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Proposed approach to evaluate the deterrence of limited nuclear attacks 评估有限核攻击威慑力的拟议方法
Journal of Military Studies Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI: 10.2478/jms-2024-0004
Mark A. Gallagher
{"title":"Proposed approach to evaluate the deterrence of limited nuclear attacks","authors":"Mark A. Gallagher","doi":"10.2478/jms-2024-0004","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/jms-2024-0004","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 A counterforce strategy intends to destroy an adversary’s nuclear arsenal. However, hardening, defences and mobility have made nuclear-delivery systems less vulnerable. Nations may consider limited attacks with one or a few weapons that would not significantly deplete their weapon stockpile or alter the overall nuclear balance. We propose an approach to evaluate limited strikes with regard to military, political, economic and societal aspects. We discuss potential responses along with their compliance to the Law of Armed Conflict (LOAC). We contend that a response should be generally proportional, meaning sufficient to achieve deterrence in the hope of avoiding escalation. Responses that greatly exceed the attacker’s inflicted damage will be perceived as unjust and, if executed, may escalate the conflict. Similarly, declared responses that inflict considerably less damage may not be sufficient to deter since the attacker would end the initial exchange in a better relative position between the adversaries. We conclude that deterrence is improved with a range of nuclear capabilities. Countries limiting responses to only military targets based on a strict interpretation of the LOAC may not have a viable response to deter some types of limited nuclear attacks.","PeriodicalId":511613,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Military Studies","volume":"40 8","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140756538","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Drones’ contribution to the transformation of contemporary warfare 无人机对当代战争变革的贡献
Journal of Military Studies Pub Date : 2024-02-22 DOI: 10.2478/jms-2024-0003
George Koukoudakis
{"title":"Drones’ contribution to the transformation of contemporary warfare","authors":"George Koukoudakis","doi":"10.2478/jms-2024-0003","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/jms-2024-0003","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 The introduction of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in contemporary battlefields constitutes a transformation in warfighting. The consequences of such an innovation can be traced not only to the level of strategy but also in political, economic as well as ethical terms. So far, UAVs have demonstrated decisiveness in non-military contested environments and in conflicts that involve failed states. UAVs, however, have been proved to be militarily effective, but not militarily decisive in conventional wars. Simultaneously, a series of limitations makes over-reliance on them to look faulty. Time will tell whether their further technological advancements will be able to revolutionise the conduct of war.","PeriodicalId":511613,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Military Studies","volume":"46 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140438379","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Beyond the call of duty: Reimagining military service through hero narratives in the US Army’s ‘The Calling’ campaign 超越使命召唤:在美国陆军的 "召唤 "活动中通过英雄叙事重新想象兵役服务
Journal of Military Studies Pub Date : 2024-02-22 DOI: 10.2478/jms-2024-0002
Moon Hyunyoung
{"title":"Beyond the call of duty: Reimagining military service through hero narratives in the US Army’s ‘The Calling’ campaign","authors":"Moon Hyunyoung","doi":"10.2478/jms-2024-0002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/jms-2024-0002","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 This study employs Erwin Panofsky’s iconographic analysis to decode the 2021 US Army recruiting campaign ‘The Calling’, situating it against the historical backdrop of military recruitment since the all-volunteer force’s inception. Panofsky’s framework allows for a dissection of the campaign’s layered narrative and its animated aesthetics, which notably diverge from prior campaign’s emphasis on the warrior archetype. The analysis progresses from a description of visual and narrative element’s (pre-iconography), to an investigation of symbolic meanings (iconography), culminating in an interpretation of underlying societal attitudes (iconology). ‘The Calling’ reimagines military enlistment as a heroic pursuit, echoing the superhero genre’s origin stories, and emerges as a response to waning interest in military careers. The campaign targets the zeitgeist of the young American population, offering a sense of heroism as compensation in a challenging recruitment climate marked by a robust economy and low unemployment. By presenting service as a ‘calling’, the Army navigates the complex terrain of contemporary cultural values, seeking to resonate with potential recruits on an ideological level, particularly within race and gender minority communities.","PeriodicalId":511613,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Military Studies","volume":"43 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140440771","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Feasibility of kinetic orbital bombardment 动能轨道轰击的可行性
Journal of Military Studies Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.2478/jms-2024-0001
L. Koene, N.V.H. Schouten, R. Savelsberg
{"title":"Feasibility of kinetic orbital bombardment","authors":"L. Koene, N.V.H. Schouten, R. Savelsberg","doi":"10.2478/jms-2024-0001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/jms-2024-0001","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 In this paper, the possible impact effects of orbital bombardment systems and their feasibility are studied. These effects are the projectile penetration into concrete and steel targets and seismic effects. The equations of motion for the re-entry of a projectile and the penetration were solved numerically. The projectile penetration is modelled using the Alekseevskii–Tate model. By varying the altitude (h), projectile length (L), manoeuvre velocity (ΔV) and the target properties, the flight time (t), earthquake magnitude (M) and penetration depth (P) are calculated. The calculations show that the impact of a tungsten alloy rod with a length of 8 m and a 0.4 m diameter results in an earthquake with a seismic magnitude of only 2.5 on the Richter scale. For concrete, the optimal result is obtained for a projectile with a length of 0.56 m. It penetrates 1.79 m with a minimal ΔV trajectory. These results show that a kinetic orbital bombardment system is not feasible without major technological developments, the impact angle being a bottleneck of the concept. Moreover, one has to accept very high costs. Without any means to change the attitude of the projectile, using ICBMs or bombers shows a better penetration performance than re-entry.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Weapons in orbit may provide a strategic advantage. However, they are restricted by international space laws.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Impact angle of the projectile is a bottleneck for kinetic orbital bombardment.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Larger impact angles can be achieved, but at the expense of a larger mass-to-orbit.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 A hypersonic drag device may be used to optimise the impact angle and thus improve the system.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Alternative projectile delivery methods (Bomber, Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM)) show better performance for both steel and concrete targets.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Essentially, only penetration phenomena matter because the seismic effects are not significant. Therefore, orbital bombardment systems don’t even resemble weapons of mass destruction (WMD).\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Given their limited effect, destroying a particular target requires a guidance and flight control system, which, given the high velocities, may not be feasible.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000","PeriodicalId":511613,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Military Studies","volume":"11 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139804878","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Feasibility of kinetic orbital bombardment 动能轨道轰击的可行性
Journal of Military Studies Pub Date : 2024-02-05 DOI: 10.2478/jms-2024-0001
L. Koene, N.V.H. Schouten, R. Savelsberg
{"title":"Feasibility of kinetic orbital bombardment","authors":"L. Koene, N.V.H. Schouten, R. Savelsberg","doi":"10.2478/jms-2024-0001","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2478/jms-2024-0001","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 In this paper, the possible impact effects of orbital bombardment systems and their feasibility are studied. These effects are the projectile penetration into concrete and steel targets and seismic effects. The equations of motion for the re-entry of a projectile and the penetration were solved numerically. The projectile penetration is modelled using the Alekseevskii–Tate model. By varying the altitude (h), projectile length (L), manoeuvre velocity (ΔV) and the target properties, the flight time (t), earthquake magnitude (M) and penetration depth (P) are calculated. The calculations show that the impact of a tungsten alloy rod with a length of 8 m and a 0.4 m diameter results in an earthquake with a seismic magnitude of only 2.5 on the Richter scale. For concrete, the optimal result is obtained for a projectile with a length of 0.56 m. It penetrates 1.79 m with a minimal ΔV trajectory. These results show that a kinetic orbital bombardment system is not feasible without major technological developments, the impact angle being a bottleneck of the concept. Moreover, one has to accept very high costs. Without any means to change the attitude of the projectile, using ICBMs or bombers shows a better penetration performance than re-entry.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Weapons in orbit may provide a strategic advantage. However, they are restricted by international space laws.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Impact angle of the projectile is a bottleneck for kinetic orbital bombardment.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Larger impact angles can be achieved, but at the expense of a larger mass-to-orbit.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 A hypersonic drag device may be used to optimise the impact angle and thus improve the system.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Alternative projectile delivery methods (Bomber, Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM)) show better performance for both steel and concrete targets.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Essentially, only penetration phenomena matter because the seismic effects are not significant. Therefore, orbital bombardment systems don’t even resemble weapons of mass destruction (WMD).\u0000 \u0000 \u0000 Given their limited effect, destroying a particular target requires a guidance and flight control system, which, given the high velocities, may not be feasible.\u0000 \u0000 \u0000","PeriodicalId":511613,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Military Studies","volume":"8 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139864934","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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