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Space-time multi-level modeling for zooplankton abundance employing double data fusion and calibration 基于双数据融合和校准的浮游动物丰度时空多层次建模
IF 3.8 4区 环境科学与生态学
Environmental and Ecological Statistics Pub Date : 2023-11-22 DOI: 10.1007/s10651-023-00583-6
Jorge Castillo-Mateo, Alan E. Gelfand, Christine A. Hudak, Charles A. Mayo, Robert S. Schick
{"title":"Space-time multi-level modeling for zooplankton abundance employing double data fusion and calibration","authors":"Jorge Castillo-Mateo, Alan E. Gelfand, Christine A. Hudak, Charles A. Mayo, Robert S. Schick","doi":"10.1007/s10651-023-00583-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-023-00583-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p>An important objective for marine biologists is to forecast the distribution and abundance of planktivorous marine predators. To do so, it is critically important to understand the spatiotemporal dynamics of their prey. Here, the prey we study are zooplankton and we build a novel space-time hierarchical fusion model to describe the distribution and abundance of zooplankton species in Cape Cod Bay (CCB), MA, USA. The data were collected irregularly in space and time at sites within the first half of the year over a 17 year period, using two different sampling methods. We focus on <i>sea surface</i> zooplankton abundance and incorporate sea surface temperature as a primary driver, also collected with two different sampling methods. So, with two sources for each, we observe true abundance or true sea surface temperature with measurement error. To account for such error, we apply calibrations to align the data sources and use the fusion model to develop a prediction of daily spatial zooplankton abundance surfaces throughout CCB. To infer average abundance on a given day within a given year in CCB, we present a marginalization of the zooplankton abundance surface. We extend the inference to consider abundance averaged to a bi-weekly or annual scale as well as to make an annual comparison of abundance.</p>","PeriodicalId":50519,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Ecological Statistics","volume":"27 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2023-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138542023","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bayesian spatio-temporal model with INLA for dengue fever risk prediction in Costa Rica 基于INLA的贝叶斯时空模型用于哥斯达黎加登革热风险预测
4区 环境科学与生态学
Environmental and Ecological Statistics Pub Date : 2023-11-01 DOI: 10.1007/s10651-023-00580-9
Shu Wei Chou-Chen, Luis A. Barboza, Paola Vásquez, Yury E. García, Juan G. Calvo, Hugo G. Hidalgo, Fabio Sanchez
{"title":"Bayesian spatio-temporal model with INLA for dengue fever risk prediction in Costa Rica","authors":"Shu Wei Chou-Chen, Luis A. Barboza, Paola Vásquez, Yury E. García, Juan G. Calvo, Hugo G. Hidalgo, Fabio Sanchez","doi":"10.1007/s10651-023-00580-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-023-00580-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50519,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Ecological Statistics","volume":"9 2","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135272423","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The wrapped XLindley distribution 包装的XLindley发行版
4区 环境科学与生态学
Environmental and Ecological Statistics Pub Date : 2023-10-31 DOI: 10.1007/s10651-023-00579-2
E. Zinhom, M. M. Nassar, S. S. Radwan, A. Elmasry
{"title":"The wrapped XLindley distribution","authors":"E. Zinhom, M. M. Nassar, S. S. Radwan, A. Elmasry","doi":"10.1007/s10651-023-00579-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-023-00579-2","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract In the study of many environmental phenomena, circular statistical analysis and applications to directional data are crucial. In this paper, we introduce the wrapped XLindley distribution, a novel circular distribution with a single parameter. We derive expressions for the distribution’s characteristic function, trigonometric moments, and other associated descriptive measures. The unknown distributional parameter is estimated using the maximum likelihood, least squares, and weighted least squares approach, and the accuracy of these estimates is tested using a simulation study. Finally, to clarify the suggested distribution’s modeling potential, we fit the proposed model to two circular real-world data sets and evaluate the goodness of fit of this distribution in comparison to the wrapped Lindley, wrapped modified Lindley, Von Mises, Jones–Pewsey, and Kato–Jones distributions.","PeriodicalId":50519,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Ecological Statistics","volume":"3 3","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135872624","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Functional and variables selection in extreme value models for regional flood frequency analysis 区域洪水频率分析极值模型的函数选择与变量选择
4区 环境科学与生态学
Environmental and Ecological Statistics Pub Date : 2023-10-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10651-023-00581-8
Aldo Gardini
{"title":"Functional and variables selection in extreme value models for regional flood frequency analysis","authors":"Aldo Gardini","doi":"10.1007/s10651-023-00581-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-023-00581-8","url":null,"abstract":"Abstract The problem of estimating return levels of river discharge, relevant in flood frequency analysis, is tackled by relying on the extreme value theory. The Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) distribution is assumed to model annual maxima values of river discharge registered at multiple gauging stations belonging to the same river basin. The specific features of the data from the Upper Danube basin drive the definition of the proposed statistical model. Firstly, Bayesian P-splines are considered to account for the non-linear effects of station-specific covariates on the GEV parameters. Secondly, the problem of functional and variable selection is addressed by imposing a grouped horseshoe prior to the coefficients to encourage the shrinkage of non-relevant components to zero. A cross-validation study is organized to compare the proposed modeling solution to other models, showing its potential to reduce the uncertainty of the ungauged predictions without affecting their calibration.","PeriodicalId":50519,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Ecological Statistics","volume":"18 12","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136234435","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Model-based surveillance system design under practical constraints with application to white-nose syndrome 实际约束下基于模型的监测系统设计及其在白鼻综合征中的应用
4区 环境科学与生态学
Environmental and Ecological Statistics Pub Date : 2023-10-25 DOI: 10.1007/s10651-023-00578-3
Gina Oh, Srikanth Aravamuthan, Ting Fung Ma, Juan Francisco Mandujano Reyes, Anne Ballmann, Trevor Hefley, Ian McGahan, Robin Russell, Daniel P. Walsh, Jun Zhu
{"title":"Model-based surveillance system design under practical constraints with application to white-nose syndrome","authors":"Gina Oh, Srikanth Aravamuthan, Ting Fung Ma, Juan Francisco Mandujano Reyes, Anne Ballmann, Trevor Hefley, Ian McGahan, Robin Russell, Daniel P. Walsh, Jun Zhu","doi":"10.1007/s10651-023-00578-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-023-00578-3","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50519,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Ecological Statistics","volume":"66 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135113410","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Robust segmented regression: application to oxygen uptake plateau identification 稳健分段回归:在氧摄取平台识别中的应用
4区 环境科学与生态学
Environmental and Ecological Statistics Pub Date : 2023-09-24 DOI: 10.1007/s10651-023-00577-4
Alessandro J. Q. Sarnaglia, Fabio A. Fajardo Molinares, Paulo H. S. M. Azevedo
{"title":"Robust segmented regression: application to oxygen uptake plateau identification","authors":"Alessandro J. Q. Sarnaglia, Fabio A. Fajardo Molinares, Paulo H. S. M. Azevedo","doi":"10.1007/s10651-023-00577-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-023-00577-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50519,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Ecological Statistics","volume":"10 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"135925369","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Application of the class-balancing strategies with bootstrapping for fitting logistic regression models for post-fire tree mortality in South Korea 自举类平衡策略在拟合韩国火灾后树木死亡率逻辑回归模型中的应用
IF 3.8 4区 环境科学与生态学
Environmental and Ecological Statistics Pub Date : 2023-08-27 DOI: 10.1007/s10651-023-00573-8
Kyungrok Hwang, Wonseok Kang, Yugyeong Jung
{"title":"Application of the class-balancing strategies with bootstrapping for fitting logistic regression models for post-fire tree mortality in South Korea","authors":"Kyungrok Hwang, Wonseok Kang, Yugyeong Jung","doi":"10.1007/s10651-023-00573-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-023-00573-8","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50519,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Ecological Statistics","volume":"30 1","pages":"575 - 598"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2023-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48007486","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Correction to: Parameterizing Lognormal state space models using moment matching 修正:使用矩匹配参数化对数正态状态空间模型
4区 环境科学与生态学
Environmental and Ecological Statistics Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI: 10.1007/s10651-023-00576-5
John W. Smith, R. Quinn Thomas, Leah R. Johnson
{"title":"Correction to: Parameterizing Lognormal state space models using moment matching","authors":"John W. Smith, R. Quinn Thomas, Leah R. Johnson","doi":"10.1007/s10651-023-00576-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-023-00576-5","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50519,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Ecological Statistics","volume":"9 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"136392179","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Research on hybrid electricity demand forecasting system based on sunflower optimization and completely non-recursive decomposition strategy 基于向日葵优化和完全非递归分解策略的混合电力需求预测系统研究
IF 3.8 4区 环境科学与生态学
Environmental and Ecological Statistics Pub Date : 2023-07-30 DOI: 10.1007/s10651-023-00569-4
Yuqian Dong, Jianzhou Wang
{"title":"Research on hybrid electricity demand forecasting system based on sunflower optimization and completely non-recursive decomposition strategy","authors":"Yuqian Dong, Jianzhou Wang","doi":"10.1007/s10651-023-00569-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-023-00569-4","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50519,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Ecological Statistics","volume":"30 1","pages":"529 - 554"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2023-07-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45102254","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An accuracy assessment of three forest cover databases in Colombia 哥伦比亚三个森林覆盖数据库的准确性评估
IF 3.8 4区 环境科学与生态学
Environmental and Ecological Statistics Pub Date : 2023-07-19 DOI: 10.1007/s10651-023-00571-w
Perla Rivadeneyra García, L. Scaccia, L. Salvati
{"title":"An accuracy assessment of three forest cover databases in Colombia","authors":"Perla Rivadeneyra García, L. Scaccia, L. Salvati","doi":"10.1007/s10651-023-00571-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10651-023-00571-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":50519,"journal":{"name":"Environmental and Ecological Statistics","volume":"30 1","pages":"443 - 475"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2023-07-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45961191","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
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