Tianjiao Zhang, Hu Guo, Liming Song, Hongchun Yuan, Hengshou Sui, Bin Li
{"title":"Evaluating the importance of vertical environmental variables for albacore fishing grounds in tropical Atlantic Ocean using machine learning and Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) approach","authors":"Tianjiao Zhang, Hu Guo, Liming Song, Hongchun Yuan, Hengshou Sui, Bin Li","doi":"10.1111/fog.12701","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12701","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to find reliable vertical environmental variables for modeling the fishing grounds of albacore (<jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>Thunnus alalunga</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>) in the tropical waters of the Atlantic Ocean. Logbook data of 13 Chinese longliners operating in the high seas of the Atlantic Ocean from 2016 to 2019 were collected and matched with vertical environmental variables including dissolved oxygen, temperature, and salinity from 0 to 500 m at 50‐m depth intervals. Then four machine learning (ML) models: decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), light gradient boosting (LGB) and categorical boosting (CGB) were constructed and compared with generalized additive models (GAMs) within spatial resolutions of .5° × .5°, 1° × 1°, and 2° × 2° grids to find the significant features. The importance of each variable was ranked and compared based on Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) approach across five ML models at three resolutions. Results showed that (1) the vertical environmental variables—temperature at the depth of 100 m and dissolved oxygen concentration at the depth of 100 and 150 m—were the significant features that contributed most to all the ML models at three spatial resolutions; (2) the models with a spatial resolution of 2° × 2° grid exhibited higher accuracy compared to the models with .5° × .5° and 1° × 1° grids; (3) the RF model had the best prediction performance among all the models tested. Our results suggested that significant vertical environmental variables showed similar importance across different ML models at different resolutions, and these specific variables can be relied upon for accurately predicting the fishing grounds of albacore in the tropical waters of the Atlantic Ocean.","PeriodicalId":51054,"journal":{"name":"Fisheries Oceanography","volume":"32 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142208267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Warsha Singh, Kristinn Guðnason, Marcel Montanyès, Martin Lindegren
{"title":"Climate driven response of the Iceland‐East Greenland‐Jan Mayen capelin distribution","authors":"Warsha Singh, Kristinn Guðnason, Marcel Montanyès, Martin Lindegren","doi":"10.1111/fog.12702","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12702","url":null,"abstract":"Climate change is altering the distribution of marine organisms worldwide. This may, in turn, affect the overall structure and functioning of ecosystems, sometimes leading to low productive regimes. Pronounced shifts in distribution and migration have been observed for capelin (<jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>Mallotus villosus</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>), one of the ecologically and commercially important species in the Arctic. This study attempts to discern whether a relationship existed between the altered capelin dynamics and the changing physical environmental conditions in the Iceland‐East Greenland‐Jan Mayen region. More specifically, three species distribution models were used to predict hindcasts (pre‐shift years 1993–2002) and nowcasts (post‐shift years 2003–2019) of capelin distribution based on relationships with temperature, salinity, current speed, net primary productivity, and bathymetry. The predicted probability of occurrence over these two time periods demonstrates that the changing environmental conditions have contributed to the modified distribution of the stock during its late feeding season in autumn and during the onset of spawning season in winter. The multi‐model approach used in this study has provided a solid statistical framework to describe the environmental niche of capelin and its potential responses to changing ocean climate.","PeriodicalId":51054,"journal":{"name":"Fisheries Oceanography","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142208268","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Feeding habits of splendid alfonsino Beryx splendens in the vicinity of Kuroshio, the south of Japan","authors":"Taketoshi Kodama, Koichi Ishii, Sachiko Horii, Natsuki Gonda, Junji Yonezawa, Kazuto Ando, Kazutaka Takahashi","doi":"10.1111/fog.12703","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12703","url":null,"abstract":"Gut contents and nitrogen isotope ratio (<jats:italic>δ</jats:italic><jats:sup>15</jats:sup>N) analyses were conducted on splendid alfonsino <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>Beryx splendens</jats:italic></jats:styled-content> collected in the vicinity of Kuroshio from May 2015 to November 2016 (<jats:italic>n</jats:italic> = 708) to identify their feeding habits in the Western North Pacific. Micronektonic fish, shrimp, and squid were the dominant prey species, with the Decapoda <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>Acanthephyra quadrispinosa</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>, <jats:italic>Prehensilosergia prehensilis</jats:italic>, Cephalopoda <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>Enoploteuthis chunii</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>, <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>Chiroteuthis calyx</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>, Teleostei <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>Sigmops gracilis</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>, and <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>Gonostoma elongatum</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>. These micronektons are common in the Kuroshio Current; thus, <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>B. splendens</jats:italic></jats:styled-content> is a possible opportunistic feeder. Gut content weight (GCW), occurrence (%O) of fish and squid, and <jats:italic>δ</jats:italic><jats:sup>15</jats:sup>N were significantly increased with the fork length (FL) of <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>B. splendens</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>. Only the %O of shrimp does not show a significant relationship with the FL of <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>B. splendens</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>. These indicated the ontogenetic shift of dominant prey from shrimp to fish. Fattened specimens could also prey on a greater number of fish. The seasonality of GCW and %O values was high in spring and autumn and low in summer and winter. This seasonality indicated that the feeding habits of <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>B. splendens</jats:italic></jats:styled-content> are controlled by primary productivity in the surface layer and/or by maturity. When the Kuroshio flowed in the north of Hachijojima Island, the GCW was significantly increased, and some organisms, including <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>C. calyx</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>, <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>G. elongatum</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>, and <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>S. gracilis</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>, were preyed on more. While the offshore area of the Kuroshio has low productivity, <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>B. splendens</jats:italic></jats:styled-content> can actively prey in this area, indicating that it is an important feeding ground for this species.","PeriodicalId":51054,"journal":{"name":"Fisheries Oceanography","volume":"51 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142208271","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Otolith elemental composition indicates differences in the habitat use for larvae and early juveniles of Japanese jack mackerel (Trachurus japonicus) in the waters around Japan","authors":"Yuki Fujinami, Motomitsu Takahashi, Chiyuki Sassa, Yuko Hiraoka, Hiroyuki Kurota, Seiji Ohshimo","doi":"10.1111/fog.12699","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12699","url":null,"abstract":"Trace element analysis of otoliths from core to edge was used to reveal differences in habitats of larvae and early juveniles of Japanese jack mackerel (<jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>Trachurus japonicus</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>) caught in the East China Sea (ECS), Pacific Ocean, and Sea of Japan. Multi‐element signatures (Sr:Ca, Mg:Ca, Na:Ca, K:Ca, and Ba:Ca) were analyzed with multivariate statistics to determine whether these element signatures provide insight into regional population structure. The median values of elements: Ca ratios in otolith core region differed significantly among areas, with most elements between the ECS and the Pacific Ocean or Sea of Japan showing significant differences. The Sr:Ca ratios exhibited a V‐shaped trend from the otolith core to the edge, which was likely related to the vertical habitat layer shift of larvae and early juveniles of <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>T. japonicus</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>. Canonical analysis of principal coordinates using the element: Ca ratios and the hatching day were re‐classified according to the sampling area with higher accuracy in the ECS (88–95%) and the Sea of Japan (76–83%) compared to the Pacific Ocean (69–72%). These results indicate that the proportion of eggs, larvae, and early juveniles transported by the Kuroshio Current from the southern ECS—the main spawning ground—to the Pacific Ocean or the Sea of Japan is low and that juveniles distributed in the coastal waters off southwestern Japan may have originated from local spawners. These results suggest that determining the elemental composition of larvae and juveniles of <jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>T. japonicus</jats:italic></jats:styled-content> is effective in determining the habitat differences of this species in the three regions. These findings will help to understand population structure and recruitment process of this species around Japan.","PeriodicalId":51054,"journal":{"name":"Fisheries Oceanography","volume":"2 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142208269","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Erling Kåre Stenevik, Svein Sundby, Bjørn Ådlandsvik, Anders Thorsen
{"title":"Buoyancy and vertical distribution of haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus) eggs during embryonic development: A comparison with cod (Gadus morhua)","authors":"Erling Kåre Stenevik, Svein Sundby, Bjørn Ådlandsvik, Anders Thorsen","doi":"10.1111/fog.12700","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12700","url":null,"abstract":"Vertical egg distributions are needed knowledge for understanding exposure to physical forcing, predation pressure, and modelling initial transport from the spawning areas. Egg density and size are the biotic factors determining vertical distributions while the ambient salinity and turbulent mixing are the physical factors contributing to their vertical distributions. Egg buoyancies and densities of Atlantic cod (<jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\"><jats:italic>Gadus morhua</jats:italic></jats:styled-content>) have been extensively studied, while limited information on haddock <jats:italic>(<jats:styled-content style=\"fixed-case\">Melanogrammus aeglefinus</jats:styled-content></jats:italic>) egg density is available. This is the first comprehensive study on haddock egg densities in Norwegian waters. Eggs were collected from pairs of spawning fish caught at the coast of western Norway and inserted into a density gradient column where density was measured. The haddock eggs were neutrally buoyant at salinities ranging from 28.5 to 31. The density changed during egg development, and the results from the measurements were used to model the vertical distribution of the eggs. The simulations showed that the changes in buoyancy substantially affected vertical distributions. A comparison to previously published data on cod eggs showed that haddock eggs are considerably more buoyant than the cod eggs and are—particularly during calm wind conditions—confined to the surface layer to a larger extent than the cod eggs. The more buoyant attribute of the haddock eggs, together with the lipophilic surface of the egg membrane, is suggested to make haddock eggs more vulnerable to buoyant pollutants, like hydrocarbons.","PeriodicalId":51054,"journal":{"name":"Fisheries Oceanography","volume":"71 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142208270","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Huidong Jiang, Zhenjiang Ye, Yixiao Zhang, Wenchao Zhang, Yongjun Tian, Jianchao Li, Yang Liu, Haiqing Yu, Xingui Zhang
{"title":"The integration of diel vertical migration and hydrodynamic process influences the transport of swimming crab zoea (Portunus trituberculatus)","authors":"Huidong Jiang, Zhenjiang Ye, Yixiao Zhang, Wenchao Zhang, Yongjun Tian, Jianchao Li, Yang Liu, Haiqing Yu, Xingui Zhang","doi":"10.1111/fog.12695","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12695","url":null,"abstract":"Vertical migration and dispersal processes during the marine crab larval stage markedly affect transport, habitat selection, population connectivity, and resource replenishment success rates. However, not much is known of the reproductive ecology of swimming crabs in the nearshore waters of the northwest Pacific shelf. Here, we investigated the diel vertical migration (DVM) characteristics and transport patterns of the swimming crab zoea (<jats:italic>Portunus trituberculatus</jats:italic>) in this area. A Lagrangian particle‐tracking algorithm coupled with a hydrodynamic model, incorporating a DVM pattern of zoeae based on observations from a field survey of the diurnal distribution of swimming crab zoea, was used to simulate the transport of zoeae, and the impact of zoeal transport on population connectivity was explored. The results revealed that particles were predominantly transported in a nearshore direction from the particle release point, with short dispersal distances during the zoeal stages. In nearshore waters on the continental shelf, the swimming crab zoeae are exposed to shoreward‐moving currents with the aid of prolonged daytime locations in the lower water column, whereas larvae migrate upward to the middle and upper layers of the water column at night rather than the most superficial layer, potentially avoiding surface offshore‐moving currents that may be responsible for the retention and shoreward transport of larvae. Most zoeae are transported to shallow waters, and the contribution of transport to population connectivity during the zoeal stages is relatively limited. The findings here have considerable implications for understanding the mechanisms governing the early recruitment dynamics of this species, as well as for fisheries management and conservation of marine biodiversity.","PeriodicalId":51054,"journal":{"name":"Fisheries Oceanography","volume":"12 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142208299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Brian E. Smith, Stefán Ragnarsson, Jeremy S. Collie
{"title":"Quantifying predation on benthos and its overlap with bottom fishing in the NW Atlantic","authors":"Brian E. Smith, Stefán Ragnarsson, Jeremy S. Collie","doi":"10.1111/fog.12696","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12696","url":null,"abstract":"Continental shelves experience many human pressures with demersal fisheries central to disturbing the ocean floor. However, ecological processes such as predation rates of benthos and their relationship with bottom fishing are often unknown for large marine ecosystems. We examined the amount of benthos consumed by 14 benthivorous fishes, the overlap between benthos predation and bottom fishing (dredge and trawl gear), and temporal trends in benthivorous fish abundance and the number of fishing trips on the northeast US continental shelf. Mean annual predation (biomass of prey removed) and 95% confidence intervals ranged from .0002 (.0001–.0003) to 3967 (1761–7112) t per 10‐min area squared grid cell and prey taxa for these benthivorous fishes. Predation and bottom fishing had overlapping footprints of activity, which were slightly stronger for dredge gear. Trophic success (ratio of prey biomass eaten to the biomass of the benthivore community per grid cell) revealed more Bivalvia, Gammaridea, and Polychaeta eaten in areas targeted by trawling with more fish biomass. In contrast, dredging did not target fish biomass, but these areas had increased (Echinoidea, Gammaridea, and other benthos) or decreased (Ophiuroidea) trophic success relative to dredging footprint, suggesting habitat preferences for benthic prey and demersal fisheries have converged rather than diverged. Despite declines in bottom fishing, recent increases in benthivorous fish abundance and growing interest in ocean floor use suggest that fisheries managers should ensure benthivores have sufficient prey resources relative to their community size and human pressures to promote long‐term sustainability of demersal fisheries and healthy ecosystems.","PeriodicalId":51054,"journal":{"name":"Fisheries Oceanography","volume":"103 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141933093","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jesus C. Compaire, E. Marcelo Acha, Diego Moreira, Claudia G. Simionato
{"title":"Time series modeling of coastal fishery landings on the Southwestern Atlantic shelf: Influence of environmental drivers","authors":"Jesus C. Compaire, E. Marcelo Acha, Diego Moreira, Claudia G. Simionato","doi":"10.1111/fog.12688","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fog.12688","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Time-series modeling of fisheries provides insights into stock tendencies and enables short-term forecasting of landings, aiding decision makers in establishing management priorities. The Rio de la Plata Estuary and its maritime front sustain valuable fisheries for Argentina and Uruguay, with striped weakfish (<i>Cynoscion guatucupa</i>), whitemouth croaker (<i>Micropogonias furnieri</i>), and Argentine hake (<i>Merluccius hubbsi</i>) historically representing highest catches. However, their landings have declined in recent decades. To support resource management, we investigated the effectiveness of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models in capturing fishery landing dynamics and providing reliable short-term predictions. The best models exhibited a good fit and accurately captured the overall trends of landings. Residual variability unaccounted for by the model was analyzed in relation to time-lagged environmental conditions. A wavelet coherence analysis was employed to examine the effect of the most significant variables on landings. Results revealed that environmental conditions affect differentially landings of each species as a result of their particular ecological traits. Turbidity and salinity affected mainly <i>M. furnieri</i>, which inhabits the innermost part of the estuary. Additionally, <i>C. guatucupa</i>, inhabiting the outer estuary and coastal region, exhibited a stronger association with river runoff compared to <i>M. hubbsi</i>, which inhabits the continental shelf. This study provides the first evidence of ARIMA models' reliability in representing the temporal evolution of catch in these fisheries, offering valuable tools for short-term landings forecasting and facilitating sustainable management. Wavelet analysis findings will also contribute to enhancing our comprehension of trends in the correlation between environmental conditions and commercial landings.</p>","PeriodicalId":51054,"journal":{"name":"Fisheries Oceanography","volume":"33 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141872554","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Revisiting post-settlement dynamics and mechanisms for a depleted American lobster (Homarus americanus) stock","authors":"M. Conor McManus","doi":"10.1111/fog.12689","DOIUrl":"10.1111/fog.12689","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Environmentally explicit models can improve model performance and our understanding of biological processes. However, these models must be retested over time, as the mechanisms influencing biological processes can change. The relationship between recently settled young-of-year (i.e., settlers) and pre-recruit American lobsters was revisited to determine if our perception on post-settlement lobster processes has changed. Analyses were focused within the southern region of the species' latitudinal range (Rhode Island, United States), where several environmental factors have been theorized to contribute to the Southern New England stock decline and continued depleted state. The inclusion of additional, recent years' data provided insight on how the density-dependent nature of the settler–pre-recruit lobster relationship has varied over time. Including both new and retested environmental drivers reaffirmed the importance of incorporating environmental data when describing this process. Specifically, modeling revealed the importance of epizootic shell disease, finfish predators, and Asian shore crabs in the settler–pre-recruit relationship. Including disease, predation, and competition metrics in the lobster post-settlement relationship has allowed for improved modeling and insight into settlement dynamics. This renewed analysis supports reevaluating environmentally explicit models over time and calls for further directed research regarding the biological processes we seek to model with time series data.</p>","PeriodicalId":51054,"journal":{"name":"Fisheries Oceanography","volume":"33 6","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141785077","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kevin D. E. Stokesbury, N. David Bethoney, Felipe Restrepo, Bradley P. Harris
{"title":"Anticipating the winds of change: A baseline assessment of Northeastern US continental shelf surficial substrates","authors":"Kevin D. E. Stokesbury, N. David Bethoney, Felipe Restrepo, Bradley P. Harris","doi":"10.1111/fog.12693","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/fog.12693","url":null,"abstract":"The introduction of thousands of wind turbines along the North American Atlantic continental shelf over the next decade will constitute the largest regional change in marine substrates since the retreat of the Laurentide Ice Sheet over 14,000 years ago. Here, two large data sets, SMAST drop camera survey (242,949 samples, 2003 to 2019) and the US Geological Survey databases (27,784 samples, 1966 to 2011), are combined to derive sea floor surficial substrate probability maps for the Northeastern US continental shelf from Virginia Beach to the Gulf of Maine to 300 m depth (218,571 km<jats:sup>2</jats:sup>). Geostatistical models were used to estimate the probability of five geologic and one biogenic substrate types being present at a 250 m resolution, and the proportional contribution of each substrate type to the seabed composition at a 500 m resolution. By providing the first synoptic maps depicting the probability of a particular substrate or combination of substrates occurring at any location on the Northeastern US continental shelf, including planned wind energy sites, we aim to (1) provide insights regarding how substrates in the areas selected for wind energy development compare with other locations, (2) motivate the development of a priori expectations for ecosystem changes to inform monitoring and research efforts going forward, and (3) to provide a baseline characterization of the Northeastern US continental shelf surficial substrates to support robust examination of the future changes observed in areas impacted by wind energy installations.","PeriodicalId":51054,"journal":{"name":"Fisheries Oceanography","volume":"67 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.6,"publicationDate":"2024-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141771361","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}