Hydrology and Earth System Sciences最新文献

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Debris cover effects on energy and mass balance of Batura Glacier in the Karakoram over the past 20 years 过去 20 年碎片覆盖对喀喇昆仑山巴图拉冰川能量和质量平衡的影响
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-2023-2024
Yu Zhu, Shiyin Liu, Ben W. Brock, Lide Tian, Ying Yi, Fuming Xie, D. Shangguan, Yiyuan Shen
{"title":"Debris cover effects on energy and mass balance of Batura Glacier in the Karakoram over the past 20 years","authors":"Yu Zhu, Shiyin Liu, Ben W. Brock, Lide Tian, Ying Yi, Fuming Xie, D. Shangguan, Yiyuan Shen","doi":"10.5194/hess-28-2023-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-2023-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The influence of supraglacial debris cover on glacier mass balance in the Karakoram is noteworthy. However, understanding of how debris cover affects the seasonal and long-term variations in glacier mass balance through alterations in the glacier's energy budget is incomplete. The present study coupled an energy–mass balance model with heat conduction within debris layers on debris-covered Batura Glacier in Hunza Valley to demonstrate the influence of debris cover on glacial surface energy and mass exchanges during 2000–2020. The mass balance of Batura Glacier is estimated to be -0.262±0.561 m w.e. yr−1, with debris cover accounting for a 45 % reduction in the negative mass balance. Due to the presence of debris cover, a significant portion of incoming energy is utilized for heating debris, leading to a large energy emission to the atmosphere via thermal radiation and turbulent sensible heat. This, in turn, reduces the melt latent heat energy at the glacier surface. We found that the mass balance exhibits a pronounced arch-shaped structure along the elevation gradient, which is associated with the distribution of debris thickness and the increasing impact of debris cover on the energy budget with decreasing elevation. Through a comprehensive analysis of the energy transfer within each debris layer, we have demonstrated that the primary impact of debris cover lies in its ability to modify the energy flux reaching the surface of the glacier. Thicker debris cover results in a smaller temperature gradient within debris layers, consequently reducing energy reaching the debris–ice interface. Over the past 2 decades, Batura Glacier has exhibited a trend towards less negative mass balance, likely linked to a decrease in air temperature and reduced ablation in areas with thin or sparse debris cover.\u0000","PeriodicalId":507846,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology and Earth System Sciences","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141004562","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing downscaling techniques for frequency analysis, total precipitation and rainy day estimation in CMIP6 simulations over hydrological years 评估 CMIP6 水文年模拟中频率分析、总降水量和雨日估算的降尺度技术
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-1981-2024
David A. Jimenez, Andrea Menapace, A. Zanfei, Eber José de Andrade Pinto, Bruno Brentan
{"title":"Assessing downscaling techniques for frequency analysis, total precipitation and rainy day estimation in CMIP6 simulations over hydrological years","authors":"David A. Jimenez, Andrea Menapace, A. Zanfei, Eber José de Andrade Pinto, Bruno Brentan","doi":"10.5194/hess-28-1981-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1981-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. General circulation models generate climate simulations on grids with resolutions ranging from 50 to 600 km. The resulting coarse spatial resolution of the model outcomes requires post-processing routines to ensure reliable climate information for practical studies, prompting the widespread application of downscaling techniques. However, assessing the effectiveness of multiple downscaling techniques is essential, as their accuracy varies depending on the objectives of the analysis and the characteristics of the case study. In this context, this study aims to evaluate the performance of downscaling the daily precipitation series in the Metropolitan Region of Belo Horizonte (MRBH), Brazil, with the final scope of performing frequency analyses and estimating total precipitation and the number of rainy days per hydrological year at both annual and multiannual levels. To develop this study, 78 climate model simulations with a horizontal resolution of 100 km, which participated in the SSP1-2.6 and/or SSP5-8.5 scenarios of CMIP6, are employed. The results highlight that adjusting the simulations from the general circulation models by the delta method, quantile mapping and regression trees produces accurate results for estimating the total precipitation and number of rainy days. Finally, it is noted that employing downscaled precipitation series through quantile mapping and regression trees also yields promising results in terms of the frequency analyses.\u0000","PeriodicalId":507846,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology and Earth System Sciences","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141004427","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluation of reanalysis soil moisture products using cosmic ray neutron sensor observations across the globe 利用全球宇宙射线中子传感器观测数据评估再分析土壤水分产品
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-07 DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-1999-2024
Yanchen Zheng, G. Coxon, Ross Woods, Daniel Power, M. Rico‐Ramirez, David McJannet, R. Rosolem, Jianzhu Li, Ping Feng
{"title":"Evaluation of reanalysis soil moisture products using cosmic ray neutron sensor observations across the globe","authors":"Yanchen Zheng, G. Coxon, Ross Woods, Daniel Power, M. Rico‐Ramirez, David McJannet, R. Rosolem, Jianzhu Li, Ping Feng","doi":"10.5194/hess-28-1999-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1999-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Reanalysis soil moisture products are valuable for diverse applications, but their quality assessment is limited due to scale discrepancies when compared to traditional in situ point-scale measurements. The emergence of cosmic ray neutron sensors (CRNSs) with field-scale soil moisture estimates (∼ 250 m radius, up to 0.7 m deep) is more suitable for the product evaluation owing to their larger footprint. In this study, we perform a comprehensive evaluation of eight widely used reanalysis soil moisture products (ERA5-Land, CFSv2, MERRA2, JRA55, GLDAS-Noah, CRA40, GLEAM and SMAP L4 datasets) against 135 CRNS sites from the COSMOS-UK, COSMOS-Europe, COSMOS USA and CosmOz Australia networks. We evaluate the products using six metrics capturing different aspects of soil moisture dynamics. Results show that all reanalysis products generally exhibit good temporal correlation with the measurements, with the median temporal correlation coefficient (R) values spanning 0.69 to 0.79, though large deviations are found at sites with seasonally varying vegetation cover. Poor performance is observed across products for soil moisture anomalies time series, with R values varying from 0.46 to 0.66. The performance of reanalysis products differs greatly across regions, climate, land covers and topographic conditions. In general, all products tend to overestimate data in arid climates and underestimate data in humid regions as well as grassland. Most reanalysis products perform poorly in steep terrain. Relatively low temporal correlation and high bias are detected in some sites from the west of the UK, which might be associated with relatively low bulk density and high soil organic carbon. Overall, ERA5-Land, CRA40, CFSv2, SMAP L4 and GLEAM exhibit superior performance compared to MERRA2, GLDAS-Noah and JRA55. We recommend that ERA5-Land and CFSv2 could be used in humid climates, whereas SMAP L4 and CRA40 perform better in arid regions. SMAP L4 has good performance for cropland, while GLEAM is more effective in shrubland regions. Our findings also provide insights into directions for improvement of soil moisture products for product developers.\u0000","PeriodicalId":507846,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology and Earth System Sciences","volume":"61 S2","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141002915","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A high-resolution perspective of extreme rainfall and river flow under extreme climate change in Southeast Asia 高分辨率透视东南亚极端气候变化下的极端降雨量和河流流量
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-1935-2024
Mugni Hadi Hariadi, G. van der Schrier, G. Steeneveld, Samuel J. Sutanto, E. Sutanudjaja, D. Ratri, A. Sopaheluwakan, A. Klein Tank
{"title":"A high-resolution perspective of extreme rainfall and river flow under extreme climate change in Southeast Asia","authors":"Mugni Hadi Hariadi, G. van der Schrier, G. Steeneveld, Samuel J. Sutanto, E. Sutanudjaja, D. Ratri, A. Sopaheluwakan, A. Klein Tank","doi":"10.5194/hess-28-1935-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1935-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. This article provides high-resolution information on the projected changes in annual extreme rainfall and high- and low-streamflow events over Southeast Asia under extreme climate change. The analysis was performed using the bias-corrected result of the High-Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP) multi-model experiment for the period 1971–2050. Eleven rainfall indices were calculated, along with streamflow simulation using the PCR-GLOBWB hydrological model. The historical period 1981–2010 and the near-future period 2021–2050 were considered for this analysis. Results indicate that, over former mainland Southeast Asia, Myanmar will face more challenges in the near future. The east coast of Myanmar will experience more extreme high-rainfall conditions, while northern Myanmar will have longer dry spells. Over the Indonesian maritime continent, Sumatra and Java will suffer from an increase in dry-spell length of up to 40 %, while the increase in extreme high rainfall will occur over Borneo and mountainous areas in Papua. Based on the streamflow analysis, the impact of climate change is more prominent in a low-flow event than in a high-flow event. The majority of rivers in the central Mekong catchment, Sumatra, Peninsular Malaysia, Borneo, and Java will experience more extreme low-flow events. More extreme dry conditions in the near future are also seen from the increasing probability of future low-flow occurrences, which reaches 101 % and 90 %, on average, over Sumatra and Java, respectively. In addition, based on our results over Java and Sumatra, we found that the changes in extreme high- and low-streamflow events are more pronounced in rivers with steep hydrographs (rivers where flash floods are easily triggered), while rivers with flat hydrographs have a higher risk in terms of the probability of low-flow change.\u0000","PeriodicalId":507846,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology and Earth System Sciences","volume":"361 21","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141006225","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
A generalised ecohydrological landscape classification for assessing ecosystem risk in Australia due to an altering water regime 通用生态水文景观分类法,用于评估澳大利亚水系变化造成的生态系统风险
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-06 DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-1957-2024
A. Herr, L. Merrin, P. Mitchell, A. O'Grady, Kate L. Holland, Richard Mount, D. Post, C. Pavey, A. Sparrow
{"title":"A generalised ecohydrological landscape classification for assessing ecosystem risk in Australia due to an altering water regime","authors":"A. Herr, L. Merrin, P. Mitchell, A. O'Grady, Kate L. Holland, Richard Mount, D. Post, C. Pavey, A. Sparrow","doi":"10.5194/hess-28-1957-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1957-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Describing and classifying a landscape for environmental impact and risk assessment purposes is a non-trivial challenge because this requires region-specific landscape classifications that cater for region-specific impacts. Assessing impacts on ecosystems from the extraction of water resources across large regions requires a causal link between landscape features and their water requirements. We present the rationale and implementation of an ecohydrological classification for regions where coal mine and coal seam gas developments may impact on water. Our classification provides the essential framework for modelling the potential impact of hydrological changes from future coal resource developments at the landscape level. We develop an attribute-based system that provides representations of the ecohydrological entities and their connection to landscape features and make use of existing broad-level classification schemes into an attribute-based system. We incorporate a rule set with prioritisation, which underpins risk modelling and makes the scheme resource efficient, where spatial landscape or ecosystem classification schemes, developed for other purposes, already exist. A consistent rule set and conceptualised landscape processes and functions allow for the combination of diverse data with existing classification schemes. This makes the classification transparent, repeatable and adjustable, should new data become available. We apply the approach in three geographically different regions, with widely disparate information sources, for the classification, and provide a detailed example of its application. We propose that it is widely applicable around the world for linking ecohydrology to environmental impacts.\u0000","PeriodicalId":507846,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology and Earth System Sciences","volume":"3 7","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141009543","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Effects of high-quality elevation data and explanatory variables on the accuracy of flood inundation mapping via Height Above Nearest Drainage 高质量高程数据和解释变量对通过最近排水沟以上高度绘制洪水淹没图的准确性的影响
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-22 DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-1287-2024
F. Aristizabal, T. Chegini, Gregory Petrochenkov, F. Salas, J. Judge
{"title":"Effects of high-quality elevation data and explanatory variables on the accuracy of flood inundation mapping via Height Above Nearest Drainage","authors":"F. Aristizabal, T. Chegini, Gregory Petrochenkov, F. Salas, J. Judge","doi":"10.5194/hess-28-1287-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1287-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Given the availability of high-quality and high-spatial-resolution digital elevation maps (DEMs) from the United States Geological Survey's 3D Elevation Program (3DEP), derived mostly from light detection and ranging (lidar) sensors, we examined the effects of these DEMs at various spatial resolutions on the quality of flood inundation map (FIM) extents derived from a terrain index known as Height Above Nearest Drainage (HAND). We found that using these DEMs improved the quality of resulting FIM extents at around 80 % of the catchments analyzed when compared to using DEMs from the National Hydrography Dataset Plus High Resolution (NHDPlusHR) program. Additionally, we varied the spatial resolution of the 3DEP DEMs at 3, 5, 10, 15, and 20 m (meters), and the results showed no significant overall effect on FIM extent quality across resolutions. However, further analysis at coarser resolutions of 60 and 90 m revealed a significant degradation in FIM skill, highlighting the limitations of using extremely coarse-resolution DEMs. Our experiments demonstrated a significant burden in terms of the computational time required to produce HAND and related data at finer resolutions. We fit a multiple linear regression model to help explain catchment-scale variations in the four metrics employed and found that the lack of reservoir flooding or inundation upstream of river retention systems was a significant factor in our analysis. For validation, we used Interagency Flood Risk Management (InFRM) Base Level Engineering (BLE)-produced FIM extents and streamflows at the 100- and 500-year event magnitudes in a sub-region in eastern Texas.\u0000","PeriodicalId":507846,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology and Earth System Sciences","volume":" 33","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140213327","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A systematic review of climate change science relevant to Australian design flood estimation 对与澳大利亚设计洪水估算相关的气候变化科学进行系统审查
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-15 DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-1251-2024
C. Wasko, Seth Westra, R. Nathan, A. Pepler, T. Raupach, Andrew Dowdy, F. Johnson, Michelle Ho, Kathy McInnes, Doerte Jakob, Jason P. Evans, G. Villarini, Hayley J. Fowler
{"title":"A systematic review of climate change science relevant to Australian design flood estimation","authors":"C. Wasko, Seth Westra, R. Nathan, A. Pepler, T. Raupach, Andrew Dowdy, F. Johnson, Michelle Ho, Kathy McInnes, Doerte Jakob, Jason P. Evans, G. Villarini, Hayley J. Fowler","doi":"10.5194/hess-28-1251-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1251-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. In response to flood risk, design flood estimation is a cornerstone of planning, infrastructure design, setting of insurance premiums, and emergency response planning. Under stationary assumptions, flood guidance and the methods used in design flood estimation are firmly established in practice and mature in their theoretical foundations, but under climate change, guidance is still in its infancy. Human-caused climate change is influencing factors that contribute to flood risk such as rainfall extremes and soil moisture, and there is a need for updated flood guidance. However, a barrier to updating flood guidance is the translation of the science into practical application. For example, most science pertaining to historical changes to flood risk focuses on examining trends in annual maximum flood events or the application of non-stationary flood frequency analysis. Although this science is valuable, in practice, design flood estimation focuses on exceedance probabilities much rarer than annual maximum events, such as the 1 % annual exceedance probability event or even rarer, using rainfall-based procedures, at locations where there are few to no observations of streamflow. Here, we perform a systematic review to summarize the state-of-the-art understanding of the impact of climate change on design flood estimation in the Australian context, while also drawing on international literature. In addition, a meta-analysis, whereby results from multiple studies are combined, is conducted for extreme rainfall to provide quantitative estimates of possible future changes. This information is described in the context of contemporary design flood estimation practice to facilitate the inclusion of climate science into design flood estimation practice.\u0000","PeriodicalId":507846,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology and Earth System Sciences","volume":"7 19","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140239375","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Disentangling coastal groundwater level dynamics in a global dataset 在全球数据集中分解沿岸地下水位动态变化
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-14 DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-1215-2024
Annika Nolte, E. Haaf, B. Heudorfer, Steffen Bender, Jens Hartmann
{"title":"Disentangling coastal groundwater level dynamics in a global dataset","authors":"Annika Nolte, E. Haaf, B. Heudorfer, Steffen Bender, Jens Hartmann","doi":"10.5194/hess-28-1215-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1215-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. Groundwater level (GWL) dynamics result from a complex interplay between groundwater systems and the Earth system. This study aims to identify common hydrogeological patterns and to gain a deeper understanding of the underlying similarities and their link to physiographic, climatic, and anthropogenic controls of groundwater in coastal regions. The most striking aspects of GWL dynamics and their controls were identified through a combination of statistical metrics, calculated from about 8000 groundwater hydrographs, pattern recognition using clustering algorithms, classification using random forest, and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAPs). Hydrogeological similarity was defined by four clusters representing distinct patterns of GWL dynamics. These clusters can be observed globally across different continents and climate zones but simultaneously vary regionally and locally, suggesting a complicated interplay of controlling factors. The main controls differentiating GWL dynamics were identified, but we also provide evidence for the currently limited ability to explain GWL dynamics on large spatial scales, which we attribute mainly to uncertainties in the explanatory data. Finally, this study provides guidance for systematic and holistic groundwater monitoring and modeling and motivates a consideration of the different aspects of GWL dynamics, for example, when predicting climate-induced GWL changes, and the use of explainable machine learning techniques to deal with GWL complexity – especially when information on potential controls is limited or needs to be verified.\u0000","PeriodicalId":507846,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology and Earth System Sciences","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140243826","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Deep learning for monthly rainfall–runoff modelling: a large-sample comparison with conceptual models across Australia 月降雨-径流模型的深度学习:与澳大利亚各地概念模型的大样本比较
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-1191-2024
Stephanie R. Clark, J. Lerat, J. Perraud, Peter Fitch
{"title":"Deep learning for monthly rainfall–runoff modelling: a large-sample comparison with conceptual models across Australia","authors":"Stephanie R. Clark, J. Lerat, J. Perraud, Peter Fitch","doi":"10.5194/hess-28-1191-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1191-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. A deep learning model designed for time series predictions, the long short-term memory (LSTM) architecture, is regularly producing reliable results in local and regional rainfall–runoff applications around the world. Recent large-sample hydrology studies in North America and Europe have shown the LSTM model to successfully match conceptual model performance at a daily time step over hundreds of catchments. Here we investigate how these models perform in producing monthly runoff predictions in the relatively dry and variable conditions of the Australian continent. The monthly time step matches historic data availability and is also important for future water resources planning; however, it provides significantly smaller training datasets than daily time series. In this study, a continental-scale comparison of monthly deep learning (LSTM) predictions to conceptual rainfall–runoff (WAPABA model) predictions is performed on almost 500 catchments across Australia with performance results aggregated over a variety of catchment sizes, flow conditions, and hydrological record lengths. The study period covers a wet phase followed by a prolonged drought, introducing challenges for making predictions outside of known conditions – challenges that will intensify as climate change progresses. The results show that LSTM models matched or exceeded WAPABA prediction performance for more than two-thirds of the study catchments, the largest performance gains of LSTM versus WAPABA occurred in large catchments, the LSTMs struggled less to generalise than the WAPABA models (e.g. making predictions under new conditions), and catchments with few training observations due to the monthly time step did not demonstrate a clear benefit with either WAPABA or LSTM.\u0000","PeriodicalId":507846,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology and Earth System Sciences","volume":"2005 21","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140246455","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Check dam impact on sediment loads: example of the Guerbe River in the Swiss Alps – a catchment scale experiment 检查大坝对泥沙量的影响:以瑞士阿尔卑斯山的盖尔贝河为例--集水规模实验
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.5194/hess-28-1173-2024
Ariel Henrique do Prado, D. Mair, Philippos Garefalakis, Chantal Schmidt, Alexander C. Whittaker, S. Castelltort, F. Schlunegger
{"title":"Check dam impact on sediment loads: example of the Guerbe River in the Swiss Alps – a catchment scale experiment","authors":"Ariel Henrique do Prado, D. Mair, Philippos Garefalakis, Chantal Schmidt, Alexander C. Whittaker, S. Castelltort, F. Schlunegger","doi":"10.5194/hess-28-1173-2024","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-1173-2024","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The construction of check dams is a common practice around the world where the aim is to reduce the damage by flooding events through mountain streams. However, quantifying the effectiveness of such engineering structures has remained very challenging and requires well-selected case studies, since the outcome of such an evaluation depends on site-specific geometric, geologic and climatic conditions. Conventionally, the check dams' effectiveness has been estimated using information about how the bedload sediment flux in the stream changes after the check dams are constructed. A permanent lowering of the bedload flux not only points to a success in reducing the probability of sediment transport occurrence but also implies that the sediment input through the system is likely to decrease. Here, we applied a method for data acquisition and two different equations (Meyer-Peter–Müller and Recking approach) to estimate and compare the sediment transport in a mountain stream in Switzerland under engineered and non-engineered conditions. Whereas the first equation is derived from a classical approach that is based on flume experiment data with a slope of less than 0.02 m m−1, the second equation (Recking) has been derived based on a bedload field dataset comprising active mountain streams under steeper conditions. We selected the Guerbe (Gürbe) River situated in the Swiss Alps as a case study, which has been engineered since the end of the 19th century. This has resulted in more than 110 check dams along a ca. 5 km reach where sediment has continuously been supplied from adjacent hillslopes, primarily by landsliding. We measured the riverbed grain size, topographic gradients and river widths within selected segments along this reach. Additionally, a gauging station downstream of the reach engineered with check dams yielded information to calibrate the hydroclimatic situation for the study reach, thus offering ideal conditions for our catchment-scale experiment. Using the acquired data and the dataset about historical runoff covering the time interval between 2009 and 2021 and considering the current engineered conditions, we estimated a mean annual volume of transported bedload which ranges from 900 to 6000 m3 yr−1. We then envisaged possible channel geometries before the check dams were constructed. We inferred (1) higher energy gradients which we averaged over the length of several check dams and which we considered a proxy for the steeper river slope under natural conditions; (2) channel widths that are smaller than those measured today, thereby anticipating that the channel was more confined in the past; and (3) larger grain size percentiles, which we consider to be similar to the values measured from preserved landslides in the region. Using such potential non-engineered scenarios as constraints, the two equations both point towards a larger sediment flux compared to the engineered state, although the results of these equations differed sign","PeriodicalId":507846,"journal":{"name":"Hydrology and Earth System Sciences","volume":"34 127","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-03-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140260166","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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