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Business cycle accounting: What have we learned so far? 商业周期会计：我们迄今学到了什么？
IF 5.9 2区 经济学
Journal of Economic Surveys Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12581
Pedro Brinca, João Ricardo Costa Filho, Francesca Loria
{"title":"Business cycle accounting: What have we learned so far?","authors":"Pedro Brinca,&nbsp;João Ricardo Costa Filho,&nbsp;Francesca Loria","doi":"10.1111/joes.12581","DOIUrl":"10.1111/joes.12581","url":null,"abstract":"<p>What drives recessions and expansions? Since it was introduced in 2007, there have been hundreds of business cycle accounting (BCA) exercises, a procedure aimed at identifying classes of models that hold quantitative promise to explain economic fluctuations. This paper contributes with a software—a graphical user interface that allows practitioners to perform BCA exercises with minimal effort—and exemplifies the procedure by studying the U.S. recessions in 1973 and 1990 and reflecting upon the critiques BCA has been subject to. We look into the many equivalence theorems that the literature has produced and that allow BCA practitioners to identify the theories that are quantitatively relevant for the economic period under study. The methodological extensions that have been brought forth since BCA's original inception are addressed as well as conclusions regarding the relative contribution of each wedge: GDP and investment are usually driven by an efficiency wedge, hours worked are closely related to the labor wedge and, in an open economy extension, the investment wedge helps to explain country risk spreads on international bonds. Finally, larger changes in interest rates and currency crises are usually associated with the investment and/or the labor wedge.</p>","PeriodicalId":51374,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Surveys","volume":"38 4","pages":"1276-1316"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2023-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79329260","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Finance and intelligence: An overview of the literature 金融与情报：文献综述
IF 5.3 2区 经济学
Journal of Economic Surveys Pub Date : 2023-08-12 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12583
Nicolas Eber, Patrick Roger, Tristan Roger
{"title":"Finance and intelligence: An overview of the literature","authors":"Nicolas Eber,&nbsp;Patrick Roger,&nbsp;Tristan Roger","doi":"10.1111/joes.12583","DOIUrl":"10.1111/joes.12583","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Do more intelligent investors take better economic decisions than less intelligent ones? Is risk attitude, in particular risk/loss aversion, linked to cognitive ability? Does an investor's cognitive ability impact his/her patience? Is financial performance positively linked to investor's intelligence? These research questions have become highly relevant with the development of behavioral economics and behavioral finance, following the recognition that humans are not homo economicus. This paper reviews the several strands of literature devoted to answering the above questions. We first discuss the barely debated definitions and measures of intelligence/cognitive ability used in psychology, economics, and finance. We then review the results related to the (controversial) link between risk aversion and cognitive ability. We observe that the literature provides clear results for patience; individuals with a higher level of cognitive ability being more patient on average. Finally, we review the contributions linking (successfully or not) portfolio choice and financial performance to cognitive ability.</p>","PeriodicalId":51374,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Surveys","volume":"38 2","pages":"503-554"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"77314366","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fairness, (perception of) inequality, and redistribution preferences 公平、(对)不平等的感知和再分配偏好
IF 5.3 2区 经济学
Journal of Economic Surveys Pub Date : 2023-08-09 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12582
Steven Tucker, Yilong Xu
{"title":"Fairness, (perception of) inequality, and redistribution preferences","authors":"Steven Tucker,&nbsp;Yilong Xu","doi":"10.1111/joes.12582","DOIUrl":"10.1111/joes.12582","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This special issue consists of nine surveys that delve into the recent development in the literature on inequality, examining its perception, sources, implications, and potential solutions. The review synthesizes key aspects, from the conceptualization of inequality perception to its profound consequences such as deteriorated social cohesion, unethical behaviors, and even violent conflicts. The papers underscore the complexity of individuals' preferences for redistribution, influenced by myriad factors like procedural fairness, societal norms, and ethnicity composition. They also explore the potential for interventions, such as wage transparency reforms, to tackle inequality. This synthesis underscores the persistent challenge posed by inequality, while also pointing towards unexplored avenues for future research, thus advancing our understanding of the socio-economic implications of inequality.</p>","PeriodicalId":51374,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Surveys","volume":"37 5","pages":"1529-1533"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/joes.12582","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"72809303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Understanding the climate change-migration nexus through the lens of household surveys: An empirical review to assess data gaps 通过住户调查了解气候变化与移民之间的关系：评估数据缺口的实证审查
IF 5.9 2区 经济学
Journal of Economic Surveys Pub Date : 2023-08-09 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12584
Marco Letta, Pierluigi Montalbano, Adriana Paolantonio
{"title":"Understanding the climate change-migration nexus through the lens of household surveys: An empirical review to assess data gaps","authors":"Marco Letta,&nbsp;Pierluigi Montalbano,&nbsp;Adriana Paolantonio","doi":"10.1111/joes.12584","DOIUrl":"10.1111/joes.12584","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Over the last two decades, the causal relationship between climate change and migration has gained increasing prominence in international research and policy. Despite recent advances in conceptual frameworks and applied techniques, the empirical evidence does not provide clear-cut conclusions, mainly due to the intrinsic complexity of the phenomenon of interest, the irreducible heterogeneity of the transmission mechanisms, some common misconceptions, and, in particular, the paucity of adequate data. In this work, we present the first data-oriented review of the nexus between climate change and migration. Then, we discuss open issues and assess the main data gaps that currently prevent more robust quantifications. Finally, using a prominent survey collection produced by the World Bank as a case study, we highlight opportunities for exploiting and enhancing the potential of existing multi-topic and multi-purpose household survey datasets.</p>","PeriodicalId":51374,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Surveys","volume":"38 4","pages":"1234-1275"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2023-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/joes.12584","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135653067","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Future directions in nowcasting economic activity: A systematic literature review 经济活动预报的未来方向：系统文献综述
IF 5.9 2区 经济学
Journal of Economic Surveys Pub Date : 2023-07-25 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12579
Alina Stundziene, Vaida Pilinkiene, Jurgita Bruneckiene, Andrius Grybauskas, Mantas Lukauskas, Irena Pekarskiene
{"title":"Future directions in nowcasting economic activity: A systematic literature review","authors":"Alina Stundziene,&nbsp;Vaida Pilinkiene,&nbsp;Jurgita Bruneckiene,&nbsp;Andrius Grybauskas,&nbsp;Mantas Lukauskas,&nbsp;Irena Pekarskiene","doi":"10.1111/joes.12579","DOIUrl":"10.1111/joes.12579","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This paper presents a systematic review of research papers on nowcasting economic activity. The study summarizes the state-of-the-art nowcasting approaches and methods, describes the indicators used in this analysis, highlights the existing gaps, and proposes future research directions. Based on an analysis of 193 articles on nowcasting in economics that were published in the journals indexed in the Web of Science Core Collection database, future research directions in nowcasting are described in this paper. This research indicates that the focus of economic activity nowcasting should rely on the use of real-time data and alternative indicators in order to enhance the predictive ability.</p>","PeriodicalId":51374,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Surveys","volume":"38 4","pages":"1199-1233"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2023-07-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"83539095","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Segmentation of the Chinese stock market: A review 中国股票市场的细分：综述
IF 5.9 2区 经济学
Journal of Economic Surveys Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12577
Zhe Peng, Kainan Xiong, Yahui Yang
{"title":"Segmentation of the Chinese stock market: A review","authors":"Zhe Peng,&nbsp;Kainan Xiong,&nbsp;Yahui Yang","doi":"10.1111/joes.12577","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/joes.12577","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Chinese stock market has a threefold segmented structure. Firstly, there is a division between floatable and nonfloatable shares, known as the split-share structure. Before 2005, more than two-thirds of the shares outstanding were nonfloatable. This structure limited shareholders’ ability to exercise governance rights through stock trading. While largely dismantled by the 2005 reform, the split-share structure has not been fully eliminated. Secondly, floatable shares can be issued in multiple currencies. However, shares denominated in the domestic currency often trade at a premium over those denominated in foreign currencies. This premium can be explained by the differences in target investors and the trading restrictions. Thirdly, stocks denominated in the domestic currency are sorted into different market tiers depending on the firms’ profitability and market capitalization. The limited mobility of stocks across different tiers engenders tier-specific characteristics, such as high family ownership and venture-capital backing, which have not been sufficiently studied. In this paper, we delineate the three aspects of market segmentation, offer critical comments on the caveats of the extant studies, and propose topics for future research.</p>","PeriodicalId":51374,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Surveys","volume":"38 4","pages":"1156-1198"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2023-07-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/joes.12577","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142007165","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The causal effect of ethnic diversity on support for redistribution and the role of discrimination 种族多样性对支持再分配的因果关系和歧视的作用
IF 5.3 2区 经济学
Journal of Economic Surveys Pub Date : 2023-06-28 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12578
Pascal Achard, Sigrid Suetens
{"title":"The causal effect of ethnic diversity on support for redistribution and the role of discrimination","authors":"Pascal Achard,&nbsp;Sigrid Suetens","doi":"10.1111/joes.12578","DOIUrl":"10.1111/joes.12578","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We review the literature that investigates the causal effect of ethnic diversity on support for redistribution. The results indicate that ethnic diversity or an increase in the salience of ethnic minorities tends to reduce support for redistribution. Evidence is presented that this finding can be interpreted as an outcome of ethnic discrimination. Nonetheless, there is substantial heterogeneity, such that the effect of ethnic diversity on support for redistribution depends on the specific context. An important moderator of the effect is whether ethnic diversity is accompanied by interethnic contact.</p>","PeriodicalId":51374,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Surveys","volume":"37 5","pages":"1678-1696"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/joes.12578","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"90384675","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Narratives in economics 经济学叙事
IF 5.3 2区 经济学
Journal of Economic Surveys Pub Date : 2023-06-27 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12576
Michael Roos, Matthias Reccius
{"title":"Narratives in economics","authors":"Michael Roos,&nbsp;Matthias Reccius","doi":"10.1111/joes.12576","DOIUrl":"10.1111/joes.12576","url":null,"abstract":"<p>There is growing awareness within the economics profession of the important role narratives play in the economy. Even though empirical approaches that try to quantify economic narratives are getting increasingly popular, there is no theory or even a universally accepted definition of economic narratives underlying this research. First, we review and categorize the economic literature concerned with narratives and work out the different paradigms at play. Only a subset of the literature considers narratives to be active drivers of economic activity. To solidify the foundation of narrative economics, we propose a definition of <i>collective economic narratives</i>, isolating five important characteristics. We argue that, for a narrative to be economically relevant, it must be a sense-making story that emerges in a social context and suggests action to a social group. We also systematize how a collective economic narrative differs from a topic and from other kinds of narratives that are likely to have less impact on the economy. With regard to the popular use of topic modeling, we suggest that the complementary use of other methods from the natural language processing (NLP) toolkit and the development of new methods is inevitable to go beyond identifying topics and move towards true <i>empirical narrative economics</i>.</p>","PeriodicalId":51374,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Surveys","volume":"38 2","pages":"303-341"},"PeriodicalIF":5.3,"publicationDate":"2023-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/joes.12576","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135454532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The properties of contemporary money 当代货币的特性
IF 5.9 2区 经济学
Journal of Economic Surveys Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12575
Isaiah Hull, Or Sattath
{"title":"The properties of contemporary money","authors":"Isaiah Hull,&nbsp;Or Sattath","doi":"10.1111/joes.12575","DOIUrl":"10.1111/joes.12575","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The properties of money commonly referenced in the economics literature were originally identified by Jevons and Menger in the late 1800s and were intended to describe physical currencies, such as commodity money, metallic coins, and paper bills. In the digital era, many non-physical currencies have either entered circulation or are under development, including demand deposits, cryptocurrencies, stablecoins, central bank digital currencies, in-game currencies, and quantum money. These forms of money have novel properties that have not been studied extensively within the economics literature, but may ultimately determine which currencies prevail in the forthcoming era of currency competition. This review makes the first exhaustive attempt to identify and organize all properties of physical and digital forms of money. It examines both the economics and computer science literatures and categorizes properties within an expanded version of the canonical Jevons–Menger framework.</p>","PeriodicalId":51374,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Surveys","volume":"38 4","pages":"1132-1155"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2023-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"73571769","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Is research on hedge fund performance published selectively? A quantitative survey 关于对冲基金业绩的研究是否有选择性地发表？定量调查
IF 5.9 2区 经济学
Journal of Economic Surveys Pub Date : 2023-06-26 DOI: 10.1111/joes.12574
Fan Yang, Tomas Havranek, Zuzana Irsova, Jiri Novak
{"title":"Is research on hedge fund performance published selectively? A quantitative survey","authors":"Fan Yang,&nbsp;Tomas Havranek,&nbsp;Zuzana Irsova,&nbsp;Jiri Novak","doi":"10.1111/joes.12574","DOIUrl":"10.1111/joes.12574","url":null,"abstract":"<p>We examine whether estimates of hedge fund performance reported in prior empirical research are affected by publication bias. Using a sample of 1019 intercept terms from regressions of hedge fund returns on risk factors (the “alphas”) collected from 74 studies published between 2001 and 2021, we show that the selective publication of empirical results does not significantly contaminate inferences about hedge fund returns. Most of our monthly alpha estimates adjusted for the (small) bias fall within a relatively narrow range of 30–40 basis points, indicating positive abnormal returns of hedge funds: Hedge funds generate money for investors. Studies that explicitly control for potential biases in the underlying data (e.g., backfilling and survivorship biases) report lower but still positive alphas. Our results demonstrate that despite the prevalence of publication selection bias in many other research settings, publication may not be selective when there is no strong a priori theoretical prediction about the sign of the estimated coefficients.</p>","PeriodicalId":51374,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Surveys","volume":"38 4","pages":"1085-1131"},"PeriodicalIF":5.9,"publicationDate":"2023-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/joes.12574","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"79291744","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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