 513"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48434756","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Contagious politics and COVID-19: does the infectious disease hit populist supporters harder? 传染性政治与COVID-19:传染病对民粹主义支持者的打击更大吗?
IF 2 3区 社会学
Contemporary Politics Pub Date : 2023-02-12 DOI: 10.1080/13569775.2023.2175488
Aline Burni, Daniel Stockemer, C. Hackenesch
{"title":"Contagious politics and COVID-19: does the infectious disease hit populist supporters harder?","authors":"Aline Burni, Daniel Stockemer, C. Hackenesch","doi":"10.1080/13569775.2023.2175488","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/13569775.2023.2175488","url":null,"abstract":"ABSTRACT As an example of a typical right-wing populist, Jair Bolsonaro downplayed Covid-19 and rejected scientific evidence to address the pandemic. We argue that both his communication style and approach to crisis management had consequences for the behavioural patterns of his followers, which, in turn, had public health implications. Building on survey research, we demonstrate how Bolsonaro’s supporters were less likely to consider the pandemic as a key challenge for the country, less worried about getting infected and less likely to wear masks. We show that this ‘riskier’ behaviour had concrete repercussions. Even after controlling for confounders such as population density, age, education and wealth, municipalities with higher aggregate support for Bolsonaro had higher Covid-19 infection rates in 2020 and saw more people dying from the virus.","PeriodicalId":51673,"journal":{"name":"Contemporary Politics","volume":"29 1","pages":"466 - 491"},"PeriodicalIF":2.0,"publicationDate":"2023-02-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48545212","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
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