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Modeling Earth Systems and Environment最新文献

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Optimization of conditioning factors for groundwater potential zonation using GIS-based single parameter and map removal sensitivity analysis in Alipurduar district of West Bengal, India 基于gis的印度西孟加拉邦Alipurduar地区地下水潜力分区调节因素单参数优化及地图去除敏感性分析
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Pub Date : 2023-09-25 DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01859-3
Chhanu Sutradhar, Debapriya Poddar, Jayanta Das
{"title":"Optimization of conditioning factors for groundwater potential zonation using GIS-based single parameter and map removal sensitivity analysis in Alipurduar district of West Bengal, India","authors":"Chhanu Sutradhar, Debapriya Poddar, Jayanta Das","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01859-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01859-3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"55 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135815626","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dynamics and control of mpox disease using two modelling approaches 使用两种建模方法的m痘病动力学和控制
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Pub Date : 2023-09-21 DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01862-8
Obiora Cornelius Collins, Kevin Jan Duffy
{"title":"Dynamics and control of mpox disease using two modelling approaches","authors":"Obiora Cornelius Collins, Kevin Jan Duffy","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01862-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01862-8","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract Monkeypox (Mpox) is a serious illness that affects both humans and animals. Two modelling approaches are considered here to understand the transmission dynamics of mpox. A deterministic model that incorporates the major factors that influence mpox is developed and analysed. However, as more than one group can be infected by mpox, humans and animals, the results of a deterministic model do not always hold when at the outset the number of people infected is small. Thus, a stochastic model based on the assumptions of the deterministic model is also developed and analysed. By fitting the deterministic model to data on the 2022 mpox outbreak in Nigeria, essential parameters related to the mpox dynamics are estimated. Using these parameters the basic reproduction number is calculated as $$mathcal {R}_0 = 1.7$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\"> <mml:mrow> <mml:msub> <mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> </mml:msub> <mml:mo>=</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1.7</mml:mn> </mml:mrow> </mml:math> and, as this is greater than unity, implies that without control mpox is likely to remain endemic in Nigeria. Consideration of the basic reproduction number for the different transmission routes and parameter sensitivity analyses indicate the importance of animals in the overall prevalence of the disease. Also, numerical simulations are used and show that controls of disease transmission from animals to humans and animals to animals are the most effective. The results of the stochastic model, where the initial number of infections is small, show that the disease can be eradicated in some situations where $$mathcal {R}_0 &gt; 1$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml=\"http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML\"> <mml:mrow> <mml:msub> <mml:mi>R</mml:mi> <mml:mn>0</mml:mn> </mml:msub> <mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo> <mml:mn>1</mml:mn> </mml:mrow> </mml:math> . However, the probabilities of this occurring for the Nigerian epidemic are low. Overall, our model formulations could be useful for making decisions on the effective management of mpox outbreaks in any endemic area.","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"11 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136130532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of floating vegetation island on velocity distribution in open channel flow 漂浮植被岛对明渠水流流速分布的影响
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01861-9
Naveed Anjum, Sohail Iqbal, Norio Tanaka
{"title":"Impact of floating vegetation island on velocity distribution in open channel flow","authors":"Naveed Anjum, Sohail Iqbal, Norio Tanaka","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01861-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01861-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"31 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135011409","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Temporal dynamics of glacier retreat and its relationship with local climate in Cordillera Apolobamba, Peru 秘鲁阿波奥巴马巴山脉冰川退缩的时间动态及其与当地气候的关系
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01865-5
Wilber Laqui, Ricardo Zubieta, Yony Laqui-Vilca, Elmer Calizaya, César Laqui-Vilca
{"title":"Temporal dynamics of glacier retreat and its relationship with local climate in Cordillera Apolobamba, Peru","authors":"Wilber Laqui, Ricardo Zubieta, Yony Laqui-Vilca, Elmer Calizaya, César Laqui-Vilca","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01865-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01865-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135061123","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Validating the Curve Number estimation approaches: A case study of an urbanizing watershed from Western Maharashtra, India 曲线数估算方法的验证:以印度马哈拉施特拉邦西部城市化流域为例
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Pub Date : 2023-09-15 DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01855-7
Gauri Deshpande, Anargha Amit Dhorde
{"title":"Validating the Curve Number estimation approaches: A case study of an urbanizing watershed from Western Maharashtra, India","authors":"Gauri Deshpande, Anargha Amit Dhorde","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01855-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01855-7","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"52 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135436800","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Vulnerability of Parkia biglobosa, Vitellaria paradoxa and Vitex doniana to climate change: wild indigenous agroforestry species in Benin 贝宁原生农林业野生物种对气候变化的脆弱性
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Pub Date : 2023-09-13 DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01856-6
Angeline Reine Kakpo, Mahunan José Vodounnon, Emile Codjo Agbangba, Guillaume Hounsou-Dindin, Dieudonné Gustave Dagbénonbakin, Guillaume Lucien Amadji, Mohamed Moro Buri, Romain Glèlè Kakaï
{"title":"Vulnerability of Parkia biglobosa, Vitellaria paradoxa and Vitex doniana to climate change: wild indigenous agroforestry species in Benin","authors":"Angeline Reine Kakpo, Mahunan José Vodounnon, Emile Codjo Agbangba, Guillaume Hounsou-Dindin, Dieudonné Gustave Dagbénonbakin, Guillaume Lucien Amadji, Mohamed Moro Buri, Romain Glèlè Kakaï","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01856-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01856-6","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"19 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135733610","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Stability analysis of multiple unsupported excavations in cohesive-frictional soils using finite element limit analysis (FELA) and an artificial neural network (ANN) 基于有限元极限分析(FELA)和人工神经网络(ANN)的黏结-摩擦土体中多个无支护基坑稳定性分析
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Pub Date : 2023-09-09 DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01857-5
Kittiphan Yoonirundorn, Teerapong Senjuntichai, Suraparb Keawsawasvong, Chayut Ngamkhanong, Anil C. Wijeyewickrema
{"title":"Stability analysis of multiple unsupported excavations in cohesive-frictional soils using finite element limit analysis (FELA) and an artificial neural network (ANN)","authors":"Kittiphan Yoonirundorn, Teerapong Senjuntichai, Suraparb Keawsawasvong, Chayut Ngamkhanong, Anil C. Wijeyewickrema","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01857-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01857-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136107465","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling the impact of cloud seeding to rescind the effect of atmospheric pollutants on natural rainfall 模拟人工降雨对消除大气污染物对自然降雨影响的影响
IF 3
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01854-8
Gauri Agrawal, A. K. Agrawal, Joydip Dhar, A. K. Misra
{"title":"Modeling the impact of cloud seeding to rescind the effect of atmospheric pollutants on natural rainfall","authors":"Gauri Agrawal, A. K. Agrawal, Joydip Dhar, A. K. Misra","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01854-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01854-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44149390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Modeling on the trajectory and impacts of tropical cyclones highlighting the Hurricane Katrina 2005 以2005年卡特里娜飓风为重点的热带气旋的轨迹和影响建模
IF 3
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01852-w
José Augusto Ferreira Neto, David Mendes, José Francisco de Oliveira-Júnior, Monica Cristina Damião Mendes
{"title":"Modeling on the trajectory and impacts of tropical cyclones highlighting the Hurricane Katrina 2005","authors":"José Augusto Ferreira Neto, David Mendes, José Francisco de Oliveira-Júnior, Monica Cristina Damião Mendes","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01852-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01852-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41614162","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mapping of current and future soil erosion risk in a semi-arid context (haouz plain - Marrakech) based on CMIP6 climate models, the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and RUSLE 基于CMIP6气候模型、层次分析法（AHP）和RUSLE的半干旱地区（豪兹平原-马拉喀什）当前和未来土壤侵蚀风险图
IF 3
Modeling Earth Systems and Environment Pub Date : 2023-09-07 DOI: 10.1007/s40808-023-01845-9
Youssef Bammou, Brahim Benzougagh, Abdelkrim Bensaid, Brahim Igmoullan, Ayad M. Fadhil Al-Quraishi
{"title":"Mapping of current and future soil erosion risk in a semi-arid context (haouz plain - Marrakech) based on CMIP6 climate models, the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and RUSLE","authors":"Youssef Bammou, Brahim Benzougagh, Abdelkrim Bensaid, Brahim Igmoullan, Ayad M. Fadhil Al-Quraishi","doi":"10.1007/s40808-023-01845-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-023-01845-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":51444,"journal":{"name":"Modeling Earth Systems and Environment","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46995517","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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